Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
146 Oakland 23.4%   15   4 - 5 1 - 0 17 - 13 14 - 6 +0.9      +5.2 63 -4.3 323 76.3 39 +3.5 122 +7.8 3
159 Wright St. 17.5%   2 - 5 0 - 1 16 - 13 12 - 8 -0.4      -1.1 196 +0.8 147 67.8 230 -5.8 259 -12.8 8
162 Youngstown St. 17.0%   5 - 4 2 - 0 17 - 11 13 - 7 -0.6      -2.0 224 +1.4 125 69.7 180 +0.4 164 +9.3 2
186 Robert Morris 12.2%   5 - 4 1 - 1 17 - 12 12 - 8 -1.7      -1.1 195 -0.6 181 66.5 267 +0.9 155 -1.7 6
192 Northern Kentucky 11.3%   5 - 3 1 - 1 16 - 12 11 - 9 -2.0      -1.0 191 -1.0 201 70.6 155 +0.2 167 -6.9 7
219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7.2%   3 - 5 1 - 0 14 - 16 11 - 9 -3.7      -1.0 193 -2.6 256 73.9 80 -1.4 195 +10.5 1
238 Purdue Fort Wayne 5.8%   2 - 6 1 - 1 12 - 16 10 - 10 -4.4      -0.7 184 -3.6 289 74.1 71 -5.6 253 -0.6 5
273 Green Bay 3.0%   2 - 6 0 - 1 11 - 18 8 - 12 -5.8      -1.3 200 -4.5 327 64.2 313 -4.1 235 -19.9 10
293 Detroit Mercy 2.0%   3 - 6 2 - 0 10 - 17 9 - 11 -7.4      -3.6 263 -3.7 297 68.7 203 -6.1 267 +5.7 4
323 Cleveland St. 0.6%   1 - 8 0 - 2 7 - 21 6 - 14 -9.4      -2.5 239 -6.9 352 73.5 87 -13.6 337 -22.3 11
356 IU Indianapolis 0.1%   2 - 8 0 - 2 5 - 24 3 - 17 -13.8      -5.4 316 -8.4 361 92.2 1 -11.8 326 -19.2 9




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 159 Wright St. 68 162 Youngstown St. 69   
Wed, Dec 3 146 Oakland 101 238 Purdue Fort Wayne 92   
Wed, Dec 3 323 Cleveland St. 80 192 Northern Kentucky 95   
Wed, Dec 3 293 Detroit Mercy 92 356 IU Indianapolis 78   
Thu, Dec 4 273 Green Bay 78 186 Robert Morris 80   
Sat, Dec 6 146 Oakland 98 163 Toledo 97   
Sat, Dec 6 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 74 186 Robert Morris 72   
Sat, Dec 6 192 Northern Kentucky 77 238 Purdue Fort Wayne 79   
Sat, Dec 6 323 Cleveland St. 59 293 Detroit Mercy 71   
Sat, Dec 6 356 IU Indianapolis 55 162 Youngstown St. 78   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 7 273 Green Bay 66 159 Wright St. 75 79%   
Wed, Dec 10 205 Eastern Michigan 74 238 Purdue Fort Wayne 76 55%   
Thu, Dec 11 273 Green Bay 86 356 IU Indianapolis 81 68%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Oakland 2.7 37.6 20.5 14.3 10.0 7.0 4.8 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
Wright St. 3.8 19.1 18.0 15.5 12.9 10.7 8.6 6.6 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.2
Youngstown St. 3.2 27.5 20.6 15.6 12.0 9.1 6.4 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.0
Robert Morris 4.2 13.4 15.3 15.2 14.3 12.8 11.0 8.1 5.7 3.0 1.2 0.2
Northern Kentucky 4.6 10.6 12.6 13.5 13.6 13.1 12.1 10.3 7.5 4.6 1.9 0.3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5.0 9.0 10.6 12.1 12.6 12.8 12.5 11.5 9.0 6.3 3.1 0.6
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.6 5.2 7.9 9.8 11.4 13.0 13.8 13.5 11.6 8.6 4.2 0.9
Green Bay 7.0 1.6 3.4 4.8 6.6 8.9 11.5 14.4 16.8 17.1 11.3 3.6
Detroit Mercy 7.0 1.8 3.0 4.8 6.7 9.1 11.6 14.8 17.8 18.6 10.0 1.9
Cleveland St. 9.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.5 4.1 6.9 11.7 20.6 34.6 17.0
IU Indianapolis 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.7 8.7 23.5 61.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Oakland 14 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.0 4.9 7.8 11.0 13.5 15.1 14.3 12.2 8.6 4.8 1.9 0.4
Wright St. 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.6 4.1 6.5 9.1 11.6 13.6 14.3 12.9 10.5 7.0 4.0 1.4 0.3
Youngstown St. 13 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.3 7.1 10.1 12.8 14.5 14.7 12.7 9.5 6.1 2.9 1.1 0.2
Robert Morris 12 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.2 8.3 11.1 13.4 14.7 14.0 11.8 8.3 4.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.4 7.1 9.9 12.4 13.9 14.0 12.3 9.5 6.7 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.5 5.6 8.5 11.1 12.7 13.6 12.7 10.8 8.4 5.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 10 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.6 7.8 10.5 12.9 14.1 13.5 11.5 8.7 6.1 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
Green Bay 8 - 12 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.2 7.2 9.8 12.8 13.6 13.8 11.9 9.2 6.4 4.2 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Detroit Mercy 9 - 11 0.2 1.4 3.5 7.0 10.4 13.3 14.8 14.0 12.3 9.3 6.1 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 0.5 2.3 5.8 10.0 13.8 15.7 15.3 12.9 9.6 6.5 3.8 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 4.7 12.3 18.6 19.4 17.3 12.2 7.6 4.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Oakland 37.6% 26.5 8.5 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Wright St. 19.1% 11.7 5.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Youngstown St. 27.5% 18.1 7.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
Robert Morris 13.4% 7.6 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Northern Kentucky 10.6% 6.0 3.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 9.0% 5.0 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.2% 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Green Bay 1.6% 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Detroit Mercy 1.8% 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cleveland St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Oakland 23.4% 23.4% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.9 8.7 5.7 1.2 76.6 0.0%
Wright St. 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 2.4 5.4 5.8 3.3 82.5 0.0%
Youngstown St. 17.0% 17.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.1 6.2 5.3 1.6 83.0 0.0%
Robert Morris 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.2 4.5 1.7 87.9 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.7 4.2 1.8 88.7 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.9 2.3 92.8 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.7 94.2 0.0%
Green Bay 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 97.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 98.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Oakland 23.4% 0.4% 23.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 17.5% 1.4% 16.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 17.0% 0.4% 16.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Morris 12.2% 0.5% 11.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 11.3% 0.6% 11.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7.2% 1.2% 6.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.8% 1.6% 5.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 3.0% 1.1% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 2.0% 0.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.1% 1.0 3.9 96.1
2nd Round 3.7% 0.0 96.3 3.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0