North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +11.3 50 54%
INCC Stats Results Rating +5.1 89 13%
Consistency 0.00 1
Pace 72.0 92
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 30 B+ C+ B+ B- B
Defense B- 88 C A- B- B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 142 B- 61% 74 +2.6 85
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 311 D 31% 311 -3.1 324
Three Pointers 47% 64 A- 38% 11 +6.3 19
Selection / Accuracy B +1.0 63 B+ +4.8 37
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.10 24
Second Chance C 29.2% 206 B+ 1.14 34 C+ 0.33 96
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.5% 23
Other Turnovers B- 7.0% 65
Turnovers B+ 14.6% 28
Freethrows C+ 0.32 129 C+ 71% 113 B- 0.23 110
Total Offense A- +8.1 30

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 53% 144 B 8.9% 60
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 31% 107 B- 3.4% 59
Three Pointers B- 91% 96 D+ 1.4% 289
Total B 66% 57 B 4.6% 61


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 288 B- 53% 73 -3.4 70
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 234 D- 42% 342 +0.5 241
Three Pointers 47% 37 C 32% 169 +2.4 294
Selection / Accuracy C -0.1 154 C -0.4 165
1st FG Attempt C 0.97 154
Second Chance B- 26.9% 68 A 0.82 9 A- 0.22 20
Turnovers from Steals B 11.7% 49
Other Turnovers D+ 7.2% 271
Turnovers B- 18.9% 98
Freethrows B 0.25 40 C+ 68% 118 B 0.17 47
Total Defense B- +3.2 88

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 56 B- 13.8% 79
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 82 B- 6.8% 79
Three Pointers B 82% 67 C- 0.6% 214
Total B- 53% 79 C+ 6.3% 133

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 42 18.6 345
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 56 0.17 142
Consistency 0.00 1 0.00 1

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Bubble - Out (48%)
Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 14 - 17 21 - 12 26 - 7
Predictive Rating Rank 92 53 22
Results Rating Rank 98 52 16
Conference Record 5 - 13 9 - 9 14 - 4
Conference Finish 16 8 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None 12 5
NCAA Tourney Finish None Opening Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 1% 1% 0%
Top 4 Seed 4% 5% 2%
Top 6 Seed 11% 11% 6%
Opening Round Bye 59% 59% 54%
NCAA Tourney Bid 50% 51% 37%
At-Large Status Bubble - Out Bubble - Out Bubble - Out
At-Large Bid 48% 49% 36%
Average Seed 8.7 8.7 9.2
.500 or above 91% 92% 77%
.500 or above in Conf 64% 65% 56%
Conference Champion 4% 4% 3%
Last Place in Conference 3% 2% 5%
Opening Round21% 21% 17%
First Round40% 41% 28%
Second Round21% 22% 15%
Sweet Sixteen8% 9% 6%
Elite Eight3% 3% 2%
Final Four1% 1% 1%
