Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.4 180
Expected Predictive Rating -1.7 197
Pace 74.5 46
Improvement -2.4 280

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 167 C B D C C
Defense C- 207 C- C+ C D- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 116 C 58% 179 +1.3 129
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 126 C+ 39% 140 +1.2 112
Three Pointers 36% 283 C 33% 202 -2.9 285
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 212 C -0.2 175
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 187
Second Chance C+ 32.2% 137 B+ 1.18 32 B 0.38 57
Turnovers D 18.9% 303
Freethrows B- 0.34 81 D- 67% 337 C 0.23 156
Total Offense C -0.3 167

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 156 D 63% 311 -2.7 269
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 274 C- 40% 243 +0.8 123
Three Pointers 43% 118 C+ 33% 116 -0.1 183
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.1 212 C- -0.2 175
1st FG Attempt 1.06 240 C- -1.9 239
Second Chance B- 28.2% 87 C 1.04 208 C+ 0.29 127
Turnovers C 17.3% 160
Freethrows F+ 0.38 337 C+ 71% 117 D- 0.27 329
Total Defense C- -1.1 207

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 101 16.8 93
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 150 0.22 327
Improvement +3.6 #31 -6.1 #362

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 5% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 93% 99% 92%
.500 or above in Conference 59% 87% 55%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round3% 5% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 12.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 35 - 76 - 10
Quad 411 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 165 Marshall L 72 - 78 58% -5  11% 0 - 1 D -9 F -16 C F F B+ +8 D- B+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 324 Albany W 83 - 62 87% +7  75% 1 - 1 B- +8 D+ -4 F A+ D- A +11 A C- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 301 Le Moyne W 94 - 80 82% +11  97% 2 - 1 C+ +3 B +6 A B+ F+ D+ -4 C+ C- F
 Sun, Nov 16 291 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 77 81% +12  99% 3 - 1 C- -4 D- -7 D- A+ F B- +3 C+ C+ C-
 Fri, Nov 21 162 College of Charleston L 65 - 69 46% +1  50% 3 - 2 C- -4 D- -8 B- B- F B- +3 B+ F F+
 Sat, Nov 22 234 Green Bay L 75 - 79 60% -4  17% 3 - 3 D -8 D+ -3 F A+ C- D+ -5 D+ B F+
 Mon, Nov 24 152 Oregon St. W 73 - 65 44% +2  73% 4 - 3 B +8 C +1 D+ A+ D B+ +8 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 154 Harvard W 78 - 71 56% +10  98% 5 - 3 C+ +4 C- -2 A F F B +6 B+ C+ C-
 Sat, Dec 6 316 Umass Lowell W 80 - 60 85% +8  84% 6 - 3 B- +8 F+ -9 D+ F+ F+ A+ +15 B- A- A
 Wed, Dec 10 132 Boston College W 76 - 74 37% +3  69% 7 - 3 C+ +4 B +5 D+ A+ F C -2 A C+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 95 Florida St. W 103 - 95 26% +5  77% 8 - 3 B+ +13 A+ +16 A A+ B+ D+ -4 F+ A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 20 147 Kent St. L 59 - 69 54% -5  14% 8 - 4 0 - 1 D- -12 F -19 F F F+ B+ +7 B- A- C-
