Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#250
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#281
Pace66.3#236
Improvement+3.6#36

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#294
First Shot-0.4#186
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#354
Layup/Dunks-1.1#218
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
Freethrows+1.7#79
Improvement+1.9#78

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#190
First Shot-3.4#283
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#10
Layups/Dunks-5.7#353
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#115
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement+1.7#92
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.7% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 4.7% 7.2% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 49.7% 23.9%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.2% 2.9%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 107   @ Virginia L 56-65 15%     0 - 1 -2.8 -0.2 -4.3
  Nov 10, 2024 344   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 82%     0 - 2 -15.6 -14.5 -1.1
  Nov 17, 2024 292   @ Navy W 86-66 49%     1 - 2 +15.2 +8.9 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2024 36   @ Ohio St. L 60-104 4%     1 - 3 -28.7 -7.7 -19.2
  Nov 24, 2024 261   @ Evansville L 53-66 42%     1 - 4 -15.9 -14.0 -2.7
  Nov 30, 2024 332   @ Green Bay W 72-66 63%     2 - 4 -2.5 -8.1 +5.4
  Dec 04, 2024 293   Coastal Carolina L 57-58 69%     2 - 5 -11.3 -15.6 +4.2
  Dec 12, 2024 352   @ The Citadel W 86-58 69%     3 - 5 +17.8 +17.5 +2.8
  Dec 15, 2024 333   @ Morgan St. L 76-86 64%     3 - 6 -18.7 -3.7 -14.9
  Dec 18, 2024 197   Longwood L 55-77 47%     3 - 7 -26.4 -16.4 -11.5
  Dec 29, 2024 26   @ North Carolina L 81-97 3%     3 - 8 +0.5 +15.5 -14.7
  Jan 02, 2025 186   Drexel W 57-54 45%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -0.9 -15.2 +14.3
  Jan 04, 2025 135   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-77 18%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -3.5 +3.4 -7.7
  Jan 09, 2025 254   @ Hampton W 66-55 41%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +8.3 +0.3 +9.3
  Jan 13, 2025 158   @ Elon L 68-81 22%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -9.8 +1.8 -12.7
  Jan 16, 2025 126   College of Charleston L 61-67 33%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -6.4 -10.9 +4.5
  Jan 18, 2025 268   Monmouth W 81-58 64%     6 - 11 3 - 3 +14.2 +7.4 +7.7
  Jan 23, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 175   @ Hofstra L 58-65 25%    
  Jan 30, 2025 194   William & Mary L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 175   Hofstra L 60-62 44%    
  Feb 06, 2025 158   Elon L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 322   N.C. A&T W 77-70 75%    
  Feb 13, 2025 202   @ Northeastern L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 195   @ Delaware L 72-78 27%    
  Feb 20, 2025 322   @ N.C. A&T W 75-73 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 174   Towson L 62-64 44%    
  Feb 27, 2025 135   UNC Wilmington L 67-71 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 126   @ College of Charleston L 68-78 17%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 0.9 0.1 2.4 3rd
4th 0.8 2.4 0.4 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 1.6 0.1 5.0 5th
6th 0.0 2.4 4.5 0.4 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 6.5 2.3 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.4 5.6 6.2 0.4 12.6 8th
9th 0.1 3.7 9.0 2.1 0.0 14.9 9th
10th 0.2 2.7 8.2 4.7 0.1 15.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.9 6.3 5.6 0.8 14.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 3.7 3.6 0.9 0.0 9.4 12th
13th 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 13th
14th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.5 2.5 6.4 12.9 18.8 21.0 17.5 11.2 6.0 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 81.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-5 31.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.2% 19.0% 19.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 6.8% 6.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 2.3% 9.4% 9.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.1
11-7 6.0% 4.9% 4.9% 15.6 0.1 0.2 5.7
10-8 11.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.9
9-9 17.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 17.2
8-10 21.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 20.9
7-11 18.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 18.7
6-12 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 6.4% 6.4
4-14 2.5% 2.5
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%