UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#203
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#256
Pace68.2#218
Improvement+0.8#130

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#176
First Shot-3.2#266
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#41
Layup/Dunks-5.8#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#279
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement+0.1#179

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#234
First Shot-1.3#216
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#245
Layups/Dunks-4.2#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#27
Freethrows-0.1#187
Improvement+0.7#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 10.5% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 49.9% 65.4% 40.6%
.500 or above in Conference 75.2% 80.5% 72.1%
Conference Champion 7.4% 9.9% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.8% 1.5%
First Four1.7% 1.3% 1.9%
First Round8.0% 10.0% 6.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Home) - 37.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 412 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 91 @Wichita St. L 58-75 14%     0 - 1 -8.2 -8.5 -0.3
  Sat, Nov 8 232 @Georgia Southern L 90-93 44%     0 - 2 -4.1 +4.3 -8.0
  Tue, Nov 11 161 Lipscomb W 69-64 54%     1 - 2 +1.5 +1.5 +0.4
  Wed, Nov 19 289 @Western Carolina L 73-80 56%     1 - 3 -11.2 +5.8 -17.6
  Tue, Nov 25 249 Tennessee St. L 73-75 70%     1 - 4 -9.9 -5.5 -4.2
  Sun, Nov 30 282 Appalachian St. W 67-55 75%     2 - 4 +2.5 -4.0 +7.5
  Tue, Dec 2 281 UNC Greensboro W 82-77 65%     3 - 4 -1.5 +11.2 -12.3
  Sat, Dec 6 36 @North Carolina St. L 63-75 5%     3 - 5 +3.8 -2.7 +6.1
  Wed, Dec 10 112 Miami (OH) L 76-79 38%    
  Sat, Dec 13 169 St. Thomas W 75-74 55%    
  Sun, Dec 21 110 @UAB L 71-80 19%    
  Wed, Dec 31 97 High Point L 77-82 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 285 @Charleston Southern W 75-74 55%    
  Wed, Jan 7 287 Longwood W 79-72 75%    
  Sat, Jan 10 288 @Radford W 80-78 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 262 @Presbyterian L 66-67 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 118 Winthrop L 77-80 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 274 @South Carolina Upstate W 75-74 51%    
  Thu, Jan 29 359 Gardner-Webb W 85-70 91%    
  Sat, Jan 31 118 @Winthrop L 74-83 21%    
  Wed, Feb 4 274 South Carolina Upstate W 77-71 72%    
  Thu, Feb 12 287 @Longwood W 76-75 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 262 Presbyterian W 70-64 70%    
  Thu, Feb 19 97 @High Point L 74-85 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 288 Radford W 83-75 75%    
  Thu, Feb 26 359 @Gardner-Webb W 82-73 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 285 Charleston Southern W 78-71 74%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.9 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 7.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.7 5.4 2.2 0.2 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 7.7 10.3 6.5 1.7 0.1 28.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 2.4 7.0 7.0 2.4 0.3 19.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.5 4.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 4.1 7.0 10.9 14.2 16.2 15.2 13.0 9.0 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
14-2 88.9% 1.8    1.3 0.5 0.0
13-3 51.5% 2.5    1.2 1.1 0.2
12-4 20.8% 1.9    0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0
11-5 4.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 3.7 2.9 0.8 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 31.0% 31.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.6% 42.4% 42.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-2 2.0% 28.1% 28.1% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5
13-3 4.9% 22.1% 22.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 3.8
12-4 9.0% 16.5% 16.5% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 7.5
11-5 13.0% 11.9% 11.9% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 11.5
10-6 15.2% 8.9% 8.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 13.9
9-7 16.2% 6.2% 6.2% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 15.2
8-8 14.2% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.1 0.6 13.5
7-9 10.9% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.4
6-10 7.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 6.9
5-11 4.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 4.0
4-12 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-13 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-14 0.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.2 3.1 91.3 0.0%