Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#229
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#200
Pace78.2#21
Improvement+1.6#86

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#271
First Shot-5.1#319
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#84
Layup/Dunks+2.7#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.2#356
Freethrows+1.3#104
Improvement+1.3#92

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#176
First Shot+1.5#121
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#319
Layups/Dunks-3.6#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#52
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement+0.4#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.7% 19.6% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 75.7% 81.3% 58.7%
.500 or above in Conference 88.0% 92.1% 75.6%
Conference Champion 31.0% 35.8% 16.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 1.1%
First Four3.9% 4.1% 3.4%
First Round15.8% 17.7% 10.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 415 - 717 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 24 @Texas Tech L 60-98 3%     0 - 1 -19.8 -11.6 -4.9
  Mon, Nov 10 37 @Saint Louis L 66-109 4%     0 - 2 -26.9 -8.1 -12.9
  Fri, Nov 14 239 Charleston Southern W 83-77 52%     1 - 2 +1.4 -0.2 +0.9
  Sun, Nov 16 293 @Alabama A&M L 65-74 50%     1 - 3 -13.1 -6.3 -7.0
  Thu, Nov 20 29 @Indiana L 53-73 3%     1 - 4 -2.4 -11.2 +9.1
  Mon, Nov 24 343 UMKC W 80-67 84%     2 - 4 -1.7 -2.6 +0.0
  Tue, Dec 2 328 @Northern Illinois W 99-64 61%     3 - 4 +28.1 +16.2 +9.9
  Sat, Dec 6 325 @Eastern Illinois W 82-74 60%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +1.2 +5.9 -5.0
  Thu, Dec 18 356 Western Illinois W 92-76 88%     5 - 4 2 - 0 -0.8 +4.9 -6.9
  Tue, Dec 23 254 @Missouri St. L 65-70 43%     5 - 5 -7.2 -6.3 -1.0
  Thu, Jan 1 307 Morehead St. W 78-71 75%    
  Sat, Jan 3 339 Southern Indiana W 80-70 83%    
  Tue, Jan 6 249 @SIU Edwardsville L 70-72 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 309 Arkansas Little Rock W 77-70 75%    
  Thu, Jan 15 215 @Southeast Missouri St. L 77-81 36%    
  Sat, Jan 17 214 @Tennessee Martin L 72-76 37%    
  Thu, Jan 22 285 Tennessee Tech W 80-75 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 237 Tennessee St. W 79-76 62%    
  Thu, Jan 29 339 @Southern Indiana W 77-73 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 307 @Morehead St. W 75-74 54%    
  Tue, Feb 3 249 SIU Edwardsville W 73-69 64%    
  Thu, Feb 5 309 @Arkansas Little Rock W 74-73 55%    
  Thu, Feb 12 214 Tennessee Martin W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 215 Southeast Missouri St. W 80-78 58%    
  Thu, Feb 19 237 @Tennessee St. L 76-79 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 285 @Tennessee Tech L 77-78 48%    
  Thu, Feb 26 325 Eastern Illinois W 77-68 78%    
  Sat, Feb 28 356 @Western Illinois W 76-69 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.0 7.9 7.1 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2 31.0 1st
2nd 0.2 2.3 6.5 6.6 2.7 0.6 0.1 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.7 4.9 1.3 0.1 13.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.4 4.2 1.0 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.9 0.9 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.3 1.0 0.1 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.3 1.0 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.8 0.1 3.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.4 5.6 8.6 11.4 13.5 14.5 13.9 10.7 7.7 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
18-2 100.0% 2.1    2.0 0.0
17-3 98.4% 4.6    4.4 0.2
16-4 92.2% 7.1    6.0 1.1 0.0
15-5 73.8% 7.9    5.2 2.4 0.3 0.0
14-6 43.3% 6.0    2.3 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-7 14.7% 2.1    0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 31.0% 31.0 21.1 7.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 53.7% 53.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.7% 48.6% 48.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4
18-2 2.1% 44.6% 44.6% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.1
17-3 4.7% 37.8% 37.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.2 2.9
16-4 7.7% 35.5% 35.5% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.9 5.0
15-5 10.7% 31.7% 31.7% 15.5 0.1 1.5 1.8 7.3
14-6 13.9% 25.8% 25.8% 15.7 0.0 1.0 2.6 10.3
13-7 14.5% 17.2% 17.2% 15.8 0.0 0.4 2.1 12.0
12-8 13.5% 10.0% 10.0% 15.9 0.1 1.2 12.1
11-9 11.4% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 10.9
10-10 8.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 8.3
9-11 5.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 5.5
8-12 3.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.4
7-13 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7
6-14 0.8% 0.8
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 6.3 9.7 82.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.6 3.4 41.4 44.8 10.3