Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#189
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#165
Pace68.4#171
Improvement-1.4#257

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#270
First Shot-5.6#324
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#76
Layup/Dunks-2.7#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#150
Freethrows-2.8#329
Improvement-0.4#201

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#112
First Shot+0.9#150
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#86
Layups/Dunks-1.8#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#73
Freethrows-0.2#195
Improvement-1.0#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% 41.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.6 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round10.4% 41.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 35 - 35 - 9
Quad 412 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 4   @ Florida L 60-81 1%     0 - 1 +4.2 +0.6 +2.8
  Nov 11, 2024 148   @ Furman L 69-78 31%     0 - 2 -5.7 -5.8 +0.6
  Nov 14, 2024 195   South Carolina St. W 71-62 61%     1 - 2 +4.4 -3.9 +8.1
  Nov 20, 2024 119   @ Virginia Tech W 74-64 25%     2 - 2 +15.5 +4.5 +11.1
  Nov 25, 2024 258   Mercer L 89-90 OT 63%     2 - 3 -6.2 +5.6 -11.7
  Nov 26, 2024 237   Siena W 75-64 60%     3 - 3 +6.7 +1.3 +5.6
  Nov 30, 2024 35   @ Georgia L 56-102 6%     3 - 4 -30.0 -7.8 -22.1
  Dec 10, 2024 108   @ Florida Atlantic L 63-85 22%     3 - 5 -15.7 -13.6 -0.5
  Dec 14, 2024 146   East Tennessee St. W 60-52 51%     4 - 5 +6.1 -11.9 +18.2
  Dec 21, 2024 79   @ Central Florida L 66-86 14%     4 - 6 -10.3 -6.0 -3.7
  Jan 02, 2025 99   Lipscomb L 65-70 35%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -2.9 +1.0 -4.5
  Jan 04, 2025 279   Austin Peay W 68-44 76%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +14.8 -8.0 +23.4
  Jan 09, 2025 340   @ Bellarmine W 74-59 76%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +5.8 +4.3 +3.8
  Jan 11, 2025 197   @ Eastern Kentucky W 82-75 41%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +7.7 +5.3 +2.3
  Jan 16, 2025 127   North Alabama W 64-60 45%     8 - 7 4 - 1 +3.5 -10.8 +14.3
  Jan 18, 2025 346   Central Arkansas W 72-62 89%     9 - 7 5 - 1 -5.0 -0.4 -3.5
  Jan 23, 2025 349   @ West Georgia W 79-62 78%     10 - 7 6 - 1 +7.0 +4.8 +2.9
  Jan 25, 2025 214   @ Queens W 87-77 44%     11 - 7 7 - 1 +9.9 +7.2 +2.0
  Jan 29, 2025 184   Florida Gulf Coast L 79-83 59%     11 - 8 7 - 2 -8.1 +6.5 -14.8
  Feb 01, 2025 276   North Florida L 78-81 76%     11 - 9 7 - 3 -12.1 -9.0 -2.9
  Feb 06, 2025 351   @ Stetson W 74-65 79%     12 - 9 8 - 3 -1.2 -5.6 +4.4
  Feb 08, 2025 340   Bellarmine W 73-64 88%     13 - 9 9 - 3 -5.6 -3.7 -1.0
  Feb 13, 2025 346   @ Central Arkansas W 77-62 77%     14 - 9 10 - 3 +5.5 +3.9 +2.4
  Feb 15, 2025 127   @ North Alabama L 79-92 26%     14 - 10 10 - 4 -8.1 +9.8 -18.4
  Feb 18, 2025 184   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 56-72 38%     14 - 11 10 - 5 -14.7 -8.5 -8.7
  Feb 20, 2025 276   @ North Florida L 73-77 58%     14 - 12 10 - 6 -7.7 -9.1 +1.6
  Feb 24, 2025 197   Eastern Kentucky W 59-55 61%     15 - 12 11 - 6 -0.7 -15.4 +14.9
  Feb 26, 2025 351   Stetson W 79-72 90%     16 - 12 12 - 6 -8.6 -5.8 -3.0
  Mar 03, 2025 197   Eastern Kentucky W 78-67 61%     17 - 12 +6.3 +11.6 -3.7
  Mar 06, 2025 127   @ North Alabama L 67-74 26%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 10.4% 10.4% 14.6 0.3 3.6 6.2 0.3 89.6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 14.6 0.3 3.6 6.2 0.3 89.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.4% 100.0% 14.6 3.2 34.5 59.4 2.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 14.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 74.8%