Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#192
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#167
Pace70.6#155
Improvement+0.9#118

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#191
First Shot-2.1#229
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#124
Layup/Dunks-0.8#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#157
Freethrows+0.1#178
Improvement+0.7#119

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#201
First Shot-5.2#339
After Offensive Rebounds+4.2#8
Layups/Dunks-0.7#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#197
Freethrows-4.4#354
Improvement+0.2#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 12.5% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.8
.500 or above 81.5% 88.5% 71.6%
.500 or above in Conference 74.5% 78.6% 68.7%
Conference Champion 10.6% 12.4% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.1%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round11.0% 12.3% 9.2%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Away) - 58.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 415 - 518 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 17 @Tennessee L 56-95 4%     0 - 1 -19.8 -6.8 -13.3
  Wed, Nov 12 117 @East Tennessee St. L 63-75 22%     0 - 2 -5.8 -8.4 +3.0
  Thu, Nov 20 309 @Central Michigan W 90-66 62%     1 - 2 +18.8 +16.4 +3.0
  Mon, Nov 24 269 Eastern Kentucky W 82-71 74%     2 - 2 +2.4 +1.5 +0.7
  Wed, Nov 26 247 Wofford W 93-83 71%     3 - 2 +2.3 +10.8 -9.1
  Sat, Nov 29 253 Boston University W 74-65 72%     4 - 2 +0.9 +2.5 -0.5
  Wed, Dec 3 323 Cleveland St. W 95-80 83%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +2.6 +11.6 -9.3
  Sat, Dec 6 238 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-79 47%     5 - 3 1 - 1 -3.4 -3.5 +0.3
  Sat, Dec 13 292 @Bellarmine W 77-75 58%    
  Wed, Dec 17 146 Oakland W 83-82 51%    
  Sun, Dec 21 175 College of Charleston W 75-73 59%    
  Mon, Dec 29 186 @Robert Morris L 71-74 38%    
  Thu, Jan 1 356 IU Indianapolis W 94-79 92%    
  Sun, Jan 4 162 Youngstown St. W 74-72 56%    
  Fri, Jan 9 219 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 77-78 45%    
  Sun, Jan 11 273 @Green Bay W 73-72 53%    
  Thu, Jan 15 293 Detroit Mercy W 78-70 78%    
  Sat, Jan 17 186 Robert Morris W 74-71 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 159 @Wright St. L 70-75 34%    
  Fri, Jan 30 293 @Detroit Mercy W 75-73 58%    
  Sun, Feb 1 146 @Oakland L 80-86 30%    
  Wed, Feb 4 273 Green Bay W 76-69 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-75 67%    
  Thu, Feb 12 356 @IU Indianapolis W 91-82 78%    
  Wed, Feb 18 238 Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-76 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 162 @Youngstown St. L 71-75 35%    
  Wed, Feb 25 323 @Cleveland St. W 81-77 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 159 Wright St. W 73-72 55%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.3 2.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.9 2.9 0.7 0.1 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.9 6.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.2 2.7 0.3 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.4 7.1 9.9 12.4 13.9 14.0 12.3 9.5 6.7 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 94.9% 1.6    1.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 79.9% 2.8    2.0 0.8 0.0
15-5 50.0% 3.3    1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0
14-6 19.5% 1.9    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.0 3.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 47.6% 47.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.5% 36.2% 36.2% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.7% 34.2% 34.2% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1
16-4 3.5% 28.8% 28.8% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 2.5
15-5 6.7% 23.8% 23.8% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 5.1
14-6 9.5% 20.5% 20.5% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.1 7.6
13-7 12.3% 16.3% 16.3% 14.7 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.2 10.3
12-8 14.0% 11.4% 11.4% 15.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 12.4
11-9 13.9% 8.3% 8.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 12.8
10-10 12.4% 4.9% 4.9% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 11.8
9-11 9.9% 3.5% 3.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.6
8-12 7.1% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.9
7-13 4.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.4
6-14 2.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-15 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.7 4.2 1.8 88.7 0.0%