Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.4 276
Results Rating -6.2 260
Consistency 0.15 154
Pace 78.9 7
Improvement -2.6 274

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 311 D- C+ D D+ C+
Defense C- 206 C- C- C+ D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 28 C- 56% 227 +2.7 84
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 62 F 29% 363 -1.5 260
Three Pointers 33% 329 F+ 28% 355 -6.6 348
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 153 D- -5.5 347
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 336
Second Chance C 30.7% 170 B- 1.09 93 C+ 0.34 120
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.7% 345
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 200
Turnovers D 19.1% 322
Freethrows C- 0.30 209 D- 67% 340 D+ 0.20 265
Total Offense D -5.4 311

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 174 C- 11.5% 218
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 126 C- 6.2% 263
Three Pointers C 84% 195 C+ 0.7% 135
Total C- 54% 216 D 6.8% 307


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 17 C- 60% 225 +4.9 336
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 242 B+ 34% 35 -1.6 56
Three Pointers 36% 322 C- 35% 233 -2.1 94
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 310 C +0.4 199
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 219
Second Chance C- 31.8% 254 C- 1.07 249 C- 0.34 258
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.7% 85
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 269
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 138
Freethrows D+ 0.34 288 B- 71% 109 D+ 0.24 266
Total Defense C- -0.9 206

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 104 C- 9.5% 228
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 74 A+ 11.4% 6
Three Pointers D 89% 330 D+ 0.5% 265
Total C+ 54% 142 B- 6.6% 99

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 33 16.8 88
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 54 0.21 304
Consistency 0.12 113 0.10 49
Improvement -1.7 276 -0.8 234

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 287 277 252
Results Rating Rank 292 264 239
Conference Record 11 - 9 11 - 9 11 - 9
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 7% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 n/a
.500 or above 57% 100% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four2% 4% 0%
First Round3% 5% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 414 - 915 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 12 @Texas Tech L 60 - 98 1% -19  9% 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -11 F+ F+ D+ C -1 B A- F
 Mon, Nov 10 24 @Saint Louis L 66 - 109 2% -22  0% 0 - 2 F -24 F+ -9 C+ B+ F F+ -9 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 14 251 Charleston Southern W 83 - 77 45% -6  18% 1 - 2 C +1 D+ -3 C+ D- D B +4 C- B+ B-
 Sun, Nov 16 304 @Alabama A&M L 65 - 74 47% -2  27% 1 - 3 D- -15 F -12 F C F C- -3 F+ F+ B
 Thu, Nov 20 42 @Indiana L 53 - 73 3% -14  0% 1 - 4 C- -4 F -17 F B- F+ A+ +13 A+ D+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 360 UMKC W 80 - 67 91% +6  69% 2 - 4 D+ -8 F+ -8 C F D+ C -1 D+ B A+
 Tue, Dec 2 341 @Northern Illinois W 99 - 64 62% +22  94% 3 - 4 A+ +26 A+ +16 F A+ B+ A- +8 C- A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 326 @Eastern Illinois W 82 - 74 55% -1  43% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C +0 B- +5 D A B D+ -4 B+ F F
