Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +17.5 12 57%
INCC Stats Results Rating +5.0 88 1%
Consistency 0.00 1
Pace 68.8 179
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense A- 17 B+ B+ C+ C B+
Defense A 10 A- A- C+ B- A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 131 B- 60% 94 +2.4 96
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 342 A- 44% 14 -2.3 289
Three Pointers 48% 42 B 35% 63 +5.5 28
Selection / Accuracy B+ +1.3 38 B+ +4.3 45
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.09 30
Second Chance A- 37.5% 11 B- 1.07 107 B+ 0.40 27
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 164
Other Turnovers B- 7.2% 85
Turnovers C+ 16.7% 114
Freethrows C- 0.29 231 C+ 71% 129 C 0.21 204
Total Offense A- +9.2 17

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 56% 99 C+ 10.2% 123
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 47% 16 B- 3.4% 61
Three Pointers C- 85% 217 C+ 0.8% 166
Total B 66% 53 B- 4.9% 92


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 312 A- 47% 17 -5.9 23
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 11 C 36% 169 +2.8 343
Three Pointers 39% 272 B 30% 60 -2.9 59
Selection / Accuracy A- -1.4 16 A- -4.8 23
1st FG Attempt A- 0.86 15
Second Chance A- 24.3% 18 A- 0.84 18 A- 0.21 7
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.2% 33
Other Turnovers D- 6.4% 343
Turnovers C+ 18.6% 116
Freethrows B+ 0.25 31 F+ 75% 353 B- 0.18 73
Total Defense A +8.3 10

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 48% 118 A+ 22.3% 4
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 185 C 5.4% 142
Three Pointers B 81% 54 A- 2.2% 20
Total B- 52% 64 A 9.8% 10

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.7 42 18.7 353
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 13 0.15 102
Consistency 0.00 1 0.00 1

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Likely In (93%)
Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 18 - 15 24 - 9 29 - 5
Predictive Rating Rank 38 12 2
Results Rating Rank 56 19 4
Conference Record 8 - 10 12 - 6 16 - 2
Conference Finish 10 3 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 4 1
NCAA Tourney Finish None 2nd Round Champ Game

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 3% 3% 0%
#1 Seed 9% 9% 0%
Top 2 Seed 25% 25% 0%
Top 4 Seed 53% 53% 25%
Top 6 Seed 71% 71% 25%
Opening Round Bye 88% 88% 33%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95% 95% 75%
At-Large Status Likely In Likely In Bubble - In
At-Large Bid 93% 94% 67%
Average Seed 4.9 4.8 8.0
