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• 2026 - 2027
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  • Preseason

Murray St.
Missouri Valley
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details. Rating Rank vs Preseason INCC Stats Predictive Rating +7.0 86 77% INCC Stats Results Rating +9.4 39 98% Consistency 0.00 1 Pace 78.9 10 Improvement - - Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free throws Shot Selection Offense B- 77 B- C+ C+ B+ B- Defense B- 90 B- C B C- C Offense Breakdown Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect Close Shots 41% 119 B- 60% 79 +3.0 73 2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 218 C+ 37% 136 -0.8 220 Three Pointers 42% 170 C 32% 188 +0.2 168 Selection / Accuracy B- +0.6 110 B- +1.8 107 1st FG Attempt B- 1.03 103 Second Chance C+ 30.8% 143 B- 1.08 87 C+ 0.33 101 Opponents' Steals B- 8.6% 86 Other Turnovers C- 8.1% 223 Turnovers C+ 16.7% 113 Freethrows B- 0.34 79 B+ 74% 35 B+ 0.25 39 Total Offense B- +4.2 77 Assists Opponents' Blocks Close Shots D 41% 313 A- 7.1% 22 2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 12% 349 C 5.7% 229 Three Pointers D+ 82% 278 B- 0.4% 73 Total D- 49% 328 B+ 4.1% 27 Defense Breakdown Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect Close Shots 43% 56 B 51% 49 +0.6 201 2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 77 C+ 35% 130 +0.8 255 Three Pointers 33% 355 C+ 32% 155 -4.2 19 Selection / Accuracy C +0.0 164 B -2.8 58 1st FG Attempt B- 0.92 74 Second Chance C- 30.6% 218 B- 0.95 104 C 0.29 161 Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.6% 271 Other Turnovers A+ 11.1% 1 Turnovers B 19.7% 57 Freethrows D+ 0.33 264 C+ 68% 110 C- 0.23 242 Total Defense B- +2.8 90 Assists Blocks Close Shots C 52% 202 B- 13.8% 78 2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 25% 148 D+ 3.0% 301 Three Pointers C+ 85% 131 D+ 0.4% 278 Total C+ 55% 114 B- 6.8% 92 Miscellaneous Offense Defense Possession Length 15.6 39 16.3 40 Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 78 0.20 270 Consistency 0.00 1 0.00 1

NCAA Tournament Selection At-Large Chances Likely Out (7%) Projected Seeding 13 seed   Prediction Ranges Pessimistic 5th Percentile Expected 50th Percentile Optimistic 95th Percentile Overall Record 18 - 15 24 - 9 29 - 5 Predictive Rating Rank 137 90 56 Results Rating Rank 141 83 30 Conference Record 9 - 11 14 - 6 18 - 2 Conference Finish 7 2 1 NCAA Tourney Seed None None 10 NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round Now Win Next Lose Next #1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0% #1 Seed 0% 0% 0% Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0% Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0% Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0% Opening