Furman
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#133
Expected Predictive Rating+13.9#28
Pace70.9#127
Improvement+0.7#105

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#128
First Shot+3.1#86
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#256
Layup/Dunks-6.4#339
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.0#5
Freethrows+0.3#167
Improvement+0.6#101

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#156
First Shot+0.7#154
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#214
Layups/Dunks-7.0#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#182
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.1#12
Freethrows-1.8#271
Improvement+0.1#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.2% 24.0% 16.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.4
.500 or above 91.1% 94.2% 81.4%
.500 or above in Conference 88.4% 90.3% 82.4%
Conference Champion 30.0% 32.7% 21.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.4% 1.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round22.1% 23.9% 16.7%
Second Round3.0% 3.5% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Away) - 75.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 36 - 57 - 7
Quad 414 - 320 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 141   @ Belmont W 76-74 40%     1 - 0 +6.4 +3.7 +2.7
  Nov 11, 2024 187   Jacksonville W 78-69 72%     2 - 0 +4.7 +1.4 +2.8
  Nov 15, 2024 146   Tulane W 75-67 65%     3 - 0 +5.9 +5.0 +1.3
  Nov 23, 2024 310   @ Charleston Southern W 77-70 76%    
  Nov 26, 2024 135   Seattle W 73-72 50%    
  Nov 30, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 66-86 3%    
  Dec 04, 2024 218   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 70-68 56%    
  Dec 07, 2024 109   Princeton W 75-74 53%    
  Dec 14, 2024 314   South Carolina St. W 80-67 89%    
  Dec 21, 2024 244   @ Harvard W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 01, 2025 258   @ Western Carolina W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 04, 2025 171   @ UNC Greensboro L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 08, 2025 317   @ The Citadel W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 11, 2025 206   Wofford W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 15, 2025 188   East Tennessee St. W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 18, 2025 169   Chattanooga W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 22, 2025 344   @ VMI W 83-72 84%    
  Jan 25, 2025 252   @ Mercer W 76-72 62%    
  Jan 29, 2025 127   Samford W 83-81 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 188   @ East Tennessee St. W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 05, 2025 258   Western Carolina W 76-66 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 169   @ Chattanooga L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 252   Mercer W 79-69 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 171   UNC Greensboro W 73-68 68%    
  Feb 19, 2025 127   @ Samford L 80-84 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 344   VMI W 86-69 93%    
  Feb 26, 2025 317   The Citadel W 77-63 87%    
  Mar 01, 2025 206   @ Wofford W 72-71 54%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.5 7.2 8.2 6.2 3.2 0.9 30.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 5.1 7.4 4.9 1.4 0.1 20.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.1 5.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.3 4.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.5 0.9 0.1 8.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.4 4.9 7.4 9.8 11.7 13.5 13.6 12.4 9.6 6.3 3.2 0.9 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
17-1 100.0% 3.2    3.2 0.0
16-2 98.1% 6.2    5.6 0.6 0.0
15-3 85.1% 8.2    6.1 2.0 0.1
14-4 58.0% 7.2    3.8 2.9 0.5 0.0
13-5 25.7% 3.5    1.0 1.6 0.8 0.1
12-6 6.4% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 30.0% 30.0 20.6 7.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.9% 60.6% 55.1% 5.5% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 12.3%
17-1 3.2% 55.6% 54.6% 0.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.4 2.1%
16-2 6.3% 48.8% 48.6% 0.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.2 0.5%
15-3 9.6% 39.0% 39.0% 12.5 0.1 1.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.8
14-4 12.4% 30.8% 30.8% 12.9 0.0 1.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.6
13-5 13.6% 24.5% 24.5% 13.3 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 10.3
12-6 13.5% 17.7% 17.7% 13.6 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 11.1
11-7 11.7% 13.2% 13.2% 13.9 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 10.2
10-8 9.8% 10.6% 10.6% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 8.8
9-9 7.4% 7.3% 7.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 6.9
8-10 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.7
7-11 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.2
6-12 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 22.2% 22.1% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1 6.8 7.4 4.5 1.7 0.3 77.8 0.1%