Horizon
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Wright St. 27%   15   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 +1.5 132 C+ +2 118 C -1 176 +1 142 0 1
Northern Kentucky 11%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.5 194 C- -2 203 C- -1 187 +10 31 0 1
Green Bay 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.8 201 C +0 172 D+ -2 251 0 159 0 1
Oakland 12%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.0 203 C- -1 191 C- -2 229 +7 65 0 1
Robert Morris 10%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.0 205 C- -2 233 C- -1 188 -1 258 0 1
Youngstown St. 9%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.8 224 C- -2 221 C- -2 228 +15 11 0 1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.1 251 C- -2 237 D+ -3 264 +4 95 0 1
Purdue Fort Wayne 5%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.4 256 D+ -3 249 D+ -3 260 -8 322 0 1
Northern Illinois 5%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.7 264 C +0 146 D- -6 354 -22 360 0 1
Detroit Mercy 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.2 272 C- -2 230 D -4 315 0 159 0 1
IU Indianapolis 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.8 300 C- -2 228 D- -6 347 0 159 0 1
Cleveland St. 2%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8.9 318 D+ -3 260 D- -6 349 +5 85 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 15 Michigan 84 203 Oakland 68   
Mon, Nov 2 251 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 63 30 USC 95   
Mon, Nov 2 64 Nevada 86 205 Robert Morris 49   
Mon, Nov 2 166 St. Bonaventure 71 224 Youngstown St. 79   
Mon, Nov 2 194 Northern Kentucky 84 195 UTEP 76   
Mon, Nov 2 313 Air Force 71 132 Wright St. 102   
Mon, Nov 2 320 Grambling St. 89 264 Northern Illinois 87   
Tue, Nov 3 318 Cleveland St. 50 26 Missouri 111   
Tue, Nov 3 129 Duquesne 78 256 Purdue Fort Wayne 71   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Wed, Nov 4 251 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 68 82 Santa Clara 83 92%   
Wed, Nov 4 194 Northern Kentucky 78 274 South Dakota 76 54%   
Thu, Nov 5 32 Cincinnati 77 201 Green Bay 58 96%   
Thu, Nov 5 264 Northern Illinois 69 103 Tulsa 83 89%   
Fri, Nov 6 194 Northern Kentucky 69 29 Texas A&M 89 96%   
Fri, Nov 6 36 Ohio St. 82 224 Youngstown St. 62 96%   
Fri, Nov 6 272 Detroit Mercy 63 31 Marquette 87 97%   
Fri, Nov 6 203 Oakland 67 74 Stanford 81 90%   
Fri, Nov 6 117 Florida Atlantic 73 132 Wright St. 75 56%   
Fri, Nov 6 205 Robert Morris 61 102 Illinois-Chicago 72 84%   
Sat, Nov 7 66 Dayton 82 264 Northern Illinois 64 94%   
Sat, Nov 7 203 Oakland 67 106 UC Santa Barbara 77 83%   
Sat, Nov 7 300 IU Indianapolis 75 283 Tennessee Martin 73 59%   
Sun, Nov 8 201 Green Bay 67 140 St. Thomas 73 74%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Wright St. 3 43% 32% 9% 2% 43 20 12 8 5 4 3 2 1 1 0 0
Oakland 5 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 14 13 12 11 9 8 6 5 4 3 1
Northern Kentucky 5 14% 8% 4% 1% 14 14 13 11 10 9 8 7 5 4 3 2
Robert Morris 5 13% 7% 4% 2% 13 14 13 12 10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2
Green Bay 5 12% 7% 3% 1% 12 12 12 11 10 9 9 7 6 5 4 3
Youngstown St. 5 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 12 12 12 10 10 9 7 7 5 4 2
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7 5% 3% 2% 1% 5 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 7 5
Northern Illinois 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 6 7 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 8 7
Purdue Fort Wayne 7 5% 2% 1% 1% 5 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 7
Detroit Mercy 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 11 11 11 9
IU Indianapolis 9 1% 1% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10 11 14 16 18
Cleveland St. 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 1 3 3 4 6 7 9 11 14 18 23

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 14 - 6 19 - 11 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 10 13 14 14 12 9 5 2 0
Oakland 11 - 9 13 - 19 0 0 0 1 1 3 5 7 10 12 13 13 12 9 7 4 2 1 0 0
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 17 - 13 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 10 12 13 13 11 9 6 4 2 1 0 0
Robert Morris 11 - 9 15 - 16 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 10 12 13 13 11 9 6 4 2 1 0 0
Green Bay 11 - 9 15 - 15 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 8 11 12 13 12 10 8 5 3 2 1 0 0
Youngstown St. 11 - 9 15 - 14 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 11 13 13 12 11 8 5 3 1 1 0 0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10 - 10 12 - 19 0 0 0 1 2 5 7 10 12 13 13 12 9 7 5 3 1 1 0 0 0
Northern Illinois 9 - 11 12 - 19 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 10 13 13 13 11 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0
Purdue Fort Wayne 9 - 11 12 - 17 0 0 0 2 3 6 8 11 12 13 12 10 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0
Detroit Mercy 9 - 11 10 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 9 12 12 13 12 10 7 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0
IU Indianapolis 7 - 13 11 - 19 0 1 2 5 8 11 13 14 13 11 9 6 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 0
Cleveland St. 7 - 13 8 - 20 0 1 3 7 10 13 14 14 12 10 7 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Wright St. 27% 27% 0% 15 Negligible 1 6 10 9 1 73
Northern Kentucky 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 3 6 1 89
Green Bay 10% 10% 0% Negligible 2 6 2 90
Oakland 12% 12% 0% Negligible 1 3 5 2 88
Robert Morris 10% 10% 0% Negligible 2 6 2 90
Youngstown St. 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 3 5 1 91
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 94
Purdue Fort Wayne 5% 5% 0% Negligible 2 3 95
Northern Illinois 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 4 95
Detroit Mercy 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
IU Indianapolis 2% 2% 0% Negligible 1 1 98
Cleveland St. 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 1 98

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 76% 0.8 24 76 0
2nd Round 7% 0.1 93 7
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 27% 6% 24% 3% 1%
Northern Kentucky 11% 4% 9% 1%
Green Bay 10% 6% 7%
Oakland 12% 5% 9% 1%
Robert Morris 10% 6% 7% 1%
Youngstown St. 9% 3% 7%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6% 4% 4%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5% 5% 3%
Northern Illinois 5% 5% 3%
Detroit Mercy
IU Indianapolis 2% 2% 1%
Cleveland St. 2% 1% 1%