Championship Game1% 1% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Home) - 92% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance		 Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
32 - 2 31 - 2 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
31 - 3 30 - 3 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 4 29 - 4 0% 100% 100% 2 Lock
29 - 5 28 - 5 1% 100% 100% 2 Lock
28 - 6 27 - 6 1% 99% 100% 3 Lock
27 - 7 26 - 7 2% 98% 100% 4 Lock
26 - 7 25 - 7 4% 96% 100% 5 Lock
25 - 8 24 - 8 5% 92% 100% 7 Lock
24 - 9 23 - 9 7% 87% 99% 8 Likely In
23 - 10 22 - 10 9% 80% 96% 9 Likely In
22 - 11 21 - 11 11% 71% 85% 10 Likely In
21 - 12 20 - 12 12% 60% 60% 11 Bubble - In
20 - 13 19 - 13 11% 48% 33% 11 Bubble - Out
19 - 14 18 - 14 9% 37% 13% 11 Likely Out
18 - 14 17 - 14 8% 28% 3% 12 Likely Out
17 - 15 16 - 15 6% 20% 1% 12 Likely Out
16 - 16 15 - 16 5% 13% Negligible
15 - 17 14 - 17 3% 8% Negligible
14 - 17 13 - 17 2% 5% Negligible
13 - 18 12 - 18 1% 3% Negligible
12 - 19 11 - 19 1% 1% Negligible
11 - 20 10 - 20 0% 1% Negligible
10 - 21 9 - 21 0% 0% Negligible
9 - 22 8 - 22 0% 0% Negligible
8 - 23 7 - 23 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 7
Quad 25 - 49 - 11
Quad 35 - 114 - 12
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Stat Type Preseason Current
Predictive Rank 51 50
Results Rank 89
Projected Overall Record 21 - 12 21 - 12
Projected Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Champion 4% 4%
Conference Finish 8 8
NCAA Tournament Seed 11
Opening Round Bye 60% 59%
At-Large Tourney Chance 45% 48%
At Large Status Bubble Bubble



Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 247 Campbell W 83 - 64 95% +17  77% 1 - 0 B+ +11 B- +4 A+ D C A +8 C+ A+ F+
Fri, Nov 6 163 East Tennessee St. W 82 - 67 92%
Tue, Nov 10 234 Presbyterian W 82 - 63 95%
Fri, Nov 13 197 Troy W 81 - 64 93%
Thu, Nov 19 88 Murray St. W 84 - 80 66%
Wed, Nov 25 307 Norfolk St. W 87 - 64 98%
Sat, Nov 28 183 Elon W 85 - 69 92%
Tue, Dec 1 92 South Carolina W 79 - 71 74%
Sun, Dec 6 14 Tennessee L 72 - 78 30%
Fri, Dec 11 278 UNC Greensboro W 87 - 66 96%
Tue, Dec 15 46 North Carolina L 76 - 77 45%
Sat, Dec 19 49 Mississippi L 73 - 74 49%
Tue, Dec 22 309 Alabama A&M W 84 - 61 97%
Tue, Dec 29 19 Miami (FL) L 73 - 81 30% ✓
Sat, Jan 2 52 Clemson W 74 - 71 61% ✓
Wed, Jan 6 74 Pittsburgh W 78 - 72 67% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 46 North Carolina L 74 - 78 35% ✓
Tue, Jan 12 62 SMU W 80 - 75 66% ✓
Tue, Jan 19 104 Georgia Tech W 81 - 77 59% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 94 Wake Forest W 80 - 72 72% ✓
Wed, Jan 27 91 California W 77 - 75 52% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 75 Stanford W 76 - 75 45% ✓
