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• 2026 - 2027
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  • Preseason

Dartmouth
Ivy League
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details. Rating Rank vs Preseason INCC Stats Predictive Rating -7.0 282 74% INCC Stats Results Rating +9.4 43 100% Consistency 0.00 1 Pace 72.7 76 Improvement - - Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free throws Shot Selection Offense D 325 D+ D+ D- C+ B- Defense C- 214 C B- D C- D Offense Breakdown Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect Close Shots 33% 312 F+ 48% 353 -5.6 346 2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 340 F 25% 360 -4.0 349 Three Pointers 53% 6 B- 35% 84 +7.5 7 Selection / Accuracy B- +0.6 111 D+ -2.7 274 1st FG Attempt D+ 0.94 247 Second Chance D- 23.0% 346 B 1.12 55 D+ 0.26 279 Opponents' Steals D 11.2% 301 Other Turnovers D- 9.5% 340 Turnovers D- 20.7% 337 Freethrows B- 0.33 97 D+ 66% 284 C+ 0.22 147 Total Offense D -5.5 325 Assists Opponents' Blocks Close Shots C- 46% 249 F+ 15.6% 346 2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 311 D 8.1% 324 Three Pointers C+ 89% 139 C 0.9% 181 Total B 65% 68 D+ 6.7% 288 Defense Breakdown Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect Close Shots 44% 34 C+ 55% 127 +2.6 280 2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 244 B 31% 43 -1.5 66 Three Pointers 37% 302 D+ 34% 279 -0.9 137 Selection / Accuracy D +0.7 299 C -0.5 158 1st FG Attempt C 0.98 182 Second Chance B- 27.5% 89 C+ 0.98 141 B- 0.27 96 Turnovers from Steals D 7.9% 313 Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 200 Turnovers D 15.6% 309 Freethrows C- 0.33 247 C 69% 176 C- 0.23 240 Total Defense C- -1.5 214 Assists Blocks Close Shots B- 45% 76 D 8.0% 309 2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 251 C+ 6.4% 102 Three Pointers C+ 85% 145 D+ 0.5% 255 Total C+ 55% 116 C- 4.9% 242 Miscellaneous Offense Defense Possession Length 16.3 84 17.0 151 Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 327 0.18 176 Consistency 0.00 1 0.00 1

NCAA Tournament Selection At-Large Chances Negligible (0%) Projected Seeding Not in Tournament   Prediction Ranges Pessimistic 5th Percentile Expected 50th Percentile Optimistic 95th Percentile Overall Record 6 - 19 10 - 15 15 - 11 Predictive Rating Rank 338 286 210 Results Rating Rank 306 209 135 Conference Record 1 - 13 4 - 10 8 - 6 Conference Finish 8 6 3 NCAA Tourney Seed None None None NCAA Tourney Finish None None None Now Win Next Lose Next #1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0% #1 Seed 0% 0% 0% Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0% Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0% Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0% Opening Round Bye 40% 25% 100% NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1% At-Large Status Negligible Negligible Negligible At-Large Bid 0% 0% 0% Average Seed 15.0 15.3 14.0 .500 or above 22% 25% 13% .500 or above in Conf 20% 20% 19% Conference Champion 2% 1% 2% Last Place in Conference 39% 38% 40% Opening Round 1% 1% 0% First Round 1% 1% 1% Second Round 0% 0% 0% Sweet Sixteen 0% 0% 0% Elite Eight 0% 0% 0% Final Four 0% 0% 0% Championship Game 0% 0% 0% National Champion 0% 0% 0% Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 73% chance of victory Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large Chance Avg Seed At-Large Selection Chances Indiv. Cumul. 19 - 8 18 - 8 1% 100% Negligible 18 - 9 17 - 9 0% 99% Negligible 17 - 9 16 - 9 1% 99% Negligible 16 - 10 15 - 10 3% 98% Negligible 15 - 11 14 - 11 3% 95% Negligible 14 - 12 13 - 12 6% 92% Negligible 13 - 12 12 - 12 8% 86% Negligible 12 - 13 11 - 13 10% 78% Negligible 11 - 14 10 - 14 11% 68% Negligible 10 - 15 9 - 15 15% 57% Negligible 9 - 16 8 - 16 11% 41% Negligible 8 - 17 7 - 17 10% 30% Negligible 7 - 18 6 - 18 8% 20% Negligible 6 - 19 5 - 19 8% 12% Negligible 5 - 20 4 - 20 2% 4% Negligible 4 - 21 3 - 21 1% 2% Negligible 3 - 22 2 - 22 1% 1% Negligible Projected Record by Quadrant Quad Projected Projected Cumulative Quad 1a 0 - 0 0 - 0 Quad 1b 0 - 0 0 - 0 Quad 2 0 - 3 0 - 3 Quad 3 2 - 6 2 - 9 Quad 4 8 - 6 10 - 15

