Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#254
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#298
Pace69.9#173
Improvement+2.7#35

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#279
First Shot-2.1#231
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#294
Layup/Dunks-2.9#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#96
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement+3.0#14

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#205
First Shot-1.9#237
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#138
Layups/Dunks+0.4#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#275
Freethrows-1.4#266
Improvement-0.3#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.3% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 7.8% 10.7% 3.0%
.500 or above in Conference 44.6% 54.0% 28.8%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.5% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 5.0% 14.6%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
First Round1.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Home) - 62.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 73 - 14
Quad 48 - 711 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 21 @Kentucky L 51-77 3%     0 - 1 -7.9 -12.9 +5.0
  Fri, Nov 7 329 @Eastern Illinois L 57-65 57%     0 - 2 -14.9 -17.2 +2.3
  Wed, Nov 12 211 @Valparaiso L 63-68 32%     0 - 3 -5.3 -0.6 -5.2
  Sat, Nov 15 111 @Murray St. L 79-99 14%     0 - 4 -13.3 +2.0 -13.7
  Sat, Nov 22 44 @Oklahoma St. L 81-95 5%     0 - 5 +0.1 +2.3 -0.2
  Fri, Nov 28 187 @Tulane L 72-82 27%     0 - 6 -8.7 -2.1 -6.8
  Tue, Dec 2 43 @Creighton L 76-96 5%     0 - 7 -5.6 +10.8 -16.9
  Sat, Dec 6 188 Incarnate Word W 74-67 48%     1 - 7 1 - 0 +2.2 +2.1 +0.7
  Wed, Dec 17 263 Houston Christian W 72-69 63%    
  Sun, Dec 21 137 @Pacific L 65-75 18%    
  Mon, Dec 29 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-72 33%    
  Wed, Dec 31 209 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Jan 3 300 East Texas A&M W 72-67 69%    
  Mon, Jan 5 302 Northwestern St. W 74-68 70%    
  Sat, Jan 10 244 @New Orleans L 73-77 37%    
  Mon, Jan 12 80 @McNeese St. L 62-77 8%    
  Sat, Jan 17 214 Lamar W 66-65 54%    
  Mon, Jan 19 142 Stephen F. Austin L 68-71 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 246 @SE Louisiana L 67-70 38%    
  Mon, Jan 26 244 New Orleans W 76-74 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 300 @East Texas A&M L 69-70 48%    
  Mon, Feb 2 302 @Northwestern St. L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 70-69 54%    
  Mon, Feb 9 209 UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 188 @Incarnate Word L 68-74 29%    
  Mon, Feb 16 263 @Houston Christian L 69-72 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 142 @Stephen F. Austin L 65-74 21%    
  Mon, Feb 23 214 @Lamar L 63-68 34%    
  Sat, Feb 28 246 SE Louisiana W 70-67 59%    
  Mon, Mar 2 80 McNeese St. L 65-74 21%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.2 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.0 2.2 0.2 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.5 5.9 8.4 10.7 11.7 12.3 12.0 10.4 8.5 5.7 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 91.7% 0.0    0.0
19-3 90.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-4 70.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-5 48.2% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
16-6 19.6% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 21.6% 21.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.5% 24.8% 24.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
17-5 1.1% 16.8% 16.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-6 2.3% 11.9% 11.9% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.0
15-7 3.9% 8.0% 8.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.6
14-8 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.3
13-9 8.5% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.3
12-10 10.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.3
11-11 12.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.0
10-12 12.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.2
9-13 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.7
8-14 10.7% 10.7
7-15 8.4% 8.4
6-16 5.9% 5.9
5-17 3.5% 3.5
4-18 2.0% 2.0
3-19 0.8% 0.8
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 98.2 0.0%