 Tue, Dec 30 231 @Eastern Michigan L 74 - 80 48% -2  31% 8 - 5 0 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -3 F C+ A+ D+ -4 C C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 158 Bowling Green L 100 - 101 OT 57% -0  37% 8 - 6 0 - 3 C- -4 B +6 A+ B- D F+ -10 F+ B F
 Tue, Jan 6 203 @Ohio L 83 - 86 43% -3  22% 8 - 7 0 - 4 C- -3 C+ +3 B F C D+ -5 F B C
 Sat, Jan 10 311 Ball St. W 79 - 71 84% +3  75% 9 - 7 1 - 4 C- -4 C +1 A F C+ D+ -5 F+ C D
 Tue, Jan 13 295 @Western Michigan W 85 - 82 63% +4  79% 10 - 7 2 - 4 C- -2 B+ +8 D+ A+ D+ F+ -9 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 314 @Northern Illinois L 68 - 70 68% -3  8% 10 - 8 2 - 5 D -8 F -10 F D F B- +2 B B- D
 Tue, Jan 20 164 Toledo W 84 - 82 58% +2  66% 11 - 8 3 - 5 C -1 B- +4 B B+ D+ D+ -5 D- C+ A
 Fri, Jan 23 200 @Buffalo W 68 - 67 43% +7  78% 12 - 8 4 - 5 C +1 D -6 F+ B- D B+ +7 C- C B-
 Tue, Jan 27 86 @Miami (OH) L 84 - 86 16% +3  76% 12 - 9 4 - 6 B- +7 A+ +14 B+ A+ B+ D -7 A- F D
 Sat, Jan 31 231 Eastern Michigan W 70 - 67 70% +4  89% 13 - 9 5 - 6 C- -4 C- -2 D C A+ C- -2 D+ B+ A-
 Tue, Feb 3 297 Central Michigan W 95 - 89 81% -1  44% 14 - 9 6 - 6 C- -5 A +13 A+ A- B+ F -18 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 236 @Coastal Carolina L 91 - 94 3OT 49% +4  68% 14 - 10 C- -4 C+ +2 D A D+ D -6 F B F+
 Fri, Feb 13 72 @Akron L 78 - 90 12%
 Tue, Feb 17 86 Miami (OH) L 81 - 86 33%
 Sat, Feb 21 200 Buffalo W 81 - 77 65%
 Tue, Feb 24 311 @Ball St. W 74 - 69 67%
 Sat, Feb 28 158 @Bowling Green L 74 - 78 35%
 Tue, Mar 3 203 Ohio W 83 - 79 65%
Totals 17 - 13 9 - 9 -1 F +0 D C C C- -1 C D- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ C C 41% 23% 36% C C C+ B+ B D B- D- C C- D C- C+ C- 40% 18% 43% D+ C- B- C C+ C F+ C+ D-
1.08 58% 39% 33% 0 0 1.01 32% 1.2 .38 19% .34 67% .23 1.10 63% 40% 33% +1 0 1.06 28% 1.0 .29 17% .38 71% .24
Nov
3		 Marshall F C- A- D- C- 43% 22% 35% B- C F+ F F F A+ F A+ B+ F A- C+ D 33% 14% 53% F D- D A+ B+ A+ F C- F
0.88 57% 45% 29% -1 0 1.00 25% 0.4 .10 25% .58 58% .34 0.96 82% 29% 33% +6 +1 1.16 36% 0.8 .29 32% .34 74% .25
Nov
8		 Albany D+ D+ B F F 44% 14% 42% B- F B+ A+ A+ D- A+ F+ A+ A C A+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% D- A A- F C- A+ F D- F
1.12 55% 43% 19% -10 +1 0.84 42% 1.8 .76 18% .49 70% .34 0.84 58% 20% 21% -12 +1 0.81 24% 1.3 .30 26% .42 70% .29
Nov
13		 Le Moyne B B+ A A+ A 41% 20% 39% C A B+ C B+ F+ C B+ C+ D+ C A+ B- B 46% 9% 46% F+ C+ B F C- F F A- D
1.23 64% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 39% 1.1 .42 18% .32 80% .26 1.05 58% 20% 31% -4 +2 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 13% .42 64% .27
Nov
16		 Central Connecticut St. D- F+ D+ C D- 40% 19% 40% D+ D- A+ A+ A+ F A+ F C- B- C- A D- C+ 43% 31% 27% D- C+ A+ F C+ C- F A+ F
1.08 48% 36% 35% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.3 .56 22% .41 48% .20 0.99 62% 27% 38% 0 -1 1.00 16% 1.6 .25 17% .48 68% .32
