Villanova
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +14.1 35
Results Rating +16.8 23
Consistency 0.13 57
Pace 63.5 314
Improvement -2.1 260

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 44 B+ B- B+ C C+
Defense B+ 34 B- B- A- A- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 302 B+ 66% 30 +0.4 163
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 329 C+ 40% 122 -1.9 277
Three Pointers 51% 20 B 37% 75 +6.9 18
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 124 B+ +4.9 42
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 46
Second Chance B 34.4% 69 C 1.05 152 B- 0.36 74
Opponents' Steals A 6.7% 8
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 227
Turnovers B+ 14.2% 40
Freethrows C 0.31 175 C- 71% 225 C 0.22 199
Total Offense B+ +7.4 44

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 69 A- 6.6% 14
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 150 A 0.7% 4
Three Pointers C- 82% 229 C 0.9% 196
Total B 62% 51 A 2.8% 4


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 231 C+ 56% 125 -1.5 121
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 34 C 38% 163 +2.2 334
Three Pointers 36% 309 B- 32% 75 -3.6 39
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 51 B- -2.0 99
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 77
Second Chance C+ 28.7% 116 B 0.95 59 B- 0.27 77
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.1% 27
Other Turnovers B 8.5% 44
Turnovers A- 20.6% 19
Freethrows B+ 0.24 19 B 70% 59 A- 0.17 16
Total Defense B+ +6.7 34

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 132 D+ 9.1% 246
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 193 D 2.3% 320
Three Pointers B 78% 36 C 0.8% 171
Total B 50% 65 D+ 4.3% 286

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 223 18.4 318
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 115 0.11 27
Consistency 0.10 18 0.10 43
Improvement -2.9 311 +0.7 160

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 40 34 26
Results Rating Rank 29 24 15
Conference Record 14 - 6 15 - 5 15 - 5
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None 9 6
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 9% 10% 2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95% 96% 91%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 94% 95% 90%
Average Seed 8.5 8.4 9.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 3% 9%
First Round93% 94% 86%
Second Round46% 48% 39%
Sweet Sixteen9% 10% 8%
Elite Eight3% 3% 2%
Final Four1% 1% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Xavier (Home) - 84.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 13 - 7
Quad 28 - 011 - 7
Quad 310 - 121 - 8
Quad 44 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 23 BYU L 66 - 71 43% -6  4% 0 - 1 B +11 D+ -3 F A+ C+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 204 Queens W 94 - 74 95% +12  99% 1 - 1 B+ +15 A +13 C A B+ B- +2 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 289 Sacred Heart W 94 - 60 98% +21  92% 2 - 1 A+ +24 A+ +17 A+ B+ F A +9 C D A+
