Radford
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#232
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#101
Pace62.5#340
Improvement-1.0#276

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#134
First Shot-0.7#208
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#57
Layup/Dunks-3.7#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#161
Freethrows+1.0#136
Improvement-0.1#195

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#335
First Shot-6.5#347
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#87
Layups/Dunks+5.4#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#290
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#352
Freethrows-3.1#328
Improvement-0.9#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 7.2% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 44.1% 48.3% 23.2%
.500 or above in Conference 50.6% 52.9% 38.7%
Conference Champion 7.1% 7.8% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.8% 9.9% 15.4%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round6.4% 6.9% 4.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Neutral) - 83.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 53 - 11
Quad 411 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 20   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 4%     0 - 1 -22.9 -8.7 -13.7
  Nov 08, 2024 222   William & Mary W 89-77 59%     1 - 1 +6.1 +11.5 -5.4
  Nov 12, 2024 306   Old Dominion W 87-75 76%     2 - 1 +1.0 +8.4 -7.4
  Nov 16, 2024 274   @ Evansville W 92-81 47%     3 - 1 +8.2 +26.7 -17.4
  Nov 21, 2024 47   @ Clemson L 51-79 7%     3 - 2 -14.8 -11.1 -6.3
  Nov 25, 2024 357   Chicago St. W 77-67 84%    
  Dec 01, 2024 344   @ St. Francis (PA) W 74-68 70%    
  Dec 05, 2024 276   @ NC Central L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 08, 2024 229   Bucknell W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 14, 2024 50   @ Utah L 65-81 7%    
  Dec 17, 2024 107   @ Colorado St. L 64-74 17%    
  Dec 22, 2024 75   @ South Carolina L 64-78 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 125   @ High Point L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 04, 2025 195   Winthrop W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 11, 2025 319   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 15, 2025 211   Gardner-Webb W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 314   @ Charleston Southern W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 22, 2025 156   Longwood L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 217   @ Presbyterian L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 174   @ UNC Asheville L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 319   South Carolina Upstate W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 05, 2025 125   High Point L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 156   @ Longwood L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 12, 2025 195   @ Winthrop L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 19, 2025 174   UNC Asheville W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 22, 2025 217   Presbyterian W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 211   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 314   Charleston Southern W 76-68 75%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.1 3.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.8 6.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.9 6.3 1.6 0.1 13.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 5.0 6.1 1.7 0.1 14.0 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 5.1 5.5 1.7 0.1 13.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.9 3.7 1.1 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 6.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.0 6.8 10.3 12.4 13.4 13.7 12.8 9.7 6.9 4.3 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 98.6% 0.8    0.8 0.1
13-3 81.2% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
12-4 56.8% 2.4    1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 22.1% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.8 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 27.3% 27.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 43.4% 43.4% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.8% 28.1% 28.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-3 2.0% 26.0% 26.0% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
12-4 4.3% 20.9% 20.9% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.4
11-5 6.9% 14.6% 14.6% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 5.9
10-6 9.7% 11.7% 11.7% 14.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 8.6
9-7 12.8% 7.4% 7.4% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 11.9
8-8 13.7% 5.8% 5.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 12.9
7-9 13.4% 3.8% 3.8% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.9
6-10 12.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.1
5-11 10.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.1
4-12 6.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.7
3-13 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.0
2-14 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.4 1.4 93.3 0.0%