Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#257
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#309
Pace66.3#269
Improvement+1.0#81

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#257
First Shot-2.3#245
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#207
Layup/Dunks+1.6#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#236
Freethrows-2.0#278
Improvement+0.0#167

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#238
First Shot-7.6#359
After Offensive Rebounds+5.5#5
Layups/Dunks-5.7#341
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#71
Freethrows-1.2#252
Improvement+1.0#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 3.1% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 21.3% 53.3% 20.6%
.500 or above in Conference 31.0% 53.3% 30.6%
Conference Champion 1.6% 5.2% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 14.9% 5.4% 15.1%
First Four0.4% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round1.6% 3.0% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Away) - 2.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 58   @ Virginia L 56-65 7%     0 - 1 +3.0 +2.7 -1.4
  Nov 10, 2024 342   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 84%     0 - 2 -16.2 -13.1 -3.1
  Nov 17, 2024 309   @ Navy W 86-66 52%     1 - 2 +14.6 +8.8 +5.5
  Nov 22, 2024 21   @ Ohio St. L 57-79 2%    
  Nov 24, 2024 299   @ Evansville L 71-72 48%    
  Nov 30, 2024 251   @ Green Bay L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 04, 2024 295   Coastal Carolina W 69-64 69%    
  Dec 12, 2024 317   @ The Citadel W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 15, 2024 332   @ Morgan St. W 75-73 57%    
  Dec 18, 2024 179   Longwood L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 29, 2024 8   @ North Carolina L 64-89 1%    
  Jan 02, 2025 144   Drexel L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 04, 2025 150   @ UNC Wilmington L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 09, 2025 307   @ Hampton W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 207   @ Elon L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 16, 2025 112   College of Charleston L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 18, 2025 265   Monmouth W 74-70 62%    
  Jan 23, 2025 302   @ Stony Brook L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 134   @ Hofstra L 62-72 20%    
  Jan 30, 2025 210   William & Mary W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 134   Hofstra L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 06, 2025 207   Elon W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 08, 2025 285   N.C. A&T W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 13, 2025 149   @ Northeastern L 66-74 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 216   @ Delaware L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 20, 2025 285   @ N.C. A&T L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 22, 2025 129   Towson L 63-67 36%    
  Feb 27, 2025 150   UNC Wilmington L 71-73 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 112   @ College of Charleston L 68-80 16%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 3.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.0 0.1 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 2.9 0.5 0.0 6.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 4.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 4.4 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.7 1.0 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.2 1.9 0.1 11.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.9 4.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 10.4 13th
14th 0.3 1.4 2.7 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.7 14th
Total 0.3 1.5 3.6 6.2 8.9 11.3 12.5 12.9 11.7 10.2 7.9 5.5 3.6 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 78.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 47.7% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 19.5% 19.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.5% 13.9% 13.9% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.1% 16.0% 16.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.1% 11.3% 11.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.6% 8.9% 8.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.3
11-7 5.5% 5.2% 5.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.2
10-8 7.9% 3.0% 3.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.7
9-9 10.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.0
8-10 11.7% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.6
7-11 12.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.8
6-12 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
5-13 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
4-14 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
3-15 6.2% 6.2
2-16 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
1-17 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 98.2 0.0%