.500 or above 99% 99% 75%
.500 or above in Conf 95% 95% 75%
Conference Champion 22% 22% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Opening Round11% 11% 50%
First Round89% 89% 25%
Second Round69% 69% 25%
Sweet Sixteen40% 40% 25%
Elite Eight23% 23% 0%
Final Four13% 13% 0%
Championship Game7% 7% 0%
National Champion4% 4% 0%
Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 99% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance
Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
33 - 1 32 - 1 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
32 - 2 31 - 2 1% 100% 1 Auto Bid
31 - 3 30 - 3 0% 99% 1 Auto Bid
30 - 4 29 - 4 1% 99% 100% 1 Lock
29 - 5 28 - 5 3% 97% 100% 1 Lock
28 - 6 27 - 6 6% 94% 100% 2 Lock
27 - 7 26 - 7 8% 88% 100% 2 Lock
26 - 7 25 - 7 11% 80% 100% 3 Lock
25 - 8 24 - 8 12% 69% 100% 4 Lock
24 - 9 23 - 9 15% 57% 100% 4 Lock
23 - 11 22 - 11 10% 42% 100% 6 Lock
22 - 10 21 - 10 7% 32% 100% 6 Lock
21 - 12 20 - 12 7% 25% 100% 8 Lock
20 - 13 19 - 13 8% 18% 87% 10 Likely In
19 - 14 18 - 14 5% 11% 93% 10 Likely In
18 - 15 17 - 15 2% 5% 56% 11 Bubble - In
17 - 15 16 - 15 2% 4% 22% 11 Bubble - Out
16 - 16 15 - 16 1% 2% Negligible
15 - 17 14 - 17 0% 1% Negligible
14 - 19 13 - 19 0% 1% Negligible
13 - 18 12 - 18 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 38 - 7
Quad 26 - 214 - 9
Quad 34 - 018 - 9
Quad 46 - 024 - 9


Stat Type Preseason Current
Predictive Rank 14 12
Results Rank 88
Projected Overall Record 24 - 9 24 - 9
Projected Conference Record 12 - 6 12 - 6
Conference Champion 20% 22%
Conference Finish 3 3
NCAA Tournament Seed 4 3
Opening Round Bye 90% 88%
At-Large Tourney Chance 91% 93%
At Large Status Likely In Likely In



Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
Tue, Nov 3 249 Drexel W 89 - 60 98% +21  100% 1 - 0 A +21 B- +4 A C D+ A+ +14 C+ A- A+
Fri, Nov 6 266 Northeastern W 90 - 64 99%
Sun, Nov 8 20 Arkansas W 77 - 76 51%
Tue, Nov 10 338 Bucknell W 86 - 55 99%
Fri, Nov 13 39 Maryland W 73 - 71 52%
Tue, Nov 17 189 Old Dominion W 84 - 61 98%
Fri, Nov 20 341 Loyola Maryland W 89 - 57 100%
Wed, Nov 25 31 Marquette W 75 - 72 61%
Fri, Nov 27 47 Xavier W 79 - 73 63%
Wed, Dec 2 25 Kentucky W 77 - 72 71%
Tue, Dec 8 212 Bethune-Cookman W 85 - 61 98%
Sun, Dec 13 164 Western Carolina W 84 - 63 96%
Sun, Dec 20 5 Connecticut L 67 - 69 38%
Tue, Dec 29 52 Clemson W 70 - 67 58% ✓
Sat, Jan 2 63 SMU W 80 - 69 84% ✓
Wed, Jan 6 74 Stanford W 75 - 69 65% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 90 California W 76 - 68 72% ✓