 Sat, Nov 15 127 Duquesne W 87 - 77 91% +6  66% 3 - 1 B +9 A +12 D+ A+ C- C- -3 F A- A+
 Wed, Nov 19 209 @La Salle W 70 - 55 90% +11  99% 4 - 1 A- +15 B+ +9 A+ D+ F A +9 D+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 248 Old Dominion W 89 - 75 97% +6  79% 5 - 1 B- +6 A +14 A+ A- A- D- -7 D+ F C-
 Mon, Dec 1 165 Temple W 74 - 56 94% +5  89% 6 - 1 B+ +14 A- +11 C+ C+ C A- +8 B+ B+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 162 Penn W 90 - 63 91% +15  96% 7 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +21 A+ C+ B- A- +7 B C- A
 Tue, Dec 9 2 @Michigan L 61 - 89 8% -23  1% 7 - 2 C+ +2 D -5 C+ D- C- A +10 A+ C+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 95 Pittsburgh W 79 - 61 86% +6  81% 8 - 2 A +21 A+ +21 A+ B A+ B- +3 A+ F A-
 Fri, Dec 19 24 Wisconsin W 76 - 66 OT 44% +7  95% 9 - 2 A+ +26 B +7 C A A A+ +19 A- C A+
 Tue, Dec 23 52 @Seton Hall W 64 - 56 52% +8  90% 10 - 2 1 - 0 A +22 B +7 A+ A- F A+ +15 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 90 DePaul W 71 - 66 84% -2  25% 11 - 2 2 - 0 B +8 B- +4 C D A+ B +4 B C+ A-
 Sat, Jan 3 84 @Butler W 85 - 67 66% +3  47% 12 - 2 3 - 0 A+ +28 A +12 A+ C- B- A+ +16 A+ F A
 Wed, Jan 7 67 Creighton L 72 - 76 79% +2  69% 12 - 3 3 - 1 C+ +2 B +6 C C+ A+ D -5 D+ D D+
 Sat, Jan 10 79 @Marquette W 76 - 73 64% +3  94% 13 - 3 4 - 1 B+ +13 A+ +15 A+ B A C- -2 D B+ C-
 Tue, Jan 13 72 @Providence W 88 - 82 61% +7  87% 14 - 3 5 - 1 A- +17 A+ +15 A+ C- C B- +2 D+ C A-
 Sat, Jan 17 19 St. John's L 79 - 86 48% -5  14% 14 - 4 5 - 2 B- +8 A +12 A+ A B- D+ -4 D+ B- C-
 Wed, Jan 21 80 Georgetown W 66 - 51 82% +8  74% 15 - 4 6 - 2 A +19 C -0 C- C+ B A+ +21 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 7 @Connecticut L 67 - 75 OT 19% +2  66% 15 - 5 6 - 3 A- +16 B+ +9 D- A+ B+ B+ +6 A+ D- D+
 Fri, Jan 30 72 Providence W 87 - 73 80% +10  88% 16 - 5 7 - 3 A +19 A +12 A+ F A+ A- +8 B- A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 52 Seton Hall W 72 - 60 73% +10  94% 17 - 5 8 - 3 A +20 A +13 A+ D- C A- +8 B+ A+ C
 Sat, Feb 7 80 @Georgetown W 80 - 73 64% -1  32% 18 - 5 9 - 3 A- +17 A- +10 A+ C A- A- +7 A F A+
 Tue, Feb 10 79 Marquette W 77 - 74 82% +3  69% 19 - 5 10 - 3 B- +7 B- +5 C A- A- B- +2 D+ D- A+
 Sat, Feb 14 67 @Creighton W 80 - 69 59% +9  93% 20 - 5 11 - 3 A +23 A- +10 C A- A+ A+ +13 B+ A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 17 86 @Xavier W 92 - 89 OT 67% +2  68% 21 - 5 12 - 3 B+ +13 B+ +9 C B- A+ B- +3 D+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 7 Connecticut L 63 - 73 37% -6  20% 21 - 6 12 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 B C+ A- B- +3 C- D A+
 Wed, Feb 25 84 Butler W 82 - 73 83% +5  88% 22 - 6 13 - 4 B+ +13 B +7 B C+ A B+ +6 A- C- A
 Sat, Feb 28 19 @St. John's L 57 - 89 27% -19  1% 22 - 7 13 - 5 D- -11 F+ -8 D C- C- C- -2 D- C+ D
