Mid-American
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Akron 26%   Likely Out 1 - 0 0 - 0 +5.5 99 B- +3 101 B- +3 94 +12 23 0 1
Miami (OH) 27%   13   Likely Out 1 - 0 0 - 0 +4.8 101 B- +4 90 C+ +1 124 +15 9 0 1
Massachusetts 10%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 +0.7 144 C- -1 185 C+ +2 115 +13 15 0 1
Ohio 9%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 +0.3 151 B- +3 102 D+ -2 256 +10 37 0 1
Kent St. 9%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 +0.3 153 C+ +1 134 C- -1 185 -15 345 0 1
Toledo 9%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 +0.2 154 C +0 152 C +0 157 -11 336 0 1
Bowling Green 5%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.4 174 C +0 168 C- -1 198 +12 22 0 1
Eastern Michigan 5%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.8 182 C- -1 202 C +0 167 +11 27 0 1
Western Michigan 5%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -2.1 186 C +0 153 D+ -2 248 -12 340 0 1
Buffalo 2%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -4.8 245 C- -2 212 D+ -3 280 -12 339 0 1
Central Michigan 2%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -5.2 252 C- -2 227 D+ -3 281 +5 92 0 1
Ball St. 1%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.2 254 D+ -4 283 C- -1 206 -17 352 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 162 James Madison 77 101 Miami (OH) 86   
Mon, Nov 2 99 Akron 75 231 Louisiana 61   
Mon, Nov 2 153 Kent St. 75 244 Louisiana Tech 85   
Mon, Nov 2 173 Arkansas St. 71 154 Toledo 70   
Mon, Nov 2 144 Massachusetts 71 198 Troy 60   
Mon, Nov 2 189 Old Dominion 61 186 Western Michigan 49   
Mon, Nov 2 250 Coastal Carolina 70 182 Eastern Michigan 71   
Mon, Nov 2 174 Bowling Green 76 230 Georgia St. 73   
Mon, Nov 2 151 Ohio 86 270 South Alabama 77   
Mon, Nov 2 245 Buffalo 65 184 Marshall 92   
Mon, Nov 2 254 Ball St. 55 289 Georgia Southern 67   
Mon, Nov 2 252 Central Michigan 83 342 Louisiana Monroe 78   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Thu, Nov 5 7 Michigan St. 82 154 Toledo 60 97%   
Thu, Nov 5 245 Buffalo 64 73 Pittsburgh 80 92%   
Fri, Nov 6 182 Eastern Michigan 66 47 Xavier 82 93%   
Fri, Nov 6 105 Boston College 73 144 Massachusetts 70 64%   
Fri, Nov 6 254 Ball St. 68 222 Indiana St. 67 56%   
Sat, Nov 7 184 Marshall 75 154 Toledo 74 53%   
Sat, Nov 7 311 Bellarmine 66 101 Miami (OH) 82 93%   
Sat, Nov 7 298 N.C. A&T 71 151 Ohio 83 85%   
Sun, Nov 8 247 Campbell 71 186 Western Michigan 77 71%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Akron 3 36% 26% 8% 2% 36 22 14 10 7 5 3 2 1 1 0 0
Miami (OH) 3 35% 25% 8% 2% 35 21 14 10 7 5 3 2 1 1 1 0
Massachusetts 5 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 12 12 13 11 10 8 8 6 5 3 2
Toledo 5 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 12 12 12 11 10 9 8 6 5 3 2
Ohio 5 9% 5% 3% 1% 9 11 12 11 11 10 9 8 7 5 4 2
Kent St. 5 9% 5% 3% 1% 9 11 12 12 11 10 9 8 7 5 4 3
Bowling Green 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 6 8 9 10 10 11 10 10 9 8 5
Eastern Michigan 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 6 8 9 10 10 11 10 10 9 8 6
Western Michigan 7 4% 2% 1% 0% 4 6 7 9 10 10 11 11 10 9 8 6
Central Michigan 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 7 9 10 13 14 16 17
Buffalo 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10 12 14 16 17
Ball St. 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 12 14 17 19

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0
Akron 15 - 7 20 - 8 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 7 10 12 14 14 12 9 6 3 1 0
Miami (OH) 15 - 7 20 - 9 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 6 8 10 12 13 13 11 9 6 3 1 0
Massachusetts 12 - 10 18 - 12 0 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 10 11 12 12 10 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Toledo 12 - 10 15 - 16 0 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 10 12 12 12 11 8 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Ohio 12 - 10 16 - 13 0 0 0 1 1 3 4 6 8 11 12 12 11 10 8 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Kent St. 12 - 10 15 - 13 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 4 7 8 10 11 12 11 10 8 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Bowling Green 10 - 12 15 - 14 0 0 0 1 2 3 6 8 10 11 12 12 11 9 7 5 3 1 1 0 0 0
Eastern Michigan 10 - 12 13 - 15 0 0 0 1 2 3 6 8 10 11 12 12 10 9 7 4 3 1 1 0 0 0
Western Michigan 10 - 12 13 - 15 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 8 10 12 13 12 10 8 6 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 0
Central Michigan 8 - 14 10 - 19 0 1 2 3 6 9 11 13 13 12 10 8 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0
Buffalo 8 - 14 10 - 19 0 0 2 4 6 9 11 12 13 12 10 8 6 4 2 1 1 0 0 0
Ball St. 8 - 14 10 - 18 0 1 2 4 7 9 12 13 13 12 9 7 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Akron 26% 22% 5% Likely Out 1 2 1 8 11 3 74
Miami (OH) 27% 23% 6% 13 Likely Out 1 3 1 10 10 2 73
Massachusetts 10% 10% 0% Negligible 1 5 3 1 90
Ohio 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 4 3 1 91
Kent St. 9% 9% 0% Negligible 2 3 3 1 91
Toledo 9% 9% 0% Negligible 2 3 3 0 91
Bowling Green 5% 5% 0% Negligible 0 2 2 1 95
Eastern Michigan 5% 5% 0% Negligible 0 2 2 1 95
Western Michigan 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 1 2 1 95
Buffalo 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 1 0 98
Central Michigan 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 0 1 0 98
Ball St. 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 1 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.1 91 9 0
1st Round 96% 1.0 4 90 5 0
2nd Round 17% 0.2 83 17 0
Sweet Sixteen 4% 0.0 96 4 0
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 26% 2% 25% 5% 1%
Miami (OH) 27% 3% 26% 6% 1%
Massachusetts 10% 1% 10% 1%
Ohio 9% 1% 9% 1%
Kent St. 9% 2% 8% 1%
Toledo 9% 2% 8% 1%
Bowling Green 5% 4%
Eastern Michigan 5% 5% 1%
Western Michigan 5% 2% 4%
Buffalo 2% 1% 1%
Central Michigan 2% 1% 1%
Ball St. 1% 1% 1%