IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Tulane
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.6	#111
Expected Predictive Rating	+8.4	#27

Pace	66.8	#231
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.5	#84

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.1	#162

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.8%	9.5%	4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.3%	1.5%	0.3%
Average Seed	11.1	11.0	11.8

.500 or above	75.1%	78.4%	53.7%
.500 or above in Conference	59.8%	62.1%	44.6%
Conference Champion	7.8%	8.4%	3.6%
Last Place in Conference	5.7%	4.9%	10.7%

First Four	0.8%	0.9%	0.3%
First Round	8.4%	9.0%	4.0%
Second Round	2.0%	2.2%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Home) - 86.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 2	2 - 4	3 - 6
Quad 3	7 - 5	10 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 2	18 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	182	Samford	W	85-72	78%	1 - 0			+8.5	+14.3	-4.8
Nov 08, 2025	260	Texas St.	W	76-64	87%
Nov 11, 2025	248	@ Louisiana	W	73-68	69%
Nov 14, 2025	268	New Orleans	W	81-69	87%
Nov 21, 2025	52	Utah St.	L	71-78	27%
Nov 28, 2025	232	Nicholls St.	W	77-66	83%
Dec 02, 2025	286	Grambling St.	W	73-60	88%
Dec 06, 2025	92	Akron	W	78-77	54%
Dec 14, 2025	142	UC San Diego	W	71-68	60%
Dec 17, 2025	145	Louisiana Tech	W	71-65	71%
Dec 20, 2025	199	Portland St.	W	75-66	78%
Dec 31, 2025	154	@ East Carolina	W	71-70	53%
Jan 04, 2026	130	Florida Atlantic	W	77-72	66%
Jan 10, 2026	172	@ Texas San Antonio	W	76-75	55%
Jan 14, 2026	103	UAB	W	76-74	59%
Jan 18, 2026	98	North Texas	W	64-62	56%
Jan 21, 2026	130	@ Florida Atlantic	L	74-75	47%
Jan 25, 2026	174	@ Charlotte	W	72-70	56%
Jan 28, 2026	81	South Florida	W	75-74	50%
Feb 01, 2026	55	@ Memphis	L	71-80	22%
Feb 08, 2026	124	Wichita St.	W	76-71	65%
Feb 11, 2026	133	Temple	W	77-72	67%
Feb 15, 2026	103	@ UAB	L	73-77	39%
Feb 18, 2026	98	@ North Texas	L	61-65	37%
Feb 22, 2026	171	Rice	W	74-67	74%
Feb 25, 2026	144	Tulsa	W	74-68	69%
Mar 01, 2026	81	@ South Florida	L	71-77	32%
Mar 05, 2026	133	@ Temple	L	74-75	47%
Mar 08, 2026	55	Memphis	L	74-77	40%
Projected Record						17 - 12	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.1	2.2	2.1	1.4	0.5	0.1		7.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	2.4	3.7	2.4	0.8	0.1	0.0			10.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.7	2.8	4.0	1.8	0.4	0.0					9.7	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.8	4.4	2.0	0.3	0.0						10.0	4th
5th									0.2	2.4	4.8	2.2	0.3	0.0							9.9	5th
6th								0.1	1.5	4.5	2.8	0.4	0.0								9.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.9	3.8	3.3	0.5	0.0									8.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	2.8	3.8	0.8	0.0										8.0	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	2.0	3.7	1.3	0.1											7.3	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	1.5	3.1	1.7	0.1												6.5	10th
11th				0.2	1.0	2.4	1.7	0.2													5.5	11th
12th		0.0	0.3	0.9	1.7	1.3	0.3	0.0													4.5	12th
13th	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.1	0.7	0.2															3.1	13th

Total	0.1	0.4	0.9	2.2	3.6	5.5	7.5	9.4	10.6	11.5	11.6	10.5	9.1	7.0	5.0	3.0	1.5	0.5	0.1			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.1%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	92.1%	1.4		1.2	0.2	0.0
15-3	71.8%	2.1		1.4	0.6	0.1
14-4	43.3%	2.2		0.9	0.9	0.3	0.1
13-5	16.4%	1.1		0.3	0.6	0.3	0.1
12-6	3.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	7.8%	7.8		4.4	2.4	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		86.4%	68.2%	18.2%	5.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0						0.0		57.1%
17-1	0.5%		70.8%	41.5%	29.2%	8.1					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.2		50.0%
16-2	1.5%		57.9%	36.8%	21.2%	9.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.0					0.6		33.5%
15-3	3.0%		42.2%	31.3%	10.9%	10.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.7	0.1					1.7		15.9%
14-4	5.0%		28.3%	22.9%	5.5%	10.9								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	0.2	0.0				3.6		7.1%
13-5	7.0%		18.0%	16.8%	1.2%	11.3									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	0.4	0.0	0.0			5.7		1.5%
12-6	9.1%		14.2%	13.8%	0.4%	11.5											0.0	0.6	0.6	0.1				7.8		0.5%
11-7	10.5%		8.8%	8.6%	0.1%	11.8												0.3	0.5	0.1	0.0			9.6		0.2%
10-8	11.6%		5.0%	5.0%		11.9												0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0			11.0
9-9	11.5%		3.0%	3.0%		12.2												0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			11.1
8-10	10.6%		1.7%	1.7%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.4
7-11	9.4%		1.2%	1.2%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.3
6-12	7.5%		0.9%	0.9%		16.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	7.4
5-13	5.5%		0.3%	0.3%		15.0														0.0			0.0	5.5
4-14	3.6%		0.3%	0.3%		23.0																0.0	0.0	3.6
3-15	2.2%																							2.2
2-16	0.9%																							0.9
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		8.8%	7.6%	1.2%	11.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	1.0	3.8	2.4	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.1	91.2		1.3%