 Thu, Dec 18 364 Western Illinois W 92 - 76 92% +13  97% 5 - 4 2 - 0 D+ -6 C +0 C- B+ D+ D- -7 F+ D- D
 Tue, Dec 23 204 @Missouri St. L 65 - 70 25% -5  15% 5 - 5 C- -4 F+ -9 F D- A- B +5 B D- F+
 Thu, Jan 1 283 Morehead St. W 77 - 64 63% +6  96% 6 - 5 3 - 0 C+ +3 D -5 A F C A- +8 B+ C+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 337 Southern Indiana W 83 - 80 80% +5  88% 7 - 5 4 - 0 D- -12 C +1 F+ A+ D+ F -13 F C- B
 Tue, Jan 6 250 @SIU Edwardsville L 62 - 66 33% -2  23% 7 - 6 4 - 1 D+ -6 F+ -10 F A D- B +4 B- C- B+
 Sat, Jan 10 299 Arkansas Little Rock L 74 - 82 68% -5  10% 7 - 7 4 - 2 F -19 D -6 C- B- F F -13 F F C+
 Thu, Jan 15 223 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88 - 76 29% +17  98% 8 - 7 5 - 2 B +11 C+ +3 C- A+ D A- +7 B+ F C
 Sat, Jan 17 230 @Tennessee Martin L 55 - 69 30% -10  2% 8 - 8 5 - 3 F+ -15 F -17 F C- F B- +2 D+ C B
 Thu, Jan 22 310 Tennessee Tech W 89 - 68 71% +19  97% 9 - 8 6 - 3 B +9 C +0 B- A+ F A- +7 A B+ B
 Sat, Jan 24 196 Tennessee St. L 86 - 96 45% -5  9% 9 - 9 6 - 4 F+ -15 C- -2 C- C- D+ F -13 F C- B
 Thu, Jan 29 337 @Southern Indiana W 73 - 60 61% +8  90% 10 - 9 7 - 4 C+ +4 F -11 F D+ F A+ +14 A D- A+
 Sat, Jan 31 283 @Morehead St. W 79 - 78 40% -2  30% 11 - 9 8 - 4 C- -3 D+ -3 B- C- F C+ +1 C+ A- F
 Tue, Feb 3 250 SIU Edwardsville L 72 - 78 56% +4  79% 11 - 10 8 - 5 D- -14 D -6 D C- D- D- -8 F C B
 Thu, Feb 5 299 @Arkansas Little Rock W 79 - 74 45% +0  49% 12 - 10 9 - 5 C -0 C+ +3 F+ B- B- D+ -3 A- F F
 Thu, Feb 12 230 Tennessee Martin W 75 - 74 52% -0  47% 13 - 10 10 - 5 D+ -6 C +2 A+ D- F D- -7 F C- B+
 Sat, Feb 14 223 Southeast Missouri St. L 61 - 73 51% -2  33% 13 - 11 10 - 6 F -19 F -17 F F+ A- C -1 C A+ C
 Thu, Feb 19 196 @Tennessee St. L 80 - 89 24% +2  48% 13 - 12 10 - 7 D+ -8 D -5 D+ C- F C- -2 B+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 310 @Tennessee Tech L 57 - 72 49% -3  13% 13 - 13 10 - 8 F -21 F -18 F F F+ D+ -4 D+ D- D
 Thu, Feb 26 326 Eastern Illinois L 67 - 71 76% -5  6% 13 - 14 10 - 9 F+ -18 F -11 F C+ D+ D- -7 F A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 364 @Western Illinois W 91 - 69 82% +16  95% 14 - 14 11 - 9 B- +6 B+ +8 D+ A+ A+ C- -3 D+ F C
 Wed, Mar 4 299 Arkansas Little Rock W 77 - 75 57%
Totals 15 - 14 11 - 9 -6 D -5 C D- C+ C- -1 F+ D- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- F F+ D- 45% 48% 33% C+ D- C B- C+ D C- D- D+ C- C- B+ C- C 46% 19% 36% D C- C- C- C- C+ D+ B- D+
1.01 56% 29% 28% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.1 .34 19% .30 67% .20 1.10 60% 34% 35% 0 +1 1.05 32% 1.1 .34 17% .34 71% .21
Nov
4		 Texas Tech F F+ F F F 32% 30% 38% C+ F+ C- F F+ D+ A+ D+ A+ C B+ C+ D- B+ 28% 15% 57% C- B F+ A+ A- F F+ A D+
0.78 47% 25% 25% -13 -2 0.74 23% 0.5 .13 18% .42 65% .27 1.28 56% 40% 41% +5 0 1.12 42% 0.7 .29 9% .33 65% .22
Nov
10		 Saint Louis F+ B+ D- F+ B- 42% 27% 31% C C+ C+ A B+ F A+ F C+ F+ F A+ F F 58% 2% 40% F+ F F F F A+ F B- F
0.81 60% 31% 27% -5 -1 0.92 28% 1.1 .31 30% .46 54% .25 1.35 76% 0% 50% +19 +4 1.48 48% 1.7 .83 25% .51 71% .36
Nov
14		 Charleston Southern D+ D+ C+ B+ C+ 40% 32% 28% D+ C+ D+ F D- D A+ D+ A B F F A- C 41% 4% 55% F+ C- B A B+ B- C D+ C
1.06 52% 39% 38% -1 -1 0.98 27% 0.8 .23 14% .46 68% .31 0.99 70% 50% 29% +1 +2 1.09 25% 0.7 .18 20% .26 69% .18
