Richmond
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#207
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#264
Pace64.5#284
Improvement+3.3#50

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#248
First Shot+1.9#121
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#361
Layup/Dunks-4.2#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
Freethrows+5.4#2
Improvement+0.9#127

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#162
First Shot+1.7#116
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#299
Layups/Dunks+5.3#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#270
Freethrows-0.8#247
Improvement+2.3#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.0 15.9
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 5.5% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 54.6% 31.5% 56.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 34 - 104 - 18
Quad 44 - 48 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 210   Marist L 72-79 60%     0 - 1 -12.2 +3.3 -15.8
  Nov 13, 2024 215   @ Charlotte L 48-65 41%     0 - 2 -17.3 -20.7 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2024 264   @ Bucknell L 76-80 2OT 53%     0 - 3 -7.2 -9.4 +2.9
  Nov 20, 2024 188   Maine W 70-66 54%     1 - 3 +0.3 +0.3 +0.1
  Nov 26, 2024 112   Louisiana Tech L 62-65 28%     1 - 4 +0.4 -3.9 +3.9
  Nov 27, 2024 270   Ball St. W 73-60 63%     2 - 4 +6.9 +4.5 +4.0
  Dec 08, 2024 2   @ Auburn L 54-98 1%     2 - 5 -18.5 -11.2 -5.2
  Dec 14, 2024 130   Belmont L 86-93 42%     2 - 6 -7.6 +2.2 -9.2
  Dec 18, 2024 218   @ William & Mary L 87-93 42%     2 - 7 -6.6 +16.1 -23.0
  Dec 21, 2024 305   VMI W 78-71 78%     3 - 7 -3.7 +5.6 -8.8
  Dec 28, 2024 167   Florida Gulf Coast L 57-75 50%     3 - 8 -20.6 -14.4 -7.4
  Dec 31, 2024 119   George Washington W 66-61 40%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +5.0 -1.7 +6.9
  Jan 04, 2025 161   @ Massachusetts W 72-64 31%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +10.7 +5.3 +5.8
  Jan 08, 2025 80   @ George Mason L 58-64 13%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +3.7 +4.7 -2.1
  Jan 11, 2025 122   Rhode Island L 64-67 OT 41%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -3.2 -10.5 +7.4
  Jan 15, 2025 94   @ St. Bonaventure L 49-63 16%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -5.9 -7.9 -1.3
  Jan 18, 2025 99   Saint Louis L 59-63 33%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -1.9 -14.5 +12.7
  Jan 25, 2025 123   Davidson L 66-72 41%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -6.3 -4.0 -2.8
  Jan 29, 2025 119   @ George Washington L 66-75 23%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -4.0 +2.7 -7.5
  Feb 01, 2025 44   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 59-75 6%    
  Feb 05, 2025 129   Duquesne L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 123   @ Davidson L 66-73 23%    
  Feb 11, 2025 134   Loyola Chicago L 67-69 46%    
  Feb 15, 2025 199   Fordham W 71-69 59%    
  Feb 19, 2025 202   @ La Salle L 68-71 37%    
  Feb 22, 2025 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-75 12%    
  Feb 25, 2025 44   Virginia Commonwealth L 61-72 16%    
  Mar 01, 2025 83   @ Dayton L 62-74 12%    
  Mar 08, 2025 80   George Mason L 59-66 27%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 0.2 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 1.2 0.0 2.1 9th
10th 0.1 2.5 0.7 3.3 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 3.1 0.2 5.3 11th
12th 1.4 6.5 2.0 9.9 12th
13th 1.1 8.5 6.7 0.4 16.6 13th
14th 1.6 9.5 12.0 2.0 0.0 25.1 14th
15th 4.3 13.3 14.3 3.9 0.1 35.8 15th
Total 4.3 14.9 24.9 25.7 17.4 8.9 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.8% 4.0% 4.0% 15.0 0.0 0.7
8-10 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
7-11 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
6-12 17.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.4
5-13 25.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 25.7
4-14 24.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 24.8
3-15 14.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.9
2-16 4.3% 4.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.1%