Army
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#293
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#228
Pace61.8#349
Improvement-0.9#285

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#293
First Shot-2.5#250
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#260
Layup/Dunks-1.8#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#133
Freethrows-0.9#235
Improvement+0.9#70

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#262
First Shot-1.4#230
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#280
Layups/Dunks-1.4#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#303
Freethrows+1.1#120
Improvement-1.7#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 8.4% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 42.9% 55.5% 31.0%
.500 or above in Conference 48.8% 56.1% 42.0%
Conference Champion 7.1% 9.4% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 9.4% 15.9%
First Four3.6% 4.0% 3.3%
First Round5.0% 6.5% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Away) - 48.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 413 - 1014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 246   Albany W 67-59 51%     1 - 0 +0.8 -7.3 +8.4
  Nov 08, 2024 5   @ Duke L 58-100 1%     1 - 1 -19.7 -4.1 -15.0
  Nov 15, 2024 233   @ Marist L 88-91 OT 27%     1 - 2 -3.6 +14.3 -17.8
  Nov 20, 2024 347   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-70 79%     2 - 2 -1.6 -0.8 -1.1
  Nov 22, 2024 329   @ Manhattan L 67-68 48%    
  Dec 03, 2024 337   @ Le Moyne W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 08, 2024 170   Cornell L 72-75 38%    
  Dec 13, 2024 143   @ George Washington L 66-77 16%    
  Dec 22, 2024 330   Binghamton W 69-63 70%    
  Dec 29, 2024 273   Texas San Antonio W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 02, 2025 189   @ Colgate L 59-68 22%    
  Jan 05, 2025 286   @ Boston University L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 08, 2025 335   Loyola Maryland W 68-61 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 283   @ Lehigh L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 15, 2025 240   Lafayette W 64-63 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 286   Boston University W 66-64 58%    
  Jan 22, 2025 316   @ Holy Cross L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 26, 2025 309   Navy W 69-65 65%    
  Jan 29, 2025 189   Colgate L 62-65 41%    
  Feb 01, 2025 260   @ American L 62-67 34%    
  Feb 05, 2025 316   Holy Cross W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 235   Bucknell L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 12, 2025 335   @ Loyola Maryland W 65-64 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 309   @ Navy L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 19, 2025 260   American W 65-64 54%    
  Feb 23, 2025 235   @ Bucknell L 63-69 29%    
  Feb 25, 2025 240   @ Lafayette L 61-67 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 283   Lehigh W 70-68 58%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.4 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.4 2.2 0.5 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.7 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.4 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 3.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.2 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.9 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.0 5.1 7.4 9.6 11.6 12.5 11.8 11.0 9.2 6.8 4.9 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 99.2% 0.6    0.6 0.0
15-3 91.6% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 69.6% 1.9    1.3 0.6 0.1
13-5 39.0% 1.9    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0
12-6 13.7% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 42.7% 42.7% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 35.7% 35.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.4% 28.3% 28.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.0
14-4 2.8% 22.5% 22.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.2
13-5 4.9% 19.5% 19.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 4.0
12-6 6.8% 15.8% 15.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 5.7
11-7 9.2% 10.4% 10.4% 15.9 0.1 0.9 8.2
10-8 11.0% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9 10.1
9-9 11.8% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7 11.1
8-10 12.5% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.1
7-11 11.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.4
6-12 9.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.5
5-13 7.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.4
4-14 5.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.1
3-15 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-16 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 5.1 93.2 0.0%