South Dakota St.
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#153
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#222
Pace71.6#133
Improvement+0.2#173

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#198
First Shot-0.5#191
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#224
Layup/Dunks-1.8#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#189
Freethrows+0.0#184
Improvement+0.2#157

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#131
First Shot-0.9#202
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#64
Layups/Dunks+3.1#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#242
Freethrows-1.9#290
Improvement+0.0#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.6% 29.5% 23.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 78.3% 84.2% 65.0%
.500 or above in Conference 93.3% 94.6% 90.2%
Conference Champion 37.3% 40.3% 30.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.3% 0.8%
First Four2.1% 1.6% 3.2%
First Round26.8% 28.9% 22.0%
Second Round1.1% 1.2% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Away) - 69.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 283 Merrimack W 75-66 74%     1 - 0 +2.4 -0.2 +2.6
  Sun, Nov 9 98 @Northern Iowa L 58-65 22%     1 - 1 +1.2 -1.8 +2.3
  Wed, Nov 12 81 @Oregon L 69-83 17%     1 - 2 -4.0 +0.1 -3.9
  Fri, Nov 21 338 Georgia St. W 105-58 90%     2 - 2 +32.9 +25.8 +6.0
  Tue, Nov 25 83 Utah Valley L 52-75 26%     2 - 3 -16.4 -16.2 -0.2
  Wed, Nov 26 120 UC Irvine L 52-64 39%     2 - 4 -9.1 -16.8 +8.4
  Wed, Dec 3 251 @Northern Arizona W 75-62 58%     3 - 4 +11.0 +3.1 +8.2
  Sat, Dec 6 173 Idaho L 81-84 66%     3 - 5 -7.1 +5.3 -12.5
  Tue, Dec 9 310 @Ball St. W 72-67 70%    
  Mon, Dec 15 107 Wyoming L 72-76 35%    
  Fri, Dec 19 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-75 64%    
  Mon, Dec 29 5 @Arizona L 65-89 1%    
  Thu, Jan 1 233 Nebraska Omaha W 78-71 75%    
  Sat, Jan 3 337 @North Dakota W 77-69 77%    
  Thu, Jan 8 294 Denver W 83-73 83%    
  Wed, Jan 14 155 @North Dakota St. L 70-73 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 346 UMKC W 80-65 92%    
  Thu, Jan 22 169 @St. Thomas L 73-75 42%    
  Wed, Jan 28 233 @Nebraska Omaha W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 301 Oral Roberts W 82-71 84%    
  Wed, Feb 4 169 St. Thomas W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 270 South Dakota W 84-75 78%    
  Thu, Feb 12 294 @Denver W 80-76 65%    
  Sat, Feb 14 301 @Oral Roberts W 79-74 67%    
  Wed, Feb 18 155 North Dakota St. W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 337 North Dakota W 80-66 89%    
  Thu, Feb 26 346 @UMKC W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Feb 28 270 @South Dakota W 81-78 60%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.9 8.2 11.3 9.0 4.6 1.0 37.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.9 9.0 7.9 2.9 0.3 24.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.9 7.2 4.4 0.7 0.0 16.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.7 2.2 0.2 10.1 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.3 0.1 5.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.7 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.8 6.7 10.4 13.7 16.6 16.8 14.3 9.3 4.6 1.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
15-1 100.0% 4.6    4.5 0.1
14-2 96.6% 9.0    8.0 1.0
13-3 79.2% 11.3    7.9 3.1 0.2
12-4 48.8% 8.2    3.5 3.7 0.9 0.0
11-5 17.3% 2.9    0.6 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
10-6 2.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 37.3% 37.3 25.6 9.2 2.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.0% 60.9% 60.9% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-1 4.6% 51.2% 51.2% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.2 2.2
14-2 9.3% 44.3% 44.3% 13.9 0.1 1.0 2.1 0.8 0.1 5.2
13-3 14.3% 38.3% 38.3% 14.3 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.1 0.2 8.8
12-4 16.8% 31.4% 31.4% 14.6 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.6 0.5 11.5
11-5 16.6% 25.9% 25.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 1.0 12.3
10-6 13.7% 20.2% 20.2% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.1 10.9
9-7 10.4% 14.0% 14.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 9.0
8-8 6.7% 11.7% 11.7% 15.9 0.1 0.7 5.9
7-9 3.8% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.3 3.5
6-10 1.7% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.1 1.6
5-11 0.9% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.1 0.8
4-12 0.3% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 27.6% 27.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.2 8.6 10.0 5.2 72.4 0.0%