Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#263
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#251
Pace68.6#164
Improvement+0.2#190

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#243
First Shot-4.9#307
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#47
Layup/Dunks+0.1#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#166
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#331
Freethrows+0.2#162
Improvement-1.0#230

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#261
First Shot-3.3#286
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#152
Layups/Dunks-5.7#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#45
Freethrows-2.3#327
Improvement+1.2#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 9.1% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 42.2% 100.0% 19.9%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.0% 3.4% 5.6%
First Round5.6% 7.3% 5.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 412 - 1015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 313   @ Army L 59-67 53%     0 - 1 -14.3 -14.9 +0.3
  Nov 13, 2024 173   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 23%     1 - 1 +16.1 +16.3 -0.5
  Nov 16, 2024 237   Siena W 70-60 56%     2 - 1 +3.0 -2.3 +5.9
  Nov 23, 2024 235   UMKC W 67-65 45%     3 - 1 -2.2 +0.8 -2.8
  Nov 24, 2024 249   American L 77-81 47%     3 - 2 -8.9 +1.2 -10.0
  Nov 30, 2024 78   @ Georgetown L 68-100 8%     3 - 3 -22.2 -3.8 -15.6
  Dec 04, 2024 284   Columbia W 88-73 66%     4 - 3 +5.2 +3.2 +1.3
  Dec 07, 2024 292   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 46%     4 - 4 -10.6 +1.3 -12.0
  Dec 10, 2024 109   @ Syracuse L 85-102 14%     4 - 5 -10.7 +11.0 -21.0
  Dec 14, 2024 191   Drexel L 70-77 46%     4 - 6 -11.5 +1.1 -12.9
  Dec 18, 2024 259   @ Sacred Heart W 74-66 39%     5 - 6 +5.3 -2.1 +7.4
  Dec 21, 2024 217   @ Fordham L 83-87 31%     5 - 7 -4.3 +1.5 -5.4
  Dec 29, 2024 321   Stony Brook W 77-70 74%     6 - 7 -5.3 +0.1 -5.0
  Jan 04, 2025 230   Umass Lowell L 69-73 53%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -10.4 -6.1 -4.5
  Jan 09, 2025 352   @ New Hampshire W 61-57 68%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -6.4 -11.6 +5.4
  Jan 11, 2025 224   @ Maine L 66-87 31%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -21.5 -6.4 -14.7
  Jan 16, 2025 158   Bryant L 79-89 38%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -12.4 +2.3 -14.4
  Jan 18, 2025 304   @ Binghamton W 70-65 50%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -0.5 +2.9 -2.8
  Jan 23, 2025 299   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 87-92 OT 68%     8 - 11 2 - 4 -15.6 -6.5 -8.4
  Jan 25, 2025 353   NJIT W 68-62 84%     9 - 11 3 - 4 -10.2 -3.5 -6.1
  Feb 01, 2025 304   Binghamton L 61-65 70%     9 - 12 3 - 5 -14.9 -15.3 +0.4
  Feb 06, 2025 158   @ Bryant W 68-63 21%     10 - 12 4 - 5 +8.0 -0.2 +8.4
  Feb 08, 2025 209   Vermont L 62-68 49%     10 - 13 4 - 6 -11.2 +0.5 -12.8
  Feb 13, 2025 230   @ Umass Lowell W 90-88 OT 33%     11 - 13 5 - 6 +1.0 +5.9 -5.0
  Feb 20, 2025 224   Maine W 79-68 51%     12 - 13 6 - 6 +5.1 +5.6 -0.5
  Feb 22, 2025 352   New Hampshire L 60-71 83%     12 - 14 6 - 7 -26.9 -18.7 -8.3
  Feb 27, 2025 299   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-74 48%     13 - 14 7 - 7 -1.1 +3.3 -4.2
  Mar 01, 2025 353   @ NJIT W 86-59 69%     14 - 14 8 - 7 +16.2 +14.4 +3.1
  Mar 04, 2025 209   @ Vermont L 62-68 28%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 9.9 9.9 3rd
4th 72.1 18.0 90.1 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 72.1 27.9 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 27.9% 9.1% 9.1% 15.8 0.4 2.1 25.4
8-8 72.1% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.2 5.7 66.3
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.6 7.8 91.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.5% 100.0% 15.8 17.0 83.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.3%
Lose Out 29.7%