Cornell
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#126
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#150
Pace77.1#17
Improvement+1.3#125

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#61
First Shot+9.0#13
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#349
Layup/Dunks+4.7#32
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#11
Freethrows+0.0#174
Improvement+2.4#50

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#267
First Shot-3.1#272
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#201
Layups/Dunks-3.2#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#155
Freethrows-0.8#248
Improvement-1.1#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.0% 22.0% 15.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 96.3% 97.9% 87.8%
.500 or above in Conference 96.3% 97.9% 87.8%
Conference Champion 21.4% 23.8% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 1.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round21.0% 22.0% 15.4%
Second Round1.8% 2.0% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 84.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 12 - 2
Quad 35 - 47 - 6
Quad 49 - 416 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 110   Samford W 88-86 54%     1 - 0 +3.0 +0.0 +2.7
  Nov 12, 2024 202   @ La Salle L 77-93 56%     1 - 1 -15.4 +0.4 -14.7
  Nov 16, 2024 297   Lafayette W 81-71 87%     2 - 1 -0.1 +6.7 -6.5
  Nov 21, 2024 197   Robert Morris L 76-86 72%     2 - 2 -14.1 -1.6 -12.2
  Nov 25, 2024 253   @ Iona W 84-68 68%     3 - 2 +13.3 +6.5 +5.6
  Nov 27, 2024 104   @ Syracuse L 72-82 33%     3 - 3 -3.5 -3.0 +0.3
  Dec 04, 2024 209   @ Colgate W 84-57 58%     4 - 3 +26.9 +14.9 +13.5
  Dec 08, 2024 298   @ Army W 103-84 75%     5 - 3 +13.9 +25.6 -12.2
  Dec 10, 2024 113   @ California W 88-80 35%     6 - 3 +13.9 +12.4 +1.2
  Dec 22, 2024 135   Illinois St. L 77-80 61%     6 - 4 -3.9 +5.3 -9.4
  Dec 30, 2024 261   Siena L 77-83 83%     6 - 5 -14.2 -2.8 -11.1
  Jan 11, 2025 219   @ Columbia W 94-83 60%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +10.4 +20.2 -9.5
  Jan 18, 2025 248   @ Penn W 86-76 67%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +7.5 +5.8 +1.1
  Jan 20, 2025 214   Brown L 82-83 76%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -6.4 +7.3 -13.7
  Jan 25, 2025 140   @ Princeton W 85-76 42%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +13.1 +14.0 -0.8
  Jan 31, 2025 269   Dartmouth W 89-78 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 245   Harvard W 83-74 82%    
  Feb 08, 2025 87   Yale L 82-84 42%    
  Feb 14, 2025 245   @ Harvard W 81-77 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 269   @ Dartmouth W 87-81 68%    
  Feb 21, 2025 87   @ Yale L 79-86 23%    
  Feb 22, 2025 214   @ Brown W 80-78 57%    
  Feb 28, 2025 248   Penn W 85-75 83%    
  Mar 01, 2025 140   Princeton W 83-80 62%    
  Mar 08, 2025 219   Columbia W 90-82 78%    
Projected Record 15 - 10 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.6 8.4 7.4 1.5 21.4 1st
2nd 0.4 4.6 14.4 17.4 8.6 1.0 46.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.6 9.6 8.1 2.2 0.1 23.6 3rd
4th 1.0 3.0 1.4 0.1 5.5 4th
5th 0.3 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.6 7.6 15.6 23.0 23.2 17.0 8.4 1.5 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 1.5    1.5
12-2 88.3% 7.4    5.3 2.1
11-3 49.1% 8.4    3.5 4.4 0.4
10-4 15.6% 3.6    0.5 2.4 0.7 0.0
9-5 2.2% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 21.4% 21.4 10.9 9.1 1.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 1.5% 42.3% 42.3% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.9
12-2 8.4% 35.3% 35.3% 12.6 0.0 1.3 1.4 0.3 5.4
11-3 17.0% 28.1% 28.1% 13.0 0.0 1.1 2.7 1.0 0.0 12.3
10-4 23.2% 22.3% 22.3% 13.4 0.3 2.7 2.0 0.2 18.0
9-5 23.0% 19.5% 19.5% 13.8 0.0 1.4 2.5 0.6 0.0 18.5
8-6 15.6% 14.6% 14.6% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.0 13.4
7-7 7.6% 9.2% 9.2% 14.7 0.2 0.5 0.0 6.9
6-8 2.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.6
5-9 0.9% 0.9
4-10 0.2% 0.2
3-11 0.0% 0.0
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 21.0% 21.0% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.2 3.2 8.4 7.1 2.2 0.1 79.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 11.8 1.6 25.4 65.1 7.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%