Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +8.2 72 50%
INCC Stats Results Rating -3.9 310 0%
Consistency 0.00 1
Pace 66.7 239
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 76 B- B- C+ C- C
Defense B 70 C+ A- B- C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 264 C+ 59% 119 -0.6 201
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 245 C 36% 174 -0.2 185
Three Pointers 45% 108 B 35% 60 +3.4 64
Selection / Accuracy C -0.1 204 B- +2.8 81
1st FG Attempt B- 1.03 94
Second Chance B 34.2% 55 C+ 1.03 139 B- 0.35 70
Opponents' Steals B- 8.8% 100
Other Turnovers C 8.1% 217
Turnovers C+ 16.9% 121
Freethrows C- 0.30 220 D+ 67% 272 C- 0.20 235
Total Offense B- +4.2 76

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 52% 155 B 8.7% 53
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 41% 36 C+ 4.1% 123
Three Pointers C- 84% 256 C 0.9% 187
Total C+ 62% 115 B 4.3% 45


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 252 C+ 54% 117 -1.8 102
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 169 C+ 34% 106 -0.3 162
Three Pointers 43% 129 C- 33% 222 +1.3 251
Selection / Accuracy C+ -0.2 135 C+ -0.7 149
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.96 142
Second Chance B+ 24.6% 22 A- 0.85 20 A- 0.21 9
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.0% 32
Other Turnovers D 7.0% 303
Turnovers B- 19.0% 89
Freethrows B- 0.28 94 D 72% 315 C+ 0.20 138
Total Defense B +4.1 70

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 44% 56 C+ 12.7% 104
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 26 A- 9.0% 27
Three Pointers C- 89% 228 C 1.0% 128
Total C+ 55% 113 B- 6.9% 84

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 248 17.8 273
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 56 0.13 59
Consistency 0.00 1 0.00 1

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Bubble - Out (21%)
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 12 - 20 18 - 16 25 - 9
Predictive Rating Rank 111 68 30
Results Rating Rank 141 85 35
Conference Record 4 - 14 8 - 10 12 - 6
Conference Finish 17 10 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 7
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 1% 1% 0%
Top 6 Seed 3% 4% 2%
Opening Round Bye 50% 50% 41%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23% 23% 16%
At-Large Status Bubble - Out Bubble - Out Likely Out
At-Large Bid 21% 22% 15%
Average Seed 9.2 9.2 9.8
.500 or above 70% 71% 51%
.500 or above in Conf 44% 45% 37%
Conference Champion 2% 2% 1%
Last Place in Conference 6% 6% 8%
Opening Round11% 12% 10%
First Round17% 17% 12%
Second Round8% 9% 6%
Sweet Sixteen3% 3% 2%
Elite Eight1% 1% 1%
Final Four0% 1% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 93% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance		 Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