Wed, Feb 3 56 Florida St. W 82 - 78 63% ✓
Wed, Feb 10 94 Wake Forest W 77 - 75 51% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 105 Boston College W 79 - 69 79% ✓
Wed, Feb 17 48 Virginia Tech L 75 - 78 36% ✓
Sat, Feb 20 91 California W 80 - 72 73% ✓
Wed, Feb 24 76 Notre Dame W 77 - 71 69% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 1 Duke L 66 - 82 18% ✓
Tue, Mar 2 13 Louisville L 77 - 80 45% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 12 Virginia L 72 - 81 23% ✓
Totals 21 - 12 9 - 9 +11 A- +8 C B+ B B- +3 A- C+ B-
Stat History After Each Game

Date Opponent Result Stats Rank Projected Record Chances Predicted At-Large Status
Predictive Results Overall Conf Opening Bye Conf
Champ		 NCAA
Seed		 Conf
Finish
Preseason 51 21 - 12 9 - 9 60% 4% 8 Bubble - Out 45%
Mon, Nov 2 247 Campbell W 83 - 64 50 75 21 - 12 10 - 8 60% 4% 11 7 Bubble - In 50%
Current 50 89 21 - 12 9 - 9 59% 4% 11 8 Bubble - Out 48%






NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid		 Auto At-Large Avg
Seed		 At-Large
Selection Chances		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
32 - 2 31 - 2 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
31 - 3 30 - 3 0% 100% 100% 60% 100% 1 Lock 0
30 - 4 29 - 4 0% 100% 100% 52% 100% 2 Lock 0 0 0
29 - 5 28 - 5 1% 100% 100% 52% 100% 2 Lock 0 0 0 0
28 - 6 27 - 6 1% 99% 100% 38% 100% 3 Lock 0 0 0 0
27 - 7 26 - 7 2% 98% 100% 31% 100% 4 Lock 0 1 1 0
26 - 7 25 - 7 4% 96% 100% 23% 100% 5 Lock 0 1 1 1 1
25 - 8 24 - 8 5% 92% 100% 11% 100% 7 Lock 1 1 1 1 0 0
24 - 9 23 - 9 7% 87% 99% 5% 99% 8 Likely In 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 0
23 - 10 22 - 10 9% 80% 96% 2% 96% 9 Likely In 1 1 2 2 2 0
22 - 11 21 - 11 11% 71% 85% 1% 85% 10 Likely In 1 1 2 4 1 2
21 - 12 20 - 12 12% 60% 60% 0% 60% 11 Bubble - In 0 1 4 2 5
20 - 13 19 - 13 11% 48% 33% 0% 33% 11 Bubble - Out 2 1 7
19 - 14 18 - 14 9% 37% 13% 0% 13% 11 Likely Out 1 1 8
18 - 14 17 - 14 8% 28% 3% 3% 12 Likely Out 0 0 8
17 - 15 16 - 15 6% 20% 1% 1% 12 Likely Out 0 6
16 - 16 15 - 16 5% 13% Negligible 5
15 - 17 14 - 17 3% 8% Negligible 3
14 - 17 13 - 17 2% 5% Negligible 2
13 - 18 12 - 18 1% 3% Negligible 1
12 - 19 11 - 19 1% 1% Negligible 1
11 - 20 10 - 20 0% 1% Negligible 0
10 - 21 9 - 21 0% 0% Negligible 0
9 - 22 8 - 22 0% 0% Negligible 0
8 - 23 7 - 23 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 50% 4% 48% 9 Bubble - Out 1 1 2 3 3 5 5 6 6 13 6 50


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed		 At-Large
Selection Chances		 Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
32 - 2 31 - 2 16 - 2 0% 100% Auto Bid 8 2 3 9 - 2 10 - 0 6 - 0 7 - 0
