Mercer
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#194
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#91
Pace75.7#43
Improvement-0.9#248

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#157
First Shot+1.2#146
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#241
Layup/Dunks-5.1#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#56
Freethrows+0.3#160
Improvement-0.8#249

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#245
First Shot-3.2#284
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#126
Layups/Dunks-3.1#296
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#82
Freethrows+0.7#135
Improvement-0.1#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.0% 18.2% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.5 14.3
.500 or above 79.5% 95.2% 78.8%
.500 or above in Conference 80.9% 90.3% 80.5%
Conference Champion 13.6% 22.7% 13.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.4% 0.9%
First Four0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
First Round11.8% 18.2% 11.6%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 4.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 34 - 44 - 9
Quad 413 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 17 @Tennessee L 61-76 3%     0 - 1 +4.2 -2.1 +6.3
  Sun, Nov 9 161 Lipscomb W 92-77 55%     1 - 1 +11.5 +20.6 -8.8
  Sat, Nov 15 118 @Winthrop L 69-105 22%     1 - 2 -29.8 -13.2 -11.8
  Sat, Nov 22 269 @Eastern Kentucky W 95-83 52%     2 - 2 +9.4 +16.9 -7.8
  Wed, Nov 26 282 Appalachian St. W 75-67 76%     3 - 2 -1.5 +7.8 -8.3
  Sat, Nov 29 184 @Elon W 91-84 37%     4 - 2 +8.3 +7.0 +0.7
  Tue, Dec 2 338 Georgia St. W 78-67 87%     5 - 2 -3.1 -0.1 -3.2
  Sat, Dec 13 33 @Clemson L 67-85 4%    
  Wed, Dec 17 62 @Central Florida L 77-91 10%    
  Sat, Dec 20 151 @Washington St. L 79-84 31%    
  Wed, Dec 31 148 @Furman L 74-80 30%    
  Sat, Jan 3 117 @East Tennessee St. L 74-82 22%    
  Wed, Jan 7 363 The Citadel W 84-68 93%    
  Sat, Jan 10 247 Wofford W 81-75 70%    
  Thu, Jan 15 341 @VMI W 82-76 72%    
  Sat, Jan 17 281 @UNC Greensboro W 79-78 55%    
  Wed, Jan 21 289 Western Carolina W 84-76 77%    
  Sat, Jan 24 247 @Wofford L 77-78 49%    
  Thu, Jan 29 281 UNC Greensboro W 82-75 75%    
  Sat, Jan 31 341 VMI W 85-73 86%    
  Thu, Feb 5 222 @Chattanooga L 76-77 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 231 @Samford L 78-79 46%    
  Wed, Feb 11 148 Furman W 78-77 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 363 @The Citadel W 81-71 81%    
  Thu, Feb 19 222 Chattanooga W 79-74 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 231 Samford W 81-76 67%    
  Wed, Feb 25 289 @Western Carolina W 81-79 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 117 East Tennessee St. L 77-79 42%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.9 3.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 13.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.0 6.5 4.2 1.1 0.1 18.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 6.5 6.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 18.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.3 5.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.4 4.4 1.0 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.1 8.3 11.2 13.4 14.5 13.9 11.5 8.5 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 97.5% 2.2    2.0 0.3
15-3 78.0% 3.8    2.6 1.1 0.1
14-4 46.2% 3.9    1.8 1.8 0.3 0.0
13-5 19.8% 2.3    0.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
12-6 3.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.6% 13.6 7.8 4.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 40.6% 40.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 47.5% 47.5% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.3% 35.5% 35.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.5
15-3 4.9% 26.8% 26.8% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.6
14-4 8.5% 22.7% 22.7% 13.8 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 6.6
13-5 11.5% 18.3% 18.3% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.0 9.4
12-6 13.9% 14.5% 14.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.1 11.9
11-7 14.5% 10.1% 10.1% 14.8 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 13.0
10-8 13.4% 6.6% 6.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 12.5
9-9 11.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 10.6
8-10 8.3% 4.2% 4.2% 15.8 0.1 0.3 7.9
7-11 5.1% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.0
6-12 3.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.0
5-13 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.3 3.7 1.3 88.0 0.0%