33 - 2 32 - 2 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
32 - 3 31 - 3 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
31 - 4 30 - 4 0% 100% 100% 2 Lock
30 - 5 29 - 5 0% 100% 100% 3 Lock
29 - 6 28 - 6 0% 100% 100% 3 Lock
28 - 7 27 - 7 0% 100% 100% 4 Lock
27 - 8 26 - 8 1% 99% 100% 5 Lock
26 - 8 25 - 8 2% 98% 100% 6 Lock
25 - 9 24 - 9 2% 96% 100% 8 Lock
24 - 10 23 - 10 4% 94% 96% 9 Likely In
23 - 11 22 - 11 5% 90% 85% 10 Likely In
22 - 12 21 - 12 7% 85% 62% 11 Bubble - In
21 - 13 20 - 13 8% 78% 33% 11 Bubble - Out
20 - 14 19 - 14 9% 70% 13% 11 Likely Out
19 - 15 18 - 15 10% 60% 3% 11 Likely Out
18 - 16 17 - 16 10% 51% 1% 12 Likely Out
17 - 16 16 - 16 9% 41% Negligible
16 - 17 15 - 17 8% 31% Negligible
15 - 18 14 - 18 7% 23% Negligible
14 - 19 13 - 19 5% 17% Negligible
13 - 19 12 - 19 5% 11% Negligible
12 - 20 11 - 20 3% 7% Negligible
11 - 21 10 - 21 2% 4% Negligible
10 - 22 9 - 22 1% 2% Negligible
9 - 23 8 - 23 1% 1% Negligible
8 - 24 7 - 24 0% 0% Negligible
7 - 25 6 - 25 0% 0% Negligible
6 - 26 5 - 26 0% 0% Negligible
5 - 27 4 - 27 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 25 - 58 - 13
Quad 34 - 112 - 15
Quad 46 - 018 - 15


Stat Type Preseason Current
Predictive Rank 75 72
Results Rank 310
Projected Overall Record 18 - 16 18 - 15
Projected Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Champion 1% 2%
Conference Finish 11 10
NCAA Tournament Seed
Opening Round Bye 53% 50%
At-Large Tourney Chance 26% 21%
At Large Status Bubble Bubble



Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 358 Rider W 95 - 57 98% +20  96% 1 - 0 A +21 B+ +7 B B B A+ +12 C+ A A
Thu, Nov 5 246 Buffalo W 78 - 62 93%
Sun, Nov 8 92 Penn St. W 73 - 71 56%
Fri, Nov 13 91 Butler L 72 - 73 45%
Tue, Nov 17 36 Villanova L 68 - 70 47%
Fri, Nov 20 253 Central Michigan W 79 - 63 93%
Tue, Nov 24 55 Oklahoma L 69 - 72 44%
Thu, Nov 26 68 DePaul L 67 - 68 50%
Tue, Dec 1 35 Missouri L 67 - 75 28%
Sat, Dec 5 191 Tarleton St. W 79 - 65 89%
Wed, Dec 9 41 West Virginia L 65 - 69 38%
Tue, Dec 15 247 Drexel W 73 - 57 92%
Fri, Dec 18 232 Georgia St. W 79 - 64 91%
Mon, Dec 21 287 Cleveland St. W 83 - 65 94%
Sat, Jan 2 19 Miami (FL) L 69 - 74 45% ✓
Wed, Jan 6 50 North Carolina St. L 72 - 78 33% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 1 Duke L 60 - 79 11% ✓
Tue, Jan 12 69 Syracuse W 72 - 69 62% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 52 Clemson W 68 - 67 55% ✓
Wed, Jan 20 74 Notre Dame L 67 - 70 42% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 108 Boston College W 73 - 66 76% ✓
Wed, Jan 27 49 Virginia Tech L 71 - 72 54% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 56 Florida St. L 72 - 77 36% ✓
Tue, Feb 2 13 Louisville L 67 - 79 20% ✓