Nov
21		 College of Charleston D- F+ A+ D B- 35% 22% 43% B- B- C+ B+ B- F C+ F F+ B- D- D- A+ A 40% 15% 45% D- B+ A+ F F F+ F F F
0.96 50% 70% 30% +2 0 1.04 32% 1.1 .35 22% .25 46% .11 1.02 68% 43% 14% -8 +1 0.87 11% 4.3 .48 13% .49 83% .41
Nov
22		 Green Bay D+ B- F F F 38% 16% 47% B- F B A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ D+ F+ C+ A D+ 56% 19% 26% D D+ C- A+ B F+ F D- F
1.11 65% 29% 19% -9 +1 0.84 35% 2.1 .73 15% .45 85% .38 1.17 67% 38% 27% +2 +2 1.09 25% 0.9 .21 12% .59 80% .47
Nov
24		 Oregon St. C C C+ F D 50% 20% 30% C D+ A A- A+ D C- F F+ B+ F B+ C+ F+ 22% 20% 59% B+ D- B- A+ A+ A+ B A- A-
1.10 56% 40% 20% -7 +1 0.90 41% 1.2 .49 17% .31 59% .18 0.98 90% 33% 33% +6 -1 1.11 24% 0.3 .07 24% .34 71% .24
Dec
3		 Harvard C- B C A+ A+ 45% 27% 29% D A D- F F F A F+ B+ B C+ F A+ B+ 42% 27% 31% B+ B+ F+ A C+ C- C B- C+
1.07 64% 38% 50% +10 0 1.20 24% 0.7 .17 21% .36 67% .24 0.97 57% 60% 18% -2 -1 0.96 32% 0.8 .24 18% .25 80% .20
Dec
6		 Umass Lowell F+ C- A- D- C- 50% 28% 22% D D+ C+ F F+ F+ C- D D+ A+ A- F A+ B+ 57% 20% 24% F+ B- A C+ A- A F A+ D
1.05 57% 47% 31% +1 0 1.03 34% 0.8 .26 17% .27 71% .19 0.78 46% 67% 18% -7 +1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 26% .48 48% .23
Dec
10		 Boston College B F A- F D+ 43% 33% 24% D D+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B+ C C- A+ A+ A+ 56% 4% 40% F A D- A C+ D F F F
1.08 43% 44% 25% -8 -1 0.84 44% 1.4 .59 21% .43 54% .23 1.05 60% 0% 11% -14 +3 0.80 35% 0.8 .28 13% .57 77% .44
Dec
13		 Florida St. A+ C F+ A+ A 49% 17% 34% A- A B- A+ A+ B+ B- C B- D+ F A C+ F 42% 7% 52% D F+ D- A+ A+ C+ D+ F F+
1.26 59% 30% 50% +7 +1 1.19 33% 1.6 .53 17% .31 71% .22 1.17 76% 25% 32% +5 +2 1.17 38% 0.5 .20 15% .33 83% .27
Dec
20		 Kent St. F D F A+ F 40% 32% 28% D- F F+ F F F+ A+ C- A B+ B+ F A+ B- 33% 18% 49% C+ B- A+ F+ A- C- A C- A-
0.83 53% 0% 46% -9 -1 0.81 22% 0.8 .17 20% .42 71% .30 0.98 50% 67% 25% -4 0 0.94 23% 1.3 .29 18% .29 76% .23
Dec
30		 Eastern Michigan D+ B- F F F 31% 31% 39% F F D A+ C+ A+ D F D- D+ C+ C- C C 53% 28% 19% D- C C+ C+ C+ F F B F
1.01 61% 22% 26% -8 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18 1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42
Jan
3		 Bowling Green B B D A+ A+ 54% 12% 35% A- A+ F+ A+ B- D A+ C- A+ F+ D A- F F+ 54% 18% 29% C F+ A+ F B F F A- F
1.15 64% 33% 50% +11 +2 1.29 20% 1.7 .33 21% .51 71% .36 1.16 63% 30% 44% +6 +1 1.16 14% 1.2 .17 11% .58 67% .39
Jan
6		 Ohio C+ B- B- B+ B 44% 25% 32% C- B D F F C D B- D+ D+ D- C F F 34% 17% 49% D+ F A+ F B C C- B C
1.12 60% 43% 39% +4 0 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 16% .27 76% .21 1.16 67% 44% 42% +10 0 1.23 19% 1.2 .22 16% .34 67% .23
Jan
10		 Ball St. C A+ D+ B A 33% 20% 47% C A D F F C+ A+ F A+ D+ C A D- F+ 42% 15% 42% D- F+ A F C D C- C- C-
1.15 87% 33% 38% +12 0 1.24 29% 0.4 .13 17% .51 69% .35 1.03 55% 25% 36% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.2 .21 15% .31 72% .22
