North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -12.3 339
Results Rating -13.5 347
Consistency 0.12 26
Pace 75.0 32
Improvement +2.2 110

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 232 C C- D+ D B-
Defense F 363 D F F B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 309 D+ 55% 258 -3.7 314
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 317 B- 42% 62 -2.4 291
Three Pointers 53% 11 C 34% 197 +5.9 24
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 96 C- -0.8 198
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 176
Second Chance D 25.4% 315 B- 1.11 72 C- 0.28 246
Opponents' Steals D 11.1% 319
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 199
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 292
Freethrows F+ 0.24 349 B+ 78% 20 D 0.19 309
Total Offense C- -2.2 232

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 218 D+ 12.4% 269
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 263 D+ 6.5% 281
Three Pointers F 69% 362 F 2.4% 361
Total C- 52% 249 D+ 6.3% 271


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 108 D+ 62% 280 +3.1 293
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 318 F 47% 359 -0.2 168
Three Pointers 42% 123 C 34% 199 +1.0 238
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 318 D +3.0 296
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 311
Second Chance F 37.3% 358 F+ 1.19 357 F 0.44 362
Turnovers from Steals F 5.9% 358
Other Turnovers D 6.4% 299
Turnovers F 12.3% 360
Freethrows B- 0.28 105 B- 71% 94 B- 0.20 92
Total Defense F -10.1 363

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 224 F+ 4.1% 362
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 169 D 1.9% 330
Three Pointers D+ 87% 274 D+ 0.4% 282
Total C- 57% 224 F 2.2% 361

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 142 16.1 19
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 258 0.23 347
Consistency 0.12 152 0.11 60
Improvement -2.1 292 +4.3 22

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 341 339 337
Results Rating Rank 348 346 345
Conference Record 5 - 13 5 - 13 5 - 13
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 00 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 45 - 145 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 3 @Florida L 64 - 104 0% -21  3% 0 - 1 D- -11 D -5 F+ A- D- C- -2 A+ F B
 Wed, Nov 12 13 @Tennessee L 66 - 99 1% -15  6% 0 - 2 D- -11 D+ -3 C- B+ F D -6 C+ F B-
 Wed, Nov 19 240 @Wofford L 78 - 86 16% -1  42% 0 - 3 D -9 D+ -4 B- F C D -5 C F D+
 Sat, Nov 22 225 Southern Miss L 83 - 92 21% +0  52% 0 - 4 D- -13 B +6 A+ F F F -19 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 322 Prairie View L 82 - 85 43% +5  83% 0 - 5 D- -13 C- -1 A+ C- F F -12 D- C+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 250 SIU Edwardsville L 63 - 72 34% -1  28% 0 - 6 F+ -17 D- -7 D+ C D F -10 D+ F F
 Sun, Dec 7 11 @Gonzaga L 58 - 109 0% -26  1% 0 - 7 F -29 F -11 D+ D+ D- F -13 D- F B-
 Sat, Dec 13 75 @Dayton L 61 - 84 3% -21  8% 0 - 8 D- -12 D -6 F B- C D- -7 F B- F+
 Thu, Dec 18 251 @Charleston Southern L 90 - 113 17% -12  0% 0 - 9 F -25 C+ +2 B- D C+ F -24 F B- F+
 Sun, Dec 21 35 @Miami (FL) L 67 - 105 1% -18  3% 0 - 10 F -21 D -5 D- B+ F F -13 F+ D- D-