 Wed, Mar 4 90 @DePaul W 76 - 57 68% +5  62% 23 - 7 14 - 5 A+ +28 B+ +8 B D+ A A+ +20 A A+ A+
 Sat, Mar 7 86 Xavier W 82 - 71 84%
Totals 24 - 7 15 - 5 +14 B+ +7 A+ B+ C+ B+ +7 B C- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ C+ B B+ 34% 23% 51% C+ B+ B C B- B+ C C- C B+ C+ C B- B- 37% 27% 36% B B- C+ B B- A- B+ B A-
1.19 66% 40% 37% +5 0 1.13 34% 1.0 .36 14% .31 71% .22 0.99 56% 38% 32% -2 -1 0.96 29% 0.9 .27 21% .24 70% .22
Nov
3		 BYU D+ F F F F 29% 17% 54% A- F A A+ A+ C+ B- F D+ A+ A- A+ B A+ 51% 20% 29% F A+ A+ A+ A+ F C A B-
0.97 33% 22% 18% -23 0 0.56 35% 1.8 .65 16% .26 53% .14 1.04 54% 27% 31% -6 +1 0.93 27% 0.8 .23 6% .33 67% .22
Nov
8		 Queens A A+ F F C- 54% 14% 32% B+ C A+ F+ A B+ A- C- B+ B- D+ F F F 49% 13% 38% F+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ C+
1.38 80% 13% 22% +2 +2 1.11 56% 0.9 .51 12% .42 72% .30 1.08 64% 67% 47% +14 +2 1.33 13% 0.7 .09 23% .31 75% .23
Nov
11		 Sacred Heart A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 20% 6% 74% C A+ A D+ B+ F F D- F A B- A+ F+ C 31% 17% 52% C C D+ D D A+ A+ A+ A+
1.43 82% 67% 50% +24 +1 1.52 43% 1.0 .43 20% .11 67% .08 0.91 53% 13% 40% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 26% .06 67% .04
Nov
15		 Duquesne A B- F C D 45% 17% 38% B+ D+ A+ C A+ C- A+ B- A+ C- A F F F 41% 13% 46% B- F F A+ A- A+ D+ A C
1.25 62% 0% 33% -5 +1 0.94 55% 1.0 .55 19% .58 76% .44 1.11 47% 67% 52% +12 +1 1.28 38% 0.6 .22 24% .38 65% .25
Nov
19		 La Salle B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 45% 5% 50% A A+ A+ F D+ F D F D- A C+ F B D 44% 33% 23% B D+ D- A+ A+ A+ B A+ A
1.18 79% 50% 38% +13 +3 1.33 46% 0.6 .29 22% .22 60% .13 0.92 53% 50% 30% 0 -1 1.00 39% 0.4 .15 27% .30 62% .18
Nov
25		 Old Dominion A A+ A- C A+ 35% 18% 47% C A+ C- A+ A- A- A C- A- D- A A- F D 28% 24% 48% C D+ B- F F C- F C+ F
1.34 89% 44% 33% +12 0 1.25 29% 1.4 .42 11% .44 73% .32 1.13 46% 27% 45% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.7 .38 15% .39 73% .28
Dec
1		 Temple A- D D- A C+ 35% 13% 52% B- C+ A+ F C+ C C F+ C- A- A C D B 37% 44% 20% A+ B+ A C- B+ A- C- B- C
1.28 53% 33% 40% +2 +1 1.08 54% 0.6 .33 16% .31 67% .20 0.97 47% 39% 38% -3 -3 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 17% .38 72% .27
Dec
6		 Penn A+ B- A A+ A+ 32% 15% 53% C A+ B- C- C+ B- D+ B+ C A- A- A F C+ 27% 37% 37% A+ B C- C- C- A A+ A+ A+
1.36 65% 50% 54% +19 0 1.42 33% 0.9 .30 15% .23 69% .16 0.96 46% 28% 44% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.0 .32 21% .23 33% .08
Dec
9		 Michigan D F A- F C+ 14% 25% 61% C- C+ F A D- C- C+ F C- A D F A+ A+ 35% 15% 51% A A+ B D+ C+ C C- A+ A-
0.78 38% 43% 26% -9 -2 0.79 14% 1.2 .16 19% .22 64% .14 1.14 68% 50% 25% -2 +1 1.00 36% 1.5 .52 15% .38 56% .21
Dec
13		 Pittsburgh A+ B+ F A+ A+ 45% 9% 45% A- A+ C A B A+ A+ C A+ B- B- D A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% D+ A+ F D+ F A- B- C+ B-
1.36 65% 25% 45% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.1 .30 5% .44 75% .33 1.05 55% 43% 20% -10 +1 0.85 44% 1.1 .47 21% .26 67% .17