Wed, Jan 13 105 Boston College W 79 - 63 90% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 19 Miami (FL) L 72 - 74 49% ✓
Tue, Jan 19 46 North Carolina W 74 - 71 53% ✓
Wed, Jan 27 104 Georgia Tech W 84 - 68 89% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 48 Virginia Tech W 77 - 68 72% ✓
Wed, Feb 3 70 Syracuse W 75 - 69 65% ✓
Sat, Feb 6 1 Duke L 69 - 72 57% ✓
Tue, Feb 9 73 Pittsburgh W 74 - 68 62% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 75 Notre Dame W 76 - 64 82% ✓
Mon, Feb 15 13 Louisville W 76 - 73 63% ✓
Tue, Feb 23 48 Virginia Tech W 74 - 71 55% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 56 Florida St. W 81 - 71 82% ✓
Mon, Mar 1 1 Duke L 66 - 75 31% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 50 North Carolina St. W 81 - 72 77% ✓
Totals 24 - 9 12 - 6 +18 A- +9 C B+ B+ A +8 B C+ C
Stat History After Each Game

Date Opponent Result Stats Rank Projected Record Chances Predicted At-Large Status
Predictive Results Overall Conf Opening Bye Conf
Champ
NCAA
Seed
Conf
Finish
Preseason 14 24 - 9 12 - 6 90% 20% 4 3 Likely In 91%
Tue, Nov 3 249 Drexel W 89 - 60 12 88 24 - 9 12 - 6 88% 22% 3 3 Likely In 93%
Current 12 88 24 - 9 12 - 6 88% 22% 3 3 Likely In 93%






NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid
Auto At-Large Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
33 - 1 32 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
32 - 2 31 - 2 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 1
31 - 3 30 - 3 0% 99% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
30 - 4 29 - 4 1% 99% 100% 67% 100% 1 Lock 1
29 - 5 28 - 5 3% 97% 100% 40% 100% 1 Lock 2 1
28 - 6 27 - 6 6% 94% 100% 58% 100% 2 Lock 3 1 2
27 - 7 26 - 7 8% 88% 100% 46% 100% 2 Lock 2 3 2
26 - 7 25 - 7 11% 80% 100% 21% 100% 3 Lock 3 5 2 1
25 - 8 24 - 8 12% 69% 100% 22% 100% 4 Lock 4 2 3 2 1
24 - 9 23 - 9 15% 57% 100% 12% 100% 4 Lock 3 2 5 3 1 1
23 - 11 22 - 11 10% 42% 100% 12% 100% 6 Lock 2 1 2 3 1 1 1
22 - 10 21 - 10 7% 32% 100% 100% 6 Lock 1 1 3 1 1
21 - 12 20 - 12 7% 25% 100% 100% 8 Lock 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 - 13 19 - 13 8% 18% 87% 87% 10 Likely In 1 2 2 1
19 - 14 18 - 14 5% 11% 93% 93% 10 Likely In 1 2 0
18 - 15 17 - 15 2% 5% 56% 56% 11 Bubble - In 0 1 0 1
17 - 15 16 - 15 2% 4% 22% 22% 11 Bubble - Out 0 1
16 - 16 15 - 16 1% 2% Negligible 1
15 - 17 14 - 17 0% 1% Negligible 0
14 - 18 13 - 18 0% 1% Negligible 0
13 - 18 12 - 18 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 95% 19% 93% 5 Likely In 9 16 15 12 9 9 4 3 4 6 7 1 5


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
