Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#269
Expected Predictive Rating-15.5#350
Pace72.3#116
Improvement-1.0#255

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#179
First Shot-4.0#283
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#30
Layup/Dunks-10.7#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#68
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#18
Freethrows-2.8#324
Improvement+0.5#137

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#336
First Shot-5.3#341
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#170
Layups/Dunks-2.0#247
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
Freethrows-0.4#214
Improvement-1.5#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.8% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 9.8% 14.2% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 51.0% 57.0% 43.9%
Conference Champion 4.4% 5.6% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 4.3% 7.4%
First Four3.2% 3.4% 2.8%
First Round3.5% 4.4% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Away) - 54.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 49 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 128 Western Kentucky L 79-87 32%     0 - 1 -8.9 +0.2 -8.5
  Wed, Nov 12 11 @Vanderbilt L 62-92 1%     0 - 2 -8.4 -5.3 -1.9
  Tue, Nov 18 121 @Kent St. L 78-93 14%     0 - 3 -9.2 -5.8 -1.3
  Sat, Nov 22 194 Mercer L 83-95 48%     0 - 4 -17.1 +4.8 -21.7
  Mon, Nov 24 192 @Northern Kentucky L 71-82 26%     0 - 5 -10.0 -2.3 -7.6
  Sat, Nov 29 247 Wofford L 77-83 58%     0 - 6 -13.7 -1.9 -11.7
  Wed, Dec 3 92 @Illinois St. L 78-89 10%     0 - 7 -2.2 +7.9 -10.0
  Wed, Dec 10 329 @Eastern Illinois W 74-73 54%    
  Sat, Dec 13 112 Miami (OH) L 78-84 28%    
  Wed, Dec 17 239 @Jacksonville St. L 69-73 35%    
  Sun, Dec 21 91 @Wichita St. L 68-82 9%    
  Thu, Jan 1 196 @Queens L 79-85 28%    
  Sat, Jan 3 318 @West Georgia W 77-76 51%    
  Thu, Jan 8 200 North Alabama L 75-76 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 279 Central Arkansas W 78-74 62%    
  Thu, Jan 15 180 @Austin Peay L 72-79 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 292 Bellarmine W 82-77 66%    
  Thu, Jan 22 344 @North Florida W 86-83 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 291 @Jacksonville L 73-74 45%    
  Wed, Jan 28 180 Austin Peay L 75-76 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 279 @Central Arkansas L 75-77 41%    
  Thu, Feb 5 174 Florida Gulf Coast L 81-82 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 347 Stetson W 81-72 80%    
  Wed, Feb 11 161 @Lipscomb L 74-82 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 200 @North Alabama L 73-79 29%    
  Wed, Feb 18 318 West Georgia W 80-74 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 292 @Bellarmine L 79-80 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 196 Queens L 82-83 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 161 Lipscomb L 77-79 43%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.0 1.1 0.1 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 5.2 1.9 0.2 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.9 2.7 0.2 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.7 3.5 0.4 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.1 3.9 0.6 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.2 3.7 0.7 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.1 3.0 0.8 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.9 0.6 0.0 5.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.2 6.7 9.6 12.0 13.3 13.5 12.1 9.7 7.0 4.5 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.4% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 85.6% 0.9    0.7 0.2
14-4 60.6% 1.5    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 22.9% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0
12-6 4.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 24.3% 24.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 24.6% 24.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 23.3% 23.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8
14-4 2.5% 18.5% 18.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.0
13-5 4.5% 14.3% 14.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 3.8
12-6 7.0% 10.0% 10.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 6.3
11-7 9.7% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7 9.0
10-8 12.1% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7 11.4
9-9 13.5% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.5 13.0
8-10 13.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.0
7-11 12.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.8
6-12 9.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.5
5-13 6.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.7
4-14 4.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 4.0 95.2 0.0%