Stat Type	Preseason	Current
Predictive Rank	312	282
Results Rank		43
Projected Overall Record	8 - 17	10 - 15
Projected Conference Record	4 - 10	4 - 10
Conference Champion	1%	2%
Conference Finish	7	6
NCAA Tournament Seed
Opening Round Bye	26%	40%
At-Large Tourney Chance	0%	0%
At Large Status	Negligible	Negligible

NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss	Future Record	Wins Chance			Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	At-Large Selection Chances		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16		No Bid
		Indiv.	Cumul.
19 - 8	18 - 8	1%	100%		67%	67%		14	Negligible															0				0
18 - 9	17 - 9	0%	99%						Negligible																			0
17 - 9	16 - 9	1%	99%						Negligible																			1
16 - 10	15 - 10	3%	98%		15%	15%		16	Negligible																0	0		2
15 - 11	14 - 11	3%	95%		6%	6%		16	Negligible																	0		3
14 - 12	13 - 12	6%	92%						Negligible																			6
13 - 12	12 - 12	8%	86%						Negligible																			8
12 - 13	11 - 13	10%	78%						Negligible																			10
11 - 14	10 - 14	11%	68%						Negligible																			11
10 - 15	9 - 15	15%	57%						Negligible																			15
9 - 16	8 - 16	11%	41%						Negligible																			11
8 - 17	7 - 17	10%	30%						Negligible																			10
7 - 18	6 - 18	8%	20%						Negligible																			8
6 - 19	5 - 19	8%	12%						Negligible																			8
5 - 20	4 - 20	2%	4%						Negligible																			2
4 - 21	3 - 21	1%	2%						Negligible																			1
3 - 22	2 - 22	1%	1%						Negligible																			1
Total		100%			1%	1%	0%	15	Negligible																			99

At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss	Future Record	Avg Conf Record	Wins Chance			At-Large	Opening Bye	Avg Seed	At-Large Selection Chances		Average Rating Rank			Average Quad Records
			Indiv.	Cumul.							Predictive	Results	NET	Quad 1	Quad 2	Quad 3	Quad 4
19 - 8	18 - 8	9 - 5	1%	100%					Negligible		147	96	118	0 - 0	1 - 1	7 - 3	11 - 4
18 - 9	17 - 9	10 - 4	0%	99%					Negligible		176	105	137	0 - 1	2 - 3	3 - 2	13 - 3
17 - 9	16 - 9	9 - 5	1%	99%					Negligible		198	118	155	0 - 0	1 - 2	5 - 3	11 - 3
16 - 10	15 - 10	8 - 6	3%	98%					Negligible		204	131	163	0 - 0	1 - 3	4 - 5	11 - 3
15 - 11	14 - 11	7 - 7	3%	95%					Negligible		231	140	181	0 - 0	0 - 3	3 - 5	11 - 3
14 - 12	13 - 12	7 - 7	6%	92%					Negligible		232	150	188	0 - 0	1 - 3	3 - 5	10 - 4
13 - 12	12 - 12	6 - 8	8%	86%					Negligible		256	163	208	0 - 0	0 - 3	2 - 6	10 - 4
12 - 13	11 - 13	6 - 8	10%	78%					Negligible		261	179	220	0 - 0	0 - 3	3 - 6	9 - 5
11 - 14	10 - 14	5 - 9	11%	68%					Negligible		279	193	236	0 - 0	0 - 3	2 - 6	9 - 5
10 - 15	9 - 15	4 - 10	15%	57%					Negligible		284	208	249	0 - 0	0 - 3	2 - 6	8 - 6
9 - 16	8 - 16	4 - 10	11%	41%					Negligible		296	225	263	0 - 0	0 - 3	1 - 6	8 - 6
8 - 17	7 - 17	3 - 11	10%	30%					Negligible		312	250	287	0 - 0	0 - 3	1 - 7	7 - 7
7 - 18	6 - 18	3 - 11	8%	20%					Negligible		316	271	297	0 - 0	0 - 3	1 - 7	6 - 7
6 - 19	5 - 19	2 - 12	8%	12%					Negligible		331	293	317	0 - 0	0 - 3	1 - 7	5 - 8
5 - 20	4 - 20	2 - 12	2%	4%					Negligible		334	315	330	0 - 0	0 - 3	0 - 8	5 - 9
4 - 21	3 - 21	1 - 13	1%	2%					Negligible		335	339	341	0 - 0	0 - 3	1 - 9	3 - 9
3 - 22	2 - 22	1 - 14	1%	1%					Negligible		349	359	356	0 - 0	0 - 3	0 - 9	3 - 10
Total		5 - 9	100%			0%		15	Negligible		282	213	249	0 - 0	0 - 3	2 - 6	8 - 6