Dec
19		 Wisconsin B F+ B- C C 24% 26% 50% D+ C A A- A A B+ D+ B A+ A+ B- F A 39% 16% 45% B- A- A+ F C A+ A+ A+ A+
1.10 46% 43% 33% -2 -2 0.94 33% 1.1 .38 12% .31 68% .21 0.96 42% 38% 41% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.7 .36 23% .19 60% .11
Dec
23		 Seton Hall B D C- A+ A+ 38% 8% 54% B+ A+ C A+ A- F C+ F D+ A+ D A+ A A+ 46% 31% 23% B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ D+ B- B B
1.01 47% 33% 48% +6 +2 1.18 30% 1.3 .37 29% .35 63% .22 0.89 64% 0% 27% -12 -1 0.77 35% 0.6 .20 14% .30 69% .20
Dec
31		 DePaul B- F F A+ C 31% 27% 42% D+ C B F D A+ A+ C- A+ B B+ C C B- 41% 29% 29% B+ B D+ B+ C+ A- A+ A+ A+
1.06 33% 23% 50% -2 -1 0.96 33% 0.6 .20 12% .53 68% .36 0.99 52% 40% 33% -2 -1 0.96 33% 1.0 .33 21% .23 58% .13
Jan
3		 Butler A A+ C+ B A+ 40% 25% 36% C- A+ D B- C- B- A+ C- A A+ B+ A A+ A+ 37% 19% 44% B+ A+ C- F F A A+ F B
1.20 81% 38% 37% +11 0 1.23 23% 1.0 .23 15% .33 70% .23 0.94 53% 30% 17% -15 0 0.73 36% 1.5 .56 20% .25 93% .23
Jan
7		 Creighton B C A+ F C+ 36% 31% 34% D+ C B D C+ A+ C- B- C D C- F B+ D- 28% 32% 40% A+ D+ F A D D+ D+ A C
1.14 57% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.97 32% 0.9 .29 10% .19 73% .14 1.21 64% 69% 30% +9 -2 1.16 42% 0.8 .35 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
10		 Marquette A+ A+ A+ D- A+ 37% 16% 47% C+ A+ D- A+ B A F A+ F C- C F D- D 43% 4% 53% C- D D+ A+ B+ C- B- F C-
1.20 74% 88% 29% +10 +1 1.24 26% 1.3 .35 16% .13 100% .13 1.15 59% 50% 37% +3 +2 1.14 33% 0.7 .23 14% .28 80% .22
Jan
13		 Providence A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 31% 24% 45% C- A+ A+ F C- C B- A- B B- F F A+ D 41% 16% 43% C D+ A+ F C A- B A- A-
1.27 81% 42% 43% +15 -1 1.29 41% 0.6 .26 14% .30 78% .24 1.18 90% 50% 24% +8 +1 1.20 26% 1.6 .41 19% .30 71% .21
Jan
17		 St. John's A C+ A- A+ A+ 28% 20% 52% C- A+ C A+ A B- A+ B A+ D+ D C- D+ D 45% 27% 29% A- D+ C+ B- B- C- F A- F+
1.11 54% 44% 42% +6 -1 1.13 27% 1.4 .38 20% .42 75% .32 1.21 64% 38% 36% +3 0 1.08 36% 1.1 .39 13% .50 68% .34
Jan
21		 Georgetown C B- F D- D 49% 16% 35% A C- C+ C C+ B C- C+ C A+ D+ A+ B- A 18% 32% 50% A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ B A+ A-
1.05 58% 13% 29% -6 +1 0.92 31% 1.0 .31 14% .28 73% .20 0.81 63% 21% 32% -6 -3 0.84 34% 0.5 .17 27% .31 64% .20
Jan
24		 Connecticut B+ F F D+ D- 29% 25% 45% D+ D- A+ A+ A+ B+ A A- A+ B+ A- A+ F+ A+ 35% 24% 41% A A+ D D+ D- D+ F F+ F
1.04 33% 23% 30% -14 -1 0.73 38% 1.4 .52 17% .41 77% .32 1.16 53% 17% 40% -3 -1 0.94 41% 1.2 .49 14% .40 77% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Providence A B+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% C+ A+ F C F A+ A- F B- A- B- F C C 34% 26% 40% A B- C A+ A A+ A A+ A+
1.27 63% 60% 43% +12 0 1.26 15% 1.0 .15 7% .35 64% .22 1.06 59% 54% 35% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .28 20% .26 64% .16
Feb
