Ohio
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#189
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#201
Pace73.1#83
Improvement+2.2#59

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#171
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#268
Layup/Dunks+1.1#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#281
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement+0.3#157

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#220
First Shot+1.4#122
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#344
Layups/Dunks+0.0#179
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#164
Freethrows+1.6#81
Improvement+2.0#57
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.8% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 30.0% 36.8% 15.5%
.500 or above in Conference 54.5% 63.2% 36.0%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.9% 6.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round2.3% 2.7% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Away) - 68.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 76 - 12
Quad 47 - 413 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 136 Arkansas St. L 85-89 48%     0 - 1 -5.3 +4.1 -9.1
  Thu, Nov 6 82 Illinois St. W 72-68 29%     1 - 1 +7.9 +0.1 +7.7
  Tue, Nov 11 44 @St. Mary's L 60-90 7%     1 - 2 -15.3 -3.4 -12.1
  Sat, Nov 15 13 @Louisville L 81-106 3%     1 - 3 -4.1 +9.7 -11.7
  Wed, Nov 19 269 Bethune-Cookman L 73-76 75%     1 - 4 -11.9 -1.6 -10.4
  Mon, Nov 24 88 George Mason L 69-92 22%     1 - 5 -16.7 +1.6 -19.2
  Tue, Nov 25 123 Loyola Marymount L 58-70 34%     1 - 6 -9.6 -11.6 +2.2
  Wed, Dec 3 342 Maine W 79-57 88%     2 - 6 +7.5 +8.5 +0.5
  Sat, Dec 6 161 Marshall W 88-81 55%     3 - 6 +3.9 +10.5 -6.9
  Sat, Dec 13 116 St. Bonaventure W 88-83 OT 31%     4 - 6 +8.3 +8.4 -0.6
  Sat, Dec 20 117 Bowling Green L 58-68 42%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -9.8 -10.1 -0.1
  Tue, Dec 30 323 @Central Michigan W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Jan 3 216 @Eastern Michigan L 73-74 45%    
  Tue, Jan 6 164 Massachusetts W 79-77 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 196 Buffalo W 79-76 63%    
  Tue, Jan 13 170 @Toledo L 79-83 34%    
  Fri, Jan 16 306 @Ball St. W 74-71 62%    
  Tue, Jan 20 328 Northern Illinois W 84-73 85%    
  Sat, Jan 24 59 Akron L 82-90 24%    
  Tue, Jan 27 124 @Kent St. L 79-86 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 196 @Buffalo L 76-79 41%    
  Tue, Feb 3 280 Western Michigan W 81-74 76%    
  Sat, Feb 14 106 @Miami (OH) L 77-86 20%    
  Tue, Feb 17 306 Ball St. W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Feb 21 328 @Northern Illinois W 81-76 67%    
  Sat, Feb 28 170 Toledo W 82-80 57%    
  Tue, Mar 3 164 @Massachusetts L 76-80 34%    
  Fri, Mar 6 106 Miami (OH) L 80-83 39%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 6.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.6 4.3 0.6 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.9 5.4 1.0 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.9 5.4 1.3 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.7 1.5 0.1 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.5 1.3 0.1 7.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.0 0.1 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.2 8.7 12.5 14.9 15.9 14.3 10.8 7.2 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 75.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 60.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 22.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 12.2% 12.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 11.3% 11.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.7% 10.9% 10.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
13-5 3.9% 7.1% 7.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.7
12-6 7.2% 5.2% 5.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.8
11-7 10.8% 4.7% 4.7% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.3
10-8 14.3% 3.2% 3.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 13.8
9-9 15.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.3 0.2 0.1 15.6
8-10 14.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.8
7-11 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
6-12 8.7% 8.7
5-13 5.2% 5.2
4-14 2.7% 2.7
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.2 97.7 0.0%