Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#235
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#187
Pace72.8#102
Improvement+1.6#74

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#284
First Shot-2.0#225
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#309
Layup/Dunks-7.0#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#98
Freethrows-1.0#238
Improvement+2.2#31

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#167
First Shot+0.8#147
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#257
Layups/Dunks+4.7#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#41
Freethrows-4.6#356
Improvement-0.7#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 6.2% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.4 14.8
.500 or above 54.6% 77.4% 51.5%
.500 or above in Conference 60.8% 73.2% 59.2%
Conference Champion 4.9% 8.6% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.9% 2.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round3.8% 6.2% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Away) - 11.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 33 - 64 - 9
Quad 411 - 715 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 245 @Western Michigan L 71-76 40%     0 - 1 -6.6 -8.7 +2.5
  Tue, Nov 11 118 Winthrop W 72-66 33%     1 - 1 +6.2 -5.3 +11.3
  Fri, Nov 14 239 @Jacksonville St. L 67-74 39%     1 - 2 -8.4 +0.0 -8.8
  Fri, Nov 21 361 @Western Illinois W 84-64 75%     2 - 2 +8.5 +0.9 +6.6
  Sat, Nov 22 337 North Dakota W 75-58 73%     3 - 2 +6.2 -6.2 +11.5
  Sun, Nov 23 92 @Illinois St. L 42-94 12%     3 - 3 -43.2 -29.2 -10.9
  Sun, Nov 30 272 Alabama A&M W 67-60 67%     4 - 3 -1.8 -6.6 +4.9
  Wed, Dec 3 274 @South Carolina Upstate L 78-85 OT 45%     4 - 4 -9.9 -4.7 -4.4
  Sat, Dec 6 118 @Winthrop W 88-84 16%     5 - 4 +10.2 +15.5 -5.3
  Sat, Dec 13 99 @Grand Canyon L 66-78 12%    
  Thu, Dec 18 282 @Appalachian St. L 67-68 47%    
  Sat, Dec 20 212 @Old Dominion L 72-76 36%    
  Mon, Dec 22 178 @Saint Joseph's L 69-75 29%    
  Thu, Jan 1 232 Georgia Southern W 79-76 60%    
  Sat, Jan 3 338 Georgia St. W 77-67 81%    
  Thu, Jan 8 212 Old Dominion W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 282 Appalachian St. W 70-65 68%    
  Wed, Jan 14 172 @Marshall L 73-79 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 232 @Georgia Southern L 76-79 38%    
  Thu, Jan 22 237 Texas St. W 71-68 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 224 Southern Miss W 76-73 59%    
  Thu, Jan 29 166 @South Alabama L 67-74 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 360 @Louisiana Monroe W 78-71 73%    
  Wed, Feb 4 149 Arkansas St. L 77-79 44%    
  Thu, Feb 12 319 @Louisiana W 68-66 56%    
  Wed, Feb 18 177 James Madison W 74-73 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 172 Marshall L 76-77 49%    
  Tue, Feb 24 338 @Georgia St. W 74-70 63%    
  Fri, Feb 27 177 @James Madison L 71-77 30%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 3.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 3.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.1 0.6 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 5.1 1.4 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 5.4 2.5 0.2 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.0 0.4 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.6 1.2 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.4 1.9 0.2 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.0 2.1 0.3 6.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.7 4.6 7.3 10.5 12.6 13.9 13.4 12.3 9.2 6.2 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 95.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 80.0% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
14-4 45.9% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 17.2% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 42.9% 42.9% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 26.1% 26.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.5% 23.7% 23.7% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-4 3.5% 19.4% 19.4% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.8
13-5 6.2% 14.9% 14.9% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 5.3
12-6 9.2% 8.0% 8.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 8.5
11-7 12.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 11.8
10-8 13.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.1
9-9 13.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.6 0.1 0.1 13.8
8-10 12.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 12.6
7-11 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 7.3% 7.3
5-13 4.6% 4.6
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 0.6 96.1 0.0%