Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#298
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#334
Pace67.6#230
Improvement-3.6#355

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#303
First Shot-4.1#292
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#221
Layup/Dunks-2.6#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#243
Freethrows+1.0#130
Improvement-1.8#316

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#264
First Shot-2.9#272
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#187
Layups/Dunks-2.1#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#209
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#261
Freethrows+1.4#102
Improvement-1.8#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.1% 3.0% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 47.2% 41.4% 51.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Home) - 40.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 32 - 82 - 16
Quad 45 - 77 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 31 @UCLA L 63-74 2%     0 - 1 +5.6 +5.4 -1.1
  Sat, Nov 15 151 Northern Colorado L 81-88 OT 32%     0 - 2 -9.7 -5.4 -3.3
  Tue, Nov 18 216 New Orleans W 90-79 45%     1 - 2 +4.7 +9.4 -5.3
  Fri, Nov 21 144 Stephen F. Austin L 60-63 29%     1 - 3 -4.9 -9.6 +4.6
  Wed, Nov 26 179 Fresno St. L 53-76 27%     1 - 4 -24.4 -18.6 -6.2
  Sat, Nov 29 303 @Cal St. Fullerton L 69-83 39%     1 - 5 -18.9 -6.8 -12.0
  Tue, Dec 2 234 Abilene Christian L 63-71 49%     1 - 6 -15.4 -2.1 -14.4
  Sat, Dec 6 189 Vermont L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Dec 13 280 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 69-73 35%    
  Thu, Dec 18 286 @Long Beach St. L 68-72 36%    
  Sat, Dec 20 217 Rice L 69-70 45%    
  Sun, Dec 28 4 Gonzaga L 61-87 1%    
  Tue, Dec 30 42 St. Mary's L 60-76 7%    
  Fri, Jan 2 55 @Santa Clara L 64-84 3%    
  Sun, Jan 4 139 @Pacific L 64-76 13%    
  Thu, Jan 8 262 @San Diego L 73-78 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 99 San Francisco L 66-76 19%    
  Wed, Jan 14 270 Portland W 73-72 56%    
  Wed, Jan 21 4 @Gonzaga L 58-90 0.2%   
  Sat, Jan 24 158 @Washington St. L 70-80 17%    
  Wed, Jan 28 262 San Diego W 76-75 53%    
  Wed, Feb 4 114 @Seattle L 62-76 10%    
  Sat, Feb 7 139 Pacific L 67-73 29%    
  Wed, Feb 11 42 @St. Mary's L 57-79 2%    
  Sat, Feb 14 143 Loyola Marymount L 65-71 29%    
  Wed, Feb 18 270 @Portland L 70-75 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 163 @Oregon St. L 63-73 18%    
  Wed, Feb 25 114 Seattle L 65-73 24%    
  Sat, Feb 28 158 Washington St. L 73-77 35%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.2 0.3 3.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.5 4.7 1.1 0.1 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 6.5 7.2 2.0 0.1 17.5 10th
11th 0.3 3.7 10.0 9.0 2.4 0.1 25.4 11th
12th 2.9 9.1 12.0 7.4 1.7 0.1 33.3 12th
Total 2.9 9.4 15.6 19.1 18.0 14.7 9.8 5.7 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.2
10-8 0.5% 0.5
9-9 1.4% 1.4
8-10 2.7% 2.7
7-11 5.7% 5.7
6-12 9.8% 9.8
5-13 14.7% 14.7
4-14 18.0% 18.0
3-15 19.1% 19.1
2-16 15.6% 15.6
1-17 9.4% 9.4
0-18 2.9% 2.9
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%