Round Bye 88% 88% 92% NCAA Tourney Bid 30% 30% 25% At-Large Status Likely Out Likely Out Likely Out At-Large Bid 7% 7% 3% Average Seed 11.9 11.9 12.5 .500 or above 98% 98% 93% .500 or above in Conf 93% 94% 89% Conference Champion 39% 40% 30% Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 1% Opening Round 4% 4% 2% First Round 28% 28% 24% Second Round 8% 8% 5% Sweet Sixteen 2% 2% 1% Elite Eight 0% 0% 0% Final Four 0% 0% 0% Championship Game 0% 0% 0% National Champion 0% 0% 0% Next Game: Northwestern St. (Home) - 95% chance of victory Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large Chance Avg Seed At-Large Selection Chances Indiv. Cumul. 34 - 0 33 - 0 0% 100% 4 Auto Bid 33 - 1 32 - 1 0% 100% 100% 5 Lock 32 - 2 31 - 2 1% 100% 100% 7 Lock 31 - 3 30 - 3 1% 99% 100% 9 Lock 30 - 4 29 - 4 3% 98% 96% 10 Likely In 29 - 5 28 - 5 5% 95% 73% 11 Bubble - In 28 - 6 27 - 6 7% 91% 44% 12 Bubble - Out 27 - 7 26 - 7 9% 84% 19% 12 Likely Out 26 - 7 25 - 7 10% 75% 5% 13 Likely Out 25 - 8 24 - 8 10% 65% 1% 13 Likely Out 24 - 9 23 - 9 10% 55% 0% 13 Negligible 23 - 10 22 - 10 10% 45% Negligible 22 - 11 21 - 11 9% 35% Negligible 21 - 12 20 - 12 8% 26% Negligible 20 - 13 19 - 13 6% 18% Negligible 19 - 14 18 - 14 4% 11% Negligible 18 - 15 17 - 15 3% 7% Negligible 17 - 16 16 - 16 2% 4% Negligible 16 - 16 15 - 16 1% 2% Negligible 15 - 17 14 - 17 1% 1% Negligible 14 - 18 13 - 18 0% 1% Negligible 13 - 19 12 - 19 0% 0% Negligible 12 - 20 11 - 20 0% 0% Negligible 11 - 21 10 - 21 0% 0% Negligible 10 - 23 9 - 23 0% 0% Negligible Projected Record by Quadrant Quad Projected Projected Cumulative Quad 1a 0 - 0 0 - 0 Quad 1b 0 - 1 0 - 1 Quad 2 2 - 3 2 - 4 Quad 3 9 - 4 11 - 8 Quad 4 13 - 1 24 - 9

Stat Type	Preseason	Current
Predictive Rank	99	86
Results Rank		39
Projected Overall Record	22 - 11	24 - 9
Projected Conference Record	13 - 7	14 - 6
Conference Champion	27%	39%
Conference Finish	3	2
NCAA Tournament Seed	13	13
Opening Round Bye	93%	88%
At-Large Tourney Chance	2%	7%
At Large Status	Likely Out	Likely Out

NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss	Future Record	Wins Chance			Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	At-Large Selection Chances		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16		No Bid
		Indiv.	Cumul.
34 - 0	33 - 0	0%	100%		100%	100%		4	Auto Bid		0			0	0	0
33 - 1	32 - 1	0%	100%		100%	97%	100%	5	Lock		0			0		0	0	0
32 - 2	31 - 2	1%	100%		100%	93%	100%	7	Lock							0	0	0	0
31 - 3	30 - 3	1%	99%		100%	85%	100%	9	Lock									0	0	0
30 - 4	29 - 4	3%	98%		99%	72%	96%	10	Likely In										0	1		1						0
29 - 5	28 - 5	5%	95%		90%	62%	73%	11	Bubble - In											1		2	0					0