33 - 1 32 - 1 18 - 0 0% 100% Auto Bid 1 1 1 17 - 1 7 - 0 3 - 0 6 - 0
32 - 2 31 - 2 17 - 1 1% 100% Auto Bid 1 2 1 14 - 2 8 - 0 4 - 0 7 - 0
31 - 3 30 - 3 17 - 2 0% 99% Auto Bid 2 2 2 12 - 2 10 - 1 3 - 0 7 - 0
30 - 4 29 - 4 16 - 2 1% 99% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 2 1 12 - 3 8 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
29 - 5 28 - 5 15 - 3 3% 97% 100% 100% 1 Lock 3 5 3 12 - 4 7 - 1 5 - 0 6 - 0
28 - 6 27 - 6 14 - 4 6% 94% 100% 100% 2 Lock 5 6 5 10 - 5 8 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
27 - 7 26 - 7 14 - 4 8% 88% 100% 100% 2 Lock 7 8 7 10 - 5 7 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
26 - 7 25 - 7 13 - 5 11% 80% 100% 100% 3 Lock 8 12 9 9 - 6 7 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 0
25 - 8 24 - 8 13 - 5 12% 69% 100% 100% 4 Lock 11 15 12 8 - 6 7 - 2 3 - 0 6 - 0
24 - 9 23 - 9 12 - 6 15% 57% 100% 100% 4 Lock 13 19 15 8 - 7 6 - 2 4 - 0 6 - 0
23 - 11 22 - 11 11 - 7 10% 42% 100% 91% 6 Lock 17 26 21 7 - 8 6 - 2 4 - 0 6 - 0
22 - 10 21 - 10 12 - 6 7% 32% 100% 92% 6 Lock 18 29 23 6 - 8 6 - 2 4 - 0 6 - 0
21 - 12 20 - 12 10 - 8 7% 25% 100% 79% 8 Lock 24 36 29 6 - 9 6 - 3 3 - 0 6 - 0
20 - 13 19 - 13 10 - 8 8% 18% 87% 42% 10 Likely In 30 44 36 5 - 9 6 - 3 3 - 1 6 - 0
19 - 14 18 - 14 9 - 9 5% 11% 93% 32% 10 Likely In 27 47 36 5 - 10 5 - 3 3 - 0 6 - 0
18 - 15 17 - 15 9 - 9 2% 5% 56% 0% 11 Bubble - In 31 56 41 4 - 11 5 - 3 4 - 0 6 - 0
17 - 15 16 - 15 8 - 10 2% 4% 22% 0% 11 Bubble - Out 41 63 50 4 - 11 4 - 4 4 - 1 6 - 0
16 - 16 15 - 16 6 - 12 1% 2% Negligible 54 75 64 4 - 11 3 - 4 3 - 1 7 - 0
15 - 17 14 - 17 9 - 9 0% 1% Negligible 44 74 57 4 - 12 4 - 4 3 - 1 5 - 1
14 - 18 13 - 18 6 - 12 0% 1% Negligible 54 89 70 2 - 13 4 - 5 3 - 2 6 - 0
13 - 18 12 - 18 5 - 13 0% 0% Negligible 53 87 72 2 - 15 2 - 3 3 - 0 6 - 0
Total 12 - 6 100% 93% 85% 5 Likely In 16 24 19 8 - 7 6 - 2 4 - 0 6 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
17-1 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 1
16-2 5% 99% 96% 92% 4% 5 0 5
15-3 7% 94% 78% 54% 24% 6 1 0 7
14-4 14% 86% 49% 24% 17% 7% 1% 7 6 2 14
13-5 19% 72% 14% 2% 5% 4% 1% 3 10 5 1 19
12-6 15% 53% 4% 1% 1 1 6 5 2 0 15
11-7 12% 38% 1 4 4 1 1 12
10-8 10% 26% 0 2 3 2 3 10
9-9 11% 16% 0 1 4 4 1 0 11
8-10 2% 5% 0 1 1 0 2
7-11 2% 3% 1 0 0 0 2
6-12 0% 1% 0 0 0
5-13 1% 1% 0 0 1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22% 14% 5% 2% 1% 22 18 15 11 7 5 4 7 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B- A- B B+ 40% 21% 48% B+ B+ A- B- B+ C+ C- C+ C A A- C B A- 33% 28% 39% A- A- A- A- A- C+ B+ F+ B-
