Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#271
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#259
Pace70.4#126
Improvement-2.5#297

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#231
First Shot-4.6#305
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#41
Layup/Dunks+0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#327
Freethrows+0.2#161
Improvement-1.4#266

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#289
First Shot-4.1#305
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#172
Layups/Dunks-6.1#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#46
Freethrows-2.5#335
Improvement-1.1#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 5.5% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 26.3% 32.5% 10.2%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 53.2% 21.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.0% 7.2%
First Four3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
First Round3.6% 4.0% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 72.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 413 - 914 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 298   @ Army L 59-67 46%     0 - 1 -13.1 -13.7 +0.3
  Nov 13, 2024 269   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 40%     1 - 1 +10.5 +11.7 -1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 261   Siena W 70-60 58%     2 - 1 +1.8 -1.9 +4.2
  Nov 23, 2024 229   UMKC W 67-65 41%     3 - 1 -1.8 +0.6 -2.2
  Nov 24, 2024 232   American L 77-81 42%     3 - 2 -8.0 -0.3 -7.6
  Nov 30, 2024 88   @ Georgetown L 68-100 8%     3 - 3 -22.6 -3.3 -16.4
  Dec 04, 2024 219   Columbia W 88-73 48%     4 - 3 +9.3 +4.8 +3.8
  Dec 07, 2024 285   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 44%     4 - 4 -10.5 +1.2 -11.7
  Dec 10, 2024 104   @ Syracuse L 85-102 12%     4 - 5 -10.5 +12.1 -21.9
  Dec 14, 2024 196   Drexel L 70-77 42%     4 - 6 -11.1 +0.0 -11.4
  Dec 18, 2024 284   @ Sacred Heart W 74-66 44%     5 - 6 +3.5 -3.6 +7.1
  Dec 21, 2024 199   @ Fordham L 83-87 25%     5 - 7 -3.2 +3.4 -6.3
  Dec 29, 2024 317   Stony Brook W 77-70 71%     6 - 7 -4.9 +0.5 -5.0
  Jan 04, 2025 211   Umass Lowell L 69-73 47%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -9.2 -5.7 -3.7
  Jan 09, 2025 356   @ New Hampshire W 61-57 69%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -7.2 -11.2 +4.3
  Jan 11, 2025 188   @ Maine L 66-87 24%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -19.7 -4.6 -14.7
  Jan 16, 2025 151   Bryant L 79-89 33%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -11.7 +2.2 -13.5
  Jan 18, 2025 316   @ Binghamton W 70-65 53%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -1.7 +0.2 -1.4
  Jan 23, 2025 243   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 87-92 OT 55%     8 - 11 2 - 4 -12.4 -4.5 -7.2
  Jan 25, 2025 338   NJIT W 68-62 77%     9 - 11 3 - 4 -8.0 -0.8 -6.5
  Feb 01, 2025 316   Binghamton W 76-70 72%    
  Feb 06, 2025 151   @ Bryant L 77-86 18%    
  Feb 08, 2025 242   Vermont W 67-66 57%    
  Feb 13, 2025 211   @ Umass Lowell L 77-83 27%    
  Feb 20, 2025 188   Maine L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 356   New Hampshire W 77-67 84%    
  Feb 27, 2025 243   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 80-84 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 338   @ NJIT W 69-66 59%    
  Mar 04, 2025 242   @ Vermont L 64-68 35%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 7.6 4.7 0.8 0.0 15.9 3rd
4th 0.0 2.9 11.5 5.5 0.5 20.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.6 12.3 7.8 0.6 0.0 23.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 11.4 9.0 0.8 23.0 6th
7th 0.6 5.1 5.2 0.4 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 1.8 0.2 3.5 8th
9th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 9th
Total 0.3 2.5 8.7 19.4 24.7 22.8 13.9 6.1 1.5 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 35.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
11-5 1.5% 13.1% 13.1% 15.5 0.1 0.1 1.3
10-6 6.1% 8.7% 8.7% 15.8 0.1 0.4 5.6
9-7 13.9% 6.8% 6.8% 15.8 0.2 0.8 13.0
8-8 22.8% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.1 1.3 21.4
7-9 24.7% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 1.0 23.7
6-10 19.4% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.7 18.7
5-11 8.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 8.5
4-12 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-13 0.3% 0.3
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 4.5 95.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%