 Sun, Dec 28 190 Columbia L 82 - 90 24% -1  31% 0 - 11 D- -13 C+ +2 B F+ B+ F -15 F A F
 Thu, Jan 1 177 @Austin Peay L 83 - 102 10% -8  9% 0 - 12 0 - 1 F+ -17 C +1 C+ F D+ F -16 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 3 195 @Lipscomb L 74 - 82 11% -2  40% 0 - 13 0 - 2 D+ -7 C- -1 D+ D C- D -6 A F F
 Thu, Jan 8 308 West Georgia L 73 - 85 48% -6  0% 0 - 14 0 - 3 F -24 F+ -10 F A+ F+ F -14 F+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 202 Queens L 82 - 89 25% -2  27% 0 - 15 0 - 4 D- -12 D+ -4 C D B D- -8 C+ F D-
 Thu, Jan 15 342 @North Alabama W 105 - 91 39% +10  80% 1 - 15 1 - 4 C+ +5 A+ +25 A+ A- A F -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 171 @Central Arkansas L 69 - 98 9% -23  1% 1 - 16 1 - 5 F -27 D- -6 D+ F C- F -20 F F F
 Thu, Jan 22 288 Eastern Kentucky W 87 - 85 42% +2  67% 2 - 16 2 - 5 D -8 C +2 B- B D+ F -10 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 24 285 Bellarmine W 117 - 114 OT 41% +6  86% 3 - 16 3 - 5 D+ -7 A+ +15 A+ A- A F -23 F F F
 Thu, Jan 29 320 Stetson L 77 - 84 52% -6  2% 3 - 17 3 - 6 F -20 D -5 D- C D+ F -14 D- D F
 Sat, Jan 31 195 Lipscomb L 94 - 100 25% +2  58% 3 - 18 3 - 7 D -11 A +13 A A C- F -24 F D+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 308 @West Georgia W 81 - 73 26% -1  30% 4 - 18 4 - 7 C+ +2 C- -2 B F F B +4 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 202 @Queens L 72 - 91 12% -5  22% 4 - 19 4 - 8 F -18 D- -7 C- F F F -11 C- F F+
 Wed, Feb 11 269 @Florida Gulf Coast L 81 - 90 19% -7  9% 4 - 20 4 - 9 D- -12 C +1 C- D+ B- F -12 F D F
 Sat, Feb 14 293 @Jacksonville L 56 - 63 24% -4  4% 4 - 21 4 - 10 D- -12 F+ -10 C- C- F D+ -3 C+ F F+
 Thu, Feb 19 177 Austin Peay L 76 - 77 22% +5  77% 4 - 22 4 - 11 D+ -5 F+ -9 F C D+ B +4 A- D- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 320 @Stetson L 71 - 76 30% +3  56% 4 - 23 4 - 12 D- -12 D+ -3 D+ C+ C- F+ -10 F C C
 Thu, Feb 26 269 Florida Gulf Coast W 76 - 70 37% -1  33% 5 - 23 5 - 12 C- -3 D+ -3 F C C+ C+ +0 A+ F F
 Sat, Feb 28 293 Jacksonville L 61 - 85 44% -21  0% 5 - 24 5 - 13 F -35 F -18 F F D+ F -17 F F B-
 Wed, Mar 4 308 West Georgia L 81 - 85 36%
Totals 5 - 25 5 - 13 -12 C- -2 F+ C- B- F -10 C B+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ B- C C- 34% 25% 53% B- C D B- C- D+ F+ B+ D F D+ F C D 41% 16% 42% D D F F+ F F B- B- B-
1.05 55% 42% 34% -1 +1 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 18% .24 78% .19 1.23 62% 47% 34% +3 +1 1.10 37% 1.2 .44 12% .28 71% .17
Nov
6		 Florida D F F F F 38% 17% 45% A- F+ D A+ A- D- A A+ A+ C- D+ F A+ A+ 47% 3% 50% D- A+ F F F B F A D+
0.80 41% 20% 23% -17 0 0.69 17% 1.6 .26 20% .34 86% .30 1.30 67% 100% 14% -9 +3 0.90 63% 1.4 .87 18% .43 64% .27
Nov
12		 Tennessee D+ F B D- D+ 33% 9% 58% A- C- B- A- B+ F F F F D C+ F B+ C+ 42% 15% 43% D+ C+ F F F B- D C- D+
0.87 44% 40% 28% -9 +1 0.85 27% 1.1 .30 22% .20 50% .10 1.30 59% 63% 30% +2 +1 1.08 63% 1.4 .84 18% .39 71% .27
Nov
19		 Wofford D+ C F A B- 36% 12% 53% C B- F B F C F D+ F D C- F A+ C+ 50% 4% 46% F C F F F D+ F A D+
1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10 1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25
Nov
