Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#290
Expected Predictive Rating-15.8#352
Pace78.5#18
Improvement+1.9#51

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#256
First Shot-5.0#310
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#87
Layup/Dunks-5.5#338
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#309
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#193
Freethrows+3.6#28
Improvement-1.4#286

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#296
First Shot-2.3#244
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#283
Layups/Dunks+2.0#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#215
Freethrows-2.5#314
Improvement+3.2#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.2% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 8.9% 10.3% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 35.9% 37.8% 27.2%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 7.3% 12.8%
First Four1.5% 1.5% 1.1%
First Round1.4% 1.5% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 82.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 410 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 361 Western Illinois W 80-75 84%     1 - 0 -12.5 +8.0 -19.9
  Tue, Nov 11 21 @North Carolina L 74-89 2%     1 - 1 +3.1 -0.5 +5.6
  Sat, Nov 15 160 Wright St. L 59-92 26%     1 - 2 -33.3 -15.0 -17.2
  Sun, Nov 16 308 Cleveland St. L 82-87 54%     1 - 3 -13.1 -9.6 -2.8
  Tue, Nov 18 89 @South Carolina L 58-87 8%     1 - 4 -20.2 -11.6 -8.2
  Fri, Nov 21 109 UNC Wilmington L 73-81 22%     1 - 5 -6.9 -0.8 -6.1
  Mon, Nov 24 40 @SMU L 72-89 3%     1 - 6 -2.1 -1.6 +1.3
  Wed, Dec 3 219 Southern Miss L 75-82 48%     1 - 7 -13.6 -7.8 -5.3
  Sun, Dec 7 356 St. Francis (PA) W 84-74 82%    
  Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 83-70 89%    
  Thu, Dec 18 118 @William & Mary L 79-92 11%    
  Sun, Dec 21 337 VMI W 82-75 74%    
  Wed, Dec 31 278 @South Carolina Upstate L 77-81 37%    
  Wed, Jan 7 257 Presbyterian W 70-69 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 210 UNC Asheville L 79-80 47%    
  Wed, Jan 14 360 @Gardner-Webb W 84-80 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 289 Longwood W 81-78 60%    
  Wed, Jan 21 107 @Winthrop L 76-90 10%    
  Sat, Jan 24 93 High Point L 80-89 20%    
  Thu, Jan 29 288 @Charleston Southern L 78-81 39%    
  Sat, Jan 31 257 @Presbyterian L 67-72 33%    
  Wed, Feb 4 107 Winthrop L 79-87 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 93 @High Point L 77-92 9%    
  Sat, Feb 14 288 Charleston Southern W 81-78 60%    
  Thu, Feb 19 360 Gardner-Webb W 87-77 82%    
  Sat, Feb 21 210 @UNC Asheville L 76-83 27%    
  Thu, Feb 26 278 South Carolina Upstate W 80-78 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 289 @Longwood L 78-81 39%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 4.1 4.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 7.1 4.7 1.2 0.1 16.5 4th
5th 0.3 3.7 8.1 4.7 0.8 0.0 17.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.9 8.3 4.0 0.5 0.0 17.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.2 7.1 3.4 0.4 0.0 16.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.7 5.8 9.7 13.3 15.8 15.8 14.1 9.8 6.2 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 95.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 61.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 22.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 6.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 19.0% 19.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.5% 17.6% 17.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
12-4 1.5% 11.8% 11.8% 15.7 0.1 0.1 1.4
11-5 3.6% 7.8% 7.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.3
10-6 6.2% 4.2% 4.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 6.0
9-7 9.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 9.6
8-8 14.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 13.7
7-9 15.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.4 15.5
6-10 15.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.6
5-11 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.2
4-12 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.7
3-13 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.8
2-14 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.7
1-15 0.9% 0.9
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.8 98.0 0.0%