Tue, Feb 9 12 Virginia L 66 - 72 39% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 93 Wake Forest L 70 - 71 45% ✓
Wed, Feb 17 90 California W 73 - 68 68% ✓
Sat, Feb 20 110 Georgia Tech W 79 - 72 74% ✓
Tue, Feb 23 69 Syracuse L 69 - 72 40% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 19 Miami (FL) L 66 - 77 27% ✓
Tue, Mar 2 46 North Carolina L 71 - 72 51% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 63 SMU L 70 - 74 39% ✓
Totals 18 - 15 8 - 10 +8 B- +4 C B- C B +4 B D+ C-
Stat History After Each Game

Date Opponent Result Stats Rank Projected Record Chances Predicted At-Large Status
Predictive Results Overall Conf Opening Bye Conf
Champ		 NCAA
Seed		 Conf
Finish
Preseason 75 18 - 16 8 - 10 53% 1% 11 Bubble - Out 26%
Mon, Nov 2 358 Rider W 95 - 57 72 310 18 - 15 8 - 10 50% 2% 10 Bubble - Out 21%
Selection Sunday 0% 0% Negligible 0%






NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid		 Auto At-Large Avg
Seed		 At-Large
Selection Chances		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
33 - 2 32 - 2 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
32 - 3 31 - 3 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
31 - 4 30 - 4 0% 100% 100% 57% 100% 2 Lock 0 0
30 - 5 29 - 5 0% 100% 100% 59% 100% 3 Lock 0 0 0 0
29 - 6 28 - 6 0% 100% 100% 48% 100% 3 Lock 0 0 0 0
28 - 7 27 - 7 0% 100% 100% 37% 100% 4 Lock 0 0 0 0
27 - 8 26 - 8 1% 99% 100% 35% 100% 5 Lock 0 0 0 0
26 - 8 25 - 8 2% 98% 100% 20% 100% 6 Lock 0 0 0 0
25 - 9 24 - 9 2% 96% 100% 13% 100% 8 Lock 0 1 1 0 0 0
24 - 10 23 - 10 4% 94% 96% 7% 96% 9 Likely In 0 1 1 1 1 0
23 - 11 22 - 11 5% 90% 86% 3% 85% 10 Likely In 0 1 1 2 0 1
22 - 12 21 - 12 7% 85% 63% 2% 62% 11 Bubble - In 0 1 2 1 3
21 - 13 20 - 13 8% 78% 34% 1% 33% 11 Bubble - Out 0 2 1 6
20 - 14 19 - 14 9% 70% 14% 0% 13% 11 Likely Out 1 0 8
19 - 15 18 - 15 10% 60% 3% 3% 11 Likely Out 0 0 9
18 - 16 17 - 16 10% 51% 1% 1% 12 Likely Out 0 0 10
17 - 16 16 - 16 9% 41% Negligible 9
16 - 17 15 - 17 8% 31% Negligible 8
15 - 18 14 - 18 7% 23% Negligible 7
14 - 19 13 - 19 5% 17% Negligible 5
13 - 19 12 - 19 5% 11% Negligible 5
12 - 20 11 - 20 3% 7% Negligible 3
11 - 21 10 - 21 2% 4% Negligible 2
10 - 22 9 - 22 1% 2% Negligible 1
9 - 23 8 - 23 1% 1% Negligible 1
8 - 24 7 - 24 0% 0% Negligible 0
7 - 25 6 - 25 0% 0% Negligible 0
6 - 26 5 - 26 0% 0% Negligible 0
5 - 27 4 - 27 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 23% 2% 21% 9 Bubble - Out 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 8 2 77


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed		 At-Large
Selection Chances		 Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
33 - 2 32 - 2 18 - 0 0% 100% Auto Bid 1 2 2 14 - 2 6 - 0 6 - 0 7 - 0
32 - 3 31 - 3 17 - 1 0% 100% Auto Bid 10 3 4 10 - 2 10 - 1 5 - 0 7 - 0
