Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#246
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#198
Pace77.2#34
Improvement+5.2#1

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#292
First Shot-4.9#309
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#150
Layup/Dunks+2.3#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#333
Freethrows+0.8#138
Improvement+2.2#26

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#174
First Shot+0.0#172
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#204
Layups/Dunks+0.4#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#158
Freethrows-2.8#324
Improvement+3.0#9
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.5% 17.5% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 66.3% 76.5% 53.7%
.500 or above in Conference 76.8% 85.5% 66.2%
Conference Champion 20.1% 26.6% 12.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.6% 3.4%
First Four3.8% 4.2% 3.4%
First Round12.6% 15.5% 9.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Away) - 55.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 415 - 716 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 30 @Texas Tech L 60-98 3%     0 - 1 -21.3 -10.9 -7.1
  Mon, Nov 10 46 @Saint Louis L 66-109 5%     0 - 2 -28.9 -8.3 -14.8
  Fri, Nov 14 288 Charleston Southern W 83-77 59%     1 - 2 -0.9 -1.0 -0.5
  Sun, Nov 16 266 @Alabama A&M L 65-74 43%     1 - 3 -11.8 -5.0 -7.1
  Thu, Nov 20 24 @Indiana L 53-73 3%     1 - 4 -2.4 -11.5 +9.2
  Mon, Nov 24 339 UMKC W 80-67 81%     2 - 4 -1.1 -4.2 +2.1
  Tue, Dec 2 330 @Northern Illinois W 99-64 58%     3 - 4 +28.3 +16.0 +10.3
  Sat, Dec 6 325 @Eastern Illinois W 72-70 55%    
  Thu, Dec 18 361 Western Illinois W 78-65 89%    
  Tue, Dec 23 242 @Missouri St. L 68-71 38%    
  Thu, Jan 1 327 Morehead St. W 77-69 77%    
  Sat, Jan 3 317 Southern Indiana W 82-75 74%    
  Tue, Jan 6 206 @SIU Edwardsville L 68-73 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 305 Arkansas Little Rock W 75-69 72%    
  Thu, Jan 15 233 @Southeast Missouri St. L 76-79 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 239 @Tennessee Martin L 70-73 39%    
  Thu, Jan 22 306 Tennessee Tech W 80-74 71%    
  Sat, Jan 24 249 Tennessee St. W 78-75 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 317 @Southern Indiana W 79-78 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 327 @Morehead St. W 74-72 57%    
  Tue, Feb 3 206 SIU Edwardsville W 71-70 54%    
  Thu, Feb 5 305 @Arkansas Little Rock W 72-71 51%    
  Thu, Feb 12 239 Tennessee Martin W 73-70 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 233 Southeast Missouri St. W 79-76 59%    
  Thu, Feb 19 249 @Tennessee St. L 75-78 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 306 @Tennessee Tech W 77-76 51%    
  Thu, Feb 26 325 Eastern Illinois W 75-67 75%    
  Sat, Feb 28 361 @Western Illinois W 75-68 73%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 3.1 5.5 4.9 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1 20.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.3 5.4 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 16.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 5.1 4.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 13.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.1 4.3 1.1 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.5 0.9 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.6 0.8 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.0 1.0 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 1.0 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.8 6.5 8.3 10.2 12.3 12.3 11.9 10.2 8.6 5.8 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
18-2 98.2% 1.5    1.4 0.0
17-3 95.6% 3.4    3.1 0.3 0.0
16-4 84.4% 4.9    3.7 1.1 0.1
15-5 63.9% 5.5    3.2 1.9 0.3 0.0
14-6 30.5% 3.1    1.1 1.3 0.6 0.1
13-7 9.2% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 20.1% 20.1 13.3 5.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 70.0% 70.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 58.1% 58.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.5% 53.2% 53.2% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7
17-3 3.6% 41.6% 41.6% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 2.1
16-4 5.8% 33.5% 33.5% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.6 3.8
15-5 8.6% 31.7% 31.7% 15.5 0.1 1.1 1.5 5.8
14-6 10.2% 23.6% 23.6% 15.7 0.0 0.8 1.6 7.8
13-7 11.9% 17.5% 17.5% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.8 9.8
12-8 12.3% 10.6% 10.6% 15.9 0.1 1.2 11.0
11-9 12.3% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 11.6
10-10 10.2% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 9.8
9-11 8.3% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 8.1
8-12 6.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.5
7-13 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.8
6-14 2.4% 2.4
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 4.6 8.2 85.5 0.0%