Projected Ivy League Finish

	Wins Chance			Champ	Co-Champions					Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
	Indiv.	Cumul.			0	1	2	3+		1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th		Total
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3	0%	100%		100%	100%					0									0
10-4	1%	100%		33%				33%		0	0								1
9-5	2%	99%		38%		13%	25%			1	1								2
8-6	6%	98%		10%			3%	6%		1	1	3	2	0					6
7-7	11%	91%									0	2	4	5					11
6-8	13%	80%										0	3	6	3	1			13
5-9	17%	67%												3	9	4	0		17
4-10	20%	50%												0	5	11	5		20
3-11	14%	30%													1	6	7		14
2-12	10%	16%														1	9		10
1-13	5%	6%														0	5		5
0-14	1%	1%															1		1
Total	100%			2%	0%	0%	1%	1%		2	2	5	9	15	18	22	27		100

Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

			Offense																						Defense
			Tot Off		First Field Goal Attempt										Second Chance				TOs		Freethrows				Tot Def		First Field Goal Attempt										Second Chance				TOs		Freethrows
					Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				Pts Per Shot														Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				Pts Per Shot
					2 C	2 L	3	Tot	2 C	2 L	3	Tot			Off Reb	PPP	Tot				Att	Perc	Tot				2 C	2 L	3	Tot	2 C	2 L	3	Tot			Off Reb	PPP	Tot				Att	Perc	Tot
Season Ratings			D		F+	F	B-	D+	33%	22%	53%	B-	D+		D-	B	D+		D-		B-	D+	C+		C-		C+	B	D+	C	44%	19%	37%	D	C		B-	C+	B-		D		C-	C	C-
			1.01		48%	25%	35%	-3				+1	0.94		23%	1.1	.26		21%		.33	66%	.22		1.11		55%	31%	34%	-1				+1	0.98		27%	1.0	.27		16%		.33	69%	.23
Nov 2	Marist	D	F	A+	A-	D+	45%	5%	50%	A+	C	C-	A	B	F	A+	F	C+	A	A+	A+	F	B-	45%	23%	33%	F+	C	B-	C	C+	A+	F	D	F
		0.99	45%	50%	36%	-2				+3	1.00	31%	1.2	.38	23%	.45	54%	.24	0.89	39%	22%	46%	-4				0	0.90	24%	1.0	.24	26%	.51	81%	.41
Nov 8	Central Conn	1.02	50%	18%	35%	-1	37%	6%	57%	+2	0.99	23%	1.1	.27	17%	.27	70%	.19	0.93	48%	30%	35%	-4	38%	30%	33%	-1	0.88	22%	1.0	.18	17%	.26	66%	.17
			9-18	1-3	10-28							8 rb		9 pt	12 to			12-17		9-19	4-15	6-16							7 rb		6 pt	11 to			11-17
Nov 11	Albany	1.00	44%	14%	35%	-4	37%	10%	53%	+1	0.91	26%	1.3	.34	19%	.34	65%	.22	1.01	55%	34%	33%	0	45%	17%	38%	+1	0.98	29%	1.0	.27	19%	.25	65%	.16
			8-17	1-5	9-25							9 rb		11 pt	13 to			14-22		12-22	3-8	6-19							9 rb		8 pt	13 to			10-16
Nov 15	Boston U.	1.01	46%	39%	36%	0	35%	14%	51%	+1	0.98	22%	1.0	.22	17%	.33	64%	.21	1.06	53%	28%	37%	+1	44%	13%	43%	+1	1.01	24%	0.9	.28	17%	.31	68%	.21
			8-17	2-6	9-24							7 rb		7 pt	11 to			13-20		11-21	2-6	8-21							7 rb		8 pt	11 to			13-20
Nov 25	Holy Cross	1.09	55%	41%	36%	+3	38%	13%	50%	+1	1.05	22%	1.4	.30	15%	.30	68%	.20	0.95	50%	37%	31%	-3	38%	25%	37%	-1	0.90	17%	1.4	.15	16%	.28	70%	.20
