IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Portland
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.5	#307
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.5	#314

Pace	68.7	#197
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#284

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#306

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.0	12.5	15.0

.500 or above	2.3%	5.4%	1.0%
.500 or above in Conference	3.7%	6.1%	2.8%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	41.4%	31.6%	45.2%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 9
Quad 3	1 - 6	2 - 16
Quad 4	5 - 5	7 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	117	UC Santa Barbara	L	53-94	23%	0 - 1			-40.9	-22.8	-16.8
Nov 12, 2024	39	@ Oregon	L	70-80 OT	3%	0 - 2			+3.8	-4.9	+9.9
Nov 16, 2024	250	@ Long Beach St.	L	73-79	28%
Nov 21, 2024	120	South Florida	L	66-77	17%
Dec 01, 2024	309	Denver	W	77-74	62%
Dec 06, 2024	122	@ Kent St.	L	63-76	11%
Dec 10, 2024	205	UMKC	L	69-71	43%
Dec 18, 2024	261	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	70-69	52%
Dec 21, 2024	216	Lafayette	L	66-68	45%
Dec 28, 2024	75	Washington St.	L	69-81	14%
Dec 30, 2024	103	@ Oregon St.	L	61-76	9%
Jan 02, 2025	4	@ Gonzaga	L	62-92	0.5%
Jan 04, 2025	40	St. Mary's	L	61-76	9%
Jan 09, 2025	69	@ San Francisco	L	62-81	5%
Jan 16, 2025	284	Pacific	W	74-72	56%
Jan 18, 2025	75	@ Washington St.	L	66-84	6%
Jan 23, 2025	277	San Diego	W	75-73	56%
Jan 25, 2025	4	Gonzaga	L	65-89	2%
Jan 30, 2025	164	@ Loyola Marymount	L	63-74	18%
Feb 01, 2025	229	@ Pepperdine	L	70-77	26%
Feb 06, 2025	111	Santa Clara	L	71-79	24%
Feb 13, 2025	103	Oregon St.	L	64-73	21%
Feb 15, 2025	164	Loyola Marymount	L	66-71	35%
Feb 19, 2025	40	@ St. Mary's	L	58-79	4%
Feb 22, 2025	284	@ Pacific	L	71-75	36%
Feb 27, 2025	229	Pepperdine	L	73-74	46%
Mar 01, 2025	277	@ San Diego	L	72-76	35%
Projected Record						7 - 20	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0								0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0								0.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0								1.7	5th
6th							0.1	1.0	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.0									3.8	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	2.4	3.3	1.6	0.2	0.0										7.7	7th
8th				0.0	0.8	4.3	5.3	2.2	0.3	0.0											12.9	8th
9th			0.0	2.0	7.0	7.2	2.3	0.3													18.8	9th
10th		0.4	4.3	10.2	7.6	2.1	0.2	0.0													24.7	10th
11th	3.3	8.8	10.5	5.5	1.1	0.1															29.4	11th

Total	3.3	9.2	14.8	17.7	16.6	13.9	10.2	6.7	3.8	2.1	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0							Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	0.0%
13-5	0.0%
12-6	2.2%	0.0					0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0					0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	0.0%																	0.0		0.0				0.0
13-5	0.0%																							0.0
12-6	0.2%		2.2%	2.2%		13.0														0.0				0.2
11-7	0.4%																							0.4
10-8	1.0%		0.3%	0.3%		13.0														0.0				1.0
9-9	2.1%		0.2%	0.2%		15.0																0.0		2.1
8-10	3.8%																							3.8
7-11	6.7%																							6.7
6-12	10.2%																							10.2
5-13	13.9%																							13.9
4-14	16.6%																							16.6
3-15	17.7%																							17.7
2-16	14.8%																							14.8
1-17	9.2%																							9.2
0-18	3.3%																							3.3

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	13.0												0.0		0.0		0.0		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%