Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.0 173
Results Rating -3.0 218
Consistency 0.15 188
Pace 68.9 169
Improvement +8.3 5

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 110 C+ B- D+ C C
Defense D+ 268 D+ D- C D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 122 C 57% 190 +0.9 147
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 108 B- 41% 70 +1.4 101
Three Pointers 37% 259 B 37% 76 -0.5 202
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 201 C+ +1.8 109
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 118
Second Chance C 31.0% 161 B 1.13 50 B- 0.35 87
Opponents' Steals D- 11.4% 331
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 162
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 293
Freethrows C 0.30 183 C+ 74% 133 C 0.23 157
Total Offense C+ +2.2 110

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 52% 124 C- 11.6% 224
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 174 C+ 4.7% 168
Three Pointers F+ 74% 342 C 0.8% 179
Total C- 53% 231 C- 6.1% 239


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 52 C- 59% 210 +3.5 297
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 290 F 46% 357 +0.1 197
Three Pointers 39% 236 C 34% 187 -0.9 143
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 324 D+ +1.7 250
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 266
Second Chance D+ 32.8% 283 D- 1.17 346 D- 0.38 333
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 237
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 98
Turnovers C 16.6% 185
Freethrows C- 0.32 245 D- 75% 330 D+ 0.24 274
Total Defense D+ -3.2 268

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 181 C 10.5% 193
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 186 C- 3.7% 245
Three Pointers C 84% 197 B- 1.4% 74
Total C 55% 162 C 5.8% 161

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 183 17.3 175
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 281 0.19 250
Consistency 0.11 108 0.14 284
Improvement +4.1 26 +4.2 21

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 184 173 153
Results Rating Rank 234 228 151
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 24% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four9% 21% 0%
First Round8% 18% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 116 - 17
Quad 47 - 213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 30 @UCLA L 74 - 80 5% -7  11% 0 - 1 B+ +12 B- +4 A+ D D- A- +7 C+ B+ D+
 Wed, Nov 5 158 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 34% -1  34% 0 - 2 C- -5 F -10 C- F D- B+ +6 B+ F C+
 Sat, Nov 8 65 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 12% -1  27% 0 - 3 B- +7 A+ +15 A+ D B+ D- -8 D C- D
 Wed, Nov 12 117 @Seattle L 67 - 94 25% -15  1% 0 - 4 F -21 D+ -3 B- D- C F -17 F F A
 Sun, Nov 23 169 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 38% -20  0% 0 - 5 F -25 F -11 F B- F F -13 F B C+
 Tue, Nov 25 136 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 30% -2  26% 0 - 6 C- -4 C- -1 D+ D+ B- C- -2 B- D- C-
 Wed, Dec 3 244 @Denver L 89 - 93 53% -0  47% 0 - 7 D+ -6 B +7 A+ C F F -13 F A D-
 Sat, Dec 6 363 UMKC W 90 - 66 96% +15  90% 1 - 7 C+ +3 C +0 F+ A+ D+ C+ +0 D+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 134 California Baptist L 83 - 88 51% -5  19% 1 - 8 D+ -6 B+ +9 B+ A C- F -15 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 17 128 Washington St. L 63 - 78 38% -12  0% 1 - 9 D- -13 F -14 F+ F D C+ +2 D C+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 102 @Utah L 77 - 101 21% -11  1% 1 - 10 F+ -17 C+ +3 D C+ C+ F -19 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 23 @BYU L 81 - 109 4% -10  6% 1 - 11 D -9 B +6 B- A+ D F -13 F+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 181 @Idaho L 81 - 84 40% -2  29% 1 - 12 0 - 1 C -1 B +7 D- A+ F F+ -8 F+ F B