1.22 60% 44% 35% +4 +1 1.09 37% 1.1 .40 17% .29 71% .21 0.97 47% 36% 30% -5 -1 0.86 24% 0.8 .21 19% .25 75% .22
Nov
3
Drexel B- A- A+ C+ A 43% 13% 45% A- A B- D C D+ C B+ B- A+ D C- C+ C- 28% 30% 42% A C+ A B- A- A+ A+ F A-
1.17 67% 57% 32% +7 +1 1.14 33% 0.8 .28 18% .31 79% .24 0.79 60% 38% 32% +1 -2 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 28% .13 86% .11
Nov
6
Northeastern 1.26 64% 59% 36% +9 49% 10% 42% +2 1.20 41% 1.2 .47 15% .36 73% .26 0.89 55% 35% 27% -3 36% 27% 36% -1 0.89 20% 1.8 .14 19% .23 73% .16
16-24 3-5 8-21 11 rb 13 pt 11 to 19-26 10-19 5-14 5-19 6 rb 5 pt 14 to 11-14
Nov
8
Arkansas 1.07 57% 34% 32% 0 42% 12% 46% +1 1.00 35% 1.2 .42 19% .24 67% .16 1.05 61% 31% 32% 0 40% 29% 31% -1 0.96 29% 1.6 .30 14% .28 73% .21
12-21 2-6 8-24 11 rb 13 pt 14 to 11-17 13-22 5-16 5-17 9 rb 10 pt 10 to 15-20
Nov
10
Bucknell 1.26 64% 67% 36% +10 41% 9% 50% +2 1.20 44% 1.1 .47 17% .31 71% .22 0.80 39% 32% 29% -9 31% 23% 46% -1 0.79 19% 1.9 .15 23% .20 78% .16
13-20 3-5 9-24 12 rb 12 pt 12 to 15-21 6-15 4-11 6-22 6 rb 5 pt 16 to 9-12
Nov
13
Maryland 1.07 53% 35% 36% +2 38% 9% 53% +2 1.04 31% 1.0 .30 18% .28 63% .17 1.05 52% 45% 29% -1 35% 22% 43% 0 0.94 36% 0.7 .32 19% .29 76% .22
10-19 1-4 9-26 10 rb 9 pt 12 to 11-18 9-16 5-10 6-21 11 rb 10 pt 13 to 14-19
Nov
17
Old Dom 1.20 65% 39% 35% +6 41% 16% 43% +1 1.11 39% 1.2 .45 16% .31 70% .22 0.87 46% 33% 28% -7 32% 36% 32% -2 0.80 21% 1.7 .18 18% .22 75% .16
13-21 3-8 8-22 11 rb 13 pt 11 to 15-22 8-17 6-19 5-16 7 rb 6 pt 13 to 10-14
Nov
20
Loyola MD 1.28 70% 58% 34% +10 43% 11% 46% +2 1.20 39% 1.2 .48 14% .28 77% .22 0.82 41% 25% 27% -11 31% 20% 48% 0 0.75 20% 1.6 .18 20% .16 69% .11
16-22 3-6 8-24 11 rb 13 pt 9 to 15-20 7-16 3-10 7-25 8 rb 7 pt 14 to 7-10
Nov
25
Marquette 1.07 61% 37% 31% +1 39% 11% 49% +1 1.02 41% 0.9 .38 22% .25 75% .19 1.02 56% 38% 28% -2 41% 15% 43% +1 0.95 31% 1.2 .25 16% .24 71% .17
12-19 2-5 7-24 12 rb 11 pt 15 to 13-17 12-22 3-8 6-23 10 rb 8 pt 12 to 12-17
Nov
27
Xavier 1.10 59% 43% 34% +4 40% 18% 42% +1 1.05 34% 1.0 .34 17% .26 69% .18 1.02 56% 37% 33% +1 30% 29% 41% -2 0.96 25% 1.2 .23 16% .21 75% .16
12-21 4-9 7-22 11 rb 11 pt 12 to 13-18 9-16 6-16 8-23 9 rb 8 pt 11 to 11-14
Dec
2
Kentucky 1.10 59% 42% 33% +2 32% 16% 51% 0 1.02 35% 1.0 .34 17% .29 68% .20 1.03 59% 35% 32% 0 31% 27% 42% -1 0.95 31% 1.1 .31 18% .26 77% .20
9-16 3-8 8-25 11 rb 11 pt 12 to 14-20 9-16 5-14 7-21 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 14-18
Dec
8
Bethune-Cook 1.21 56% 36% 37% +3 44% 8% 48% +2 1.08 40% 1.2 .48 15% .33 71% .24 0.87 51% 31% 28% -6 38% 33% 29% -2 0.83 22% 1.8 .18 20% .26 72% .18
