Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#238
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#253
Pace74.1#71
Improvement+3.2#20

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#184
First Shot+0.5#161
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#258
Layup/Dunks+3.6#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#144
Freethrows-3.2#335
Improvement+1.2#84

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#289
First Shot-4.8#326
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#106
Layups/Dunks+1.8#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.9#364
Freethrows+1.8#75
Improvement+2.0#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 6.9% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 25.0% 33.4% 14.8%
.500 or above in Conference 60.0% 65.0% 53.8%
Conference Champion 5.2% 6.3% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.5% 2.7%
First Four1.6% 1.5% 1.8%
First Round5.1% 6.3% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Home) - 55.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 410 - 513 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 99 @Grand Canyon L 71-90 12%     0 - 1 -10.8 -0.6 -9.0
  Fri, Nov 7 24 @Ohio St. L 68-94 3%     0 - 2 -8.3 +0.5 -7.8
  Wed, Nov 12 245 @Western Michigan L 71-83 40%     0 - 3 -13.6 -9.0 -3.7
  Tue, Nov 18 114 @Utah L 77-85 16%     0 - 4 -1.6 +9.6 -11.6
  Fri, Nov 21 45 @Saint Louis L 60-91 5%     0 - 5 -17.1 -5.5 -11.4
  Tue, Nov 25 352 Chicago St. W 90-77 86%     1 - 5 -2.8 +11.0 -13.4
  Wed, Dec 3 146 @Oakland L 92-101 22%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -5.1 +8.1 -12.4
  Sat, Dec 6 192 Northern Kentucky W 79-77 53%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -3.0 -2.1 -1.1
  Wed, Dec 10 205 Eastern Michigan W 75-74 55%    
  Sun, Dec 14 293 Detroit Mercy W 80-74 71%    
  Sun, Dec 21 58 @Notre Dame L 66-83 6%    
  Mon, Dec 29 219 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 79-83 36%    
  Thu, Jan 1 273 Green Bay W 78-74 66%    
  Sun, Jan 4 323 Cleveland St. W 86-78 77%    
  Wed, Jan 7 162 @Youngstown St. L 72-79 27%    
  Sun, Jan 11 186 @Robert Morris L 73-79 30%    
  Sun, Jan 18 219 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 82-80 58%    
  Wed, Jan 21 293 @Detroit Mercy L 77-78 50%    
  Sun, Jan 25 356 @IU Indianapolis W 94-88 72%    
  Wed, Jan 28 146 Oakland L 85-87 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 186 Robert Morris W 76-75 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 162 Youngstown St. L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 159 @Wright St. L 72-79 27%    
  Thu, Feb 12 273 @Green Bay L 75-77 45%    
  Sun, Feb 15 356 IU Indianapolis W 97-85 87%    
  Wed, Feb 18 192 @Northern Kentucky L 76-81 32%    
  Sun, Feb 22 323 @Cleveland St. W 83-81 57%    
  Wed, Feb 25 159 Wright St. L 75-76 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.9 2.5 0.2 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.3 3.0 0.3 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.8 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.3 4.6 2.5 0.3 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 3.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.6 7.8 10.5 12.9 14.1 13.5 11.5 8.7 6.1 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-3 92.5% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 77.4% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.0
15-5 47.4% 1.7    0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-6 18.6% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 30.0% 30.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.6% 25.3% 25.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.8% 23.7% 23.7% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4
15-5 3.5% 20.1% 20.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 2.8
14-6 6.1% 15.3% 15.3% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 5.2
13-7 8.7% 10.2% 10.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 7.8
12-8 11.5% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 10.5
11-9 13.5% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.1 0.6 12.8
10-10 14.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5 13.6
9-11 12.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.6
8-12 10.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.4
7-13 7.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.7
6-14 4.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.6
5-15 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 2.7 94.2 0.0%