31 - 4 30 - 4 16 - 3 0% 100% 100% 100% 2 Lock 13 7 8 10 - 3 9 - 1 5 - 0 7 - 0
30 - 5 29 - 5 15 - 3 0% 100% 100% 100% 3 Lock 17 9 11 10 - 3 9 - 2 5 - 0 7 - 0
29 - 6 28 - 6 14 - 4 0% 100% 100% 100% 3 Lock 16 13 14 8 - 4 9 - 1 5 - 0 7 - 0
28 - 7 27 - 7 13 - 5 0% 100% 100% 100% 4 Lock 21 17 18 8 - 5 9 - 2 5 - 0 7 - 0
27 - 8 26 - 8 13 - 5 1% 99% 100% 100% 5 Lock 25 22 23 8 - 5 8 - 2 5 - 0 7 - 0
26 - 8 25 - 8 13 - 5 2% 98% 100% 95% 6 Lock 28 28 27 7 - 6 8 - 2 5 - 1 7 - 0
25 - 9 24 - 9 12 - 6 2% 96% 100% 86% 8 Lock 33 35 33 6 - 6 7 - 2 5 - 1 7 - 0
24 - 10 23 - 10 11 - 7 4% 94% 96% 65% 9 Likely In 39 41 39 6 - 7 7 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0
23 - 11 22 - 11 11 - 7 5% 90% 85% 40% 10 Likely In 43 49 45 5 - 7 7 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0
22 - 12 21 - 12 10 - 8 7% 85% 62% 21% 11 Bubble - In 48 57 51 5 - 7 6 - 3 4 - 1 7 - 0
21 - 13 20 - 13 10 - 8 8% 78% 33% 11% 11 Bubble - Out 54 64 58 4 - 8 6 - 4 4 - 1 7 - 0
20 - 14 19 - 14 9 - 9 9% 70% 13% 6% 11 Likely Out 59 73 65 4 - 8 6 - 4 4 - 1 6 - 0
19 - 15 18 - 15 8 - 10 10% 60% 3% 0% 11 Likely Out 65 81 72 3 - 9 5 - 5 4 - 1 6 - 0
18 - 16 17 - 16 8 - 10 10% 51% 1% 0% 12 Likely Out 71 88 79 3 - 9 5 - 5 4 - 1 6 - 0
17 - 16 16 - 16 7 - 11 9% 41% Negligible 76 96 85 3 - 9 4 - 5 4 - 2 6 - 0
16 - 17 15 - 17 7 - 11 8% 31% Negligible 82 104 92 2 - 9 4 - 5 3 - 2 6 - 0
15 - 18 14 - 18 6 - 12 7% 23% Negligible 87 112 98 2 - 10 4 - 6 3 - 2 6 - 1
14 - 19 13 - 19 6 - 12 5% 17% Negligible 93 121 105 2 - 10 3 - 6 3 - 2 6 - 1
13 - 19 12 - 19 5 - 13 5% 11% Negligible 100 129 112 2 - 10 3 - 6 3 - 2 6 - 1
12 - 20 11 - 20 4 - 14 3% 7% Negligible 107 140 120 1 - 10 2 - 7 2 - 2 6 - 1
11 - 21 10 - 21 4 - 14 2% 4% Negligible 112 152 128 1 - 11 2 - 7 2 - 3 6 - 1
10 - 22 9 - 22 3 - 15 1% 2% Negligible 121 166 139 1 - 11 2 - 7 2 - 3 5 - 1
9 - 23 8 - 23 3 - 15 1% 1% Negligible 131 182 152 1 - 11 1 - 8 2 - 3 5 - 1
8 - 24 7 - 24 2 - 16 0% 0% Negligible 135 199 160 1 - 11 1 - 7 1 - 4 5 - 2
7 - 25 6 - 25 2 - 16 0% 0% Negligible 152 222 180 0 - 12 1 - 8 1 - 4 5 - 2
6 - 26 5 - 26 1 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 158 250 196 0 - 11 0 - 8 1 - 4 4 - 3
5 - 27 4 - 27 1 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 163 274 206 0 - 11 1 - 10 1 - 4 4 - 3
Total 8 - 10 100% 21% 45% 9 Bubble - Out 69 86 76 3 - 9 5 - 5 4 - 1 6 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
17-1 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
16-2 0% 100% 100% 84% 16% 0 0
15-3 0% 100% 80% 43% 33% 4% 0 0 0
14-4 1% 99% 47% 22% 16% 8% 0% 1 1 0 0 1
13-5 3% 98% 14% 2% 6% 4% 2% 0 1 1 0 0 3
12-6 6% 95% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0 1 2 2 1 0 0 0 6
11-7 8% 90% 0 1 2 3 2 0 0 0 8
10-8 12% 81% 0 0 2 4 4 2 0 0 12
9-9 14% 70% 0 0 0 2 4 4 2 1 0 14