28 - 6	27 - 6	7%	91%		73%	52%	44%	12	Bubble - Out											0		3	1					2
27 - 7	26 - 7	9%	84%		52%	41%	19%	12	Likely Out													3	2					4
26 - 7	25 - 7	10%	75%		38%	34%	5%	13	Likely Out													2	2					6
25 - 8	24 - 8	10%	65%		27%	27%	1%	13	Likely Out													1	2					8
24 - 9	23 - 9	10%	55%		21%	21%	0%	13	Negligible														2					8
23 - 10	22 - 10	10%	45%		15%	15%		13	Negligible														1	0				8
22 - 11	21 - 11	9%	35%		9%	9%		13	Negligible														0	0				8
21 - 12	20 - 12	8%	26%		6%	6%		14	Negligible														0	0				7
20 - 13	19 - 13	6%	18%		3%	3%		14	Negligible															0	0			6
19 - 14	18 - 14	4%	11%		2%	2%		14	Negligible															0	0			4
18 - 15	17 - 15	3%	7%		1%	1%		15	Negligible															0	0			3
17 - 16	16 - 16	2%	4%		1%	1%		16	Negligible																0	0		2
16 - 16	15 - 16	1%	2%		0%	0%		15	Negligible																0			1
15 - 17	14 - 17	1%	1%						Negligible																			1
14 - 18	13 - 18	0%	1%						Negligible																			0
13 - 19	12 - 19	0%	0%						Negligible																			0
12 - 20	11 - 20	0%	0%						Negligible																			0
11 - 21	10 - 21	0%	0%						Negligible																			0
10 - 22	9 - 22	0%	0%						Negligible																			0
Total		100%			30%	25%	7%	12	Likely Out									1	1	3	1	12	10	2				70

At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss	Future Record	Avg Conf Record	Wins Chance			At-Large	Opening Bye	Avg Seed	At-Large Selection Chances		Average Rating Rank			Average Quad Records
			Indiv.	Cumul.							Predictive	Results	NET	Quad 1	Quad 2	Quad 3	Quad 4
34 - 0	33 - 0	20 - 0	0%	100%					Auto Bid		47	1	1	0 - 0	4 - 0	15 - 0	15 - 0
33 - 1	32 - 1	19 - 1	0%	100%		100%	100%	5	Lock		48	2	12	1 - 0	4 - 0	14 - 0	14 - 0
32 - 2	31 - 2	19 - 1	1%	100%		100%	100%	7	Lock		50	9	23	0 - 0	4 - 1	13 - 1	15 - 0
31 - 3	30 - 3	18 - 2	1%	99%		100%	90%	9	Lock		56	16	33	0 - 0	3 - 1	13 - 1	14 - 0
30 - 4	29 - 4	17 - 3	3%	98%		96%	69%	10	Likely In		60	26	42	0 - 0	3 - 1	12 - 2	14 - 0
29 - 5	28 - 5	17 - 3	5%	95%		73%	39%	11	Bubble - In		65	36	50	0 - 0	3 - 2	12 - 2	14 - 1
28 - 6	27 - 6	16 - 4	7%	91%		44%	17%	12	Bubble - Out		70	46	59	0 - 1	3 - 2	11 - 3	14 - 1
27 - 7	26 - 7	16 - 4	9%	84%		19%	4%	12	Likely Out		75	56	66	0 - 1	3 - 2	11 - 3	14 - 1
26 - 7	25 - 7	15 - 5	10%	75%		5%	0%	13	Likely Out		80	65	73	0 - 1	2 - 2	10 - 3	13 - 1
25 - 8	24 - 8	14 - 6	10%	65%		1%	0%	13	Likely Out		85	74	80	0 - 1	2 - 3	10 - 4	13 - 1
24 - 9	23 - 9	14 - 6	10%	55%		0%	0%	13	Negligible		90	83	87	0 - 1	2 - 3	9 - 4	13 - 1
23 - 10	22 - 10	13 - 7	10%	45%					Negligible		96	91	94	0 - 1	2 - 3	9 - 5	12 - 1
22 - 11	21 - 11	12 - 8	9%	35%					Negligible		102	100	101	0 - 1	2 - 3	8 - 5	12 - 2
