Maryland
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.2#31
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#157
Pace67.7#231
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#81
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+8.5#8
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Top 2 Seed 4.4% 6.0% 1.8%
Top 4 Seed 13.9% 18.0% 7.8%
Top 6 Seed 26.9% 33.5% 17.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 61.1% 69.2% 49.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 58.4% 66.5% 46.6%
Average Seed 6.7 6.4 7.3
.500 or above 91.7% 95.8% 85.7%
.500 or above in Conference 65.1% 70.7% 56.8%
Conference Champion 8.2% 10.0% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.1% 4.5%
First Four3.4% 3.1% 3.8%
First Round59.4% 67.6% 47.1%
Second Round38.2% 44.8% 28.2%
Sweet Sixteen16.8% 20.5% 11.2%
Elite Eight7.5% 9.3% 4.7%
Final Four3.1% 4.0% 1.8%
Championship Game1.2% 1.6% 0.6%
National Champion0.5% 0.6% 0.2%

Next Game: Marquette (Home) - 60.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 8
Quad 26 - 311 - 10
Quad 33 - 114 - 11
Quad 48 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 334   Manhattan W 79-49 98%     1 - 0 +16.8 -1.0 +17.1
  Nov 08, 2024 256   Mount St. Mary's W 86-52 96%     2 - 0 +26.1 +9.6 +16.3
  Nov 11, 2024 355   Florida A&M W 84-53 99%     3 - 0 +13.9 +2.3 +10.9
  Nov 15, 2024 29   Marquette W 71-68 60%    
  Nov 19, 2024 318   Canisius W 80-56 99%    
  Nov 24, 2024 77   Villanova W 70-65 67%    
  Nov 27, 2024 242   Bucknell W 77-58 96%    
  Dec 01, 2024 352   Alcorn St. W 81-53 99%    
  Dec 04, 2024 17   Ohio St. W 68-67 54%    
  Dec 08, 2024 15   @ Purdue L 68-73 32%    
  Dec 17, 2024 350   St. Francis (PA) W 84-56 99%    
  Dec 21, 2024 89   Syracuse W 76-70 71%    
  Dec 28, 2024 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 83-53 99.5%   
  Jan 02, 2025 79   @ Washington W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 05, 2025 39   @ Oregon L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 10, 2025 30   UCLA W 65-62 60%    
  Jan 13, 2025 88   Minnesota W 71-62 79%    
  Jan 16, 2025 50   @ Northwestern L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 19, 2025 67   Nebraska W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 23, 2025 20   @ Illinois L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 26, 2025 24   @ Indiana L 67-71 38%    
  Jan 29, 2025 38   Wisconsin W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 06, 2025 17   @ Ohio St. L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 09, 2025 37   Rutgers W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 13, 2025 67   @ Nebraska W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 16, 2025 45   Iowa W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 20, 2025 65   USC W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 26, 2025 27   Michigan St. W 70-67 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 36   @ Penn St. L 72-74 42%    
  Mar 05, 2025 25   @ Michigan L 67-71 38%    
  Mar 08, 2025 50   Northwestern W 68-63 68%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 8.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 3.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 3.2 0.6 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 3.9 1.3 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 6.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.6 0.8 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 2.0 0.1 5.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 3.1 0.5 0.0 5.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.8 1.5 0.1 4.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.3 0.4 0.0 4.6 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.0 0.0 4.3 14th
15th 0.1 0.5 1.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.1 16th
17th 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.4 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.8 4.7 6.4 8.3 10.1 11.2 11.2 11.1 10.1 8.0 6.0 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 95.1% 1.0    0.9 0.1
17-3 85.7% 1.8    1.5 0.4 0.0
16-4 61.6% 2.4    1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 29.3% 1.8    0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.0% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.2% 8.2 4.8 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 57.1% 42.9% 1.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 45.6% 54.4% 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.1% 100.0% 33.7% 66.3% 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.1% 100.0% 27.8% 72.2% 2.4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.9% 100.0% 24.0% 76.0% 3.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 6.0% 99.9% 18.2% 81.7% 4.3 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 8.0% 99.7% 14.3% 85.3% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 2.0 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
13-7 10.1% 97.8% 9.2% 88.6% 6.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.2 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.2 97.5%
12-8 11.1% 91.9% 5.6% 86.2% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.3 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.9 91.4%
11-9 11.2% 79.9% 3.1% 76.8% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.0 2.2 79.3%
10-10 11.2% 58.8% 2.2% 56.5% 9.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.2 0.1 4.6 57.8%
9-11 10.1% 30.8% 1.0% 29.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 0.2 7.0 30.1%
8-12 8.3% 9.6% 0.5% 9.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 7.5 9.2%
7-13 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 1.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.3 1.1%
6-14 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 4.7
5-15 2.8% 2.8
4-16 1.5% 1.5
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 61.1% 6.6% 54.5% 6.7 1.6 2.7 4.4 5.1 6.1 6.9 8.2 8.7 7.0 5.8 4.1 0.5 38.9 58.4%