Jan
13		 Western Michigan B+ C C C- D+ 29% 19% 52% D D+ B- A+ A+ D+ B A A- F+ C+ F F+ F 32% 15% 53% D+ F D- F F D C D C-
1.26 60% 40% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 15% .35 80% .28 1.21 53% 63% 39% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.3 .47 15% .28 75% .21
Jan
17		 Northern Illinois F F F D- F 49% 15% 36% B- F D D+ D F A+ D+ A+ B- C+ A+ A B+ 43% 2% 55% F B F+ A+ B- D F D+ F
0.93 48% 29% 29% -9 +1 0.87 28% 1.0 .28 25% .55 70% .38 0.96 52% 0% 26% -10 +3 0.88 38% 0.6 .23 19% .51 70% .36
Jan
20		 Toledo B- B- D- A+ B 45% 12% 43% B- B A- C+ B+ D+ A+ D A+ D+ D- F+ F F 36% 34% 30% A- D- B- C C+ A F D F
1.19 64% 33% 43% +8 +2 1.20 43% 1.0 .43 20% .39 68% .26 1.16 65% 50% 43% +10 -2 1.19 26% 1.0 .26 21% .45 80% .36
Jan
23		 Buffalo D B- F+ F+ F+ 36% 28% 36% F+ F+ C+ B B- D B- F C- B+ F C- B- D 23% 26% 51% A+ C- A+ F C B- A A+ A+
1.03 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 20% .30 63% .19 1.01 82% 42% 33% +6 -2 1.11 17% 1.6 .28 18% .26 50% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Miami (OH) A+ B- A+ A A 27% 33% 39% F B+ B+ A+ A+ B+ C+ C C+ D B F B A 27% 9% 64% C- A- F F F D F B F
1.25 64% 53% 40% +10 -2 1.18 36% 1.3 .45 15% .30 76% .23 1.28 58% 50% 32% 0 +1 1.02 33% 1.7 .58 13% .65 74% .48
Jan
31		 Eastern Michigan C- B A+ F D- 55% 16% 30% B+ D C C C A+ A+ D+ A+ C- F F A+ D 30% 30% 41% B+ D+ B+ B B+ A- F F F
1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43 1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31
Feb
3		 Central Michigan A A- A+ A+ A+ 48% 8% 44% B+ A+ C A+ A- B+ A+ C+ A+ F D+ C F F 35% 23% 42% C- F F D F A+ F B- F
1.36 70% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.31 36% 1.5 .54 13% .46 71% .33 1.27 60% 40% 72% +25 -1 1.51 38% 1.2 .46 30% .49 67% .33
Feb
7		 Coastal Carolina C+ F A+ B D+ 31% 39% 31% D D A B A D+ C+ F F+ D C B F F 25% 34% 41% B+ F D- A+ B F+ B A+ A
1.09 21% 54% 37% -4 -3 0.89 39% 1.1 .44 14% .32 48% .15 1.12 56% 33% 48% +7 -3 1.10 31% 0.6 .19 12% .22 50% .11



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 3rd
4th 0.9 7.1 4.5 0.4 12.9 4th
5th 0.3 9.4 10.8 1.0 0.0 21.6 5th
6th 0.0 4.7 15.5 2.2 0.0 22.5 6th
7th 1.9 15.2 6.0 0.1 23.2 7th
8th 0.8 8.0 7.2 0.1 16.1 8th
9th 0.9 1.6 0.1 2.6 9th
10th 0.4 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 2.1 11.5 27.6 31.9 20.2 6.0 0.6 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.6% 13.0% 13.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 6.0% 5.3% 5.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.7
10-8 20.2% 4.5% 4.5% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 19.3
9-9 31.9% 2.9% 2.9% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 31.0
8-10 27.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 27.1
7-11 11.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 14.3 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 2.1%