8-10 15% 56% 0 0 2 5 5 2 1 0 0 15
7-11 14% 41% 0 0 2 4 4 2 0 0 14
6-12 11% 27% 0 0 2 4 3 1 0 0 11
5-13 8% 16% 0 1 2 3 1 0 8
4-14 5% 8% 0 0 1 2 1 5
3-15 2% 3% 0 0 1 1 2
2-16 1% 1% 0 0 1 1
1-17 0% 0% 0 0 0
0-18 0% 0% 0 0
Total 100% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 4 3 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C+ C B B- 36% 32% 45% C B- B C+ B- C+ C- D+ C- B C+ C+ C- C+ 36% 21% 43% C+ C+ B+ A- A- B- B- D C+
1.15 59% 36% 35% +3 0 1.03 34% 1.0 .35 17% .30 67% .20 1.03 54% 34% 33% -1 0 0.96 25% 0.9 .21 19% .28 72% .21
Nov
2		 Rider B+ C C- A+ A- 29% 27% 44% F B C+ B+ B B A- B+ A A+ A+ B- D+ C 22% 37% 41% B+ C+ A- A+ A A F+ D+ F+
1.28 56% 33% 50% +11 -2 1.16 33% 1.2 .39 14% .38 71% .27 0.77 36% 32% 33% -5 -3 0.80 24% 0.6 .15 23% .35 70% .25
Nov
5		 Buffalo 1.17 62% 43% 39% +8 38% 15% 47% +1 1.15 34% 1.0 .34 17% .28 67% .19 0.93 52% 33% 32% -2 35% 18% 47% 0 0.94 17% 2.1 .13 18% .29 70% .20
11-18 3-7 9-23 9 rb 9 pt 11 to 12-18 9-17 3-9 7-22 5 rb 4 pt 12 to 12-17
Nov
8		 Penn St. 1.07 62% 37% 36% +5 34% 18% 48% 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 19% .21 62% .13 1.05 59% 42% 31% +2 42% 18% 39% +1 1.02 24% 1.6 .30 18% .31 74% .23
11-17 3-9 8-24 10 rb 10 pt 13 to 8-13 12-20 4-9 6-19 7 rb 9 pt 12 to 15-20
Nov
13		 Butler 1.04 59% 35% 33% +1 36% 24% 40% -1 0.99 32% 1.0 .31 17% .21 62% .13 1.06 56% 40% 33% +1 40% 12% 48% +1 1.02 31% 1.1 .31 19% .32 74% .24
11-19 4-12 7-21 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 9-14 11-19 2-6 8-23 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 16-21
Nov
17		 Villanova 1.05 56% 35% 34% +1 33% 27% 40% -1 0.97 35% 1.0 .35 19% .25 69% .17 1.08 61% 37% 36% +5 31% 16% 53% 0 1.08 29% 1.3 .26 19% .27 71% .19
9-16 4-12 6-19 10 rb 10 pt 13 to 11-16 9-14 3-7 9-25 8 rb 7 pt 12 to 12-17
Nov
20		 Central Mich 1.17 61% 31% 36% +4 38% 20% 42% 0 1.05 42% 1.1 .47 17% .33 62% .21 0.93 48% 39% 32% -2 35% 28% 37% -1 0.91 24% 1.8 .24 21% .25 70% .18
11-18 3-9 7-20 12 rb 14 pt 11 to 14-23 8-16 5-13 6-17 7 rb 7 pt 14 to 11-15
Nov
24		 Oklahoma 1.04 50% 29% 35% -1 33% 21% 46% 0 0.94 36% 1.0 .36 18% .27 62% .17 1.08 59% 42% 34% +3 35% 17% 48% 0 1.04 29% 1.5 .27 17% .33 70% .23
8-16 3-10 8-22 11 rb 12 pt 12 to 11-18 10-16 3-8 8-22 9 rb 8 pt 12 to 15-21
Nov
26		 DePaul 1.01 51% 32% 36% 0 34% 25% 40% -1 0.95 32% 1.0 .31 19% .28 63% .18 1.02 60% 36% 31% +1 32% 19% 49% 0 0.98 25% 1.4 .25 19% .31 75% .23
8-16 4-12 7-19 10 rb 10 pt 13 to 11-18 9-15 3-9 7-23 7 rb 7 pt 12 to 14-19
Dec
1		 Missouri 1.00 47% 32% 36% -1 29% 25% 47% -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .27 19% .27 63% .17 1.12 64% 34% 38% +7 43% 17% 41% +1 1.13 32% 1.1 .33 19% .35 71% .25
6-14 4-12 8-22 10 rb 9 pt 12 to 11-18 12-19 3-8 7-18 8 rb 9 pt 13 to 15-22
Dec
