Minnesota
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#88
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#178
Pace66.3#271
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#109
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#76
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.1% 2.7% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.1% 15.9% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.6% 15.4% 6.3%
Average Seed 8.6 8.6 9.0
.500 or above 44.0% 52.3% 25.4%
.500 or above in Conference 18.0% 20.9% 11.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 26.6% 22.8% 35.0%
First Four2.3% 2.7% 1.4%
First Round11.8% 14.4% 5.9%
Second Round5.7% 6.9% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 2.1% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 69.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 10
Quad 23 - 46 - 14
Quad 32 - 18 - 16
Quad 46 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 245   Oral Roberts W 80-57 89%     1 - 0 +15.9 +7.5 +10.0
  Nov 09, 2024 266   Nebraska Omaha W 68-64 91%     2 - 0 -4.3 -5.5 +1.4
  Nov 13, 2024 73   North Texas L 51-54 55%     2 - 1 +1.8 -5.7 +6.8
  Nov 16, 2024 110   Yale W 74-69 69%    
  Nov 19, 2024 220   Cleveland St. W 75-63 87%    
  Nov 25, 2024 201   Central Michigan W 72-61 86%    
  Nov 28, 2024 86   Wichita St. L 70-71 48%    
  Dec 01, 2024 291   Bethune-Cookman W 78-62 93%    
  Dec 04, 2024 27   Michigan St. L 67-71 37%    
  Dec 09, 2024 24   @ Indiana L 65-75 19%    
  Dec 21, 2024 348   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-64 97%    
  Dec 29, 2024 338   Morgan St. W 84-64 96%    
  Jan 02, 2025 15   Purdue L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 06, 2025 17   Ohio St. L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 10, 2025 38   @ Wisconsin L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 13, 2025 31   @ Maryland L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 16, 2025 25   Michigan L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 21, 2025 45   @ Iowa L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 39   Oregon L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 28, 2025 27   @ Michigan St. L 64-74 21%    
  Feb 01, 2025 79   Washington W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 04, 2025 36   @ Penn St. L 70-78 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 20   Illinois L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 15, 2025 65   @ USC L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 18, 2025 30   @ UCLA L 60-69 22%    
  Feb 22, 2025 36   Penn St. L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 25, 2025 50   Northwestern L 66-67 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 67   @ Nebraska L 66-71 33%    
  Mar 05, 2025 38   Wisconsin L 67-69 43%    
  Mar 09, 2025 37   @ Rutgers L 64-72 25%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 2.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.9 0.1 3.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.6 1.1 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 5.1 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 3.4 1.3 0.0 5.8 12th
13th 0.6 2.9 3.1 0.3 6.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.2 1.3 0.0 7.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.5 2.7 0.2 0.0 9.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.1 3.9 0.8 0.0 11.0 16th
17th 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.7 4.1 1.3 0.1 13.6 17th
18th 0.7 2.6 4.5 5.3 3.6 1.2 0.1 18.0 18th
Total 0.7 2.7 5.3 8.2 10.3 11.7 12.4 11.9 10.5 8.4 6.7 4.6 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 90.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 84.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 51.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 34.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 15.4% 84.6% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 100.0% 20.5% 79.5% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.5% 100.0% 14.4% 85.6% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.1% 99.4% 8.1% 91.3% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
13-7 1.8% 94.9% 5.4% 89.5% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 94.6%
12-8 3.0% 81.8% 2.0% 79.7% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.5 81.4%
11-9 4.6% 62.3% 1.3% 61.0% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.7 61.8%
10-10 6.7% 39.2% 0.8% 38.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.1 4.1 38.7%
9-11 8.4% 13.5% 0.4% 13.1% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.3 13.2%
8-12 10.5% 2.9% 0.2% 2.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.2 2.8%
7-13 11.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 11.8 0.2%
6-14 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 12.4
5-15 11.7% 11.7
4-16 10.3% 10.3
3-17 8.2% 8.2
2-18 5.3% 5.3
1-19 2.7% 2.7
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 13.1% 0.6% 12.5% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 86.9 12.6%