IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.9	#273
Expected Predictive Rating	-18.3	#352

Pace	71.5	#117
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.1	#323

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.8	#197

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.4%	26.0%	14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.5	15.9

.500 or above	30.2%	61.7%	29.5%
.500 or above in Conference	80.3%	91.4%	80.1%
Conference Champion	17.4%	33.2%	17.0%
Last Place in Conference	1.1%	0.3%	1.1%

First Four	10.6%	12.1%	10.6%
First Round	9.7%	19.7%	9.5%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 8	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	252	@ South Dakota	L	79-93	33%	0 - 1			-15.4	-6.2	-7.6
Nov 07, 2024	45	@ Iowa	L	74-89	5%	0 - 2			-1.9	+0.9	-2.2
Nov 13, 2024	353	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	L	68-70	66%	0 - 3			-12.1	-8.9	-3.2
Nov 20, 2024	28	@ Texas A&M	L	59-81	2%
Nov 30, 2024	92	@ Louisiana Tech	L	62-77	9%
Dec 07, 2024	142	@ Tulsa	L	70-80	18%
Dec 17, 2024	61	@ Mississippi	L	61-79	5%
Dec 20, 2024	164	@ Loyola Marymount	L	64-73	21%
Dec 22, 2024	65	@ USC	L	65-82	6%
Dec 30, 2024	67	@ Nebraska	L	62-79	6%
Jan 04, 2025	257	@ Texas Southern	L	67-71	36%
Jan 06, 2025	345	@ Prairie View	W	75-72	60%
Jan 11, 2025	355	Florida A&M	W	75-64	84%
Jan 13, 2025	291	Bethune-Cookman	W	74-70	63%
Jan 18, 2025	241	Grambling St.	W	67-66	52%
Jan 25, 2025	361	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	80-74	69%
Jan 27, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	71-60	83%
Feb 01, 2025	352	Alcorn St.	W	74-64	80%
Feb 03, 2025	324	Jackson St.	W	74-68	70%
Feb 08, 2025	340	@ Alabama A&M	W	73-71	57%
Feb 10, 2025	281	@ Alabama St.	L	67-70	40%
Feb 15, 2025	345	Prairie View	W	78-69	78%
Feb 17, 2025	257	Texas Southern	W	70-68	57%
Feb 22, 2025	241	@ Grambling St.	L	64-69	33%
Mar 01, 2025	291	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	71-73	43%
Mar 03, 2025	355	@ Florida A&M	W	72-67	67%
Mar 06, 2025	281	Alabama St.	W	70-67	61%
Mar 08, 2025	340	Alabama A&M	W	76-68	75%
Projected Record						12 - 16	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.9	4.4	5.0	3.6	1.7	0.4		17.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.8	5.5	4.5	1.4	0.2				15.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	3.0	6.1	3.6	0.8	0.0					14.0	3rd
4th										0.3	2.6	5.7	3.2	0.5	0.0						12.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.1	5.1	3.1	0.4	0.0							11.0	5th
6th								0.1	1.4	4.0	3.0	0.4									8.9	6th
7th							0.1	1.0	3.2	2.6	0.4	0.0									7.3	7th
8th						0.1	0.6	2.3	2.4	0.4	0.0										5.8	8th
9th					0.1	0.5	1.4	1.6	0.4	0.0											3.9	9th
10th			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.9	0.3	0.0												2.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0													1.5	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0														0.5	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.9	3.2	5.3	7.6	9.4	11.5	12.8	12.9	11.5	9.7	6.5	3.8	1.7	0.4			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
17-1	100.0%	1.7		1.7	0.1
16-2	94.5%	3.6		3.1	0.6	0.0
15-3	77.3%	5.0		3.3	1.6	0.2	0.0
14-4	45.2%	4.4		1.8	1.8	0.7	0.0
13-5	16.5%	1.9		0.4	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	17.4%	17.4		10.7	4.9	1.5	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		54.2%	54.2%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
17-1	1.7%		44.8%	44.8%		15.1														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	1.0
16-2	3.8%		40.0%	40.0%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	2.3
15-3	6.5%		33.9%	33.9%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.3	1.9	4.3
14-4	9.7%		25.1%	25.1%		15.9															0.0	0.1	2.3	7.3
13-5	11.5%		19.8%	19.8%		16.0															0.0	0.0	2.3	9.2
12-6	12.9%		15.5%	15.5%		16.0																0.0	2.0	10.9
11-7	12.8%		9.9%	9.9%		16.0																0.0	1.3	11.5
10-8	11.5%		8.0%	8.0%		16.0																	0.9	10.6
9-9	9.4%		5.4%	5.4%		16.0																	0.5	8.9
8-10	7.6%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.2	7.4
7-11	5.3%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
6-12	3.2%																							3.2
5-13	1.9%																							1.9
4-14	0.9%																							0.9
3-15	0.5%																							0.5
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.4%	14.4%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	12.7	85.6		0.0%