5		 Tarleton St 1.13 61% 40% 37% +6 33% 18% 49% 0 1.09 37% 1.1 .40 22% .39 69% .27 0.94 50% 37% 33% -2 40% 29% 31% -1 0.92 26% 1.4 .21 21% .30 76% .23
9-14 3-8 8-22 10 rb 11 pt 15 to 17-25 10-19 5-14 5-14 8 rb 6 pt 15 to 14-19
Dec
9		 W. Virginia 1.00 56% 28% 37% +2 34% 21% 44% 0 0.99 28% 1.0 .28 20% .23 64% .14 1.07 58% 38% 36% +4 39% 13% 48% +1 1.06 25% 1.2 .23 17% .29 68% .20
9-16 3-10 8-21 8 rb 8 pt 13 to 9-14 11-18 2-6 8-22 7 rb 6 pt 11 to 12-18
Dec
15		 Drexel 1.14 58% 40% 34% +3 36% 24% 40% -1 1.02 36% 1.1 .38 15% .30 72% .21 0.89 46% 30% 35% -3 36% 21% 44% 0 0.92 23% 1.5 .15 22% .24 65% .16
10-17 4-11 6-19 10 rb 11 pt 10 to 14-19 7-16 3-9 7-19 7 rb 5 pt 14 to 9-14
Dec
18		 GA St. 1.16 61% 38% 37% +5 37% 18% 45% 0 1.08 39% 1.0 .41 16% .31 64% .20 0.94 46% 36% 32% -3 26% 28% 46% -2 0.88 21% 1.8 .20 18% .24 79% .19
11-18 3-9 8-22 12 rb 12 pt 11 to 13-21 6-13 5-14 7-23 7 rb 7 pt 12 to 12-15
Dec
21		 Cleveland St 1.19 65% 37% 37% +7 34% 16% 50% 0 1.11 39% 1.1 .42 16% .31 66% .20 0.92 47% 26% 36% -1 28% 17% 55% 0 0.94 18% 2.2 .14 20% .28 73% .20
11-17 3-8 9-25 12 rb 13 pt 11 to 14-22 6-14 2-8 10-27 6 rb 4 pt 14 to 13-17
Jan
2		 Miami FL 1.02 55% 28% 38% +2 28% 26% 46% -1 0.97 26% 1.1 .28 19% .28 61% .17 1.09 59% 38% 34% +3 45% 21% 34% +1 1.04 33% 1.0 .34 18% .33 70% .23
7-13 4-13 8-22 8 rb 9 pt 13 to 11-18 13-21 4-10 6-16 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-22
Jan
6		 NC St. 1.03 53% 40% 34% +1 32% 18% 50% 0 1.00 31% 0.8 .26 18% .25 63% .15 1.12 61% 31% 39% +6 38% 14% 48% +1 1.11 25% 1.5 .26 16% .29 76% .22
8-16 4-9 8-25 10 rb 8 pt 13 to 10-16 12-19 2-7 10-24 7 rb 8 pt 11 to 15-19
Jan
9		 Duke 0.91 49% 33% 30% -4 27% 25% 48% -1 0.87 28% 0.9 .24 21% .20 64% .13 1.19 66% 43% 34% +6 45% 8% 47% +2 1.14 37% 0.9 .46 18% .32 79% .25
6-13 4-12 7-23 9 rb 8 pt 14 to 8-12 14-20 2-4 7-22 9 rb 12 pt 12 to 16-20
Jan
12		 Syracuse 1.06 54% 31% 35% 0 38% 22% 40% 0 0.96 35% 1.1 .38 18% .26 66% .17 1.02 58% 31% 33% +1 38% 20% 42% 0 0.98 26% 1.6 .22 17% .31 65% .20
10-18 3-11 7-19 11 rb 12 pt 12 to 11-17 11-18 3-10 7-20 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 13-20
Jan
16		 Clemson 1.05 60% 31% 34% +1 33% 22% 45% 0 0.99 28% 1.0 .27 17% .25 74% .19 1.05 57% 35% 35% +2 39% 15% 46% +1 1.03 22% 1.4 .17 16% .36 72% .26
9-16 3-10 7-21 8 rb 8 pt 11 to 12-16 10-18 2-7 7-21 6 rb 5 pt 10 to 15-22
Jan
20		 Notre Dame 1.02 54% 36% 33% 0 26% 21% 53% -1 0.95 28% 1.0 .28 18% .29 67% .20 1.06 60% 32% 37% +4 31% 22% 47% -1 1.03 29% 1.0 .25 17% .30 72% .22
7-12 3-10 8-25 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 12-18 9-15 3-10 8-22 9 rb 7 pt 11 to 14-19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
23		 Boston Col 1.11 58% 36% 35% +3 36% 22% 42% 0 1.02 32% 0.9 .30 14% .28 66% .19 0.99 54% 40% 31% -1 31% 23% 45% -1 0.95 26% 1.2 .22 17% .26 67% .18
