Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
141 Navy 52.9%   15   23 - 6 17 - 1 +1.1      -1.7 216 +2.9 90 64.2 295 +1.8 128 +7.2 1
252 Colgate 14.8%   15 - 14 11 - 7 -5.2      -1.5 204 -3.7 282 67.4 209 -4.6 241 -5.4 3
254 American 8.9%   14 - 15 9 - 9 -5.3      -3.3 257 -2.0 233 67.1 220 -6.5 264 -8.2 5
255 Boston University 9.1%   14 - 16 10 - 8 -5.3      +1.2 134 -6.5 339 60.4 356 -7.4 289 -6.8 4
292 Lehigh 8.0%   13 - 16 11 - 7 -7.8      -4.0 277 -3.8 288 67.5 206 -7.1 280 -5.0 2
318 Loyola Maryland 3.4%   10 - 19 8 - 10 -9.6      -4.0 276 -5.6 321 69.8 137 -11.3 335 -9.1 7
325 Lafayette 0.0%   10 - 21 8 - 10 -10.6      -5.9 319 -4.7 312 66.9 223 -10.7 328 -8.9 6
328 Holy Cross 2.1%   9 - 21 5 - 13 -11.0      -5.2 306 -5.8 326 64.8 278 -10.9 330 -13.3 10
331 Bucknell 0.9%   10 - 22 6 - 12 -11.5      -7.9 345 -3.6 280 67.9 196 -10.3 325 -11.7 8
341 Army 0.0%   9 - 21 5 - 13 -12.5      -6.0 321 -6.5 338 67.9 193 -11.5 336 -13.1 9


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Mar 3 328 Holy Cross 82 325 Lafayette 77   
Tue, Mar 3 341 Army 55 331 Bucknell 65   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 5 254 American 70 255 Boston University 73 61%   
Thu, Mar 5 252 Colgate 80 318 Loyola Maryland 73 76%   
Thu, Mar 5 328 Holy Cross 69 292 Lehigh 75 72%   
Thu, Mar 5 331 Bucknell 60 141 Navy 75 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Navy 1.0 100.0
Lehigh 2.0 100.0
Colgate 2.0 100.0
Boston University 4.0 100.0
American 5.0 100.0
Lafayette 6.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 6.0 100.0
Bucknell 8.0 100.0
Army 9.0 100.0
Holy Cross 9.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Navy 17 - 1 24 - 6 100.0
Lehigh 11 - 7 14 - 16 100.0
Colgate 11 - 7 16 - 14 100.0
Boston University 10 - 8 15 - 16 100.0
American 9 - 9 14 - 16 100.0
Lafayette 8 - 10 10 - 21 100.0
Loyola Maryland 8 - 10 10 - 20 100.0
Bucknell 6 - 12 10 - 23 100.0
Army 5 - 13 9 - 21 100.0
Holy Cross 5 - 13 9 - 22 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Navy 100.0% 100.0
Lehigh
Colgate
Boston University
American
Lafayette
Loyola Maryland
Bucknell
Army
Holy Cross


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Navy 52.9% 52.9% 0.0% 15   0.6 9.1 31.9 11.1 0.3 47.1 0.0%
Colgate 14.8% 14.8% 0.0% 0.0 4.1 10.6 85.2 0.0%
American 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.4 8.5 91.1 0.0%
Boston University 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.1 9.0 90.9 0.0%
Lehigh 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0 8.0 92.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4 96.7 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1 97.9 0.0%
Bucknell 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9 99.1 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 83.7% 0.8 16.3 83.7
2nd Round 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Navy 52.9% 0.0% 52.9% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 14.8% 4.4% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 8.9% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boston University 9.1% 7.7% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 8.0% 7.4% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 3.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 2.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%