Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#120
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#170
Pace66.1#270
Improvement+1.0#106

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#144
First Shot-4.4#298
After Offensive Rebound+5.1#7
Layup/Dunks-4.5#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#240
Freethrows+1.3#111
Improvement-0.4#214

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#101
First Shot+3.6#69
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#267
Layups/Dunks+1.4#120
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#260
Freethrows+3.3#22
Improvement+1.3#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Average Seed 9.9 10.0 9.9
.500 or above 7.6% 23.8% 7.5%
.500 or above in Conference 2.6% 11.5% 2.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 37.4% 18.3% 37.5%
First Four0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 12
Quad 22 - 53 - 17
Quad 33 - 16 - 18
Quad 46 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 335 Rider W 81-53 93%     1 - 0 +14.5 +6.9 +9.0
  Mon, Nov 10 326 Maine W 72-60 92%     2 - 0 -0.3 +4.0 -3.2
  Fri, Nov 14 299 Lehigh W 84-72 90%     3 - 0 +1.3 +6.5 -5.2
  Tue, Nov 18 250 American W 80-71 85%     4 - 0 +1.1 +3.9 -2.8
  Fri, Nov 21 244 Central Connecticut St. L 54-67 84%     4 - 1 -20.6 -13.9 -8.3
  Mon, Nov 24 16 Tennessee L 60-85 10%     4 - 2 -7.8 -1.0 -8.0
  Tue, Nov 25 56 Notre Dame L 63-68 27%     4 - 3 +4.5 +2.7 +1.3
  Thu, Nov 27 131 UNLV W 80-65 54%     5 - 3 +17.0 +7.2 +9.9
  Tue, Dec 2 2 Purdue L 65-81 8%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +3.2 +3.4 -1.5
  Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 61-87 1%    
  Sat, Dec 13 76 @Seton Hall L 63-70 25%    
  Sat, Dec 20 240 Penn W 79-68 84%    
  Mon, Dec 29 355 Delaware St. W 77-57 96%    
  Fri, Jan 2 25 Ohio St. L 68-76 23%    
  Mon, Jan 5 80 Oregon L 71-72 46%    
  Thu, Jan 8 17 @Illinois L 66-83 6%    
  Sun, Jan 11 60 Northwestern L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Jan 17 36 @Wisconsin L 67-80 12%    
  Tue, Jan 20 27 @Iowa L 61-75 10%    
  Fri, Jan 23 24 Indiana L 67-75 22%    
  Tue, Jan 27 10 Michigan St. L 62-75 12%    
  Sat, Jan 31 32 @USC L 68-81 11%    
  Tue, Feb 3 31 @UCLA L 62-75 11%    
  Sat, Feb 7 49 Nebraska L 71-76 34%    
  Sun, Feb 15 86 Maryland W 72-71 50%    
  Wed, Feb 18 96 @Penn St. L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 95 @Minnesota L 64-69 32%    
  Tue, Feb 24 57 Washington L 71-74 38%    
  Sun, Mar 1 86 @Maryland L 69-75 30%    
  Thu, Mar 5 10 @Michigan St. L 59-78 5%    
  Sun, Mar 8 96 Penn St. W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.2 2.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.9 0.2 5.0 12th
13th 0.2 2.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 7.2 13th
14th 0.2 1.9 4.9 2.3 0.1 9.4 14th
15th 0.1 1.6 5.6 4.0 0.5 0.0 11.8 15th
16th 0.1 1.4 6.1 5.9 1.1 0.1 14.7 16th
17th 0.1 2.0 6.8 6.8 2.3 0.1 18.1 17th
18th 1.3 5.3 8.3 7.2 2.3 0.3 24.6 18th
Total 1.3 5.5 10.4 15.4 17.0 16.2 13.4 9.6 5.6 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 50.0%
12-8 0.3% 42.1% 2.6% 39.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 40.5%
11-9 0.7% 20.8% 20.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 20.8%
10-10 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.9%
9-11 3.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 3.0 0.4%
8-12 5.6% 5.6
7-13 9.6% 9.6
6-14 13.4% 13.4
5-15 16.2% 16.2
4-16 17.0% 17.0
3-17 15.4% 15.4
2-18 10.4% 10.4
1-19 5.5% 5.5
0-20 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.4%