Nov
16		 Alabama A&M F A- C F F 43% 17% 40% C F D+ B- C F A- F C+ C- D- A+ F F+ 36% 20% 44% D F+ D+ F F+ B F D+ F
0.96 70% 38% 16% -6 +1 0.91 29% 1.1 .32 21% .39 62% .24 1.09 63% 22% 40% +2 0 1.07 28% 1.3 .34 19% .46 76% .35
Nov
20		 Indiana F F F F F 40% 30% 30% C F A D- B- F+ B+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 36% 18% 46% A- A+ B- F D+ D F+ A- D
0.75 19% 25% 13% -29 -1 0.42 37% 0.9 .35 20% .35 80% .28 1.03 39% 33% 30% -10 0 0.82 28% 1.3 .35 11% .40 72% .29
Nov
24		 UMKC F+ B- F C+ D+ 60% 13% 27% A- C D F F D+ A+ B A+ C D A+ C- C- 54% 26% 20% F+ D+ A- C+ B A+ F F F
1.06 65% 14% 36% +1 +2 1.10 31% 0.5 .14 19% .44 74% .32 0.89 60% 17% 33% -5 0 0.93 21% 0.9 .18 25% .46 77% .35
Dec
2		 Northern Illinois A+ F F C- F 59% 13% 28% B+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C- A A- A+ F F C 57% 9% 35% F C- D- A+ A+ B F A+ D-
1.33 47% 29% 33% -8 +2 0.91 50% 1.7 .83 13% .44 71% .31 0.86 38% 50% 44% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.3 .09 24% .53 50% .27
Dec
6		 Eastern Illinois B- B F F F+ 53% 14% 33% B D B- A+ A B A- C+ A- D+ B- A+ A+ A 61% 27% 12% F B+ F F F F C- B- C
1.14 67% 29% 18% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 17% .39 78% .30 1.03 50% 19% 14% -14 +1 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 13% .29 72% .21
Dec
18		 Western Illinois C C F A- C- 52% 19% 29% C+ C- B B- B+ D+ A+ F A D- F+ A+ A+ D+ 62% 15% 24% F F+ B F D- D F A+ D
1.21 63% 30% 40% +4 +1 1.12 39% 1.3 .49 16% .53 56% .30 1.00 62% 13% 23% -5 +2 0.96 21% 1.5 .32 15% .43 54% .23
Dec
23		 Missouri St. F+ B+ C F F 29% 27% 44% B- F C F D- A- A+ F B B F A+ A+ B+ 36% 20% 44% D B C F D- F+ D A+ B
0.94 71% 38% 14% -9 -1 0.81 31% 0.8 .24 13% .52 58% .30 1.02 78% 10% 23% -6 0 0.90 33% 1.3 .43 13% .38 52% .20
Jan
1		 Morehead St. D C+ A+ A+ A- 55% 8% 37% A A F F F C B F D- A- C- B A+ A- 40% 24% 36% D+ B+ B D+ C+ C+ B A- B+
1.11 61% 75% 42% +9 +3 1.25 15% 0.4 .06 14% .37 50% .19 0.92 60% 33% 22% -7 0 0.88 31% 1.0 .31 19% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Southern Indiana C D+ F D+ F 70% 19% 11% A- F+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F C+ F F F D- B+ F 46% 21% 32% D- F D- C+ C- B A- F C-
1.16 54% 10% 33% -8 +2 0.91 46% 1.5 .69 17% .20 75% .15 1.12 69% 42% 28% +3 0 1.09 33% 0.8 .27 20% .24 86% .21
Jan
6		 SIU Edwardsville F+ D- F F F 43% 23% 34% B- F B- A+ A D- D- F+ F+ B C+ A+ F C+ 32% 36% 32% B+ B- C+ D- C- B+ F F+ F
0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18 0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29
Jan
10		 Arkansas Little Rock D B- A+ D- D+ 43% 12% 45% B- C- C- A- B- F D+ A C F F D B F 42% 34% 25% D+ F F B F C+ D+ F F
1.08 67% 50% 32% +4 +1 1.12 34% 1.1 .38 23% .27 79% .21 1.19 77% 39% 31% +7 -2 1.13 47% 0.9 .43 19% .25 86% .22
Jan
15		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ C F D- D- 61% 4% 35% A+ C- A- A+ A+ D A+ F B+ A- A+ A- C+ A 50% 12% 38% F B+ D F F C F+ B- D
1.08 57% 0% 29% -5 +4 1.00 35% 1.5 .51 20% .53 66% .35 0.93 41% 29% 32% -11 +2 0.84 31% 1.4 .44 17% .39 65% .25
Jan
17		 Tennessee Martin F F C- F F 18% 47% 36% F F D+ C+ C- F A+ F A+ B- D B- C- D 35% 26% 39% B D+ C C- C B A+ F+ A-
0.77 50% 33% 13% -15 -5 0.62 29% 1.0 .29 24% .50 63% .31 0.97 63% 36% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 24% .20 73% .15
Jan