 Thu, Jan 8 146 Montana St. L 64 - 68 54% +0  54% 1 - 13 0 - 2 D+ -6 D- -7 F D C C+ +1 C- D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 206 Montana W 66 - 65 67% -2  22% 2 - 13 1 - 2 C- -4 D+ -4 C C- C+ C -1 B D+ D+
 Thu, Jan 15 211 @Weber St. L 80 - 91 46% -1  53% 2 - 14 1 - 3 D -11 D+ -3 D- A F D- -7 D- F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 266 @Idaho St. W 84 - 66 58% +15  98% 3 - 14 2 - 3 A- +15 B+ +8 A F D- A- +8 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 22 153 Portland St. L 61 - 65 57% -5  0% 3 - 15 2 - 4 D+ -7 F+ -9 D- C C- B- +2 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 24 272 Sacramento St. W 75 - 67 78% +7  94% 4 - 15 3 - 4 C -1 C- -1 F+ A+ B- C +0 C+ D B+
 Thu, Jan 29 317 @Northern Arizona L 86 - 92 71% -12  0% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D- -13 A +11 C A- D F -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 31 149 @Northern Colorado L 71 - 74 33% +1  51% 4 - 17 3 - 6 C +1 C- -1 C+ B F C+ +1 B B- F
 Thu, Feb 5 206 @Montana W 82 - 74 44% -0  41% 5 - 17 4 - 6 B +9 B+ +8 A- C D- C+ +1 D B- A-
 Sat, Feb 7 146 @Montana St. W 72 - 71 32% +2  70% 6 - 17 5 - 6 B- +5 B- +4 C- A+ D+ C+ +1 C A F
 Thu, Feb 12 266 Idaho St. W 88 - 75 78% +7  72% 7 - 17 6 - 6 C+ +4 A- +11 B+ C- A+ D -6 C+ F B
 Sat, Feb 14 211 Weber St. W 84 - 66 68% +20  98% 8 - 17 7 - 6 B+ +12 B- +5 A+ D- F+ A- +8 A- A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 19 272 @Sacramento St. W 102 - 94 58% +13  99% 9 - 17 8 - 6 C+ +5 A+ +20 A+ A+ C F -15 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 153 @Portland St. W 67 - 55 34% +2  62% 10 - 17 9 - 6 A- +15 C +1 D- A C A+ +15 A+ A F
 Thu, Feb 26 149 Northern Colorado W 82 - 72 56% +0  38% 11 - 17 10 - 6 B- +8 B+ +9 A C C C -1 C- B C+
 Sat, Feb 28 317 Northern Arizona W 88 - 57 86% +19  98% 12 - 17 11 - 6 A +18 A +12 A+ A D+ A +9 B- F A+
 Mon, Mar 2 181 Idaho L 81 - 85 63% -3  15% 12 - 18 11 - 7 D -8 B +7 B A+ F F -15 C- F D+
 Mon, Mar 9 211 Weber St. W 82 - 80 57%
Totals 13 - 18 11 - 7 -1 C+ +2 D- C+ C D+ -3 B C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C B- B C+ 40% 44% 37% C C+ C B B- D+ C C+ C D+ C- F C D+ 44% 17% 39% D D+ D+ D- D- C C- D- D+
1.12 57% 41% 37% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.1 .35 18% .30 74% .23 1.13 59% 46% 34% +2 +1 1.07 33% 1.2 .38 17% .32 75% .23
Nov
3		 UCLA B- A+ B D+ A+ 38% 15% 48% B+ A+ F+ B- D D- D+ F D- A- C- F C+ C+ 33% 28% 40% C+ C+ C A B+ D+ A+ A+ A+
1.05 89% 43% 30% +10 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 23% .26 64% .16 1.13 63% 50% 35% +5 -1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 11% .16 60% .10
Nov
5		 Loyola Marymount F B- C- F C 40% 36% 23% D C- F F F D- A+ D- A+ B+ B D- A A 36% 19% 45% D- B+ C F F C+ F A D
0.88 58% 35% 27% -3 -2 0.91 18% 0.5 .09 18% .44 68% .30 0.99 53% 44% 29% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.8 .47 18% .37 62% .23
Nov
8		 Colorado A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 28% C A+ F+ A- D B+ D+ C+ C- D- A- F F D+ 52% 13% 36% F D C C- C- D F A- F
1.24 64% 53% 56% +16 -1 1.33 18% 1.2 .21 14% .28 74% .21 1.30 52% 57% 50% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 11% .56 69% .39
Nov
12		 Seattle D+ D A C B- 42% 23% 35% C B- F+ D+ D- C C- F D+ F F F F F 50% 13% 37% D- F B F F A A C A-
