Ivy League
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Harvard 24%   14   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +2.1 126 C +0 155 C+ +2 108 0 164 0 1
Penn 24%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 +2.0 128 C+ +1 136 C+ +1 132 0 164 0 1
Yale 18%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 +0.3 152 C +1 143 C +0 168 +8 47 0 1
Princeton 17%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.0 156 C +1 145 C -1 176 0 164 0 1
Cornell 9%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.4 192 C+ +1 134 D+ -3 290 +10 30 0 1
Columbia 4%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -4.7 243 C- -1 199 D+ -3 284 -18 355 0 1
Brown 3%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.5 257 D -6 331 C +0 144 -25 365 0 1
Dartmouth 2%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -7.1 281 D -6 325 C- -1 212 +9 43 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 192 Cornell 86 150 Pepperdine 85   
174 Howard 62 152 Yale 72   
243 Columbia 71 183 Elon 84   
257 Brown 55 314 New Hampshire 59   
281 Dartmouth 69 275 Marist 62   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Thu, Nov 5 3 Illinois 88 128 Penn 65 97%   
149 Hofstra 63 156 Princeton 65 60%   
192 Cornell 77 266 Lehigh 76 52%   
Fri, Nov 6 80 Central Florida 77 152 Yale 67 84%   
287 Boston University 63 257 Brown 68 68%   
Sun, Nov 8 156 Princeton 69 263 Siena 66 60%   
257 Brown 65 266 Lehigh 67 60%   
327 Central Connecticut St. 63 281 Dartmouth 69 72%   
Mon, Nov 9 174 Howard 71 128 Penn 77 73%   
243 Columbia 74 350 Stonehill 64 84%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Harvard 3 33% 21% 9% 3% 33 23 17 12 8 5 3 1
Penn 3 32% 21% 9% 3% 32 22 17 12 8 5 3 1
Yale 3 24% 14% 7% 2% 24 20 18 14 11 7 5 2
Princeton 3 21% 12% 6% 2% 21 19 17 15 12 8 5 3
Cornell 4 10% 5% 3% 2% 10 12 15 16 16 14 11 7
Columbia 5 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 7 10 13 16 19 18 15
Brown 6 3% 1% 1% 1% 3 4 8 11 15 19 21 20
Dartmouth 6 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 3 6 8 12 17 23 30

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Harvard 9 - 5 16 - 10 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 12 16 17 17 12 7 3 1
Penn 9 - 5 16 - 10 0 0 1 2 4 8 12 15 18 16 12 8 3 1
Yale 8 - 6 14 - 12 0 0 0 1 3 7 11 14 17 16 14 9 5 2 0
Princeton 8 - 6 14 - 13 0 0 1 2 4 7 12 15 17 16 12 8 4 1 0
Cornell 7 - 7 13 - 14 0 1 2 5 9 13 16 17 14 11 7 3 1 0 0
Columbia 6 - 8 12 - 15 0 2 5 10 14 17 16 14 10 6 3 1 0 0 0
Brown 5 - 9 11 - 16 1 3 8 13 16 18 16 12 8 4 2 1 0 0 0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 10 - 15 1 5 11 16 18 17 13 9 5 3 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Harvard 24% 24% 0% 14 Negligible 1 7 10 6 76
Penn 24% 24% 0% Negligible 1 7 10 6 76
Yale 18% 18% 0% Negligible 1 6 7 3 82
Princeton 17% 17% 0% Negligible 3 6 6 1 83
Cornell 9% 9% 0% Negligible 2 4 3 91
Columbia 4% 4% 0% Negligible 1 3 96
Brown 3% 3% 0% Negligible 0 2 97
Dartmouth 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 1 0 98

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 91% 0.9 9 90 0
2nd Round 11% 0.1 89 11 0
Sweet Sixteen 2% 0.0 98 2
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Harvard 24% 3% 23% 3% 1%
Penn 24% 3% 23% 3% 1%
Yale 18% 1% 17% 2%
Princeton 17% 4% 15% 2%
Cornell 9% 2% 8% 1%
Columbia 4% 4% 2%
Brown 3% 3% 2%
Dartmouth 2% 1% 1%