Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
98 High Point 51.6%   14   14 - 4 5 - 1 +5.3      +5.7 59 -0.4 184 72.0 94 +2.8 123 +5.9 1
130 Winthrop 27.1%   11 - 8 6 - 1 +1.8      +2.0 118 -0.1 172 70.9 123 +0.7 155 +5.8 2
205 UNC Asheville 6.9%   6 - 12 3 - 4 -2.8      -1.8 218 -1.0 205 66.4 254 -5.8 258 -4.2 6
234 Charleston Southern 4.2%   8 - 10 2 - 4 -4.1      -2.5 239 -1.6 223 76.1 30 -5.6 256 -9.8 7
253 Radford 3.7%   8 - 10 4 - 2 -5.0      -0.3 171 -4.7 308 75.6 37 -7.5 285 -2.2 3
262 Longwood 2.8%   8 - 10 3 - 3 -5.6      -2.3 230 -3.3 275 70.8 128 -7.2 280 -3.2 5
266 Presbyterian 2.8%   8 - 10 4 - 2 -5.8      -3.4 267 -2.5 253 62.3 343 -5.4 250 -3.0 4
303 South Carolina Upstate 1.0%   6 - 12 1 - 5 -8.1      -5.9 322 -2.2 245 70.4 144 -7.9 296 -11.5 8
363 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   0 - 18 0 - 6 -18.9      -9.4 359 -9.5 364 74.8 45 -21.1 361 -20.2 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Jan 21 253 Radford 75 130 Winthrop 76   
Wed, Jan 21 205 UNC Asheville 83 303 South Carolina Upstate 69   
Wed, Jan 21 234 Charleston Southern 83 266 Presbyterian 87   
Wed, Jan 21 363 Gardner-Webb 56 262 Longwood 91   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Jan 23 234 Charleston Southern 78 262 Longwood 80 56%   
Fri, Jan 23 98 High Point 89 253 Radford 81 76%   
Fri, Jan 23 363 Gardner-Webb 72 303 South Carolina Upstate 80 77%   
Sat, Jan 24 266 Presbyterian 70 130 Winthrop 74 67%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.3 76.1 22.0 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 1.7 40.0 54.9 4.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
UNC Asheville 4.1 0.5 4.5 36.1 26.7 17.6 10.1 3.8 0.8
Charleston Southern 6.1 0.0 0.3 6.5 10.5 13.9 19.5 29.7 19.7 0.0
Radford 4.2 1.1 5.5 31.0 24.0 17.6 12.8 6.5 1.6
Longwood 4.8 0.3 2.8 22.6 20.5 19.4 16.8 11.7 6.0
Presbyterian 4.6 0.7 4.1 22.9 23.2 21.1 17.3 8.7 2.0
South Carolina Upstate 7.0 0.1 1.9 4.1 7.7 13.3 26.6 45.4 0.8
Gardner-Webb 9.0 0.0 0.1 2.9 97.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 3 22 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 6.0 14.6 26.2 31.9 19.2
Winthrop 12 - 4 17 - 11 0.0 0.3 1.4 5.7 14.6 25.7 29.2 18.5 4.6
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 12 - 15 0.0 0.1 1.1 5.1 14.8 26.2 28.1 18.1 5.7 0.9
Charleston Southern 6 - 9 12 - 15 0.5 3.2 9.6 18.7 24.2 21.8 14.4 5.8 1.7 0.1
Radford 8 - 8 12 - 16 0.2 2.0 8.5 17.8 23.9 22.9 14.9 7.3 2.2 0.4 0.0
Longwood 8 - 8 13 - 15 0.2 1.8 6.4 13.9 21.4 22.5 18.7 10.2 4.0 0.8 0.1
Presbyterian 8 - 8 12 - 16 0.3 3.7 12.4 21.7 25.8 19.9 10.9 4.1 1.2 0.2 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 10 - 18 0.2 2.4 9.6 20.0 25.0 21.8 13.7 5.5 1.6 0.2 0.0
Gardner-Webb 1 - 14 1 - 26 43.0 36.6 15.5 4.0 0.8 0.0 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 76.1% 58.6 16.8 0.6 0.1
Winthrop 40.0% 22.8 16.5 0.6 0.1
UNC Asheville 0.5% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0
Radford 1.1% 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
Longwood 0.3% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 0.7% 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 51.6% 51.6% 0.0% 14   2.0 15.7 22.5 10.5 0.9 0.0 48.4 0.0%
Winthrop 27.1% 27.1% 0.0% 0.1 2.0 9.1 11.7 4.0 0.1 72.9 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.0 4.5 93.1 0.0%
Charleston Southern 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 95.9 0.0%
Radford 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.8 96.3 0.0%
Longwood 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 97.2 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 97.2 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.7% 1.0 4.3 95.7
2nd Round 7.1% 0.1 92.9 7.1
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 51.6% 0.0% 51.6% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 27.1% 0.0% 27.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.9% 3.1% 5.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 4.2% 1.5% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 3.7% 1.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.8% 1.3% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.8% 1.4% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%