31 - 3 30 - 3 16 - 2 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 10 3 4 9 - 2 8 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
30 - 4 29 - 4 15 - 3 0% 100% 100% 100% 2 Lock 14 5 7 8 - 3 9 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
29 - 5 28 - 5 15 - 3 1% 100% 100% 100% 2 Lock 16 7 9 8 - 3 8 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
28 - 6 27 - 6 14 - 4 1% 99% 100% 100% 3 Lock 20 10 13 7 - 4 8 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
27 - 7 26 - 7 13 - 5 2% 98% 100% 100% 4 Lock 22 13 17 7 - 5 7 - 2 6 - 0 7 - 0
26 - 7 25 - 7 13 - 5 4% 96% 100% 100% 5 Lock 26 18 21 6 - 5 7 - 2 6 - 1 7 - 0
25 - 8 24 - 8 12 - 6 5% 92% 100% 98% 7 Lock 31 23 26 5 - 6 7 - 2 6 - 1 7 - 0
24 - 9 23 - 9 12 - 6 7% 87% 99% 87% 8 Likely In 35 28 31 5 - 6 7 - 2 6 - 1 7 - 0
23 - 10 22 - 10 11 - 7 9% 80% 96% 63% 9 Likely In 40 35 37 4 - 7 6 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0
22 - 11 21 - 11 10 - 8 11% 71% 85% 35% 10 Likely In 46 42 43 4 - 7 6 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0
21 - 12 20 - 12 10 - 8 12% 60% 60% 18% 11 Bubble - In 51 49 50 3 - 7 6 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0
20 - 13 19 - 13 9 - 9 11% 48% 33% 9% 11 Bubble - Out 57 57 56 3 - 8 5 - 4 5 - 1 7 - 0
19 - 14 18 - 14 8 - 10 9% 37% 13% 5% 11 Likely Out 63 64 63 3 - 8 5 - 4 5 - 1 7 - 0
18 - 14 17 - 14 8 - 10 8% 28% 3% 3% 12 Likely Out 68 72 69 2 - 8 4 - 4 4 - 2 7 - 0
17 - 15 16 - 15 7 - 11 6% 20% 1% 7% 12 Likely Out 73 79 76 2 - 8 4 - 5 4 - 2 7 - 0
16 - 16 15 - 16 7 - 11 5% 13% Negligible 79 87 83 2 - 9 4 - 5 4 - 2 7 - 0
15 - 17 14 - 17 6 - 12 3% 8% Negligible 84 94 88 2 - 9 3 - 5 4 - 2 7 - 0
14 - 17 13 - 17 5 - 13 2% 5% Negligible 89 101 95 1 - 9 3 - 6 3 - 2 7 - 1
13 - 18 12 - 18 4 - 14 1% 3% Negligible 95 110 101 1 - 9 2 - 6 3 - 3 6 - 1
12 - 19 11 - 19 4 - 14 1% 1% Negligible 102 119 109 1 - 9 2 - 6 3 - 3 6 - 1
11 - 20 10 - 20 3 - 15 0% 1% Negligible 108 131 117 1 - 10 2 - 7 2 - 3 6 - 1
10 - 21 9 - 21 3 - 15 0% 0% Negligible 113 140 124 1 - 9 1 - 7 2 - 3 6 - 1
9 - 22 8 - 22 2 - 16 0% 0% Negligible 118 158 132 1 - 9 1 - 7 2 - 4 6 - 2
8 - 23 7 - 23 2 - 16 0% 0% Negligible 128 171 145 1 - 10 1 - 7 2 - 4 5 - 2
Total 9 - 9 100% 48% 56% 9 Bubble - Out 54 54 54 3 - 7 5 - 4 5 - 1 7 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
17-1 0% 100% 100% 93% 7% 0 0
16-2 1% 100% 97% 81% 16% 1 0 1
15-3 1% 99% 73% 44% 26% 3% 1 0 0 1
14-4 4% 98% 41% 12% 19% 8% 2% 1 2 0 0 4
13-5 6% 95% 11% 1% 4% 3% 2% 1 3 2 1 0 0 6
12-6 10% 88% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0 1 3 3 1 0 0 10
11-7 13% 78% 0 1 4 5 3 1 0 0 13
10-8 15% 65% 0 0 2 4 5 2 1 0 0 15
9-9 15% 50% 0 0 3 5 4 2 0 0 0 15
8-10 13% 36% 0 1 2 4 4 2 0 0 13
7-11 10% 23% 0 0 0 2 3 3 1 0 0 10
