LSU
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#39
Expected Predictive Rating+16.5#26
Pace69.7#176
Improvement-4.0#353

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#36
First Shot+7.2#25
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#136
Layup/Dunks+7.1#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#268
Freethrows+3.1#25
Improvement-1.1#261

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#61
First Shot+3.7#68
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#117
Layups/Dunks+4.2#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#297
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#274
Freethrows+3.4#22
Improvement-2.9#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.3% 4.5% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 17.3% 17.7% 6.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 65.1% 65.8% 48.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 64.3% 65.0% 48.2%
Average Seed 7.9 7.9 8.6
.500 or above 98.1% 98.3% 91.7%
.500 or above in Conference 52.5% 53.0% 39.1%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 3.3% 5.9%
First Four8.9% 8.9% 8.7%
First Round60.7% 61.3% 44.4%
Second Round32.8% 33.3% 20.9%
Sweet Sixteen9.6% 9.7% 4.6%
Elite Eight3.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Final Four0.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Miss (Home) - 96.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 9
Quad 24 - 29 - 11
Quad 35 - 014 - 11
Quad 47 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 180 Tarleton St. W 96-60 93%     1 - 0 +31.5 +24.9 +7.6
  Mon, Nov 10 241 New Orleans W 93-58 96%     2 - 0 +27.4 +11.6 +14.4
  Thu, Nov 13 182 Florida International W 98-81 93%     3 - 0 +12.4 +12.9 -2.2
  Tue, Nov 18 337 Alcorn St. W 107-81 98%     4 - 0 +12.0 +23.8 -12.8
  Fri, Nov 21 221 Nebraska Omaha W 99-73 95%     5 - 0 +19.2 +11.1 +5.5
  Fri, Nov 28 143 Drake W 71-62 85%     6 - 0 +10.2 -0.3 +10.7
  Sat, Nov 29 115 DePaul W 96-63 80%     7 - 0 +36.3 +28.1 +8.6
  Wed, Dec 3 156 @Boston College W 78-69 OT 80%     8 - 0 +12.3 +3.5 +8.1
  Sun, Dec 7 24 Texas Tech L 58-82 39%     8 - 1 -8.8 -10.5 +2.0
  Sat, Dec 13 42 SMU W 89-77 51%     9 - 1 +24.1 +28.0 -2.8
  Fri, Dec 19 266 SE Louisiana W 78-65 96%     10 - 1 +4.3 +14.0 -7.9
  Mon, Dec 22 320 Prairie View W 104-90 98%     11 - 1 +1.5 +18.8 -18.1
  Mon, Dec 29 207 Southern Miss W 85-67 96%    
  Sat, Jan 3 43 @Texas A&M L 80-82 41%    
  Tue, Jan 6 90 South Carolina W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Jan 10 9 @Vanderbilt L 74-85 16%    
  Wed, Jan 14 20 Kentucky L 77-78 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 60 Missouri W 82-75 73%    
  Tue, Jan 20 12 @Florida L 73-82 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 23 @Arkansas L 78-84 30%    
  Wed, Jan 28 80 Mississippi St. W 80-72 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 90 @South Carolina W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Feb 7 22 Georgia L 85-86 48%    
  Tue, Feb 10 23 Arkansas W 82-81 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 14 @Tennessee L 69-77 22%    
  Tue, Feb 17 41 @Texas L 77-80 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 15 Alabama L 86-88 42%    
  Wed, Feb 25 63 @Mississippi W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 45 Oklahoma W 81-77 65%    
  Tue, Mar 3 34 @Auburn L 77-81 36%    
  Sat, Mar 7 43 Texas A&M W 83-79 63%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 3.8 0.8 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.6 2.0 0.1 7.9 6th
7th 0.4 3.9 4.1 0.4 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.1 5.4 1.5 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 5.1 3.3 0.2 9.3 9th
10th 0.2 3.0 4.9 0.9 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.8 2.0 0.1 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.1 0.3 7.4 12th
13th 0.2 2.0 3.3 0.8 0.0 6.4 13th
14th 0.1 1.1 2.3 1.0 0.1 4.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.0 15th
16th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.4 16th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.1 6.0 9.5 12.5 14.8 15.0 13.2 10.4 7.1 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 92.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 77.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.1% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 8.8% 91.2% 2.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.7% 100.0% 11.6% 88.4% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.9% 100.0% 11.4% 88.6% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-5 4.0% 99.9% 9.2% 90.8% 5.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 7.1% 99.5% 6.3% 93.2% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
11-7 10.4% 98.9% 3.8% 95.1% 6.9 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.4 3.3 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.9%
10-8 13.2% 94.9% 2.0% 92.9% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 3.9 2.8 1.1 0.2 0.7 94.8%
9-9 15.0% 87.4% 1.1% 86.3% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.1 4.0 3.1 1.0 0.0 1.9 87.2%
8-10 14.8% 64.6% 0.7% 63.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 3.8 2.8 0.0 5.2 64.4%
7-11 12.5% 37.0% 0.3% 36.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.8 0.1 7.9 36.8%
6-12 9.5% 10.9% 0.3% 10.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.4 10.7%
5-13 6.0% 2.1% 0.1% 2.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.9 2.1%
4-14 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 3.1 0.1%
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 65.1% 2.1% 63.0% 7.9 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.8 5.3 7.7 9.7 10.4 10.1 9.5 7.8 0.3 0.0 34.9 64.3%