22		 Southern Miss B A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 18% 58% D A+ F A+ F F F A+ F F D F A+ F 52% 30% 19% D- F F D- F F F+ A+ C+
1.16 83% 56% 48% +22 -1 1.44 9% 1.5 .14 25% .19 80% .15 1.29 64% 63% 20% +7 0 1.15 45% 1.1 .52 14% .42 62% .26
Nov
23		 Prairie View C- B- A+ A+ A+ 36% 11% 53% C+ A+ C+ D C- F B+ C- B F F D- B- F 24% 39% 37% A D- F A+ C+ D F A- F
1.12 63% 80% 46% +16 +1 1.36 38% 1.0 .38 29% .42 73% .31 1.16 69% 43% 30% +2 -3 1.00 45% 0.5 .23 14% .52 70% .36
Dec
2		 SIU Edwardsville D- F B D D 35% 14% 51% B+ D+ F+ A+ C D F A+ F F B+ D- D C- 45% 15% 40% F D+ F B- F F F B D-
0.97 44% 43% 31% -7 +1 0.90 24% 1.3 .30 18% .13 100% .13 1.10 48% 43% 37% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.9 .39 14% .34 63% .21
Dec
7		 Gonzaga F F A- F C- 9% 29% 62% F+ D+ D- B+ D+ D- F+ F F+ F F A+ F F+ 40% 31% 29% C+ D- F+ F F B- C+ C- C+
0.75 40% 44% 26% -7 -3 0.82 17% 1.0 .17 23% .22 62% .13 1.41 78% 28% 53% +13 -1 1.26 42% 1.8 .74 16% .28 72% .20
Dec
13		 Dayton D F D- F F 35% 20% 45% B- F B C B- C C C- C- D- F F A F 45% 9% 45% D F F A+ B- F+ A+ A+ A+
0.89 44% 30% 26% -12 0 0.78 34% 1.0 .34 22% .30 69% .20 1.22 76% 80% 28% +8 +2 1.22 39% 0.8 .31 13% .28 47% .13
Dec
18		 Charleston Southern C+ C C+ C C+ 40% 16% 44% B+ B- F A+ D C+ C A+ B F F F F F 25% 10% 65% B F A- D B- F+ D+ F F
1.12 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 16% 1.5 .24 11% .35 80% .28 1.41 80% 50% 51% +24 0 1.50 23% 1.0 .23 15% .29 85% .25
Dec
21		 Miami (FL) D F+ F C F+ 27% 14% 59% B- D- C- A+ B+ F B A+ A+ F F F B+ F 47% 16% 36% C F+ F B+ D- D- F C F
0.89 46% 0% 34% -8 0 0.86 22% 1.5 .33 27% .29 88% .25 1.40 73% 78% 30% +11 +1 1.27 50% 1.0 .50 13% .44 69% .31
Dec
28		 Columbia C+ F+ A+ B+ B- 42% 10% 48% B+ B F C+ F+ B+ F A+ F+ F D- F F F 51% 12% 37% D- F A+ F A F F F F
1.14 48% 67% 38% +1 +2 1.08 17% 1.0 .17 11% .19 92% .17 1.25 65% 50% 47% +13 +2 1.31 20% 1.2 .24 15% .35 81% .28
Jan
1		 Austin Peay C D- C+ A C+ 37% 10% 53% B C+ F F F D+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ F A+ C+ 39% 18% 44% C C+ F F F F C- D- D+
1.07 53% 40% 41% +3 +1 1.12 20% 0.6 .11 19% .43 81% .35 1.31 54% 55% 26% -4 0 0.95 40% 1.6 .65 8% .32 78% .25
Jan
3		 Lipscomb C- F B B- D+ 23% 12% 65% C+ D+ C F D C- F A+ F D A A+ C A- 26% 18% 56% A A F D+ F F F A F
1.05 43% 43% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 18% .07 100% .07 1.16 47% 20% 34% -6 0 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 8% .34 68% .23
Jan
8		 West Georgia F+ A- F F F 41% 7% 52% B- F C- A+ A+ F+ F C F F D- F+ C- F 30% 36% 34% B- F+ C F F F+ D- F F
1.02 70% 25% 21% -7 +2 0.93 29% 1.6 .47 18% .19 73% .14 1.19 63% 47% 33% +4 -3 1.06 29% 1.4 .42 13% .32 85% .27
Jan
10		 Queens D+ A- B+ D C 38% 15% 47% C+ C F A D B F A+ F D- D- A+ B+ B 45% 5% 49% F C+ F F F D- F+ C+ D-
1.13 70% 44% 32% +4 +1 1.12 23% 1.3 .29 12% .19 83% .16 1.23 68% 0% 30% -1 +2 1.05 38% 1.4 .54 12% .38 75% .28
Jan
15		 North Alabama A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 30% 13% 57% D+ A+ B- A A- A C+ A+ A F D- D F+ F 60% 10% 31% F F F+ F F F C- B- C
1.49 69% 57% 45% +15 0 1.33 38% 1.3 .50 10% .30 95% .28 1.30 61% 40% 38% +4 +3 1.15 36% 1.6 .58 13% .33 65% .21
Jan
