IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.3 #337
Expected Predictive Rating -11.5 #333
Pace 83.4 #3
Improvement +4.6 #23

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #274 C C C+ F D+
Defense #354 F F B F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #335 1.21 #116 -3.2 #290
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #139 0.84 #72 +1.6 #98
Three Pointers 46% #78 0.93 #285 +0.4 #166
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #216 -1.1 #216
Freethrows 10.5 #365 72% #180 7.6 #365
Second Chance 28.8% #236 1.12 #93 0.32 #173
Turnovers 16.0% #148
Total Offense -3.6 #274

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #9 1.29 #328 -8.0 #362
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #354 0.73 #131 +2.8 #11
Three Pointers 40% #225 1.14 #328 -1.7 #258
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #351 -6.9 #352
Freethrows 22.4 #349 75% #319 16.8 #356
Second Chance 36.6% #349 1.29 #358 0.47 #363
Turnovers 18.7% #62
Total Defense -7.6 #354

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.5% #282 3.0% #362
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.7% #189 10.2% #337
Possession Length 15.8 #46 15.6 #11
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #131 0.28 #364
Improvement +2.2 #72 +2.4 #49

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 81.9% 70.7% 87.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 32.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 44 - 137 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 30 @Ohio St. L 102 - 118 1% -12  0 - 1 +1 +17 A+ A+ C+ -12 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 222 LIU Brooklyn L 90 - 94 33% +1  0 - 2 -11 -3 F C+ B- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 59 @Butler L 80 - 112 2% -14  0 - 3 -19 -6 D+ F D -7 C+ F A
 Fri, Nov 14 198 @Eastern Michigan W 90 - 83 14% +3  1 - 3 +7 +9 A+ A+ F -2 A+ F C
 Tue, Nov 18 234 @Charleston Southern L 91 - 103 17% -13  1 - 4 -13 +4 C- C+ A+ -16 F F A
 Fri, Nov 21 311 Alabama St. L 80 - 101 40% -9  1 - 5 -30 -8 B F F -19 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 23 340 @Air Force L 85 - 98 39% -2  1 - 6 -21 +2 D B+ C- -22 F F D+
 Sat, Nov 29 302 Morehead St. W 85 - 80 49% +2  2 - 6 -6 -7 B- F D+ +0 C B+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 286 @Detroit Mercy L 78 - 92 25% -10  2 - 7 0 - 1 -18 +1 D+ C- C -19 C- F D-
 Sat, Dec 6 213 Youngstown St. L 55 - 78 31% -13  2 - 8 0 - 2 -29 -18 F F B- -12 F D- A+
 Thu, Dec 11 255 Green Bay L 75 - 85 38% -1  2 - 9 0 - 3 -18 -8 F B C -9 D F A
 Mon, Dec 22 79 @Grand Canyon L 78 - 91 3% -8  2 - 10 -3 +8 B+ A+ D- -10 F F A
 Mon, Dec 29 316 @Cleveland St. L 86 - 99 32% -10  2 - 11 0 - 4 -19 -0 F C B- -18 F F D
 Thu, Jan 1 178 @Northern Kentucky L 72 - 81 12% +3  2 - 12 0 - 5 -7 -1 D+ B+ D- -7 F C- D+
 Sun, Jan 4 154 Wright St. L 77 - 81 21% -5  2 - 13 0 - 6 -7 +5 B C C -12 D F A+
 Fri, Jan 9 255 @Green Bay L 59 - 75 19% -9  2 - 14 0 - 7 -18 -20 F F C +2 C D A+
 Sun, Jan 11 248 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83 - 95 19% +0  2 - 15 0 - 8 -14 +9 C+ D+ B+ -23 F F B+
 Thu, Jan 15 200 Robert Morris W 96 - 93 OT 29% -2  3 - 15 1 - 8 -3 +8 B+ F A+ -11 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 286 Detroit Mercy L 77 - 80 46% +1  3 - 16 1 - 9 -13 -7 F A+ F -6 C- C A
 Wed, Jan 21 139 @Oakland W 103 - 85 8% +8  4 - 16 2 - 9 +22 +26 A+ A+ B -4 B F C+
 Sun, Jan 25 212 Purdue Fort Wayne L 83 - 88 32%
 Wed, Jan 28 200 @Robert Morris L 77 - 89 13%
 Fri, Jan 30 213 @Youngstown St. L 78 - 89 15%
 Sat, Feb 7 316 Cleveland St. W 89 - 88 54%
 Thu, Feb 12 178 Northern Kentucky L 82 - 89 26%
 Sun, Feb 15 212 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 80 - 91 15%
 Thu, Feb 19 154 @Wright St. L 75 - 90 9%
 Wed, Feb 25 139 Oakland L 87 - 97 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 248 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 84 - 87 37%
Totals 6 - 23 4 - 16 -11 -4 C C C+ -8 F F B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.9 0.3 5.6 9th
10th 1.0 6.4 11.0 6.7 1.3 0.0 26.4 10th
11th 8.6 23.1 22.3 10.4 1.8 0.1 66.3 11th
Total 8.6 24.1 28.6 22.2 11.4 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.2% 0.2
8-12 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0
7-13 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
6-14 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-15 22.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 22.1
4-16 28.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 28.6
3-17 24.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 24.0
2-18 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.1%