Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
155 Robert Morris 21.1%   20 - 10 13 - 7 +0.3      +0.6 146 -0.3 185 63.1 325 +0.7 147 -0.7 2
157 Wright St. 35.1%   15   19 - 11 15 - 5 +0.3      +1.8 122 -1.5 219 67.3 212 +0.1 154 +2.2 1
171 Oakland 0.0%   15 - 16 12 - 8 -0.9      +3.6 89 -4.5 308 73.3 57 -1.7 189 -1.8 5
183 Northern Kentucky 11.2%   16 - 13 10 - 10 -1.7      -1.1 193 -0.5 194 72.8 64 -2.3 202 -4.2 7
210 Green Bay 18.4%   16 - 14 12 - 8 -2.7      +1.7 126 -4.4 303 60.5 355 -1.3 180 -1.6 4
217 Youngstown St. 0.0%   12 - 17 8 - 12 -3.4      -2.9 251 -0.5 195 68.3 183 -5.6 251 -6.6 9
229 Detroit Mercy 14.1%   14 - 14 12 - 8 -3.8      -0.6 179 -3.2 269 71.2 108 -2.6 210 -1.5 3
258 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   14 - 15 11 - 9 -5.4      -2.8 247 -2.7 256 69.4 150 -2.5 207 -2.6 6
274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0%   11 - 20 8 - 12 -6.2      -1.9 225 -4.3 296 68.8 171 -6.1 259 -6.2 8
322 Cleveland St. 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 14 -10.2      -0.2 167 -10.0 362 72.9 63 -8.5 300 -8.5 10
327 IU Indianapolis 0.0%   5 - 25 3 - 17 -10.8      -3.6 266 -7.2 348 81.5 2 -13.0 344 -13.5 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Mar 2 322 Cleveland St. 101 327 IU Indianapolis 93   
Tue, Mar 3 210 Green Bay 64 258 Purdue Fort Wayne 56   
Wed, Mar 4 183 Northern Kentucky 85 171 Oakland 84   
Wed, Mar 4 155 Robert Morris 68 217 Youngstown St. 53   
Wed, Mar 4 322 Cleveland St. 61 157 Wright St. 90   
Wed, Mar 4 229 Detroit Mercy 84 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 63   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Mar 8 210 Green Bay 74 183 Northern Kentucky 75 54%   
Mon, Mar 9 229 Detroit Mercy 72 155 Robert Morris 76 66%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Wright St. 1.0 100.0
Robert Morris 2.0 100.0
Detroit Mercy 3.0 100.0
Oakland 3.0 100.0
Green Bay 3.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 6.0 100.0
Northern Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Youngstown St. 8.0 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8.0 100.0
Cleveland St. 10.0 100.0
IU Indianapolis 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 15 - 5 19 - 11 100.0
Robert Morris 13 - 7 21 - 10 100.0
Detroit Mercy 12 - 8 14 - 15 100.0
Oakland 12 - 8 15 - 16 100.0
Green Bay 12 - 8 16 - 15 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 11 - 9 14 - 15 100.0
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 17 - 13 100.0
Youngstown St. 8 - 12 12 - 17 100.0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 8 - 12 11 - 20 100.0
Cleveland St. 6 - 14 8 - 22 100.0
IU Indianapolis 3 - 17 5 - 25 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wright St. 100.0% 100.0
Robert Morris
Detroit Mercy
Oakland
Green Bay
Purdue Fort Wayne
Northern Kentucky
Youngstown St.
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Cleveland St.
IU Indianapolis


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Robert Morris 21.1% 21.1% 0.0% 0.3 5.8 12.4 2.7 0.0 78.9 0.0%
Wright St. 35.1% 35.1% 0.0% 15   0.0 3.3 19.4 12.0 0.4 64.9 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 0.2 3.5 6.5 1.2 88.8 0.0%
Green Bay 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 0.0 1.3 13.3 3.8 81.6 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 0.1 8.4 5.7 85.9 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.1% 1.0 0.9 99.1
2nd Round 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Robert Morris 21.1% 0.0% 21.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wright St. 35.1% 0.0% 35.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Kentucky 11.2% 0.1% 11.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Green Bay 18.4% 0.4% 18.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Youngstown St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Detroit Mercy 14.1% 1.3% 13.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cleveland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IU Indianapolis 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%