21 - 12	20 - 12	12 - 8	8%	26%					Negligible		109	109	108	0 - 1	2 - 4	7 - 6	12 - 2
20 - 13	19 - 13	11 - 9	6%	18%					Negligible		115	119	116	0 - 1	1 - 4	7 - 6	12 - 2
19 - 14	18 - 14	11 - 9	4%	11%					Negligible		122	128	124	0 - 1	1 - 4	6 - 7	11 - 2
18 - 15	17 - 15	10 - 10	3%	7%					Negligible		131	138	133	0 - 1	1 - 4	6 - 7	11 - 3
17 - 16	16 - 16	9 - 11	2%	4%					Negligible		138	150	142	0 - 1	1 - 4	5 - 7	11 - 3
16 - 16	15 - 16	8 - 12	1%	2%					Negligible		147	161	152	0 - 1	1 - 4	5 - 8	10 - 3
15 - 17	14 - 17	8 - 12	1%	1%					Negligible		157	172	162	0 - 1	1 - 5	5 - 8	10 - 3
14 - 18	13 - 18	7 - 13	0%	1%					Negligible		164	185	172	0 - 1	1 - 5	4 - 9	9 - 4
13 - 19	12 - 19	7 - 13	0%	0%					Negligible		181	200	188	0 - 1	0 - 4	3 - 10	9 - 4
12 - 20	11 - 20	6 - 14	0%	0%					Negligible		191	214	200	0 - 1	0 - 4	3 - 10	9 - 4
11 - 21	10 - 21	5 - 15	0%	0%					Negligible		204	233	216	0 - 1	0 - 5	3 - 10	8 - 5
10 - 22	9 - 22	4 - 16	0%	0%					Negligible		236	256	244	0 - 0	0 - 6	4 - 13	7 - 5
Total		14 - 6	100%			7%	30%	12	Likely Out		93	84	88	0 - 1	2 - 3	9 - 4	13 - 1

Projected Missouri Valley Finish

	Wins Chance			Champ	Co-Champions					Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
	Indiv.	Cumul.			0	1	2	3+		1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th	10th	11th		Total
20-0	0%	100%		100%	100%					0												0
19-1	1%	100%		100%	100%					1												1
18-2	4%	98%		100%	98%	2%				4	0											4
17-3	8%	94%		96%	88%	8%	0%			8	0											8
16-4	12%	86%		86%	67%	18%	1%			10	2	0										12
15-5	14%	74%		64%	36%	24%	3%	0%		9	5	0	0									14
14-6	15%	60%		33%	11%	15%	7%	1%		5	8	2	0									15
13-7	14%	45%		9%	1%	4%	3%	1%		1	5	5	1	0								14
12-8	11%	31%		1%			0%	0%		0	1	5	4	1	0							11
11-9	8%	20%									0	1	3	3	1	0						8
10-10	6%	12%									0	0	1	2	2	1	0					6
9-11	3%	7%												0	1	1	1	0				3
8-12	2%	3%												0	0	1	1	0	0			2
7-13	1%	1%													0	0	0	0	0	0		1
6-14	0%	0%															0	0	0	0		0
5-15	0%	0%																0	0	0		0
4-16	0%	0%																	0	0		0
3-17	0%	0%																		0		0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total	100%			39%	28%	9%	2%	0%		39	21	14	9	6	4	3	2	1	0	0		100

Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

			Offense																						Defense
			Tot Off		First Field Goal Attempt										Second Chance				TOs		Freethrows				Tot Def		First Field Goal Attempt										Second Chance				TOs		Freethrows
					Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				Pts Per Shot														Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				Pts Per Shot
					2 C	2 L	3	Tot	2 C	2 L	3	Tot			Off Reb	PPP	Tot				Att	Perc	Tot				2 C	2 L	3	Tot	2 C	2 L	3	Tot			Off Reb	PPP	Tot				Att	Perc	Tot
