Cornell
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.8 #187
Expected Predictive Rating -3.6 #222
Pace 80.8 #7
Improvement -2.0 #274

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #66 A C C- C A-
Defense #350 F D+ D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #235 1.24 #93 +0.4 #164
2 Pt. Jumpers 9% #353 0.80 #113 -4.6 #357
Three Pointers 55% #3 1.17 #18 +11.2 #1
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #23 +7.0 #25
Freethrows 16.8 #235 73% #158 12.3 #201
Second Chance 29.8% #206 1.13 #77 0.34 #138
Turnovers 17.5% #253
Total Offense +5.2 #66

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #73 1.28 #322 -5.0 #334
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #181 0.84 #298 -0.8 #242
Three Pointers 37% #285 1.19 #356 -1.3 #241
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #354 -7.1 #354
Freethrows 18.9 #251 71% #121 13.4 #228
Second Chance 29.8% #145 1.20 #336 0.36 #276
Turnovers 14.4% #302
Total Defense -7.0 #350

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.7% #27 0.6% #225
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 11.3% #30 13.1% #356
Possession Length 14.5 #6 17.6 #224
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #72 0.23 #334
Improvement +0.7 #145 -2.8 #324

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 8.1% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 20.4% 35.8% 12.1%
.500 or above in Conference 36.3% 56.3% 25.4%
Conference Champion 1.7% 3.8% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 22.3% 11.3% 28.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round4.9% 8.0% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Away) - 35.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 411 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 148 @Kent St. L 102 - 110 30% -8  0 - 1 -4 +17 A+ A- F -20 F F F
 Sun, Nov 9 90 @Illinois St. L 65 - 76 15% -4  0 - 2 -2 -5 F B- B- +4 B- C A
 Thu, Nov 13 314 @Lafayette W 97 - 78 67% +7  1 - 2 +13 +15 A- A D+ -4 C D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 333 Army W 86 - 73 87% +6  2 - 2 -1 -5 B F F +3 A B F
 Thu, Nov 20 199 Colgate W 95 - 94 2OT 64% -0  3 - 2 -5 -4 B- F F -0 A F D
 Sun, Nov 30 319 @Bucknell W 101 - 72 69% +21  4 - 2 +22 +22 A+ A F -1 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 86 @George Mason L 81 - 99 14% -5  4 - 3 -8 +10 A+ C- D -17 F A- B-
 Wed, Dec 3 157 @Towson L 80 - 93 32% -3  4 - 4 -10 +13 A+ F D+ -23 F F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 249 @Samford L 90 - 93 50% +3  4 - 5 -5 +6 F A+ C+ -10 F F B-
 Sun, Dec 21 305 @Albany W 83 - 75 63% -0  5 - 5 +3 +21 A+ A+ C+ -17 F D F
 Mon, Dec 29 11 @Michigan St. L 97 - 114 2% -6  5 - 6 +6 +24 A+ C+ A -15 F B+ D-
 Mon, Jan 5 180 Columbia L 99 - 104 60% -1  5 - 7 0 - 1 -9 +8 B+ A+ D- -17 F B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 221 Dartmouth L 91 - 102 68% -8  5 - 8 0 - 2 -18 +8 B B- F -25 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 83 @Yale L 68 - 102 13% -21  5 - 9 0 - 3 -24 -5 F F B+ -19 F D F
 Mon, Jan 19 264 @Brown W 89 - 67 53% +13  6 - 9 1 - 3 +19 +18 A+ C B +1 F A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 168 @Harvard L 79 - 83 35%
 Fri, Jan 30 214 Princeton W 85 - 80 67%
 Sat, Jan 31 182 Penn W 91 - 88 60%
 Sat, Feb 7 180 @Columbia L 87 - 90 37%
 Fri, Feb 13 214 @Princeton L 82 - 83 45%
 Sat, Feb 14 182 @Penn L 88 - 91 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 168 Harvard W 82 - 80 58%
 Fri, Feb 27 83 Yale L 86 - 92 30%
 Sat, Feb 28 264 Brown W 83 - 76 74%
 Sat, Mar 7 221 @Dartmouth L 90 - 91 45%
Totals 11 - 14 6 - 8 -2 +5 A C C- -7 F D+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.7 1st
2nd 0.9 5.1 4.1 0.9 0.0 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 5.9 5.4 0.7 12.2 3rd
4th 0.1 4.5 8.2 1.0 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 10.9 2.3 0.0 15.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 9.8 5.5 0.1 17.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 8.0 7.0 0.5 17.8 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 4.5 4.0 0.5 11.1 8th
Total 0.3 2.0 6.7 13.6 19.5 21.7 17.4 11.5 5.5 1.6 0.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 82.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1
10-4 39.2% 0.6    0.2 0.4 0.0
9-5 14.4% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1
8-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.2% 22.2% 22.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-4 1.6% 19.6% 19.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
9-5 5.5% 19.4% 19.4% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 4.5
8-6 11.5% 16.0% 16.0% 14.7 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.1 9.7
7-7 17.4% 9.0% 9.0% 15.3 0.0 1.1 0.4 15.9
6-8 21.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 21.5
5-9 19.5% 19.5
4-10 13.6% 13.6
3-11 6.7% 6.7
2-12 2.0% 2.0
1-13 0.3% 0.3
0-14
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 14.7 95.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%