Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.5 #243
Expected Predictive Rating -8.9 #311
Pace 71.2 #114
Improvement +1.6 #107

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #187 C+ C- D C D+
Defense #284 F F C C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #187 1.12 #226 -1.0 #221
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #98 0.82 #88 +2.3 #70
Three Pointers 37% #266 1.11 #51 -0.1 #182
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #141 +1.2 #140
Freethrows 17.4 #206 74% #119 12.9 #172
Second Chance 29.9% #203 1.02 #221 0.30 #205
Turnovers 18.5% #303
Total Offense -0.8 #187

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #62 1.21 #254 -3.8 #308
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #271 0.94 #359 -0.5 #217
Three Pointers 39% #239 1.10 #292 -0.7 #210
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #327 -5.1 #325
Freethrows 18.2 #217 75% #305 13.6 #246
Second Chance 33.6% #300 1.17 #321 0.39 #331
Turnovers 17.0% #145
Total Defense -3.7 #284

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #261 1.4% #300
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.4% #122 8.5% #321
Possession Length 17.4 #177 16.8 #100
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #278 0.22 #317
Improvement -1.7 #281 +3.2 #29

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 4.6% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 33.0% 40.1% 15.7%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.0% 11.2%
First Four3.7% 4.1% 2.9%
First Round2.9% 3.2% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Home) - 70.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 103 - 17
Quad 47 - 69 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 36 @UCLA L 74 - 80 4% -7  0 - 1 +10 +8 A+ F D- +3 C B F
 Wed, Nov 5 155 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 23% -1  0 - 2 -5 -6 C+ F F +2 B+ F C+
 Sat, Nov 8 78 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 9% -1  0 - 3 +6 +18 A+ F B -11 F C D
 Wed, Nov 12 121 @Seattle L 67 - 94 17% -15  0 - 4 -21 -1 B- F C+ -19 F F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 236 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 37% -20  0 - 5 -28 -10 D- C F -18 F B- C
 Tue, Nov 25 127 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 18% -2  0 - 6 -3 +3 C D+ C+ -5 B F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 280 @Denver L 89 - 93 47% -0  0 - 7 -8 +9 A+ D+ F -17 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 353 UMKC W 90 - 66 86% +15  1 - 7 +8 +3 F A+ D- +3 C F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 142 California Baptist L 83 - 88 40% -5  1 - 8 -7 +10 B+ A+ C- -17 F F A+
 Wed, Dec 17 141 Washington St. L 63 - 78 29% -12  1 - 9 -14 -12 F F D -2 F C+ A-
 Sat, Dec 20 104 @Utah L 77 - 101 13% -11  1 - 10 -16 +5 D- C B- -21 F F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 12 @BYU L 81 - 109 2% -9  1 - 11 -6 +13 A+ A+ C- -17 F F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 183 @Idaho L 81 - 84 29% -2  1 - 12 0 - 1 -2 +9 F A+ F -10 F F A
 Thu, Jan 8 152 Montana St. L 64 - 68 42% +0  1 - 13 0 - 2 -6 -4 F D C -3 C- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 161 Montana W 66 - 65 45% -2  2 - 13 1 - 2 -2 -2 C+ D C +0 A- C C
 Thu, Jan 15 217 @Weber St. L 80 - 91 34% -1  2 - 14 1 - 3 -11 +1 D+ A- F -12 F F C
 Sat, Jan 17 219 @Idaho St. W 84 - 66 35% +15  3 - 14 2 - 3 +18 +12 A+ F F +6 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 22 153 Portland St. L 61 - 65 42% -5  3 - 15 2 - 4 -6 -7 F C+ D- +1 A F C
 Sat, Jan 24 290 Sacramento St. W 85 - 79 71%
 Thu, Jan 29 315 @Northern Arizona W 76 - 74 57%
 Sat, Jan 31 185 @Northern Colorado L 76 - 82 29%
 Thu, Feb 5 161 @Montana L 76 - 83 24%
 Sat, Feb 7 152 @Montana St. L 70 - 78 23%
 Thu, Feb 12 219 Idaho St. W 77 - 75 57%
 Sat, Feb 14 217 Weber St. W 80 - 78 57%
 Thu, Feb 19 290 @Sacramento St. L 82 - 83 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 153 @Portland St. L 70 - 78 23%
 Thu, Feb 26 185 Northern Colorado W 80 - 79 51%
 Sat, Feb 28 315 Northern Arizona W 79 - 71 77%
 Mon, Mar 2 183 Idaho W 77 - 76 50%
Totals 9 - 21 8 - 10 -5 -1 C+ C- D -4 F F C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 2.2 0.7 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 4.8 1.7 0.1 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.2 3.5 7.7 3.4 0.3 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 0.2 3.5 10.2 5.0 0.4 0.0 19.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.7 9.4 5.8 0.5 18.7 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 7.7 5.7 0.8 16.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.3 3.7 0.7 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.0 2.2 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 3.4 8.3 14.4 19.4 20.5 16.2 10.2 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 71.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 41.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.4% 16.7% 16.7% 15.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.6% 9.5% 9.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.4
11-7 4.6% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 4.1
10-8 10.2% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8 9.4
9-9 16.2% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 1.0 15.2
8-10 20.5% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.7 19.8
7-11 19.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.5 18.9
6-12 14.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.2
5-13 8.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.2
4-14 3.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 16.0 95.9 0.0%