Season Ratings			B-		B-	C+	C	B-	41%	35%	42%	B-	B-		C+	B-	C+		C+		B-	B+	B+		B-		B	C+	C+	B	43%	23%	33%	C	B-		C-	B-	C		B		D+	C+	C-
			1.15		60%	37%	32%	+2				+1	1.03		31%	1.1	.33		17%		.34	74%	.25		1.05		51%	35%	32%	-3				0	0.92		31%	1.0	.29		20%		.33	68%	.23
Nov 2	TN St.	C+	A-	B-	C-	B	57%	9%	34%	B+	B+	C	D	C-	C	A	A+	A+	A+	B	A+	A-	A+	35%	24%	41%	D+	A	C	A	B	A+	F	C+	F
		1.12	66%	40%	32%	+5				+3	1.14	30%	0.9	.27	20%	.43	83%	.36	0.76	50%	18%	26%	-10				-1	0.76	32%	0.8	.24	31%	.60	71%	.43
Nov 7	NW St.	1.15	65%	39%	35%	+6	40%	18%	42%	+1	1.10	34%	1.1	.37	18%	.37	71%	.26	0.92	45%	36%	29%	-6	39%	32%	29%	-2	0.83	25%	1.3	.25	20%	.35	69%	.24
			13-20	3-9	8-21							10 rb		11 pt	13 to			19-26		9-19	6-16	4-14							9 rb		9 pt	15 to			17-24
Nov 10	Alcorn St.	1.19	69%	36%	31%	+6	49%	12%	40%	+2	1.13	38%	1.2	.47	17%	.39	71%	.28	0.89	49%	32%	36%	-2	40%	32%	28%	-1	0.91	28%	1.4	.20	23%	.30	66%	.20
			17-24	2-6	6-20							11 rb		14 pt	13 to			20-28		10-20	5-15	5-14							9 rb		6 pt	17 to			13-20
Nov 13	TX Southern	1.16	63%	44%	33%	+4	40%	10%	50%	+2	1.09	35%	1.0	.36	17%	.42	69%	.29	0.89	46%	35%	26%	-7	46%	29%	26%	-1	0.82	27%	1.2	.24	21%	.35	62%	.22
			13-20	2-5	8-25							11 rb		12 pt	12 to			22-31		11-23	5-14	3-13							10 rb		9 pt	16 to			15-25
Nov 17	Hofstra	1.08	55%	36%	31%	-1	35%	21%	44%	0	0.94	31%	1.1	.33	14%	.34	74%	.25	0.99	46%	31%	35%	-3	35%	27%	38%	-1	0.89	33%	0.9	.32	20%	.32	69%	.22
			10-18	4-11	7-22							10 rb		11 pt	10 to			18-24		8-17	4-13	6-18							11 rb		10 pt	14 to			15-22
Nov 19	NC St.	1.06	58%	45%	32%	+2	37%	16%	47%	+1	1.03	28%	0.9	.25	18%	.29	74%	.21	1.11	56%	31%	39%	+3	45%	17%	39%	+1	1.05	30%	0.9	.33	16%	.35	70%	.25
			11-20	4-8	8-25							9 rb		8 pt	13 to			15-21		13-23	3-9	8-20							10 rb		11 pt	12 to			18-26
Nov 30	WA St.	1.13	58%	46%	37%	+6	39%	22%	39%	0	1.10	28%	1.1	.30	15%	.31	75%	.23	0.98	54%	33%	34%	0	42%	20%	38%	0	0.97	30%	0.8	.24	20%	.28	68%	.19
			12-21	5-12	8-21							9 rb		9 pt	11 to			17-22		12-22	3-10	7-20							10 rb		8 pt	15 to			13-20
Dec 2	Chicago St.	1.19	69%	28%	35%	+6	38%	10%	52%	+1	1.13	38%	1.3	.48	19%	.36	74%	.26	0.89	45%	32%	29%	-7	40%	35%	25%	-2	0.80	30%	1.3	.26	20%	.27	66%	.18
			13-18	1-5	9-25							11 rb		14 pt	14 to			18-25		9-20	6-18	4-12							10 rb		9 pt	14 to			12-18
Dec 6	GA Tech	1.09	57%	35%	32%	0	35%	20%	45%	0	0.98	30%	1.1	.35	16%	.32	75%	.24	1.05	55%	35%	38%	+2	46%	27%	27%	0	1.00	33%	1.0	.36	20%	.33	69%	.23
			11-19	4-11	8-25							11 rb		12 pt	12 to			19-25		13-24	5-14	5-14							11 rb		12 pt	16 to			17-24
Dec 9	Pine Bluff	1.21	65%	42%	33%	+5	44%	14%	43%	+1	1.11	36%	1.2	.43	15%	.40	78%	.31	0.87	47%	32%	30%	-6	42%	29%	29%	-1	0.85	24%	1.5	.19	21%	.34	68%	.23
			15-22	3-7	7-22							11 rb		13 pt	12 to			24-30		10-21	5-14	4-15							8 rb		7 pt	16 to			16-23
