Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.1 #234
Expected Predictive Rating -5.6 #256
Pace 76.1 #30
Improvement +1.0 #130

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #239 C+ D- C F B+
Defense #223 B+ C F D- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #219 1.15 #185 -1.1 #226
2 Pt. Jumpers 11% #340 0.72 #224 -3.6 #339
Three Pointers 52% #17 1.06 #118 +6.6 #21
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #125 +1.9 #125
Freethrows 15.4 #301 65% #351 10.1 #330
Second Chance 27.3% #275 0.88 #348 0.24 #331
Turnovers 16.9% #212
Total Offense -2.5 #239

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #97 1.05 #61 +0.4 #157
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #36 0.69 #84 -1.5 #303
Three Pointers 32% #360 0.99 #147 +5.2 #17
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #60 +4.1 #61
Freethrows 21.3 #332 70% #62 14.8 #309
Second Chance 29.3% #124 1.05 #192 0.31 #151
Turnovers 11.1% #363
Total Defense -1.6 #223

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.1% #52 -1.1% #80
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.5% #156 -7.0% #63
Possession Length 15.4 #30 16.7 #74
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #289 0.17 #167
Improvement +0.1 #167 +0.9 #123

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.1% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 26.3% 41.1% 14.3%
.500 or above in Conference 22.0% 36.3% 10.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four1.5% 1.1% 1.7%
First Round3.5% 4.5% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Longwood (Away) - 44.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 9
Quad 411 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 58 @Virginia Tech L 67 - 98 7% -13  0 - 1 -18 -7 C F D+ -8 B+ F F
 Mon, Nov 10 351 @The Citadel W 96 - 86 70% +0  1 - 1 +0 +14 B+ C+ C+ -14 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 301 @Alabama A&M L 64 - 68 54% -5  1 - 2 -9 -9 D- D+ F +0 A- F A
 Fri, Nov 14 237 Lindenwood L 77 - 83 51% +6  1 - 3 -10 -4 B- F F -6 D A+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 337 IU Indianapolis W 103 - 91 83% +13  2 - 3 -2 +6 A C D -10 B+ C F
 Fri, Nov 21 267 @East Carolina W 77 - 65 46% +7  3 - 3 +9 +5 A F A+ +4 B D+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 69 @South Carolina L 62 - 74 9% -4  3 - 4 -1 -5 D+ F C+ +5 A+ C F
 Tue, Dec 2 226 @Tennessee Martin L 56 - 73 38% +7  3 - 5 -18 -11 F F F -8 C A+ D
 Mon, Dec 8 359 South Carolina St. W 84 - 44 90% +15  4 - 5 +22 +5 B- F C- +18 A+ A+ C
 Thu, Dec 18 350 North Florida W 113 - 90 85% +12  5 - 5 +8 +13 A+ F D -9 C+ B- F
 Sun, Dec 21 165 @Furman L 76 - 84 27% -6  5 - 6 -6 +1 C F A- -6 B+ D- F
 Sun, Dec 28 120 @Richmond W 77 - 72 18% +4  6 - 6 +11 +4 C C- C- +7 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 79 86% -1  7 - 6 1 - 0 -6 +4 C C D- -10 A- F F
 Sat, Jan 3 205 UNC Asheville W 86 - 83 57% +6  8 - 6 2 - 0 -3 +8 A+ A+ F -11 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 130 @Winthrop L 77 - 81 20% +2  8 - 7 2 - 1 +1 -2 F A A+ +3 A+ B- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 98 High Point L 82 - 84 OT 27% +2  8 - 8 2 - 2 +0 -4 D+ F A+ +4 A+ A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 14 303 South Carolina Upstate L 81 - 86 OT 75% +1  8 - 9 2 - 3 -16 -5 A- F C- -11 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 21 266 @Presbyterian L 83 - 87 45% -8  8 - 10 2 - 4 -7 +5 B- A C -12 F A+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 262 @Longwood L 79 - 80 45%
 Thu, Jan 29 253 Radford W 86 - 82 65%
 Wed, Feb 4 98 @High Point L 76 - 88 12%
 Sat, Feb 7 303 @South Carolina Upstate W 77 - 76 54%
 Thu, Feb 12 266 Presbyterian W 75 - 70 68%
 Sat, Feb 14 253 @Radford L 83 - 85 43%
 Sat, Feb 21 262 Longwood W 82 - 77 66%
 Thu, Feb 26 130 Winthrop L 78 - 81 39%
 Sat, Feb 28 205 @UNC Asheville L 73 - 77 35%
Totals 12 - 15 6 - 9 -4 -2 C+ D- C -2 B+ C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 3.5 1.4 0.1 6.5 3rd
4th 1.5 6.7 2.1 0.1 10.5 4th
5th 0.7 7.7 5.3 0.2 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 7.9 10.2 0.8 19.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 10.6 14.0 2.4 0.0 29.7 7th
8th 0.5 3.0 7.1 7.4 1.6 0.0 19.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.5 3.2 9.6 18.7 24.2 21.8 14.4 5.8 1.7 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 8.3% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.1% 4.2% 4.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 1.7% 11.1% 11.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5
9-7 5.8% 9.7% 9.7% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 5.3
8-8 14.4% 6.1% 6.1% 15.2 0.0 0.6 0.2 13.5
7-9 21.8% 4.6% 4.6% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 20.8
6-10 24.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 23.4
5-11 18.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 18.1
4-12 9.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 9.4
3-13 3.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.2
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.5 95.9 0.0%