IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.7	#184
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.1	#144
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.0	#132

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.7	#268

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.9%	17.4%	10.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.2	13.3	14.1

.500 or above	58.1%	77.3%	51.5%
.500 or above in Conference	71.4%	81.8%	67.9%
Conference Champion	13.5%	20.5%	11.0%
Last Place in Conference	3.2%	1.4%	3.8%

First Four	0.9%	0.6%	1.0%
First Round	11.9%	17.4%	10.0%
Second Round	0.8%	1.5%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Away) - 25.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 5	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	122	@ Wichita St.	L	71-78	26%
Nov 08, 2025	249	@ Georgia Southern	W	77-76	50%
Nov 11, 2025	188	Lipscomb	W	73-70	62%
Nov 19, 2025	273	@ Western Carolina	W	76-75	55%
Nov 25, 2025	259	Tennessee St.	W	80-73	72%
Nov 30, 2025	201	Appalachian St.	W	66-65	53%
Dec 02, 2025	225	UNC Greensboro	W	69-67	57%
Dec 06, 2025	31	@ North Carolina St.	L	62-81	5%
Dec 10, 2025	128	Miami (OH)	L	75-76	47%
Dec 13, 2025	148	St. Thomas	W	76-75	53%
Dec 21, 2025	102	@ UAB	L	72-82	21%
Dec 31, 2025	108	High Point	L	73-76	41%
Jan 03, 2026	318	@ Charleston Southern	W	75-71	64%
Jan 07, 2026	204	Longwood	W	78-74	63%
Jan 10, 2026	150	@ Radford	L	67-72	34%
Jan 14, 2026	267	@ Presbyterian	W	70-69	54%
Jan 17, 2026	161	Winthrop	W	81-79	56%
Jan 21, 2026	336	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	83-77	69%
Jan 29, 2026	307	Gardner-Webb	W	79-70	78%
Jan 31, 2026	161	@ Winthrop	L	78-82	36%
Feb 04, 2026	336	South Carolina Upstate	W	86-74	84%
Feb 12, 2026	204	@ Longwood	L	75-77	43%
Feb 14, 2026	267	Presbyterian	W	73-66	73%
Feb 19, 2026	108	@ High Point	L	70-79	24%
Feb 21, 2026	150	Radford	W	70-69	53%
Feb 26, 2026	307	@ Gardner-Webb	W	76-73	61%
Feb 28, 2026	318	Charleston Southern	W	78-68	80%
Projected Record						14 - 13	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	0.8	2.8	4.2	3.3	1.7	0.4		13.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	2.7	5.7	5.6	2.3	0.4				17.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.0	4.2	6.7	4.5	1.1	0.1					17.6	3rd
4th							0.1	1.6	5.2	6.5	3.0	0.5	0.0						17.0	4th
5th						0.2	1.9	4.9	5.0	1.9	0.1	0.0							14.0	5th
6th				0.0	0.3	1.7	3.9	2.8	0.8	0.0									9.7	6th
7th			0.0	0.2	1.4	2.5	1.4	0.3											5.8	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.4	0.8	0.1	0.0											3.5	8th
9th	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.0													1.7	9th

Total	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.8	3.3	5.3	7.5	9.6	12.2	13.1	12.7	11.5	9.5	6.6	3.7	1.7	0.4			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
15-1	100.0%	1.7		1.6	0.1
14-2	88.6%	3.3		2.6	0.7	0.0
13-3	64.1%	4.2		2.5	1.5	0.2
12-4	29.7%	2.8		0.9	1.4	0.5	0.0
11-5	7.3%	0.8		0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.3%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	13.5%	13.5		8.2	4.1	1.0	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.4%		60.4%	58.4%	2.0%	11.5										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2		4.8%
15-1	1.7%		43.7%	43.7%		12.1										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.9
14-2	3.7%		42.2%	42.2%		12.6												0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0		2.2
13-3	6.6%		29.7%	29.7%		13.2												0.0	0.4	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0	4.7
12-4	9.5%		24.1%	24.1%		13.8												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.4	0.1	7.2
11-5	11.5%		15.3%	15.3%		14.4													0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.1	9.8
10-6	12.7%		11.5%	11.5%		15.4													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.3	11.2
9-7	13.1%		6.9%	6.9%		16.5													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	12.2
8-8	12.2%		4.4%	4.4%		16.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	11.6
7-9	9.6%		2.7%	2.7%		18.3															0.0	0.1	0.2	9.3
6-10	7.5%		1.6%	1.6%		16.5																0.0	0.1	7.4
5-11	5.3%		1.2%	1.2%		17.0																	0.1	5.2
4-12	3.3%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
3-13	1.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
2-14	0.7%																							0.7
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		11.9%	11.9%	0.0%	14.2										0.0	0.0	0.5	1.8	2.9	3.2	2.4	1.5	88.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%