American
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#260
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#288
Pace59.6#358
Improvement-0.6#259

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#188
First Shot-0.3#192
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#186
Layup/Dunks-0.2#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#39
Freethrows-2.5#301
Improvement+1.6#25

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#329
First Shot-4.3#304
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#225
Layups/Dunks-8.4#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#25
Freethrows-2.8#317
Improvement-2.2#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 12.7% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 35.1% 48.2% 26.1%
.500 or above in Conference 64.2% 71.4% 59.3%
Conference Champion 12.3% 16.1% 9.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 4.4% 8.0%
First Four5.1% 5.2% 5.1%
First Round7.8% 10.1% 6.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Neutral) - 40.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 412 - 914 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 121   @ La Salle L 52-65 15%     0 - 1 -7.1 -7.8 -1.6
  Nov 10, 2024 244   Harvard W 67-55 57%     1 - 1 +4.9 -1.6 +7.7
  Nov 12, 2024 306   @ Siena L 66-74 49%     1 - 2 -13.1 +4.1 -18.7
  Nov 15, 2024 8   @ North Carolina L 55-107 2%     1 - 3 -31.4 -12.6 -15.9
  Nov 18, 2024 125   @ High Point L 73-80 16%     1 - 4 -1.5 +13.8 -16.7
  Nov 22, 2024 217   UMKC L 65-68 41%    
  Nov 24, 2024 246   Albany L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 04, 2024 143   George Washington L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 18, 2024 99   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-76 11%    
  Dec 22, 2024 58   @ Virginia L 51-68 6%    
  Dec 29, 2024 311   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-73 71%    
  Jan 02, 2025 309   @ Navy W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 05, 2025 316   Holy Cross W 73-67 72%    
  Jan 08, 2025 286   @ Boston University L 65-67 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 235   Bucknell W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 13, 2025 335   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-65 58%    
  Jan 18, 2025 316   @ Holy Cross W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 22, 2025 283   Lehigh W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 189   Colgate L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 29, 2025 240   @ Lafayette L 63-67 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 293   Army W 67-62 66%    
  Feb 05, 2025 235   @ Bucknell L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 283   @ Lehigh L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 10, 2025 240   Lafayette W 66-64 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 335   Loyola Maryland W 70-62 76%    
  Feb 19, 2025 293   @ Army L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 286   Boston University W 68-64 64%    
  Feb 26, 2025 309   Navy W 71-65 70%    
  Mar 01, 2025 189   @ Colgate L 62-69 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 3.4 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 12.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.9 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.7 3.3 0.7 0.1 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.0 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 5.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 5.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.2 3.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.3 6.7 8.9 11.2 12.5 12.7 11.7 10.0 7.5 5.1 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 97.5% 1.3    1.2 0.1
15-3 87.6% 2.6    2.1 0.4 0.0
14-4 67.9% 3.4    2.2 1.1 0.1
13-5 39.4% 3.0    1.2 1.4 0.4 0.0
12-6 13.1% 1.3    0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.3% 12.3 7.5 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 62.2% 62.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 43.3% 43.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.3% 34.2% 34.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-3 2.9% 31.7% 31.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 2.0
14-4 5.1% 27.6% 27.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 3.7
13-5 7.5% 20.8% 20.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 5.9
12-6 10.0% 16.7% 16.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.4 8.3
11-7 11.7% 12.2% 12.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 10.3
10-8 12.7% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.0 1.0 11.7
9-9 12.5% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.7
8-10 11.2% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.4 10.8
7-11 8.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 8.7
6-12 6.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.6
5-13 4.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.3
4-14 2.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 7.3 89.7 0.0%