Dec 12	Santa Clara	1.07	61%	29%	30%	0	46%	12%	42%	+2	1.01	32%	1.1	.34	19%	.38	74%	.28	1.08	53%	39%	34%	+1	41%	18%	40%	+1	1.00	37%	0.9	.42	19%	.29	70%	.20
			14-23	2-6	6-21							10 rb		11 pt	15 to			20-27		11-22	4-10	7-21							12 rb		14 pt	14 to			15-21
Dec 17	IL St.	1.12	67%	34%	31%	+4	41%	24%	35%	0	1.03	30%	1.1	.34	15%	.32	74%	.24	1.02	56%	35%	37%	+2	40%	21%	39%	0	1.02	29%	1.1	.28	21%	.34	66%	.22
			14-21	4-13	6-18							9 rb		10 pt	11 to			17-23		11-19	4-10	7-18							9 rb		8 pt	15 to			15-22
Dec 19	Indiana St.	1.11	57%	45%	35%	+4	41%	20%	38%	0	1.06	34%	0.9	.30	16%	.30	74%	.22	1.01	59%	40%	31%	+2	50%	15%	35%	+2	1.03	27%	1.1	.25	20%	.27	68%	.18
			13-22	5-11	7-20							11 rb		10 pt	12 to			16-22		15-26	3-8	6-18							8 rb		8 pt	15 to			12-18
Dec 29	IL-Chicago	1.09	60%	34%	34%	+2	36%	16%	48%	+1	1.03	35%	1.0	.36	20%	.33	78%	.26	1.01	51%	38%	31%	-2	47%	27%	26%	0	0.92	36%	0.9	.36	20%	.35	69%	.24
			11-18	3-8	8-24							11 rb		11 pt	14 to			18-23		11-22	5-13	4-13							11 rb		11 pt	15 to			17-24
Jan 1	Drake	1.12	62%	32%	35%	+3	33%	20%	47%	0	1.04	31%	1.0	.31	15%	.32	71%	.23	1.00	51%	40%	31%	-1	38%	24%	38%	0	0.93	26%	1.1	.26	17%	.33	66%	.22
			11-18	3-10	9-25							10 rb		10 pt	11 to			17-23		10-19	5-12	6-19							9 rb		9 pt	13 to			15-23
Jan 4	Bradley	1.08	60%	39%	35%	+4	35%	24%	41%	-1	1.03	29%	1.0	.29	18%	.36	74%	.27	1.00	51%	32%	34%	-2	40%	26%	35%	-1	0.92	27%	1.1	.27	17%	.36	69%	.25
			10-17	5-12	7-20							9 rb		9 pt	13 to			18-25		10-20	4-13	6-17							9 rb		9 pt	12 to			17-25
Jan 9	Evansville	1.15	62%	39%	37%	+6	36%	19%	46%	0	1.09	32%	1.1	.35	16%	.31	76%	.23	0.92	53%	36%	30%	-2	35%	29%	36%	-1	0.90	22%	1.3	.22	21%	.31	69%	.21
			12-19	4-10	9-24							10 rb		11 pt	11 to			17-22		9-17	5-14	5-18							7 rb		7 pt	16 to			14-20
Jan 12	SIU	1.06	60%	41%	30%	+1	39%	18%	43%	0	1.00	30%	1.0	.31	18%	.31	74%	.23	0.97	54%	42%	24%	-1	47%	32%	21%	-1	0.93	31%	1.0	.27	19%	.32	65%	.21
			12-20	4-10	7-22							10 rb		10 pt	14 to			17-22		13-24	7-16	3-11							10 rb		9 pt	14 to			15-23
Jan 16	Indiana St.	1.15	59%	48%	37%	+6	41%	20%	38%	0	1.10	35%	0.9	.33	16%	.30	76%	.23	0.97	58%	36%	29%	-1	50%	15%	35%	+2	0.99	26%	1.2	.22	21%	.27	66%	.18
			13-22	5-11	8-21							11 rb		10 pt	12 to			17-22		15-26	3-8	5-18							8 rb		7 pt	15 to			12-18
Jan 21	No Iowa	1.07	60%	43%	30%	+1	39%	17%	44%	+1	1.00	28%	1.0	.28	17%	.29	80%	.23	1.02	56%	42%	32%	+1	47%	21%	32%	+1	1.01	23%	1.4	.25	17%	.28	66%	.18
			11-19	4-8	6-22							8 rb		8 pt	11 to			15-19		13-23	4-10	5-16							7 rb		7 pt	11 to			11-17
				Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				PPS	2nd Chance			TOs	Freethrows				Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				PPS	2nd Chance			TOs	Freethrows