12-22 1-4 9-24 12 rb 15 pt 11 to 17-24 10-19 5-17 4-14 7 rb 6 pt 14 to 12-16
Dec
13
W. Carolina 1.21 62% 52% 37% +8 39% 10% 51% +2 1.16 33% 1.1 .36 15% .33 74% .24 0.91 37% 34% 28% -9 33% 28% 39% -1 0.77 29% 1.0 .25 18% .27 75% .20
12-19 3-5 10-26 9 rb 10 pt 10 to 17-23 6-16 5-14 5-19 10 rb 9 pt 13 to 14-18
Dec
20
Uconn 1.02 47% 36% 33% -3 38% 17% 45% 0 0.92 31% 1.0 .32 19% .35 71% .24 1.06 59% 42% 32% +2 37% 20% 43% 0 1.02 30% 1.1 .26 17% .25 74% .19
8-17 3-8 7-20 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-22 10-18 4-10 7-21 9 rb 8 pt 11 to 12-16
Dec
29
Clemson 1.08 61% 31% 33% +2 38% 14% 48% +1 1.02 31% 1.0 .30 17% .24 78% .19 1.03 52% 40% 33% 0 36% 22% 42% 0 0.97 22% 1.4 .17 15% .33 76% .25
11-18 2-7 8-23 9 rb 9 pt 11 to 12-16 9-17 4-11 6-20 6 rb 5 pt 10 to 16-21
Jan
2
SMU 1.14 57% 45% 36% +4 33% 14% 53% +1 1.07 37% 1.1 .42 18% .24 74% .18 0.98 52% 40% 33% +1 33% 32% 35% -2 0.95 29% 1.4 .22 19% .28 75% .21
9-17 3-7 9-26 11 rb 13 pt 13 to 12-17 8-16 6-16 6-17 9 rb 7 pt 13 to 14-18
Jan
6
Stanford 1.09 55% 42% 32% +1 42% 17% 41% +1 1.00 37% 1.0 .38 18% .32 74% .24 1.00 53% 36% 31% -2 41% 19% 41% 0 0.94 27% 1.4 .24 17% .25 77% .20
11-20 3-8 6-19 11 rb 11 pt 13 to 16-22 11-20 3-9 6-20 8 rb 8 pt 12 to 13-17
Jan
9
California 1.10 56% 42% 32% 0 40% 11% 50% +2 1.01 35% 1.0 .36 16% .29 64% .19 0.99 50% 37% 35% 0 29% 31% 41% -2 0.94 21% 1.8 .18 16% .27 81% .22
11-20 2-5 8-25 11 rb 12 pt 11 to 13-20 7-15 6-16 7-21 7 rb 6 pt 11 to 14-17
Jan
13
Boston Col 1.17 58% 41% 35% +4 41% 15% 44% +1 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 74% .21 0.93 48% 37% 28% -5 30% 30% 39% -2 0.84 24% 1.3 .21 17% .24 71% .17
12-20 3-8 8-22 11 rb 11 pt 10 to 14-19 7-15 5-15 5-19 8 rb 7 pt 12 to 11-15
Jan
16
Miami FL 1.05 55% 28% 37% +2 32% 18% 50% 0 1.01 28% 1.1 .31 19% .28 64% .18 1.08 56% 41% 32% +1 42% 28% 30% -1 0.98 34% 0.9 .34 17% .30 74% .22
9-16 2-9 9-24 9 rb 10 pt 13 to 12-18 12-21 6-14 5-15 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-20
Jan
19
UNC 1.07 49% 31% 36% 0 35% 19% 46% 0 0.96 32% 0.9 .30 14% .22 72% .16 1.03 56% 35% 31% -1 34% 24% 42% -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .24 15% .31 71% .22
9-19 3-10 9-24 11 rb 10 pt 10 to 11-15 10-17 4-12 7-21 8 rb 8 pt 10 to 15-21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27
GA Tech 1.16 58% 37% 35% +3 35% 14% 51% +1 1.05 36% 1.1 .39 15% .29 71% .21 0.94 51% 38% 30% -2 35% 31% 35% -2 0.90 29% 1.2 .24 20% .23 74% .17