17		 Central Arkansas D- F A+ C C- 24% 14% 63% D+ D+ F F F C- B F+ C+ F D- F F+ F 33% 11% 56% D+ F F D+ F F C- F D
0.98 50% 57% 34% +1 0 1.04 19% 0.6 .11 20% .32 67% .21 1.39 67% 67% 39% +10 +1 1.24 39% 1.1 .45 10% .28 78% .22
Jan
22		 Eastern Kentucky C B- A+ C+ C+ 45% 12% 43% A- B- B B B D+ D- B D+ F B- C- D- D+ 43% 9% 48% F D- D F F D+ C+ A+ A
1.22 65% 67% 36% +8 +2 1.22 38% 1.1 .41 17% .29 76% .22 1.20 52% 40% 38% +1 +2 1.07 35% 1.5 .53 15% .25 47% .12
Jan
24		 Bellarmine A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 9% 60% B A+ F A+ A- A C A+ B+ F F B- F F 55% 9% 36% F+ F C F F F B- C- C+
1.48 83% 80% 46% +22 +1 1.48 26% 2.0 .52 11% .33 87% .28 1.44 76% 33% 42% +13 +3 1.34 21% 1.8 .38 8% .27 80% .22
Jan
29		 Stetson D B- C F F+ 44% 10% 46% B+ D- D A- C D+ C+ A+ B F C+ D D- D 43% 13% 44% F D- F B D F D B C-
1.11 65% 40% 25% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.3 .38 16% .29 82% .24 1.21 57% 43% 38% +2 +1 1.09 34% 0.9 .32 9% .32 65% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Lipscomb A C F A+ A- 33% 5% 62% A A B+ A A C- C- A+ A- F F C+ F F 59% 5% 36% F F A F D+ F B- C- B-
1.29 61% 0% 44% +8 +2 1.22 37% 1.2 .43 18% .27 94% .25 1.37 69% 33% 45% +13 +3 1.34 18% 1.6 .29 8% .19 77% .15
Feb
5		 West Georgia C- C+ A A- B 45% 11% 43% C+ B D F F F D+ C D+ B B A+ A+ A+ 27% 30% 42% C A+ C- D+ D+ F B- C- C+
1.09 63% 50% 39% +7 +2 1.19 26% 0.6 .15 22% .31 72% .22 0.98 50% 20% 21% -16 -2 0.67 30% 1.1 .34 3% .24 71% .17
Feb
7		 Queens D- F+ F A+ C- 26% 19% 55% D C- F F F F A+ C- A F F F B D+ 33% 15% 53% C C- F D- F F+ A- F C-
1.04 50% 11% 46% +3 -1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 20% .45 72% .33 1.32 72% 50% 31% +4 0 1.11 41% 1.2 .50 12% .25 100% .25
Feb
11		 Florida Gulf Coast C F+ A C+ C- 29% 11% 61% C C- C F+ D+ B- B- D C+ F D F F F 42% 32% 26% C+ F D C- D F F A+ F+
1.11 50% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 31% 0.9 .28 15% .39 71% .27 1.24 64% 53% 43% +11 -1 1.21 33% 1.1 .36 11% .46 53% .25
Feb
14		 Jacksonville F+ F A+ A+ D- 64% 2% 33% A+ C- B- F+ C- F F F F D+ A+ D C- C+ 35% 16% 49% C- C+ B- F F F+ C F+ C-
0.96 48% 100% 43% -1 +4 1.10 33% 0.8 .26 22% .13 50% .07 1.08 40% 43% 33% -6 0 0.91 27% 2.1 .58 14% .28 79% .22
Feb
19		 Austin Peay F+ B- B+ F F 41% 18% 41% C F D+ B C D+ A+ A A+ B B+ B- A+ A+ 63% 11% 27% F A- D+ F+ D- C- F C+ F
0.97 65% 44% 15% -8 0 0.88 27% 0.9 .24 19% .51 78% .40 0.99 49% 33% 20% -12 +3 0.84 30% 1.3 .40 15% .44 72% .32
Feb
21		 Stetson D+ F A+ C+ C- 33% 20% 47% D+ D+ C B C+ C- D+ F D F+ F A+ F F 31% 13% 56% D- F F A+ C C B- A+ A-
1.11 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.3 .41 16% .26 64% .17 1.19 73% 17% 44% +11 +1 1.25 40% 0.6 .26 19% .25 54% .13
Feb
26		 Florida Gulf Coast D+ C C+ F F 37% 10% 54% B- F C- B C C+ A A- A+ C+ A+ D- A+ A+ 37% 23% 40% D A+ C- F F F D+ C- D+
1.10 58% 40% 21% -10 +1 0.85 29% 1.2 .34 16% .45 81% .36 1.01 38% 46% 17% -16 0 0.70 30% 1.4 .41 7% .30 74% .22
Feb
28		 Jacksonville F F+ D F F 51% 6% 43% A F F F F D+ B- D C F B- F C- F 45% 23% 32% C F F C F B- A F B+
0.88 52% 33% 24% -10 +3 0.88 19% 0.6 .11 16% .40 65% .26 1.23 52% 69% 33% +4 0 1.11 53% 1.1 .57 19% .20 82% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%