6-12 6% 13% 0 0 0 1 2 2 1 0 0 6
5-13 4% 7% 0 0 1 1 1 0 4
4-14 2% 3% 0 0 1 1 0 2
3-15 1% 1% 0 0 0 1
2-16 0% 0% 0 0 0 0
1-17 0% 0% 0 0
0-18 0%
Total 100% 4% 2% 1% 1% 0% 4 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 1 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B- D A- B+ 40% 25% 47% B B+ C B+ C+ B+ C+ C+ B- B- B- D- C C 35% 19% 47% C C B- A A- B- B C+ B
1.20 61% 31% 38% +5 +1 1.10 29% 1.1 .33 15% .32 71% .23 1.04 53% 42% 32% 0 0 0.97 27% 0.8 .22 19% .25 68% .22
Nov
2		 Campbell B- A+ D- A+ A+ 40% 14% 46% B A+ C- F+ D C C+ D+ C A A- F A+ C 37% 22% 42% A- C+ C+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A- A+
1.19 75% 29% 43% +14 +1 1.28 29% 0.9 .25 19% .32 67% .21 0.92 45% 62% 24% -4 0 0.90 32% 0.4 .11 14% .13 63% .08
Nov
6		 ETSU 1.20 66% 26% 38% +7 37% 9% 54% +2 1.15 32% 1.1 .36 16% .33 75% .25 0.98 55% 41% 31% 0 36% 23% 41% 0 0.97 24% 1.2 .19 19% .25 66% .17
12-18 1-4 10-26 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 17-22 10-18 5-11 6-20 8 rb 6 pt 13 to 11-16
Nov
10		 Presbyterian 1.23 61% 41% 43% +10 44% 14% 42% +1 1.19 29% 1.2 .36 13% .33 74% .24 0.95 55% 40% 27% -2 36% 25% 38% -1 0.91 28% 0.9 .24 20% .29 64% .18
13-22 3-7 9-21 8 rb 10 pt 9 to 16-22 9-17 5-12 5-18 9 rb 7 pt 13 to 11-18
Nov
13		 Troy 1.19 57% 47% 37% +5 40% 11% 49% +1 1.11 32% 1.2 .38 14% .27 71% .19 0.94 46% 42% 30% -6 41% 9% 50% +2 0.89 30% 1.1 .21 19% .22 68% .15
12-20 3-6 9-25 10 rb 11 pt 10 to 13-19 9-20 2-5 7-24 10 rb 7 pt 13 to 10-15
Nov
19		 Murray St. 1.11 56% 31% 39% +3 45% 17% 39% +1 1.06 30% 1.1 .33 16% .35 70% .25 1.06 58% 46% 32% +2 37% 16% 47% +1 1.03 28% 1.0 .25 18% .29 74% .21
13-23 3-9 8-20 10 rb 11 pt 12 to 18-26 11-20 4-8 8-25 9 rb 8 pt 13 to 15-21
Nov
25		 Norfolk St. 1.22 66% 30% 37% +8 41% 5% 54% +2 1.17 31% 1.2 .38 15% .39 70% .27 0.90 43% 38% 32% -4 36% 26% 37% -1 0.87 25% 1.0 .19 21% .28 62% .17
13-20 1-3 10-27 9 rb 11 pt 10 to 19-27 8-18 5-13 6-18 9 rb 7 pt 15 to 11-18
Nov
28		 Elon 1.22 57% 38% 41% +7 39% 14% 47% +1 1.13 33% 1.3 .42 14% .32 72% .23 0.99 50% 34% 35% -1 44% 9% 47% +2 1.00 29% 1.1 .22 20% .23 67% .16
11-20 3-7 10-24 10 rb 13 pt 9 to 16-22 11-22 1-4 8-23 9 rb 7 pt 14 to 10-15
Dec
1		 S. Carolina 1.14 60% 34% 36% +4 41% 17% 42% +1 1.06 28% 1.3 .36 14% .32 68% .22 1.03 57% 40% 29% -2 31% 17% 52% 0 0.94 29% 1.0 .28 16% .26 72% .18
12-21 3-9 8-21 9 rb 11 pt 10 to 15-22 9-16 3-8 8-26 10 rb 9 pt 11 to 13-18
Dec
6		 Tennessee 1.05 56% 31% 33% 0 34% 16% 50% 0 0.98 25% 0.9 .23 15% .31 69% .21 1.13 62% 46% 33% +5 37% 21% 43% 0 1.07 41% 0.5 .38 18% .27 69% .19
10-17 2-8 8-25 8 rb 7 pt 10 to 14-21 11-18 5-10 7-21 12 rb 11 pt 12 to 13-19
Dec
11		 UNCG 1.23 64% 32% 43% +10 37% 13% 50% +1 1.20 29% 1.3 .37 12% .28 69% .19 0.93 45% 39% 31% -4 32% 22% 46% -1 0.89 22% 1.1 .17 18% .31 64% .20
