Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#144
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#191
Pace62.5#341
Improvement-0.9#286

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#195
First Shot-5.6#321
After Offensive Rebound+4.9#14
Layup/Dunks-0.6#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#127
Freethrows-5.2#350
Improvement-0.4#239

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#120
First Shot-0.1#179
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#65
Layups/Dunks-0.7#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#82
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#157
Freethrows-1.9#285
Improvement-0.6#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 13.9% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.1 13.6
.500 or above 73.4% 84.5% 64.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.2% 86.2% 77.2%
Conference Champion 16.6% 20.6% 13.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.8% 1.6%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round11.3% 13.9% 9.3%
Second Round1.4% 2.0% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 76 - 10
Quad 411 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 189   Colgate W 73-56 70%     1 - 0 +12.7 +4.5 +9.2
  Nov 12, 2024 114   @ Temple L 61-69 29%     1 - 1 -1.4 -3.7 +1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 121   La Salle L 68-71 54%     1 - 2 -3.1 -3.8 +0.7
  Nov 19, 2024 271   @ Fairfield W 67-61 64%     2 - 2 +3.3 +1.6 +2.3
  Nov 22, 2024 162   @ Fordham L 66-68 44%    
  Nov 25, 2024 139   Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-72 48%    
  Dec 02, 2024 160   Bryant W 75-71 65%    
  Dec 14, 2024 246   @ Albany W 72-70 58%    
  Dec 17, 2024 231   @ Howard W 69-68 55%    
  Dec 21, 2024 32   Penn St. L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 02, 2025 257   @ Campbell W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 285   @ N.C. A&T W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 09, 2025 302   @ Stony Brook W 70-64 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 129   Towson W 63-61 56%    
  Jan 16, 2025 207   Elon W 71-65 71%    
  Jan 20, 2025 134   Hofstra W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 23, 2025 149   @ Northeastern L 66-69 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 216   Delaware W 72-65 72%    
  Jan 30, 2025 265   @ Monmouth W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 129   @ Towson L 60-64 36%    
  Feb 06, 2025 210   William & Mary W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 150   UNC Wilmington W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 13, 2025 307   @ Hampton W 67-61 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 210   @ William & Mary W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 20, 2025 216   @ Delaware W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 112   College of Charleston W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 307   Hampton W 70-58 86%    
  Mar 01, 2025 265   Monmouth W 73-64 79%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.0 4.9 3.6 1.6 0.4 16.6 1st
2nd 0.3 2.3 5.1 4.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 5.4 4.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.7 4.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 4.2 1.2 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.8 1.7 0.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 3.0 5.2 7.4 9.8 11.5 12.7 13.1 11.8 9.7 6.6 3.8 1.6 0.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 98.9% 1.6    1.5 0.1
16-2 93.4% 3.6    3.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 73.8% 4.9    3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 41.7% 4.0    1.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.9% 1.8    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.6% 16.6 10.0 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 43.7% 42.5% 1.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2.0%
17-1 1.6% 41.7% 41.5% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.3%
16-2 3.8% 32.2% 32.2% 12.4 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6
15-3 6.6% 25.7% 25.7% 12.8 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.9
14-4 9.7% 21.4% 21.4% 13.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 7.6
13-5 11.8% 16.2% 16.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.9
12-6 13.1% 12.1% 12.1% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 11.5
11-7 12.7% 7.0% 7.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 11.9
10-8 11.5% 4.7% 4.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.9
9-9 9.8% 2.9% 2.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.5
8-10 7.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.2
7-11 5.2% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
6-12 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.0
5-13 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
4-14 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.7 3.0 1.6 0.4 88.7 0.0%