22		 Tennessee Tech C A D+ F C 61% 6% 33% A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F B+ B A- A- A+ C- A- A+ 51% 27% 22% D+ A F+ A+ B+ B F B F
1.17 71% 33% 24% +2 +3 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 24% .34 80% .27 0.89 36% 38% 27% -13 0 0.76 35% 0.7 .23 21% .50 73% .36
Jan
24		 Tennessee St. C- D+ B B+ C 38% 28% 34% F C- D- A C- D+ C- A+ A- F D F F F 56% 23% 21% F F C+ D C- B A+ B+ A+
1.10 55% 47% 39% +4 -1 1.08 24% 1.3 .31 20% .35 91% .32 1.23 63% 64% 46% +12 +1 1.29 31% 1.1 .34 19% .16 70% .11
Jan
29		 Southern Indiana F A F F F 44% 35% 21% F F C D D+ F A+ B A+ A+ A+ D B A+ 49% 19% 32% F A F B D- A+ F A- D+
0.94 70% 17% 18% -7 -1 0.85 33% 0.9 .29 19% .43 78% .34 0.77 23% 40% 29% -19 +1 0.66 41% 0.8 .31 27% .39 59% .23
Jan
31		 Morehead St. D+ A+ F A+ B 30% 20% 50% D- B- F+ A- C- F A+ D+ A+ C+ D- C+ A+ C 41% 33% 27% B- C+ A+ C+ A- F F D F
1.09 77% 0% 45% +6 -1 1.14 29% 1.1 .32 22% .51 69% .35 1.08 65% 38% 23% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.9 .23 12% .47 77% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 SIU Edwardsville D D D+ D+ D+ 40% 31% 29% D+ D A F C- D- C F D- D- F A+ F F 47% 27% 27% F+ F C C C B F C F
0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19 1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24
Feb
5		 Arkansas Little Rock C+ F F A+ D- 45% 25% 29% D F+ B C B- B- A D- B+ D+ B- F A+ A 34% 26% 40% D A- F+ F F F F F+ F
1.17 48% 23% 53% 0 0 1.02 41% 0.9 .38 16% .37 67% .25 1.09 56% 43% 19% -8 -1 0.83 36% 1.4 .51 13% .31 72% .22
Feb
12		 Tennessee Martin C A+ C- D+ A+ 59% 13% 28% A+ A+ C- F D- F F+ A D+ D- F A+ F F 42% 11% 47% F F C+ D- C- B+ F A+ C-
1.08 78% 33% 31% +10 +2 1.26 31% 0.8 .23 25% .27 79% .21 1.07 68% 0% 43% +6 +2 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 25% .40 52% .21
Feb
14		 Southeast Missouri St. F F A F F 46% 23% 31% C- F F C+ F+ A- C F F C F A+ A+ C+ 55% 15% 30% F C C+ A+ A+ C F D+ F
0.84 42% 50% 19% -12 0 0.79 17% 1.1 .20 14% .40 56% .22 1.01 69% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.6 .15 17% .66 70% .46
Feb
19		 Tennessee St. D C- D A- D+ 49% 22% 29% D+ D+ D+ C+ C- F B+ C- B C- C B- A+ B+ 38% 38% 25% B B+ F F F D+ F B+ F
1.01 56% 36% 40% +1 +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 24% .41 72% .30 1.12 57% 33% 21% -7 -2 0.84 41% 1.4 .57 15% .46 71% .33
Feb
21		 Tennessee Tech F F+ F C F 31% 25% 44% D F F C- F F+ F C- F D+ A F D+ D+ 33% 25% 42% B- D+ B+ F D- D C F D
0.86 50% 15% 35% -8 -1 0.85 16% 1.2 .19 18% .15 75% .11 1.09 44% 50% 35% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.6 .38 17% .29 88% .25
Feb
26		 Eastern Illinois F F F D F 52% 8% 40% A- F A- D- C+ D+ F+ F+ F D- D A+ F F 39% 43% 18% A- F C+ A+ A+ C+ F C- F
0.97 42% 0% 30% -14 +3 0.80 43% 0.9 .40 20% .25 71% .18 1.03 59% 21% 75% +4 -3 1.05 26% 0.3 .06 19% .59 76% .45
Feb
28		 Western Illinois B+ D+ F+ A D+ 47% 23% 30% D+ D+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F F F C- A- F A- C- 32% 24% 44% C- D+ C+ F F C F+ C- D-
1.29 59% 31% 41% +2 0 1.07 40% 1.6 .66 9% .23 60% .14 0.98 44% 50% 27% -6 -1 0.88 23% 1.9 .43 17% .36 67% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.6 3.6 95.8
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.9 95.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.2% 100.0% 15.9 14.4 85.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.5%
Lose Out 42.7%