13-20 2-7 12-27 9 rb 11 pt 8 to 14-20 7-16 4-11 7-23 8 rb 6 pt 13 to 13-20
Dec
15		 UNC 1.08 51% 25% 40% +1 35% 21% 44% 0 0.98 24% 1.0 .24 12% .25 73% .18 1.09 59% 42% 33% +2 36% 14% 50% +1 1.03 27% 0.8 .25 15% .32 64% .21
10-19 3-12 10-24 9 rb 8 pt 8 to 13-18 11-18 3-7 8-25 9 rb 8 pt 11 to 14-22
Dec
19		 Ole Miss 1.07 53% 31% 38% +3 28% 20% 52% 0 1.01 29% 1.0 .29 19% .34 66% .23 1.07 67% 43% 32% +5 26% 32% 42% -2 1.02 27% 1.0 .23 15% .28 68% .19
7-13 3-9 9-25 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 15-23 9-13 7-16 7-22 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 13-19
Dec
22		 Alabama A&M 1.24 65% 28% 41% +9 43% 11% 47% +2 1.19 31% 1.2 .37 13% .35 71% .25 0.90 44% 36% 31% -5 34% 26% 41% -1 0.86 21% 1.3 .15 19% .29 68% .20
14-21 1-5 9-23 9 rb 10 pt 9 to 17-24 7-16 4-12 6-20 7 rb 5 pt 13 to 12-18
Dec
29		 Miami FL 1.03 56% 20% 39% +2 32% 20% 48% 0 1.00 20% 1.2 .24 17% .31 64% .20 1.15 60% 50% 34% +5 43% 19% 38% +1 1.09 36% 0.6 .36 17% .31 69% .21
9-16 2-10 10-24 7 rb 8 pt 12 to 13-20 13-22 5-9 6-19 11 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-21
Jan
2		 Clemson 1.11 64% 24% 37% +4 38% 16% 47% +1 1.07 23% 1.1 .25 14% .27 79% .22 1.06 55% 48% 34% +2 37% 13% 50% +1 1.04 23% 0.9 .17 16% .34 69% .23
12-19 2-8 9-23 7 rb 7 pt 9 to 14-18 10-18 3-6 8-24 7 rb 5 pt 11 to 15-21
Jan
6		 Pitt 1.12 61% 31% 39% +6 38% 14% 48% +1 1.11 25% 1.0 .26 16% .29 76% .22 1.03 53% 40% 34% +1 32% 18% 50% 0 1.00 31% 0.6 .26 18% .24 63% .15
12-19 2-7 10-24 7 rb 8 pt 11 to 15-19 8-16 4-9 8-25 10 rb 8 pt 13 to 10-16
Jan
9		 UNC 1.05 50% 24% 39% 0 35% 21% 44% 0 0.96 24% 1.0 .23 12% .25 72% .18 1.11 61% 44% 33% +4 36% 14% 50% +1 1.06 28% 0.8 .26 15% .32 65% .21
10-19 3-12 9-24 9 rb 8 pt 8 to 13-18 11-18 3-7 8-26 9 rb 8 pt 11 to 15-22
Jan
12		 SMU 1.12 58% 33% 38% +5 33% 16% 51% 0 1.06 28% 1.2 .35 16% .27 73% .20 1.06 57% 47% 35% +5 34% 22% 43% 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .23 19% .29 68% .20
10-17 3-9 10-26 9 rb 11 pt 12 to 14-19 10-17 5-11 8-22 9 rb 7 pt 14 to 13-19
Jan
19		 GA Tech 1.10 57% 23% 36% +1 35% 16% 49% 0 1.00 26% 1.1 .30 13% .32 68% .22 1.05 59% 48% 34% +4 36% 21% 43% 0 1.05 33% 0.8 .27 20% .24 70% .17
11-19 2-9 10-27 9 rb 11 pt 10 to 16-24 11-19 5-11 8-22 10 rb 8 pt 15 to 12-17
Jan
23		 Wake Forest 1.13 58% 34% 37% +4 34% 13% 53% +1 1.06 31% 1.1 .34 16% .30 72% .22 1.02 55% 51% 31% +1 36% 14% 50% +1 1.01 26% 1.2 .20 17% .27 67% .18
10-17 2-7 10-27 10 rb 11 pt 12 to 15-21 10-18 4-7 8-26 8 rb 6 pt 12 to 12-18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 California 1.09 60% 20% 34% 0 39% 13% 48% +1 1.00 27% 1.1 .31 14% .30 64% .19 1.07 53% 46% 39% +6 29% 19% 52% 0 1.09 22% 1.3 .18 17% .25 73% .18