11-19 3-7 9-27 12 rb 13 pt 11 to 15-22 9-18 6-16 5-18 10 rb 8 pt 15 to 12-16
Jan
30
VA Tech 1.12 61% 51% 32% +5 40% 16% 44% +1 1.08 39% 1.0 .40 19% .26 71% .18 0.99 52% 33% 33% -2 34% 28% 38% -1 0.91 28% 1.3 .28 18% .25 75% .19
12-20 4-8 7-21 11 rb 11 pt 13 to 12-17 9-17 5-14 6-19 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 12-17
Feb
3
Syracuse 1.09 55% 32% 34% 0 42% 14% 44% +1 0.99 38% 1.1 .41 18% .26 68% .18 1.00 54% 35% 31% -2 34% 28% 37% -1 0.92 27% 1.5 .23 16% .28 69% .19
11-21 2-7 7-21 12 rb 13 pt 13 to 12-18 9-17 5-14 6-19 9 rb 8 pt 11 to 13-19
Feb
6
Duke 1.03 56% 42% 33% +1 32% 17% 52% 0 1.00 32% 1.0 .32 20% .19 75% .15 1.08 59% 37% 29% -1 41% 16% 43% +1 0.98 36% 1.0 .41 18% .29 78% .23
9-15 3-8 8-25 10 rb 9 pt 13 to 9-12 12-20 3-7 6-20 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 15-19
Feb
9
Pitt 1.09 58% 40% 36% +4 38% 12% 50% +1 1.07 32% 0.9 .31 18% .26 74% .19 1.00 50% 36% 33% -1 30% 28% 42% -1 0.93 29% 0.9 .26 18% .24 73% .17
11-19 2-6 9-24 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 13-17 8-15 5-14 7-21 9 rb 8 pt 12 to 11-15
Feb
13
Notre Dame 1.14 61% 50% 34% +5 31% 12% 57% +1 1.08 33% 1.1 .36 18% .29 75% .22 0.96 48% 32% 32% -4 28% 30% 42% -2 0.86 28% 1.1 .22 17% .27 71% .20
9-15 3-6 9-27 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 14-19 7-14 5-14 7-20 9 rb 7 pt 12 to 13-18
Feb
15
Louisville 1.08 61% 29% 34% +2 34% 17% 49% 0 1.01 34% 1.1 .37 19% .26 68% .17 1.03 60% 38% 32% +2 34% 16% 50% 0 1.01 29% 1.2 .21 18% .25 74% .19
10-17 3-9 8-25 11 rb 12 pt 13 to 12-18 10-17 3-8 8-25 9 rb 7 pt 13 to 13-17
Feb
23
VA Tech 1.08 59% 47% 31% +2 40% 16% 44% +1 1.03 38% 1.0 .37 20% .26 68% .17 1.04 54% 35% 34% 0 34% 28% 38% -1 0.96 30% 1.3 .31 17% .25 78% .20
11-19 4-8 7-21 11 rb 11 pt 13 to 12-17 9-17 5-14 7-19 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 13-17
Feb
27
FL St. 1.12 60% 41% 37% +6 31% 15% 54% 0 1.09 37% 1.0 .35 19% .25 71% .18 0.99 50% 34% 28% -5 35% 20% 45% 0 0.87 26% 1.2 .26 15% .26 71% .19
9-16 3-8 10-28 11 rb 11 pt 14 to 13-18 9-19 4-11 7-24 9 rb 9 pt 11 to 13-19
Mar
1
Duke 0.99 53% 39% 31% -1 32% 17% 52% 0 0.95 31% 0.9 .29 20% .19 72% .14 1.13 61% 41% 30% +2 41% 16% 43% +1 1.02 37% 0.9 .43 17% .29 81% .23
8-15 3-8 8-25 10 rb 9 pt 14 to 9-12 12-20 3-8 6-20 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 15-19
Mar
6
NC St. 1.15 58% 61% 36% +6 36% 10% 54% +1 1.12 35% 0.9 .33 18% .24 72% .17 1.02 52% 31% 35% 0 35% 22% 44% 0 0.96 23% 1.5 .22 16% .26 75% .20
11-19 3-5 10-28 11 rb 10 pt 12 to 12-17 9-18 4-11 8-23 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 13-18