0.91 50% 50% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.9 .19 20% .29 65% .19 1.28 69% 71% 53% +20 +2 1.46 21% 1.8 .38 22% .23 69% .16
Nov
23		 Central Arkansas F F F C- F 27% 10% 63% C F A- D- B- F C- D D+ F D A+ F F 43% 4% 53% F F D A+ B C+ B A- B+
0.90 46% 20% 33% -6 +1 0.92 36% 1.0 .36 31% .26 69% .18 1.28 65% 0% 54% +17 +3 1.42 30% 0.8 .24 17% .23 64% .15
Nov
25		 North Texas C- C- D D- D+ 40% 26% 34% C- D+ B F D+ B- D+ A+ C C- D+ D+ A+ B- 42% 17% 42% C B- B- F D- C- F B- F
0.97 55% 31% 29% -5 -1 0.90 36% 0.8 .28 21% .33 79% .26 1.08 60% 38% 20% -8 +1 0.88 32% 1.3 .41 16% .49 67% .33
Dec
3		 Denver B A+ A A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% F A+ D A- C F C+ B- B- F D B F F 38% 23% 38% D- F D+ A+ A D- F F F
1.28 82% 47% 50% +19 -2 1.36 30% 1.3 .39 17% .33 74% .24 1.34 61% 36% 61% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.7 .23 12% .54 85% .46
Dec
6		 UMKC C D+ C+ F F 43% 9% 47% B F+ B A+ A+ D+ A+ B A+ C+ D C+ A+ C- 48% 29% 23% D+ D+ D+ F F A+ F B F
1.18 57% 40% 28% -5 +2 0.96 42% 1.6 .68 18% .42 73% .31 0.87 61% 36% 18% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .39 28% .38 62% .24
Dec
12		 California Baptist B+ D- B+ A+ B+ 56% 21% 23% B+ B+ B+ A+ A C- A+ F+ A F F+ F B F 53% 18% 29% D F F D- F A- F F F
1.18 48% 45% 50% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.2 .39 16% .45 67% .30 1.25 63% 75% 31% +8 +1 1.20 54% 1.0 .54 21% .50 82% .41
Dec
17		 Washington St. F C- C F F 43% 19% 38% B F+ D F F D C+ F C- C+ F+ F D+ D 42% 12% 46% D- D F A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.89 57% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.87 23% 0.6 .13 17% .31 67% .20 1.10 73% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.25 38% 0.7 .28 21% .16 56% .09
Dec
20		 Utah C+ C F C D+ 35% 25% 40% D D A+ F C+ C+ B+ C- B F F D+ F F 46% 13% 40% D- F A F F D+ B- B B-
1.09 57% 27% 33% -4 -1 0.93 41% 0.7 .30 14% .31 68% .21 1.43 83% 43% 52% +23 +1 1.52 24% 2.0 .48 14% .28 71% .20
Dec
22		 BYU B A- A+ D- B+ 11% 40% 49% F B- B- A+ A+ D D B+ D+ F F B- D F+ 25% 13% 62% D+ F+ F+ F F D+ B- F C-
1.08 67% 52% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 1.5 .45 19% .20 75% .15 1.45 93% 38% 38% +12 0 1.27 43% 1.4 .60 12% .30 85% .26
Jan
3		 Idaho B D F+ C+ D 32% 36% 32% D- D- A+ D- A+ F A+ F+ B+ F+ A F F+ F 31% 13% 56% C F+ F F+ F B F C- F
1.17 53% 32% 35% -3 -2 0.91 57% 0.9 .52 22% .46 68% .31 1.21 43% 83% 40% +6 0 1.16 40% 1.2 .47 19% .51 72% .37
Jan
8		 Montana St. D- F A F F 48% 20% 32% C+ F B+ F D C B+ A+ A+ C+ C- D D D+ 31% 28% 41% B- C- F A+ D+ A+ F F F
0.99 38% 50% 25% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.7 .26 15% .31 94% .29 1.05 58% 45% 38% +4 -2 1.08 41% 0.8 .33 26% .44 81% .36
Jan
10		 Montana D+ F A+ A C 42% 23% 35% C C F A+ C- C+ F A+ F C D A A+ A- 61% 15% 24% F B F A- D+ D+ D- F F
1.04 45% 50% 39% 0 0 1.02 17% 1.6 .28 14% .13 100% .13 1.02 64% 29% 18% -3 +2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 19% .35 83% .29
Jan
15		 Weber St. D+ D- C+ C D 45% 31% 24% D- D- C- A+ A F A+ A A+ D- A F F D 56% 10% 34% F D- F+ F F C+ F F F
1.07 55% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.7 .45 20% .45 81% .37 1.21 46% 60% 47% +2 +3 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 17% .48 80% .39
Jan
17		 Idaho St. B+ F+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% F A D F F D- A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% D+ A+ C- F F F D- F F
1.24 50% 50% 67% +15 -2 1.29 24% 0.3 .08 18% .61 82% .50 0.98 42% 67% 19% -13 +1 0.78 33% 1.3 .42 12% .35 90% .32