			10-19	3-6	9-25							7 rb		9 pt	11 to			13-20		10-19	5-13	6-19							6 rb		5 pt	11 to			13-18
Nov 29	App St.	0.94	42%	19%	33%	-6	31%	15%	54%	0	0.85	24%	1.0	.25	18%	.29	60%	.17	1.04	60%	28%	29%	-2	38%	16%	46%	+1	0.95	29%	0.9	.27	16%	.34	61%	.21
			6-15	1-7	8-25							8 rb		8 pt	12 to			11-18		11-18	2-7	6-22							9 rb		9 pt	10 to			14-22
Dec 2	Davidson	0.91	44%	30%	31%	-6	35%	17%	47%	0	0.86	22%	0.9	.20	20%	.32	64%	.20	1.12	54%	44%	42%	+7	40%	19%	41%	0	1.12	27%	0.9	.25	16%	.30	61%	.18
			7-16	2-8	7-21							7 rb		7 pt	13 to			12-19		10-19	4-9	8-20							8 rb		7 pt	11 to			12-19
Dec 12	New Hamp	0.97	52%	24%	34%	-2	38%	14%	48%	+1	0.96	21%	1.1	.23	19%	.35	66%	.23	0.99	53%	24%	31%	-4	42%	14%	44%	+1	0.92	23%	0.8	.21	16%	.33	68%	.22
			9-18	2-7	8-23							7 rb		7 pt	14 to			15-22		11-21	2-7	7-22							8 rb		7 pt	11 to			15-22
Dec 16	Temple	0.93	43%	21%	36%	-4	38%	14%	49%	+1	0.91	20%	1.0	.20	20%	.32	61%	.20	1.11	59%	35%	34%	+2	44%	20%	36%	+1	1.03	26%	0.8	.25	13%	.34	72%	.25
			8-17	1-6	8-23							7 rb		6 pt	14 to			12-20		13-22	3-10	6-18							8 rb		8 pt	9 to			17-23
Dec 20	Sacred Heart	1.06	54%	19%	36%	+2	34%	8%	58%	+1	1.03	25%	1.2	.30	18%	.28	63%	.18	1.00	51%	21%	35%	-2	35%	14%	51%	+1	0.95	22%	1.1	.21	17%	.29	73%	.21
			9-17	1-4	11-30							8 rb		10 pt	13 to			12-19		9-18	2-7	9-26							8 rb		7 pt	12 to			14-20
Dec 29	Stonehill	1.05	49%	27%	38%	0	39%	15%	46%	+1	0.98	23%	1.2	.28	15%	.31	68%	.21	0.93	48%	31%	31%	-5	45%	16%	39%	+1	0.89	24%	0.9	.21	18%	.25	67%	.17
			10-20	2-8	9-23							8 rb		9 pt	10 to			14-21		11-22	3-8	6-20							8 rb		7 pt	13 to			11-16
Jan 4	Harvard	0.95	47%	29%	33%	-4	39%	12%	50%	+1	0.92	22%	1.2	.25	20%	.28	67%	.19	1.05	56%	35%	37%	+3	44%	17%	39%	+1	1.05	24%	1.0	.20	17%	.26	78%	.20
			8-18	2-5	8-23							7 rb		8 pt	13 to			11-17		12-21	3-8	7-19							7 rb		6 pt	11 to			13-16
Jan 9	Cornell	1.03	48%	32%	34%	-2	39%	9%	51%	+2	0.97	25%	1.4	.34	19%	.36	63%	.23	1.06	53%	16%	38%	+2	43%	8%	49%	+2	1.05	25%	1.3	.26	18%	.29	64%	.18
			10-20	1-5	9-26							9 rb		12 pt	14 to			16-26		12-23	1-4	10-26							9 rb		9 pt	14 to			13-20
Jan 16	Princeton	0.95	49%	26%	30%	-6	37%	12%	51%	+1	0.88	20%	1.1	.23	18%	.34	63%	.21	1.10	54%	40%	37%	+3	39%	16%	44%	+1	1.04	26%	0.9	.24	16%	.33	75%	.25
			8-17	1-6	7-24							7 rb		8 pt	12 to			13-21		10-19	3-8	8-21							7 rb		7 pt	11 to			16-21
Jan 17	Penn	0.93	50%	29%	32%	-3	38%	13%	48%	+1	0.92	23%	1.0	.22	21%	.28	58%	.16	1.10	51%	34%	42%	+3	42%	24%	34%	0	1.02	28%	0.8	.27	15%	.33	69%	.23
			10-19	2-7	8-24							8 rb		8 pt	15 to			11-19		11-22	4-13	8-18							9 rb		9 pt	11 to			16-24