4		 Seton Hall A A+ A+ C+ A+ 29% 13% 58% C A+ A F D- C A+ A- A+ A- C F+ A+ A- 48% 22% 30% C- B+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ F B+
1.14 77% 50% 35% +8 0 1.18 41% 0.5 .19 24% .46 77% .35 0.95 58% 45% 13% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.8 .19 16% .21 91% .19
Feb
7		 Georgetown A- A+ D B- A+ 29% 19% 52% C+ A+ C+ D C A- A+ F B- A- A+ F A+ A- 26% 36% 38% A+ A D+ F F A+ F D F
1.16 86% 33% 36% +9 0 1.19 32% 0.9 .29 13% .47 50% .23 1.06 38% 50% 26% -5 -3 0.86 36% 1.4 .49 20% .42 78% .33
Feb
10		 Marquette B- D+ F B- C 32% 9% 60% B C B+ B+ A- A- A+ F A+ B- D- F A- D 42% 9% 49% B- D+ A+ F D- A+ F F F
1.10 53% 0% 36% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .41 17% .53 58% .31 1.06 67% 75% 29% +3 +2 1.12 21% 1.8 .38 26% .38 90% .35
Feb
14		 Creighton A- B- C- D- C 37% 26% 37% C C B- A A- A+ A+ B A+ A+ F A A- B+ 31% 25% 44% A- B+ D+ A+ A+ B+ B+ A+ A+
1.15 60% 36% 30% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.3 .38 10% .30 74% .22 0.99 76% 29% 29% 0 -1 1.00 31% 0.5 .17 17% .21 58% .12
Feb
17		 Xavier B+ B- F B C 32% 20% 48% C C B- C+ B- A+ B- F+ C B- C F+ F D 37% 30% 33% C+ D+ D+ F F A+ B+ F C+
1.17 62% 23% 38% +1 0 1.03 29% 0.9 .27 8% .30 64% .19 1.13 62% 47% 42% +8 -1 1.16 30% 1.4 .42 20% .21 85% .18
Feb
21		 Connecticut C+ C+ A+ F B 37% 19% 44% C+ B B- C C+ A- D- F F B- F F B D+ 44% 20% 36% B- C- F+ C+ D A+ B F C
1.00 53% 50% 26% -5 0 0.92 29% 0.9 .26 16% .26 64% .17 1.16 75% 56% 31% +10 +1 1.22 43% 1.1 .48 22% .27 85% .22
Feb
25		 Butler B A+ A+ D- B+ 28% 19% 53% C- B D A+ C+ A C+ C C+ B+ D+ B+ A+ B+ 47% 26% 28% B+ A- C+ D C- A F F F
1.17 75% 55% 29% +4 -1 1.09 22% 1.3 .28 13% .23 71% .16 1.04 64% 33% 23% -3 0 0.96 33% 1.2 .40 20% .48 81% .39
Feb
28		 St. John's F+ D- F D- F+ 41% 16% 43% B- D F A+ C- C- C+ F D+ C- D+ C+ F F 43% 31% 26% A+ D- A+ F C+ D C+ B- B-
0.79 45% 13% 29% -13 +1 0.78 14% 1.8 .24 22% .28 63% .18 1.23 61% 35% 50% +7 -1 1.13 28% 1.5 .41 11% .37 71% .26
Mar
4		 DePaul B+ C- A+ B- B 38% 24% 38% C+ B D+ D+ D+ A A- B+ A A+ D+ C A+ A+ 46% 21% 33% D+ A A+ B+ A+ A+ B- C+ B-
1.08 53% 50% 37% +2 0 1.06 25% 0.9 .22 16% .39 74% .29 0.81 64% 40% 13% -8 0 0.88 16% 1.0 .16 23% .29 69% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 15.6 84.4 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 15.6 84.4 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 84.4% 95.6% 11.1% 84.5% 8.4 0.0 0.2 1.6 6.5 12.8 19.1 22.3 15.5 2.6 3.7 95.0%
14-6 15.6% 90.7% 10.2% 80.4% 9.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 4.5 4.6 1.4 1.5 89.6%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 94.8% 11.0% 83.8% 8.5 5.2 94.2%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.4% 100.0% 6.6 0.2 1.9 12.0 34.3 32.9 15.2 3.4 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 13.7% 98.0% 7.7 0.2 2.3 12.7 26.4 30.2 18.4 7.1 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 40.5% 95.5% 8.7 0.1 0.2 3.1 12.3 24.6 31.7 20.3 3.2
Lose Out 4.0% 82.7% 9.6 0.3 1.8 5.3 25.6 36.4 13.3