Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.2#360
Expected Predictive Rating-20.4#361
Pace72.3#115
Improvement+1.5#75

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#352
First Shot-2.1#230
After Offensive Rebound-5.8#365
Layup/Dunks-0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#233
Freethrows-1.2#245
Improvement-0.6#230

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#349
First Shot-3.7#297
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#316
Layups/Dunks-2.6#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#191
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#309
Freethrows+2.6#45
Improvement+2.2#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.6% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 4.0% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 58.8% 47.0% 59.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 44 - 115 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 333 @Northern Illinois L 82-102 25%     0 - 1 -27.3 -0.4 -25.6
  Fri, Nov 7 57 @Mississippi L 65-86 1%     0 - 2 -8.0 -4.7 -2.1
  Thu, Nov 13 263 @Houston Christian L 61-72 14%     0 - 3 -13.5 -14.8 +1.3
  Mon, Nov 17 214 Lamar L 66-79 23%     0 - 4 -19.5 -8.0 -11.2
  Sat, Nov 22 325 Morehead St. L 80-83 33%     0 - 5 -12.7 +1.4 -14.1
  Sun, Nov 23 117 @East Tennessee St. L 55-97 4%     0 - 6 -35.8 -13.8 -22.5
  Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66-52 85%     1 - 6 -11.1 -12.0 +1.9
  Sun, Dec 7 142 @Stephen F. Austin L 63-81 4%    
  Sat, Dec 13 32 @Miami (FL) L 60-91 0.2%   
  Wed, Dec 17 166 South Alabama L 66-76 16%    
  Sat, Dec 20 319 Louisiana L 67-69 42%    
  Sun, Dec 28 82 @Kansas St. L 69-93 1%    
  Thu, Jan 1 224 Southern Miss L 72-79 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 237 Texas St. L 67-74 27%    
  Thu, Jan 8 319 @Louisiana L 64-72 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 224 @Southern Miss L 69-82 11%    
  Sat, Jan 17 338 Georgia St. L 72-73 50%    
  Thu, Jan 22 172 @Marshall L 69-85 7%    
  Sat, Jan 24 282 @Appalachian St. L 62-73 17%    
  Thu, Jan 29 232 Georgia Southern L 75-82 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 235 Coastal Carolina L 71-78 27%    
  Wed, Feb 4 212 @Old Dominion L 68-82 11%    
  Wed, Feb 11 149 @Arkansas St. L 70-88 6%    
  Sat, Feb 14 237 @Texas St. L 64-77 13%    
  Wed, Feb 18 147 Troy L 68-80 15%    
  Sat, Feb 21 149 Arkansas St. L 73-85 15%    
  Wed, Feb 25 166 @South Alabama L 63-79 7%    
  Fri, Feb 27 147 @Troy L 65-83 6%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.2 1.0 0.0 7.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 4.3 5.4 2.1 0.2 13.4 12th
13th 0.7 4.2 8.6 8.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 25.1 13th
14th 5.0 12.1 14.5 9.3 3.2 0.5 0.0 44.7 14th
Total 5.0 12.9 18.8 19.2 16.3 11.8 7.6 4.3 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 80.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 30.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 16.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
9-9 1.0% 1.0
8-10 2.3% 2.3
7-11 4.3% 4.3
6-12 7.6% 7.6
5-13 11.8% 11.8
4-14 16.3% 16.3
3-15 19.2% 19.2
2-16 18.8% 18.8
1-17 12.9% 12.9
0-18 5.0% 5.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.9%