12-20 1-7 8-25 9 rb 10 pt 10 to 13-21 8-15 5-10 11-27 7 rb 6 pt 12 to 12-16
Jan
30		 Stanford 1.08 56% 32% 35% +1 42% 19% 39% +1 0.99 28% 1.1 .31 16% .35 74% .26 1.08 58% 51% 33% +3 42% 9% 49% +2 1.06 29% 0.9 .26 17% .26 70% .18
11-21 3-9 7-19 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 18-24 12-21 2-4 8-25 9 rb 8 pt 12 to 12-18
Feb
3		 FL St. 1.11 61% 30% 39% +6 30% 17% 52% 0 1.09 28% 1.0 .28 17% .28 71% .20 1.06 55% 44% 31% -1 36% 10% 53% +1 0.98 28% 0.8 .27 15% .27 65% .17
10-16 3-9 11-28 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 14-20 11-20 2-6 9-29 10 rb 10 pt 11 to 13-20
Feb
10		 Wake Forest 1.08 55% 29% 35% +1 34% 13% 53% +1 1.02 29% 1.1 .31 17% .30 69% .21 1.06 57% 55% 32% +3 36% 14% 50% +1 1.05 27% 1.2 .22 17% .27 69% .19
10-17 2-7 10-27 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-21 11-19 4-7 8-26 9 rb 7 pt 12 to 13-18
Feb
13		 Boston Col 1.15 59% 30% 38% +4 40% 17% 42% +1 1.06 28% 1.0 .29 12% .31 73% .23 1.01 54% 43% 31% 0 32% 21% 48% 0 0.96 27% 0.9 .23 18% .25 64% .16
12-21 3-9 8-22 9 rb 9 pt 8 to 16-22 9-16 4-10 7-24 9 rb 8 pt 12 to 11-16
Feb
17		 VA Tech 1.06 60% 36% 33% +2 40% 18% 42% 0 1.03 29% 1.0 .30 17% .29 68% .20 1.11 59% 41% 36% +5 35% 19% 46% 0 1.07 32% 0.9 .32 17% .26 71% .18
12-20 3-9 7-21 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 13-19 11-18 4-9 8-23 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 13-18
Feb
20		 California 1.13 62% 24% 35% +3 39% 13% 48% +1 1.05 28% 1.2 .33 13% .30 66% .20 1.02 50% 43% 38% +4 29% 19% 52% 0 1.04 21% 1.4 .16 18% .25 70% .17
13-20 2-7 9-25 9 rb 11 pt 10 to 14-21 7-15 4-10 10-27 7 rb 5 pt 13 to 11-16
Feb
24		 Notre Dame 1.12 61% 36% 36% +5 31% 15% 55% 0 1.08 25% 1.2 .29 16% .32 74% .24 1.03 55% 36% 34% +1 29% 20% 50% 0 0.98 30% 0.7 .23 18% .28 65% .19
9-15 3-7 10-27 7 rb 9 pt 11 to 16-21 8-14 4-10 8-25 10 rb 8 pt 12 to 12-19
Feb
27		 Duke 0.97 54% 29% 33% -1 31% 19% 50% 0 0.95 23% 1.0 .22 18% .22 71% .16 1.20 65% 69% 32% +6 43% 6% 51% +2 1.14 39% 0.6 .45 18% .30 75% .22
9-16 3-9 8-25 7 rb 7 pt 13 to 10-14 13-21 2-3 8-25 11 rb 12 pt 12 to 15-20
Mar
2		 Louisville 1.06 62% 21% 36% +2 33% 19% 47% 0 1.00 26% 1.2 .30 17% .29 68% .20 1.10 65% 58% 34% +6 35% 7% 58% +2 1.13 31% 0.8 .23 18% .26 67% .17
11-17 2-10 9-25 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 14-20 12-18 2-4 10-30 10 rb 7 pt 13 to 12-18
Mar
6		 Virginia 1.02 52% 31% 35% 0 35% 22% 44% 0 0.96 23% 0.9 .22 16% .26 75% .20 1.15 58% 62% 36% +6 36% 10% 54% +1 1.12 35% 0.6 .33 18% .24 72% .17
9-18 4-11 8-23 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 13-18 11-19 3-5 10-28 11 rb 10 pt 12 to 12-17