Jan 24	Drake	1.08	60%	30%	34%	+1	33%	20%	47%	0	0.99	30%	1.0	.29	15%	.32	69%	.22	1.04	53%	42%	33%	+1	38%	24%	38%	0	0.98	27%	1.1	.28	17%	.33	69%	.23
			10-17	3-10	8-25							10 rb		10 pt	11 to			16-23		10-19	5-12	6-20							9 rb		9 pt	12 to			16-23
Jan 27	Bradley	1.12	63%	41%	36%	+6	35%	24%	41%	-1	1.08	30%	1.0	.32	18%	.36	76%	.27	0.96	49%	29%	32%	-5	40%	26%	35%	-1	0.87	26%	1.1	.25	18%	.36	67%	.24
			11-17	5-12	7-20							9 rb		9 pt	13 to			19-25		10-20	4-13	6-17							9 rb		9 pt	13 to			17-25
Jan 30	Valparaiso	1.11	64%	31%	33%	+3	43%	19%	38%	+1	1.04	33%	1.0	.33	17%	.34	75%	.25	0.98	47%	31%	32%	-5	37%	33%	30%	-2	0.84	31%	0.9	.31	18%	.38	66%	.25
			14-21	3-10	6-19							10 rb		10 pt	12 to			18-24		8-17	5-16	4-14							11 rb		10 pt	13 to			18-26
Feb 3	IL-Chicago	1.05	58%	31%	33%	0	36%	16%	48%	+1	0.99	34%	1.0	.34	20%	.33	76%	.25	1.06	53%	40%	33%	0	47%	27%	26%	0	0.97	37%	0.9	.38	20%	.35	71%	.25
			10-18	2-8	8-23							11 rb		10 pt	14 to			17-23		12-23	5-13	4-13							11 rb		12 pt	14 to			17-25
Feb 6	Belmont	1.10	61%	35%	32%	+2	34%	17%	50%	0	1.01	34%	1.1	.38	18%	.31	78%	.24	1.00	57%	29%	36%	+2	46%	14%	40%	+1	1.04	25%	1.7	.29	23%	.33	61%	.20
			11-18	3-9	8-26							11 rb		12 pt	14 to			18-23		13-23	2-7	7-20							8 rb		9 pt	17 to			13-22
Feb 9	Evansville	1.11	60%	36%	36%	+4	36%	19%	46%	0	1.05	31%	1.0	.32	16%	.31	74%	.23	0.96	55%	38%	32%	0	35%	29%	36%	-1	0.95	23%	1.3	.25	21%	.31	71%	.22
			11-19	3-10	9-24							10 rb		10 pt	12 to			16-22		10-17	5-14	6-18							7 rb		8 pt	15 to			14-20
Feb 12	IL St.	1.08	65%	31%	29%	+1	41%	24%	35%	0	0.99	29%	1.1	.31	15%	.32	72%	.23	1.06	58%	38%	38%	+5	40%	21%	39%	0	1.07	30%	1.1	.30	21%	.34	68%	.23
			14-21	4-13	5-18							9 rb		10 pt	11 to			16-23		11-20	4-10	7-19							9 rb		9 pt	15 to			15-22
Feb 15	SIU	1.10	62%	45%	31%	+3	39%	18%	43%	0	1.04	31%	1.1	.33	18%	.31	77%	.24	0.93	52%	40%	21%	-4	47%	32%	21%	-1	0.88	30%	1.0	.25	20%	.32	63%	.20
			13-21	4-10	7-22							10 rb		10 pt	13 to			17-22		13-24	7-16	2-11							10 rb		9 pt	15 to			14-23
Feb 20	Belmont	1.06	58%	32%	31%	0	34%	17%	50%	0	0.97	33%	1.1	.36	19%	.31	76%	.23	1.04	59%	33%	38%	+4	46%	14%	40%	+1	1.08	26%	1.6	.31	22%	.33	63%	.21
			10-18	3-9	8-26							11 rb		12 pt	14 to			17-23		13-23	2-7	7-20							8 rb		10 pt	17 to			14-22
Feb 24	No Iowa	1.11	62%	46%	31%	+4	39%	17%	44%	+1	1.05	29%	1.0	.30	16%	.29	82%	.24	0.97	54%	39%	31%	-1	47%	21%	32%	+1	0.96	22%	1.4	.22	17%	.28	63%	.17
			12-19	4-8	7-22							8 rb		8 pt	11 to			16-19		12-23	4-10	5-15							7 rb		7 pt	12 to			11-17
Feb 27	Valparaiso	1.07	62%	28%	31%	0	43%	19%	38%	+1	0.99	32%	1.0	.31	17%	.34	73%	.25	1.02	49%	33%	34%	-3	37%	33%	30%	-2	0.89	32%	0.9	.33	18%	.38	68%	.26
			13-21	3-9	6-19							10 rb		9 pt	12 to			17-23		9-18	5-16	5-14							11 rb		11 pt	12 to			18-27