Jan
22		 Portland St. F+ F+ D- D+ D 42% 29% 29% D+ D- D A C C- A- C B+ B- D+ A+ A+ A 56% 19% 25% D- A- B- F F C B+ F C
0.90 47% 31% 31% -8 -1 0.84 24% 1.3 .30 19% .42 74% .31 0.96 59% 22% 17% -9 +2 0.88 29% 1.6 .46 19% .24 85% .20
Jan
24		 Sacramento St. C- C F F+ F 44% 14% 42% C F+ C A+ A+ B- C A+ B+ C C A+ B- B 41% 18% 41% F C+ A F D B+ F F F
1.16 59% 14% 29% -6 +1 0.92 33% 2.0 .67 15% .33 83% .27 1.03 56% 14% 31% -7 +1 0.90 19% 1.8 .35 18% .53 86% .45
Jan
29		 Northern Arizona A D- F A+ D+ 51% 10% 39% B+ C A+ D- A- D A+ A- A+ F A- F F F 55% 8% 37% F F D F F F F F F
1.33 52% 20% 47% +3 +2 1.12 49% 1.0 .49 19% .53 79% .42 1.42 48% 50% 56% +7 +3 1.22 27% 2.0 .54 8% .47 93% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Northern Colorado C- D D- A- C 52% 17% 31% B- C+ D A+ B F F A+ F C+ C- F A+ A- 38% 9% 54% D- B D A+ B- F A- F B
1.05 52% 33% 38% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.7 .36 18% .18 90% .16 1.10 62% 60% 27% -3 +1 1.00 31% 0.8 .24 6% .17 82% .14
Feb
5		 Montana B+ D+ A+ A+ A 33% 24% 43% D+ A- C C C D- A+ F A- C+ C- F D+ D- 38% 21% 40% C+ D D- A+ B- A- D+ C D+
1.16 56% 50% 43% +8 -1 1.16 29% 1.0 .29 18% .42 63% .26 1.05 61% 60% 37% +8 0 1.17 27% 0.8 .20 24% .32 76% .24
Feb
7		 Montana St. B- D- D+ A+ C- 54% 22% 24% C+ C- B+ A+ A+ D+ D- A- D C+ A F D- C+ 36% 18% 46% F+ C A- A A F F B- D-
1.11 48% 36% 42% -3 +1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 17% .20 82% .17 1.09 44% 56% 39% +2 0 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 8% .33 70% .23
Feb
12		 Idaho St. A- A+ C+ C- B+ 45% 18% 37% C+ B+ F+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ D F B+ A+ C+ 39% 15% 46% C C+ F D F B F D- F
1.34 77% 44% 33% +9 +1 1.22 22% 1.4 .30 9% .43 92% .40 1.14 69% 33% 26% -2 +1 1.00 45% 1.1 .48 20% .57 80% .45
Feb
14		 Weber St. B- A D A A 62% 6% 32% A+ A+ F A- D- F+ B+ A A A- B F A+ A- 48% 21% 31% B- A- A A+ A+ D+ F F F
1.22 72% 33% 40% +11 +3 1.32 17% 1.3 .22 19% .38 81% .31 0.96 52% 50% 20% -7 +1 0.90 24% 0.3 .06 15% .44 81% .36
Feb
19		 Sacramento St. A+ A- A- A+ A+ 43% 8% 49% B- A+ A A+ A+ C A+ F B F F F A F 44% 27% 29% D+ F F F F F F B- F
1.40 68% 50% 44% +13 +2 1.31 44% 1.4 .62 16% .44 59% .26 1.29 70% 57% 27% +7 0 1.15 33% 1.4 .45 10% .47 74% .35
Feb
21		 Portland St. C D- B- F D 38% 32% 30% D- D- C- A+ A C B+ B- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 51% 18% 31% D A+ A A- A F B F D+
1.01 50% 40% 21% -8 -1 0.83 27% 1.6 .42 18% .41 77% .31 0.83 38% 11% 25% -19 +1 0.67 23% 0.8 .19 12% .26 87% .22
Feb
26		 Northern Colorado B+ B+ A+ F A 60% 19% 21% B A C- B- C C A A A+ C C- F A+ C- 45% 19% 36% C- C- C A B C+ C B+ C+
1.23 66% 78% 10% +4 +2 1.15 25% 1.2 .29 12% .41 83% .34 1.08 63% 70% 26% +4 +1 1.11 27% 0.9 .23 18% .24 69% .16
Feb
28		 Northern Arizona A A- A+ A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% C+ A+ B+ A A D+ F F F A B+ B C B 33% 21% 47% C B- B+ F F A+ A A+ A+
1.39 70% 57% 53% +19 +1 1.43 39% 1.3 .52 17% .21 55% .11 0.90 50% 33% 35% -3 0 0.95 19% 2.2 .42 27% .17 38% .06
Mar
2		 Idaho B B- A+ F B 39% 24% 37% C+ B A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+ A+ F B F+ D- C 47% 15% 38% D C- F F F D+ C- A- C+
1.21 63% 70% 27% +5 0 1.12 38% 1.7 .63 19% .54 72% .39 1.27 50% 43% 39% 0 +1 1.04 44% 1.7 .74 15% .30 65% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.1 10.6 89.3
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 16.0 89.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.7% 100.0% 16.0 0.6 99.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 24.0%
Lose Out 55.4%