Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#67
Expected Predictive Rating+13.1#43
Pace71.4#137
Improvement-1.3#267

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#66
First Shot+2.1#120
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#38
Layup/Dunks+3.1#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#174
Freethrows-0.7#222
Improvement-2.0#330

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#72
First Shot+2.7#85
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#127
Layups/Dunks-2.9#292
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#35
Freethrows+2.7#43
Improvement+0.7#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.9% 2.0% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.2% 25.6% 14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.8% 25.2% 14.1%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.6
.500 or above 87.7% 88.6% 65.4%
.500 or above in Conference 33.8% 34.1% 24.8%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 3.5% 6.9%
First Four7.1% 7.2% 4.3%
First Round21.3% 21.7% 11.3%
Second Round8.9% 9.1% 3.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Carolina (Home) - 96.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 25 - 38 - 12
Quad 34 - 112 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 285 Charleston Southern W 98-67 95%     1 - 0 +21.1 +11.2 +6.7
  Sat, Nov 8 65 Providence W 107-101 OT 50%     2 - 0 +14.6 +13.0 +0.3
  Wed, Nov 12 178 Saint Joseph's W 94-59 88%     3 - 0 +30.6 +15.5 +13.2
  Sun, Nov 16 181 Charlotte W 84-76 88%     4 - 0 +3.4 +12.1 -8.2
  Wed, Nov 19 297 Bryant W 78-61 95%     5 - 0 +6.5 +3.2 +3.5
  Wed, Nov 26 72 Colorado St. W 66-64 52%     6 - 0 +9.9 +0.4 +9.8
  Thu, Nov 27 41 St. Mary's L 66-77 37%     6 - 1 +0.9 +2.3 -1.8
  Fri, Nov 28 42 Virginia Commonwealth L 68-86 38%     6 - 2 -6.4 +2.0 -8.2
  Tue, Dec 2 87 @South Carolina W 86-83 OT 48%     7 - 2 +12.1 +9.0 +2.8
  Sat, Dec 6 74 George Mason W 73-62 64%     8 - 2 +15.7 +8.6 +8.1
  Thu, Dec 11 289 Western Carolina W 86-67 96%    
  Sun, Dec 14 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-55 99%    
  Sat, Dec 20 184 Elon W 85-72 89%    
  Wed, Dec 31 23 Virginia L 74-77 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 50 @Wake Forest L 75-80 32%    
  Wed, Jan 7 85 Stanford W 80-75 67%    
  Sat, Jan 10 76 California W 78-74 64%    
  Wed, Jan 14 40 @SMU L 76-82 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 58 Notre Dame W 73-71 57%    
  Wed, Jan 21 60 @Syracuse L 72-76 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 13 @Louisville L 74-87 12%    
  Tue, Jan 27 135 Georgia Tech W 79-69 81%    
  Sat, Jan 31 3 Duke L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Feb 7 36 @North Carolina St. L 77-84 26%    
  Wed, Feb 11 33 @Clemson L 69-77 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 101 Florida St. W 84-77 73%    
  Tue, Feb 17 32 @Miami (FL) L 73-81 24%    
  Sat, Feb 21 50 Wake Forest W 78-77 54%    
  Sat, Feb 28 22 @North Carolina L 74-83 20%    
  Tue, Mar 3 145 Boston College W 76-66 83%    
  Sat, Mar 7 23 @Virginia L 71-80 20%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 3.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 3.5 0.8 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.6 2.6 0.1 6.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.4 4.6 0.8 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.5 2.5 0.1 9.2 10th
11th 0.4 3.8 4.8 0.7 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 2.2 6.0 2.1 0.1 10.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 5.0 4.0 0.4 0.0 10.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.5 1.0 0.0 9.0 14th
15th 0.2 1.7 4.0 1.7 0.1 7.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.6 1.7 0.2 5.4 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.3 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.5 18th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.0 6.0 10.1 13.9 16.2 15.8 13.0 9.5 5.8 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 43.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 23.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 7.7% 92.3% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 100.0% 7.9% 92.1% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.5% 98.5% 5.4% 93.1% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.4%
12-6 3.1% 95.1% 2.9% 92.2% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 95.0%
11-7 5.8% 86.4% 1.9% 84.4% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.8 86.1%
10-8 9.5% 67.0% 0.8% 66.1% 9.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.3 1.3 0.0 3.1 66.7%
9-9 13.0% 42.0% 0.5% 41.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.3 0.1 7.5 41.7%
8-10 15.8% 15.7% 0.1% 15.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 0.1 13.3 15.6%
7-11 16.2% 3.4% 0.2% 3.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 15.6 3.2%
6-12 13.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8 0.4%
5-13 10.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 10.1 0.1%
4-14 6.0% 6.0
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 25.2% 0.5% 24.6% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.5 5.0 6.3 6.2 0.3 74.8 24.8%