10-17 4-11 7-21 10 rb 9 pt 10 to 12-19 8-15 5-11 7-22 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 11-17
Jan
27		 VA Tech 1.05 59% 37% 32% +1 36% 23% 41% 0 0.98 34% 1.0 .35 18% .23 67% .16 1.06 60% 31% 36% +3 36% 21% 43% 0 1.03 27% 1.5 .26 17% .28 74% .21
10-18 4-11 6-20 10 rb 11 pt 12 to 10-16 11-18 3-10 8-21 8 rb 8 pt 12 to 14-18
Jan
30		 FL St. 1.01 54% 32% 36% +1 26% 23% 50% -1 0.97 32% 0.9 .28 20% .26 63% .16 1.09 59% 35% 33% +1 38% 12% 49% +1 1.02 27% 1.2 .29 15% .29 72% .21
7-13 4-12 9-25 11 rb 9 pt 14 to 11-17 12-20 2-6 8-26 9 rb 9 pt 11 to 15-20
Feb
2		 Louisville 0.96 55% 25% 32% -3 29% 25% 45% -1 0.88 30% 1.0 .29 20% .26 59% .16 1.13 68% 43% 36% +8 37% 9% 54% +2 1.17 30% 1.2 .24 18% .28 75% .21
8-14 3-12 7-22 10 rb 10 pt 14 to 10-17 13-19 2-4 10-27 8 rb 7 pt 13 to 14-18
Feb
9		 Virginia 1.00 46% 36% 34% -3 31% 27% 41% -1 0.90 30% 0.9 .26 16% .26 71% .18 1.10 55% 37% 36% +3 38% 13% 50% +1 1.04 33% 0.9 .33 18% .27 73% .20
7-15 5-13 7-20 10 rb 8 pt 11 to 12-17 10-18 2-6 8-24 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 13-17
Feb
13		 Wake Forest 1.03 51% 33% 33% -1 30% 19% 51% 0 0.94 34% 1.0 .33 19% .28 65% .18 1.04 59% 43% 33% +3 38% 16% 46% +1 1.05 25% 1.8 .22 17% .30 74% .22
7-14 3-9 8-24 11 rb 11 pt 13 to 12-19 11-18 3-8 8-23 7 rb 6 pt 12 to 14-19
Feb
17		 California 1.07 55% 37% 33% 0 35% 19% 46% 0 0.98 32% 1.0 .33 16% .29 62% .18 1.01 55% 34% 36% +2 32% 23% 45% -1 1.00 21% 1.9 .17 17% .30 76% .23
10-17 3-9 7-22 10 rb 11 pt 11 to 12-20 9-16 4-11 8-22 6 rb 5 pt 12 to 14-19
Feb
20		 GA Tech 1.11 55% 35% 35% +2 30% 22% 48% -1 0.99 34% 1.1 .37 16% .28 69% .19 1.01 57% 33% 37% +2 39% 25% 36% 0 1.00 27% 1.6 .26 20% .27 73% .20
9-16 4-11 9-25 11 rb 12 pt 11 to 14-20 11-19 4-12 7-18 8 rb 8 pt 14 to 13-18
Feb
23		 Syracuse 1.01 52% 28% 33% -3 38% 22% 40% 0 0.91 34% 1.0 .35 19% .26 63% .16 1.06 60% 34% 35% +3 38% 20% 42% 0 1.03 27% 1.5 .24 16% .31 68% .21
9-18 3-11 6-19 11 rb 11 pt 13 to 11-17 11-18 3-10 7-20 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 14-20
Feb
27		 Miami FL 0.97 52% 26% 36% -1 28% 26% 46% -1 0.93 25% 1.0 .25 19% .28 59% .16 1.14 61% 41% 36% +6 45% 21% 34% +1 1.09 34% 0.9 .36 17% .33 73% .24
7-13 3-13 8-22 8 rb 8 pt 13 to 10-18 13-22 4-10 6-16 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 16-22
Mar
2		 UNC 1.04 48% 31% 37% -1 31% 27% 42% -1 0.93 30% 0.9 .27 14% .22 69% .15 1.05 60% 30% 33% +1 38% 16% 46% +1 1.01 25% 1.3 .23 16% .34 67% .23
8-16 4-14 8-22 10 rb 9 pt 10 to 10-15 11-18 2-8 7-22 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 15-22
Mar
6		 SMU 1.02 51% 34% 34% -1 29% 23% 49% -1 0.94 32% 1.1 .34 19% .25 65% .16 1.09 61% 42% 38% +8 36% 24% 39% -1 1.11 30% 1.4 .24 19% .31 75% .23
7-14 4-11 8-24 10 rb 11 pt 13 to 11-16 11-17 5-12 7-19 8 rb 7 pt 13 to 15-20