Jan 23	Columbia	0.99	49%	28%	36%	-1	42%	15%	43%	+1	0.97	22%	1.0	.22	19%	.32	69%	.22	1.06	54%	35%	37%	+1	52%	17%	31%	+1	1.02	34%	0.6	.33	19%	.30	70%	.21
			10-21	2-7	8-21							7 rb		7 pt	13 to			14-21		14-25	3-8	6-15							10 rb		10 pt	13 to			14-20
Jan 29	Brown	0.98	47%	31%	33%	-3	32%	14%	54%	0	0.92	23%	1.1	.26	21%	.41	70%	.28	0.96	54%	23%	31%	-3	48%	15%	38%	+1	0.93	25%	0.9	.25	21%	.28	65%	.18
			7-14	2-6	8-24							7 rb		8 pt	15 to			18-26		12-23	2-7	6-18							8 rb		8 pt	14 to			11-18
Jan 30	Yale	0.99	47%	25%	34%	-3	33%	10%	57%	+1	0.94	24%	1.0	.24	18%	.26	63%	.17	1.05	49%	27%	35%	-3	47%	18%	34%	+1	0.93	32%	0.8	.32	15%	.33	70%	.23
			8-16	1-5	9-27							8 rb		8 pt	12 to			11-17		11-23	2-9	6-16							10 rb		10 pt	10 to			16-22
Feb 6	Harvard	0.91	44%	23%	32%	-6	39%	12%	50%	+1	0.87	21%	1.1	.23	20%	.28	64%	.18	1.09	58%	39%	39%	+5	44%	17%	39%	+1	1.09	25%	1.0	.23	17%	.26	81%	.21
			8-18	1-5	7-23							7 rb		7 pt	13 to			11-17		12-21	3-8	7-19							7 rb		6 pt	11 to			13-16
Feb 12	Brown	0.93	45%	27%	32%	-6	32%	14%	54%	0	0.87	22%	1.1	.24	21%	.41	68%	.28	1.00	55%	27%	33%	-1	48%	15%	38%	+1	0.98	27%	0.8	.27	20%	.28	67%	.19
			6-14	2-6	8-24							7 rb		8 pt	15 to			17-26		13-23	2-7	6-18							8 rb		8 pt	14 to			12-18
				Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				PPS	2nd Chance			TOs	Freethrows				Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				PPS	2nd Chance			TOs	Freethrows
Feb 13	Yale	0.94	45%	19%	33%	-5	33%	10%	57%	+1	0.89	23%	0.9	.22	19%	.26	60%	.16	1.10	50%	31%	37%	-1	47%	18%	34%	+1	0.97	33%	0.8	.34	15%	.33	72%	.24
			7-16	1-5	9-27							8 rb		7 pt	13 to			10-17		12-23	3-9	6-17							10 rb		11 pt	10 to			16-23
Feb 20	Columbia	1.03	51%	32%	38%	+1	42%	15%	43%	+1	1.01	23%	1.1	.25	18%	.32	71%	.23	1.02	52%	31%	35%	-1	52%	17%	31%	+1	0.97	33%	0.6	.30	20%	.30	68%	.20
			11-21	2-7	8-21							7 rb		8 pt	13 to			15-21		13-25	3-8	5-15							10 rb		9 pt	14 to			13-20
Feb 26	Princeton	0.99	51%	31%	31%	-3	37%	12%	51%	+1	0.93	21%	1.2	.26	17%	.34	65%	.22	1.05	51%	36%	36%	+1	39%	16%	44%	+1	1.00	25%	0.9	.22	16%	.33	73%	.24
			9-17	2-6	8-24							7 rb		8 pt	12 to			14-21		10-19	3-8	7-21							7 rb		7 pt	11 to			15-21
Feb 27	Penn	0.97	52%	34%	33%	-1	38%	13%	48%	+1	0.97	24%	1.0	.25	20%	.28	60%	.17	1.06	49%	32%	41%	+1	42%	24%	34%	0	0.98	27%	0.8	.25	15%	.33	67%	.22
			10-19	2-7	8-24							8 rb		8 pt	15 to			11-19		11-22	4-13	7-18							9 rb		8 pt	11 to			16-24
Mar 6	Cornell	0.99	46%	26%	33%	-4	39%	9%	51%	+2	0.93	24%	1.3	.32	19%	.36	61%	.22	1.10	55%	23%	40%	+4	43%	8%	49%	+2	1.09	26%	1.2	.29	18%	.29	66%	.19
			9-20	1-5	9-26							9 rb		11 pt	14 to			16-25		13-23	1-4	11-27							9 rb		9 pt	13 to			13-20