Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#204
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace67.8#203
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#199
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#209
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 8.9% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 52.9% 69.2% 42.9%
.500 or above in Conference 51.5% 62.3% 44.9%
Conference Champion 4.2% 6.3% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 2.9% 6.6%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round6.1% 8.9% 4.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 412 - 516 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2025 193   @ La Salle L 71-74 38%    
  Nov 13, 2025 100   @ Seton Hall L 62-72 18%    
  Nov 18, 2025 58   @ Syracuse L 66-81 9%    
  Nov 25, 2025 216   Robert Morris W 73-70 62%    
  Nov 28, 2025 225   Ball St. W 72-71 54%    
  Nov 29, 2025 350   Le Moyne W 79-69 80%    
  Nov 30, 2025 291   @ Lafayette W 70-68 56%    
  Dec 03, 2025 176   Princeton W 71-69 56%    
  Dec 06, 2025 102   @ Georgia Tech L 65-75 20%    
  Dec 14, 2025 300   @ Fairfield W 70-68 57%    
  Dec 17, 2025 220   Quinnipiac W 77-73 63%    
  Dec 21, 2025 294   Lehigh W 74-66 75%    
  Dec 31, 2025 227   Campbell W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 03, 2026 126   @ Towson L 63-70 26%    
  Jan 08, 2026 226   William & Mary W 79-75 64%    
  Jan 10, 2026 163   @ Hofstra L 63-68 34%    
  Jan 15, 2026 221   Drexel W 67-63 63%    
  Jan 17, 2026 237   Northeastern W 73-68 65%    
  Jan 22, 2026 228   @ Hampton L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 24, 2026 227   @ Campbell L 68-70 45%    
  Jan 29, 2026 349   N.C. A&T W 79-66 85%    
  Jan 31, 2026 163   Hofstra W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 05, 2026 293   @ Stony Brook W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 12, 2026 221   @ Drexel L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 14, 2026 126   Towson L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 19, 2026 119   @ UNC Wilmington L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 21, 2026 122   @ College of Charleston L 70-78 28%    
  Feb 26, 2026 293   Stony Brook W 73-65 74%    
  Feb 28, 2026 230   Elon W 72-67 65%    
  Mar 03, 2026 237   @ Northeastern L 70-71 46%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.9 3rd
4th 0.4 2.3 4.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 4.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.9 0.7 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.5 3.2 4.4 1.3 0.1 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.4 1.7 0.2 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.9 2.2 0.2 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 4.8 7.0 9.3 10.9 11.8 11.9 11.3 9.7 7.7 5.5 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 93.5% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 74.5% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 41.5% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 53.6% 42.9% 10.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18.8%
16-2 0.5% 39.3% 39.3% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.5% 31.4% 31.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
14-4 3.2% 25.8% 25.8% 12.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4
13-5 5.5% 21.2% 21.2% 13.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 4.3
12-6 7.7% 14.5% 14.5% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.6
11-7 9.7% 9.5% 9.5% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 8.8
10-8 11.3% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.7
9-9 11.9% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.5
8-10 11.8% 1.8% 1.8% 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.6
7-11 10.9% 0.9% 0.9% 17.3 0.0 0.1 10.8
6-12 9.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.2
5-13 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 24.0 0.0 7.0
4-14 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.6 93.9 0.0%